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arXiv research

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168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for student success prediction

Develops a fair post-processing method for student success predictions.

problem Ensuring fairness in predictive student models for educational applications.
method Uses the MADD metric to improve model fairness while maintaining accuracy.
result Successfully improved fairness of predictive models for student success.

A new method predicts student skill success rates in real-time.

problem Accurate and explainable prediction of student skill success rates in real-time.
method Performance Distribution Tracing (PDT) using a Dynamic Bayesian Network with continuous random variables.
result PDT provides both explainability and accuracy in real-time predictions of student skill success rates.

Each year, roughly 30% of first-year students at US baccalaureate institutions do not return for their second year and over $9 billion is spent educating these students. Yet, little quantitative research has analyzed the causes and possible remedies for student attrition. Here, we describe initial efforts to model stud…

2016-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New metric MADD assesses fairness of predictive student models.

problem Predictive student models can be biased and unfair, leading to discrimination.
method Proposes MADD metric to analyze model's discriminatory behaviors.
result Fair predictive performance does not guarantee fair behaviors or outcomes.

This study analyzes counterfactual explanations for student success models.

problem Improving trust in machine learning models for student success prediction.
method Comparison of counterfactual generation methods (WhatIf, Multi-Objective, Nearest Instance) for student success prediction models.
result WhatIf Counterfactual Explanations are more effective for student success prediction models.

Deep neural networks bring in impressive accuracy in various applications, but the success often relies on the heavy network architecture. Taking well-trained heavy networks as teachers, classical teacher-student learning paradigm aims to learn a student network that is lightweight yet accurate. In this way, a portable…

2018-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Grade prediction for future courses not yet taken by students is important as it can help them and their advisers during the process of course selection as well as for designing personalized degree plans and modifying them based on their performance. One of the successful approaches for accurately predicting a student'…

2019-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows human advisors use context to improve student outcomes in algorithm-assisted advising.

problem How human advisors use context to guide interventions in algorithm-assisted advising.
method Mixed-methods approach combining quantitative and qualitative data from a randomized controlled trial.
result 2 out of 3 interventions by advisors were plausibly 'expertly targeted' to students using non-algorithmic context.

Student-teacher learning improves generalization with noisy inputs.

problem Transfer knowledge from clean inputs to noisy inputs.
method Analyzes student-teacher learning using deep linear networks and experiments with nonlinear networks.
result Three factors are vital for success: zero training loss, teacher knowledge, and feature decomposition.

Bayesian model identifies skill difficulties and student subgroups in engineering education.

problem Identifying and supporting diverse student needs in entry-level university engineering modules.
method Hierarchical Bayesian modeling of student response data.
result Clear patterns of skill mastery and distinct student subgroups identified.

This paper distills a complex travel mode choice model into simpler, interpretable models.

problem Lack of interpretability in complex machine learning models for travel behavior.
method Model distillation combined with market segmentation.
result Generated interpretable models that closely match the predictions of the original complex model.

Predicts student performance in interactive online question pools using GNNs.

problem Predicting student performance in interactive online question pools with evolving knowledge.
method Proposes R^2GCN, a GNN model for heterogeneous networks to predict student performance.
result Achieves higher accuracy in student performance prediction than traditional methods.

Modeling student behaviors and multiple predictions for early intervention.

problem Predicting student outcomes and interactions among multiple tasks.
method Proposes a variant of LSTM and soft-attention mechanism for heterogeneous behaviors, and co-attention mechanism for task interactions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in predicting student outcomes and interactions.

