In many instances, information on engineering systems can be obtained through measurements, monitoring or direct observations of system performances and can be used to update the system reliability estimate. In structural reliability analysis, such information is expressed either by inequalities (e.g. for the observati…
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48 results for “structural reliability”
New framework improves reliability of learned representations by modeling uncertainty and structural constraints.
problem Uncertainty in learned representations treated as deterministic, leading to unreliable models.
method Proposes a principled framework for reliable representation learning with uncertainty-aware regularization and structural constraints.
result Improves stability, calibration, and robustness of learned representations.
Survey and framework for efficient active learning in structural reliability.
problem Efficiently solving complex structural reliability problems.
method Generalized modular framework combining surrogate model, reliability estimation algorithm, learning function, and stopping criterion.
result 39 strategies for solving 20 reliability benchmark problems, highlighting the importance of surrogates and algorithms.
Study efficient interactive learning for structured outputs with reliable computation.
problem Interactive learning with noisy labels and structured output spaces.
method Identify and utilize CRISPs (probabilistic models) that guarantee reliable and efficient computation of probabilistic quantities.
result CRISPs enable robust and efficient active and skeptical learning in large structured output spaces.
We combine Bayesian networks (BNs) and structural reliability methods (SRMs) to create a new computational framework, termed enhanced Bayesian network (eBN), for reliability and risk analysis of engineering structures and infrastructure. BNs are efficient in representing and evaluating complex probabilistic dependence …
Study integrates reliability constraints into generation planning models.
problem Challenges in integrating reliability constraints with generation planning models.
method Leverages a weighted oblique decision tree (WODT) technique to embed reliability verification constraints.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in achieving reliable and optimal planning solutions.
Proposes a Koopman operator method for time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear systems.
problem Challenges in time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Koopman operator approach for transforming nonlinear systems into linear ones, combined with deep learning for intrinsic coordinates.
result Robust and generalizable approach for time-dependent reliability analysis, superior to purely data-driven methods.
Fast and Reliable Probabilistic Reflectometry Inversion with Prior-Amortized Neural Posterior Estimationphysics.app-ph
New method finds all thin film structures from reflectometry data.
problem Computational prohibitive for standard algorithms, leading to unreliable analysis.
method Prior-Amortized Neural Posterior Estimation (PANPE) combining simulation-based inference and adaptive priors.
result Identifies all realistic structures in seconds, setting new standards in reflectometry.
Smooth KANs improve model reliability in computational biomedicine.
problem Limited convergence of KANs in representing generic smooth functions.
method Introducing smooth, structurally informed KANs that can approximate MLPs in specific function classes.
result Smooth KANs can achieve equivalence to MLPs in specific function classes, enhancing model reliability and performance.
Paper tackles uncertainty in GNNs for graph data.
problem Uncertainty in GNNs' predictions for graph data.
method CF-T2NN, tensor decomposition, topological learning.
result CF-T2NN improves reliability and interpretability of GNN outcomes.
In the field of structural reliability, the Monte-Carlo estimator is considered as the reference probability estimator. However, it is still untractable for real engineering cases since it requires a high number of runs of the model. In order to reduce the number of computer experiments, many other approaches known as …
MAntRA combines machine learning and Bayesian methods for time-dependent reliability analysis of unknown systems.
problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with unknown governing physics.
method Combines machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and stochastic integration to discover and analyze SDEs from data.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of MAntRA on three numerical examples, indicating its potential for in-situ and heritage structure analysis.
Research tackles ML failure in non-similar data, introducing reliable algorithms.
problem Machine learning models fail in new data distributions.
method Formal definition, assumptions, and simple algorithms for reliable generalization.
result Introduction of algorithms providing more reliable generalization.
DeepONet accelerates reliability analysis of stochastic nonlinear systems.
problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with stochastic forcing.
method DeepONet, a novel operator network, learns function-to-function mappings.
result DeepONet efficiently and accurately predicts system responses.
Active Kriging Monte Carlo simulation method with conformal certification for failure probability estimation
problem Failure probability estimation in structural reliability analysis
method Active learning framework with conformal prediction
result Improved uncertainty quantification and reliability of failure probability estimates
New framework tackles high-dimensional reliability analysis using surrogate models and active subspaces.
problem High computational cost and curse of dimensionality in reliability analysis of high-dimensional systems.
method Sparse Active Subspace (SAS) algorithm for identifying low-dimensional manifolds and constructing efficient surrogate models.
result Proposed framework significantly improves accuracy and efficiency of reliability analysis compared to existing methods.
The AAA credit rating may have been overly precise given available data.
problem The feasibility of achieving high reliability targets for structured credit products.
method Bayes' theorem and historical data analysis.
result High reliability targets for structured products require substantial statistical discrimination, which was not achievable with available data.
Bayesian methods detect clusters in noisy data more reliably.
problem Noisy data distorts traditional clustering methods, leading to unreliable results.
method Bayesian community detection using Minimum Description Length principle.
result Bayesian methods identify more robust clusters in noisy data.
