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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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3517021,0521,403 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for subgroup-specific models

Jointly estimates subgroup-specific regression coefficients in high-dimensional settings.

problem Disease subtypes may differ in underlying regression models with limited sample sizes.
method Penalized framework combining 1\ell_1 and difference penalties for related problem instances.
result Gains in prediction and subgroup-specific sparsity patterns demonstrated on Alzheimer's, ALS, and cancer datasets.

AdaptHetero uses MLI to tailor EHR models for subgroup-specific predictions.

problem Lack of subgroup-specific, operationalizable modeling strategies in EHRs.
method Integrates MLI with unsupervised clustering to identify subgroup-specific characteristics.
result Improves predictive performance by up to 174.39 percent across many subpopulations.

Sparse GFA identifies disease factors in FTD subgroups.

problem Heterogeneity in neurological disorders hinders understanding and treatment.
method Sparse Group Factor Analysis (GFA) with regularised horseshoe priors.
result Identified latent disease factors differentially expressed in FTD subgroups.

GAME improves matrix completion by considering subgroup-specific latent structures.

problem Heterogeneous data with overlapping categories, smoothing away subgroup-specific variation.
method Group-Aware Matrix Estimation (GAME) with overlapping nuclear-norm penalties.
result GAME outperforms global low-rank estimators in structured missingness regimes.

Causal Interaction Trees identify treatment subgroup effects in observational data.

problem Identifying subgroups with enhanced treatment effects in observational studies.
method Extending Classification and Regression Trees with subgroup-specific treatment effect estimators.
result The proposed algorithms enhance treatment effect heterogeneity in subgroups.

Proposes a method to learn fair predictors for multiple subgroups with limited data.

problem Fairness and accuracy issues in learning from multiple subgroups with limited data.
method Formulates a bilevel objective to learn subgroup-specific predictors and a fair predictor that is close to all of them.
result The method effectively controls group sufficiency and generalization error, improving fairness and accuracy.

Framework for discovering treatment benefits in user segments.

problem Discovering differential impacts of treatments across user subgroups.
method Combines causal inference and machine learning for user segment discovery.
result Unified approach for treatment benefit discovery and assignment.

New method combines randomization tests and flexible models for valid inference without splitting data.

problem Valid inference in randomized panel experiments with complex effect heterogeneity.
method Model-assisted randomization tests that estimate unsigned CATE from residualized outcomes.
result CATE-assisted tests control Type I error and achieve higher power than alternatives.

A new framework identifies subgroups with differential model performance in clinical risk prediction models.

problem Differential performance of AI/ML models across subgroups defined by multiple characteristics.
method unfairness tree (utree) framework for identifying subgroups with differential model performance.
result utree identifies subgroup-specific performance patterns in mortality risk models.

SDRF estimates complex survey designs for conditional distributions.

problem Estimating conditional distributions under complex survey designs.
method Survey-calibrated distributional random forest (SDRF) with pseudo-population bootstrap and MMD split criterion.
result Established design consistency and model consistency for survey designs.

Simulation study evaluates causal ML models under confounding violations.

problem Assessing conditional exchangeability in causal machine learning models.
method Simulation study with varying confounding, sample size, and NCO structures.
result Causal ML models fail to recover true treatment effect heterogeneity under violations of conditional exchangeability.

C3T-Budget optimizes drug efficacy in dose-finding trials with budget and safety constraints.

problem Heterogeneous patient populations and budget constraints make dose-finding clinical trials challenging.
method Contextual constrained clinical trial algorithm that maximizes drug efficacy while learning subgroup responses.
result Demonstrates efficient budget usage and balanced learning-treatment trade-off in simulated trials.

CRE discovers interpretable subgroups with heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem Identifying subgroups with notable treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Causal Rule Ensemble (CRE) using an ensemble-of-trees approach.
result CRE offers interpretable decision rules and high stability in subgroup discovery.

HIP method extended to multi-class, Poisson, and Zero-Inflated Poisson outcomes with an R Shiny app.

problem Subgroup heterogeneity in complex diseases like COPD.
method Integrating multiple data views while accounting for subgroup heterogeneity.
result Identified common and subgroup-specific markers of exacerbation frequency in males and females.

Study develops time-continuous models and probabilistic descriptions for agent-based economic market models.

problem Formulating and describing agent-based economic market models in a time-continuous and probabilistic manner.
method Derived time-continuous formulations, discussed impact of time-scaling, proved stability, presented probabilistic descriptions using kinetic theory.
result Time-continuous formulations and probabilistic descriptions for agent-based economic market models.

