Develops a fair post-processing method for student success predictions.
problem Ensuring fairness in predictive student models for educational applications.
method Uses the MADD metric to improve model fairness while maintaining accuracy.
result Successfully improved fairness of predictive models for student success.
A new method predicts student skill success rates in real-time.
problem Accurate and explainable prediction of student skill success rates in real-time.
method Performance Distribution Tracing (PDT) using a Dynamic Bayesian Network with continuous random variables.
result PDT provides both explainability and accuracy in real-time predictions of student skill success rates.
Each year, roughly 30% of first-year students at US baccalaureate institutions do not return for their second year and over $9 billion is spent educating these students. Yet, little quantitative research has analyzed the causes and possible remedies for student attrition. Here, we describe initial efforts to model stud…
New metric MADD assesses fairness of predictive student models.
problem Predictive student models can be biased and unfair, leading to discrimination.
method Proposes MADD metric to analyze model's discriminatory behaviors.
result Fair predictive performance does not guarantee fair behaviors or outcomes.
This study analyzes counterfactual explanations for student success models.
problem Improving trust in machine learning models for student success prediction.
method Comparison of counterfactual generation methods (WhatIf, Multi-Objective, Nearest Instance) for student success prediction models.
result WhatIf Counterfactual Explanations are more effective for student success prediction models.
Deep neural networks bring in impressive accuracy in various applications, but the success often relies on the heavy network architecture. Taking well-trained heavy networks as teachers, classical teacher-student learning paradigm aims to learn a student network that is lightweight yet accurate. In this way, a portable…
Proposes new models to predict student grades more accurately.
problem Accurately predicting future grades considering prior and concurrent courses.
method Context-aware, non-linear, and neural attentive models.
result Models outperform existing methods in predicting student grades.
In this article, a large data set containing every course taken by every undergraduate student in a major university in Canada over 10 years is analysed. Modern machine learning algorithms can use large data sets to build useful tools for the data provider, in this case, the university. In this article, two classifiers…
Grade prediction for future courses not yet taken by students is important as it can help them and their advisers during the process of course selection as well as for designing personalized degree plans and modifying them based on their performance. One of the successful approaches for accurately predicting a student'…
Study shows human advisors use context to improve student outcomes in algorithm-assisted advising.
problem How human advisors use context to guide interventions in algorithm-assisted advising.
method Mixed-methods approach combining quantitative and qualitative data from a randomized controlled trial.
result 2 out of 3 interventions by advisors were plausibly 'expertly targeted' to students using non-algorithmic context.
Student-teacher learning improves generalization with noisy inputs.
problem Transfer knowledge from clean inputs to noisy inputs.
method Analyzes student-teacher learning using deep linear networks and experiments with nonlinear networks.
result Three factors are vital for success: zero training loss, teacher knowledge, and feature decomposition.
Using the trends of estimated abilities in terms of item response theory for online testing, we can predict the success/failure status for the final examination to each student at early stages in courses. In prediction, we applied the newly developed nearest neighbor method for determining the similarity of learning sk…
Bayesian Dark Knowledge is a method for compressing the posterior predictive distribution of a neural network model into a more compact form. Specifically, the method attempts to compress a Monte Carlo approximation to the parameter posterior into a single network representing the posterior predictive distribution. Fur…
Bayesian model identifies skill difficulties and student subgroups in engineering education.
problem Identifying and supporting diverse student needs in entry-level university engineering modules.
method Hierarchical Bayesian modeling of student response data.
result Clear patterns of skill mastery and distinct student subgroups identified.
New model shows hierarchical proof structure helps theorem provers.
problem How to efficiently learn proofs from teacher traces.
method Model proof search as MDP, analyze imitation learning from traces.
result Hierarchical proof structure leads to more efficient learning.
This paper distills a complex travel mode choice model into simpler, interpretable models.
problem Lack of interpretability in complex machine learning models for travel behavior.
method Model distillation combined with market segmentation.
result Generated interpretable models that closely match the predictions of the original complex model.