Student performance prediction - where a machine forecasts the future performance of students as they interact with online coursework - is a challenging problem. Reliable early-stage predictions of a student's future performance could be critical to facilitate timely educational interventions during a course. However, …

2018-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Increasingly fast development and update cycle of online course contents, and diverse demographics of students in each online classroom, make student performance prediction in real-time (before the course finishes) and/or on curriculum without specific historical performance data available interesting topics for both i…

2018-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The increasingly fast development cycle for online course contents, along with the diverse student demographics in each online classroom, make real-time student outcomes prediction an interesting topic for both industrial research and practical needs. In this paper, we tackle the problem of real-time student performanc…

2019-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The field of learning analytics needs to adopt a more rigorous approach for predictive model evaluation that matches the complex practice of model-building. In this work, we present a procedure to statistically test hypotheses about model performance which goes beyond the state-of-the-practice in the community to analy…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study predicts academic achievement using students' support networks.

problem Predicting academic achievement in college students.
method Decision tree and random forest algorithms applied to Ties data.
result Different types of support are important for different demographics and genders.

Inspired by the unsupervised learning or self-organization in the machine learning context, here we attempt to draw `learning curve' for the collective behavior of job-seeking `zero-intelligence' labors in successive job-hunting processes. Our labor market is supposed to be opened especially for university graduates in…

2013-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

One of the important measures of quality of education is the performance of students in the academic settings. Nowadays, abundant data is stored in educational institutions about students which can help to discover insight on how students are learning and how to improve their performance ahead of time using data mining…

2019-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes is most effective for financial aid renewal.

problem Determining which students to target for financial aid renewal to maximize effectiveness.
method Used causal forest to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects and targeted students accordingly; compared targeting low vs high predicted probability outcomes.
result Targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes yields the highest effectiveness in financial aid renewal.

We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…

2014-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Distilled models often fail to match teacher models, despite improving generalization.

problem The discrepancy between teacher and student predictive distributions remains large.
method Investigated the optimization difficulties and dataset details affecting student performance.
result Optimizing for matching the teacher does not always lead to better generalization.

Locality helps in learning from high-dimensional data.

problem Understanding how convolutional neural networks learn from high-dimensional data.
method Teacher-student framework for kernel regression with convolutional kernels.
result Locality is key to determining the learning curve exponent in high-dimensional data.

New model shows weak teachers can help strong students learn even with imperfect labels.

problem Improving strong student's performance with weak teacher's imperfect pseudolabels.
method Stylized overparameterized spiked covariance model with Gaussian covariates, proving two phases of generalization.
result Provable successful and random guessing phases of strong student's generalization.

This work proposes a student-teacher network for predicting hospital admission locations.

problem Accurate prediction of hospital admission locations to optimize resource allocation.
method Reinforcement learning approach where a teacher network selects data batches for a student network.
result The approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods on tabular data and image recognition.

Knowledge transfer speeds up neural classifier training.

problem Lack of theoretical analysis of knowledge transfer in neural networks.
method Regularization of fit between teacher and student networks using privileged information.
result Wide two-layer networks can interpolate between privileged information and data, improving generalization.

Proposes a VAE with Student-tt mixture model for authorship attribution.

problem Traditional authorship attribution in closed-set scenarios.
method Extends variational autoencoder with embedded Student-tt mixture model.
result Superior performance over existing methods on Amazon review dataset.

Deep neural networks outperform traditional methods in high-dimensional classification.

problem Understanding the empirical success of deep neural networks in high-dimensional classification.
method Proposed a teacher-student framework with Bayes classifier as ReLU neural networks, derived convergence rates for 0-1 and hinge losses.
result Sharp rate of convergence for classifiers trained using 0-1 or hinge loss, with Od(n2/3)O_d(n^{-2/3}) or Od(n1)O_d(n^{-1}) under separable data distribution.

Study uses ML and causal analysis to predict student performance factors.

problem Understanding socio-academic and economic factors affecting student performance.
method Employed machine learning techniques and causal analysis on 1,050 student profiles.
result Ridge Regression achieved robust predictions with MAE of 0.12 and MSE of 0.024.

Predicts academic risk in college students using interpretable machine learning.

problem Predicting academic risk from high-dimensional, unbalanced student data.
method Binary classification task using LightGBM model and Shapley value.
result 8 predictors for academic risk identified, including quality of academic partners and dormitory study atmosphere.