Hybrid model combines interpretable and black-box models for better transparency and performance.

problem Balancing interpretability and predictive performance in machine learning models.
method Proposes a Hybrid Predictive Model (HPM) integrating an interpretable model with a black-box model, using principled objective functions and customized training algorithms.
result Hybrid models achieve an efficient trade-off between transparency and predictive performance.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

Boosts generative models by combining multiple meta-models.

problem Challenges in creating a single generative model that accurately represents complex data.
method Cascades multiple meta-models (like RBM and VAE) to create a stronger generative model.
result Derives a decomposable variational lower bound for training and evaluating the boosted model.

The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.

problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.

Study on limits of community detection in various network models.

problem Limits of community detection in network models.
method Analysis of several network models including Stochastic Block Model, Exponential Random Graph Model, Latent Space Model, Directed Preferential Attachment Model, and Directed Small-world Model.
result Information-theoretic limits for recovery of node labels in network models.

The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.

problem Model predictions may not be robust under model extensions, limiting their applicability.
method The study uses causal ordering to assess robustness of qualitative model predictions and characterizes model extensions that preserve predictions.
result Conditions and techniques are provided to assess robustness of model predictions under model extensions.

MALC combines interpretable linear models with black-box models for better predictions and transparency.

problem Combining interpretability with black-box models for better predictions.
method Formulates MALC as a convex optimization problem and uses accelerated proximal gradient method for training.
result MALC provides an efficient frontier balancing prediction accuracy and transparency.

Revises Bayesian model averaging for foundation models.

problem Ensemble pre-trained and lightly-finetuned foundation models for improved classification performance.
method Introduces trainable linear classifiers and computationally cheaper model averaging scheme (OMA).
result Ensembled models can better predict on various datasets.

Paper introduces symmetric divergence link models for probability distributions.

problem Symmetric divergence measures for probability distributions.
method Two general classes of link models: one for survival functions and another for cumulative probability distribution functions.
result Advantages of symmetric divergence measures over asymmetric measures for model averaging and feature assessment.

Researchers review challenges in interpreting additive models, especially neural additive models.

problem Challenges in interpreting additive models, particularly neural additive models.
method Review of generalized additive models and discussion of nonidentifiability.
result Challenges in claiming interpretability or suitability for safety-critical applications of additive models.

Distill-and-Compare audits black-box models by training transparent models to mimic them.

problem Auditing proprietary, opaque black-box risk scoring models.
method Model distillation and comparison of transparent student models to black-box models.
result Identifies missing features in black-box models, improving transparency.

Proposes a decision-theoretic approach for enhancing model interpretability in Bayesian frameworks.

problem Challenges the traditional approach of restricting model structure for interpretability in Bayesian frameworks.
method Introduces an interpretability utility function and a two-step method involving a reference model and a proxy model.
result Demonstrates that the proposed method generates more accurate models with the same level of interpretability.

Sigma models linked to Gross-Neveu models via quiver varieties.

problem Understanding the relationship between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models.
method Exploring the mathematical correspondence between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models, including their geometric and trigonometric/elliptic deformations.
result Sigma models are mathematically equivalent to Gross-Neveu models under certain conditions.

Matryoshka hides secret models in a carrier model, achieving high capacity and robustness.

problem Stealing functionality of private ML data by hiding models in a carrier model.
method Parameter sharing approach exploiting the learning capacity of the carrier model.
result Hides a 26x larger secret model or 8 secret models in the carrier model.

Semi-parametric models improve robot dynamics modeling accuracy.

problem Improving inverse dynamics model accuracy in robotics.
method Comparison of semi-parametric Gaussian process regression and a novel model-based neural network.
result Semi-parametric Gaussian process regression yields the most accurate models.

A novel kernel approach for model selection in simulator-based models.

problem Model selection for simulator-based statistical models with limited prior knowledge.
method Iteratively updates model weights and parameters using Bayes' rule and kernel recursive ABC algorithm.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on dynamical systems in ecology and epidemiology.

This work develops scalable model selection methods with fast update and selection.

problem Efficient model selection for large pools of candidate models.
method Isolated model embedding, which supports asymptotically fast update and selection.
result Standardized Embedder achieves competitive model selection performances.

Copulas outperform marginal models in multivariate risk forecasting, reducing model risk by narrowing down the set of models.

problem Model risk in multivariate risk forecasting, especially during crises.
method Comprehensive empirical study comparing Copula-GARCH models with fixed marginals, copulas, or neither.
result Model risk is almost entirely due to copula choice, not marginal models.

This paper distills a complex travel mode choice model into simpler, interpretable models.

problem Lack of interpretability in complex machine learning models for travel behavior.
method Model distillation combined with market segmentation.
result Generated interpretable models that closely match the predictions of the original complex model.