Predicts student performance in interactive online question pools using GNNs.
problem Predicting student performance in interactive online question pools with evolving knowledge.
method Proposes R^2GCN, a GNN model for heterogeneous networks to predict student performance.
result Achieves higher accuracy in student performance prediction than traditional methods.
Modeling student behaviors and multiple predictions for early intervention.
problem Predicting student outcomes and interactions among multiple tasks.
method Proposes a variant of LSTM and soft-attention mechanism for heterogeneous behaviors, and co-attention mechanism for task interactions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in predicting student outcomes and interactions.
Student performance prediction - where a machine forecasts the future performance of students as they interact with online coursework - is a challenging problem. Reliable early-stage predictions of a student's future performance could be critical to facilitate timely educational interventions during a course. However, …
Increasingly fast development and update cycle of online course contents, and diverse demographics of students in each online classroom, make student performance prediction in real-time (before the course finishes) and/or on curriculum without specific historical performance data available interesting topics for both i…
The increasingly fast development cycle for online course contents, along with the diverse student demographics in each online classroom, make real-time student outcomes prediction an interesting topic for both industrial research and practical needs. In this paper, we tackle the problem of real-time student performanc…
Proposes RaT to mitigate bias in student-teacher estimation.
problem Systematic bias in teacher's predictions propagates to student model.
method Uses teacher to estimate residuals in student's predictions.
result RaT method reduces teacher bias effect and achieves optimal rate.
The field of learning analytics needs to adopt a more rigorous approach for predictive model evaluation that matches the complex practice of model-building. In this work, we present a procedure to statistically test hypotheses about model performance which goes beyond the state-of-the-practice in the community to analy…
Study predicts academic achievement using students' support networks.
problem Predicting academic achievement in college students.
method Decision tree and random forest algorithms applied to Ties data.
result Different types of support are important for different demographics and genders.
The paper develops a student performance prediction model using ensemble methods.
problem Improving student performance prediction in high school courses.
method Developed a multilabel classification model using SVM, RF, KNN, and MLP. Improved performance with LP transformation and partitioning schemes.
result The model achieved better performance than binary relevance and classifier chains.
Paper improves neural network models for MOOC student course prediction.
problem Improving neural network-based predictive methods for MOOC student course trajectory modeling.
method Enhanced LSTM networks and Transformer architecture applied to MOOC student data.
result Improved accuracy in predicting MOOC student course trajectories.
TREK uses distillation to help students solve hard problems.
problem Stalled progress on hard prompts when current policy lacks useful reasoning trajectories.
method TREK combines distillation and reinforcement learning to expand student support.
result TREK significantly improves student performance on mathematical reasoning and agentic tasks.
Contributions: Prior studies on education have mostly followed the model of the cross sectional study, namely, examining the pretest and the posttest scores. This paper shows that students' knowledge throughout the intervention can be estimated by time series analysis using a hidden Markov model. Background: Analyzing …
A framework predicts employment status for students considering unconscious biases.
problem Unconscious biases hinder college students' job hunting.
method Developed a framework MAYA using GAN, LSTM, and bias regularization.
result Framework effectively predicts employment status with bias consideration.
Inspired by the unsupervised learning or self-organization in the machine learning context, here we attempt to draw `learning curve' for the collective behavior of job-seeking `zero-intelligence' labors in successive job-hunting processes. Our labor market is supposed to be opened especially for university graduates in…
While machine learning systems show high success rate in many complex tasks, research shows they can also fail in very unexpected situations. Rise of machine learning products in safety-critical industries cause an increase in attention in evaluating model robustness and estimating failure probability in machine learni…
Study shows targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes is most effective for financial aid renewal.
problem Determining which students to target for financial aid renewal to maximize effectiveness.
method Used causal forest to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects and targeted students accordingly; compared targeting low vs high predicted probability outcomes.
result Targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes yields the highest effectiveness in financial aid renewal.
We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…
Distilled models often fail to match teacher models, despite improving generalization.
problem The discrepancy between teacher and student predictive distributions remains large.
method Investigated the optimization difficulties and dataset details affecting student performance.
result Optimizing for matching the teacher does not always lead to better generalization.
New framework for RL transfer learning with state-action mismatch.
problem High sample complexity in RL from scratch.
method Embeddings to transfer knowledge between MDPs with different state- and action-spaces.
result Successful transfer learning in scenarios with state- and action-space mismatches.
Locality helps in learning from high-dimensional data.
problem Understanding how convolutional neural networks learn from high-dimensional data.
method Teacher-student framework for kernel regression with convolutional kernels.
result Locality is key to determining the learning curve exponent in high-dimensional data.
Blended courses that mix in-person instruction with online platforms are increasingly popular in secondary education. These tools record a rich amount of data on students' study habits and social interactions. Prior research has shown that these metrics are correlated with students' performance in face to face classes.…
Student performance modelling (SPM) is a critical step to assessing and improving students performances in their learning discourse. However, most existing SPM are based on statistical approaches, which on one hand are based on probability, depicting that results are based on estimation; and on the other hand, actual i…
Paper extends knowledge tracing algorithms to infer student knowledge and predict posttest performance.
problem Lack of algorithms that directly infer student knowledge and predict posttest performance.
method Extended DKT and DKVMN to infer knowledge, and applied to BKT and PFA for comparison.
result Knowledge estimates from the extended algorithms correlate better with posttest performance than existing methods.
New model shows weak teachers can help strong students learn even with imperfect labels.
problem Improving strong student's performance with weak teacher's imperfect pseudolabels.
method Stylized overparameterized spiked covariance model with Gaussian covariates, proving two phases of generalization.
result Provable successful and random guessing phases of strong student's generalization.
Science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) fields play growing roles in national and international economies by driving innovation and generating high salary jobs. Yet, the US is lagging behind other highly industrialized nations in terms of STEM education and training. Furthermore, many economic forecasts predi…
This work proposes a student-teacher network for predicting hospital admission locations.
problem Accurate prediction of hospital admission locations to optimize resource allocation.
method Reinforcement learning approach where a teacher network selects data batches for a student network.
result The approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods on tabular data and image recognition.
A new method for distilling predictions from a teacher model to a student model without original training data.
problem Training without original labeled data.
method Prediction-only distillation scheme for linear and logistic regression.
result Prediction mixing can outperform both the teacher and pure-distilled models.
Paper presents deep learning and ML for automated student performance estimation.
problem Evaluation of students' performance during the pandemic.
method In-depth analysis of deep learning and machine learning approaches.
result Better performance across different prediction tasks with fully data-driven approach.
Knowledge transfer speeds up neural classifier training.
problem Lack of theoretical analysis of knowledge transfer in neural networks.
method Regularization of fit between teacher and student networks using privileged information.
result Wide two-layer networks can interpolate between privileged information and data, improving generalization.
Proposes a VAE with Student-t mixture model for authorship attribution.
problem Traditional authorship attribution in closed-set scenarios.
method Extends variational autoencoder with embedded Student-t mixture model. result Superior performance over existing methods on Amazon review dataset.
Deep neural networks outperform traditional methods in high-dimensional classification.
problem Understanding the empirical success of deep neural networks in high-dimensional classification.
method Proposed a teacher-student framework with Bayes classifier as ReLU neural networks, derived convergence rates for 0-1 and hinge losses.
result Sharp rate of convergence for classifiers trained using 0-1 or hinge loss, with Od(n−2/3) or Od(n−1) under separable data distribution. Study uses ML and causal analysis to predict student performance factors.
problem Understanding socio-academic and economic factors affecting student performance.
method Employed machine learning techniques and causal analysis on 1,050 student profiles.
result Ridge Regression achieved robust predictions with MAE of 0.12 and MSE of 0.024.