Interpretable Neural Approximation of Stochastic Reaction Dynamics with Guaranteed Reliabilityq-bio.MN
DeepSKA provides interpretable, reliable neural approximations for SRNs.
problem Estimating expected outputs in SRNs is computationally challenging and unreliable.
method Jointly achieves interpretability, reliability, and computational gains with DeepSKA.
result Delivers accurate predictions and substantial efficiency improvements across SRNs.
Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.
problem Systematic underestimation of total predictive uncertainty in landmark localization.
method Conformal prediction framework for multi-output regression, generating flexible prediction regions.
result Methods outperform existing approaches in validity and efficiency across 2D and 3D datasets.
The aim of the present paper is to develop a strategy for solving reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems that remains applicable when the performance models are expensive to evaluate. Starting with the premise that simulation-based approaches are not affordable for such problems, and that the most-probab…
A central machine is interested in estimating the underlying structure of a sparse Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) from datasets distributed across multiple local machines. The local machines can communicate with the central machine through a wireless multiple access channel. In this paper, we are interested in designin…
In variable or graph selection problems, finding a right-sized model or controlling the number of false positives is notoriously difficult. Recently, a meta-algorithm called Stability Selection was proposed that can provide reliable finite-sample control of the number of false positives. Its benefits were demonstrated …
We consider the problems of detection and localization of a contiguous block of weak activation in a large matrix, from a small number of noisy, possibly adaptive, compressive (linear) measurements. This is closely related to the problem of compressed sensing, where the task is to estimate a sparse vector using a small…
CapOptix uses options theory to price capacity in electricity markets.
problem Traditional capacity market designs fail to account for risk and price shocks.
method Interprets capacity commitments as reliability options and uses Markov Regime Switching Process.
result CapOptix provides more accurate pricing of capacity premia compared to existing mechanisms.
k-Rater reliability corrects under-reporting of aggregated data reliability.
problem Under-reporting of data reliability in aggregated ratings.
method k-Rater reliability (kRR) as a multi-rater generalization of IRR.
result kRR provides a more accurate measure of reliability for aggregated datasets.
An increasing amount of collected data are high-dimensional multi-way arrays (tensors), and it is crucial for efficient learning algorithms to exploit this tensorial structure as much as possible. The ever-present curse of dimensionality for high dimensional data and the loss of structure when vectorizing the data moti…
The paper proposes a method to improve random forest classification accuracy by weighting trees based on their decision path reliability.
problem Random forests' uniform voting fails to correct errors in regions where incorrect tree representations outnumber correct ones.
method The paper introduces using the structural pattern of each tree's decision path as an instance-adaptive reliability signal to identify and weight more reliable trees.
result Using the proposed method yields a statistically significant accuracy improvement over RF on 36 binary classification benchmarks.
DeepTrust uses NLP to quickly identify and verify financial anomalies on Twitter.
problem Unreliable information in financial markets leading to unexpected price changes.
method Machine learning for anomaly detection, NLP for information retrieval and reliability assessment.
result DeepTrust outperforms baseline classifiers in identifying financial anomalies.
New method relaxes optimization problems to find solutions more reliably.
problem Optimizing functions with stochastic or non-differentiable elements.
method Using measure theory and Fourier analysis to impose structure on optimization problems.
result Consistency of optimal values, Lipschitzness of gradients, and convexity are key traits for fast and reliable optimization.
TabPFN's internal geometry topology correlates with dataset reliability.
problem Understanding TabPFN's behavior on structurally difficult tabular geometries.
method Using zigzag persistent homology, studying TabPFN's internal representations on synthetic tabular tasks with known topology.
result Topology of TabPFN's internal representation geometry is strongly associated with dataset-level reliability.
The ACCRU framework improves probabilistic forecasts by capturing input-dependent uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in deterministic predictions, especially for skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
method Neural network trained with a loss function balancing accuracy and reliability to learn input-dependent, non-Gaussian uncertainty distributions.
result Improves probabilistic forecasts relative to existing methods, capturing skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
Unified framework for causal inference with reliable uncertainty quantification.
problem Causal inference under unobserved confounding with unreliable uncertainty quantification.
method Deconditional Gaussian Process (DGP) framework for uncertainty-aware causal learning.
result Strong predictive performance and informative uncertainty quantification.
POTA improves short text clustering by generating reliable pseudo-labels.
problem Limited discriminative representations in short texts.
method POTA uses instance-level attention and optimal transport for semantic consistency and cluster structure.
result POTA outperforms state-of-the-art methods in short text clustering.
Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates, typically the structure is learned via a greedy optimization procedure. This restri…
Structural reliability methods aim at computing the probability of failure of systems with respect to some prescribed performance functions. In modern engineering such functions usually resort to running an expensive-to-evaluate computational model (e.g. a finite element model). In this respect simulation methods, whic…
Study evaluates machine learning methods for large-scale network reliability, revealing ANN's and PR's performance.
problem Tackles the NP-hard problem of approximating binary-state network reliability for large-scale systems.
method Compares 20 machine learning methods across three reliability regimes and evaluates their performance on large-scale networks.
result Large-scale networks with arc reliability ≥ 0.9 exhibit near-unity system reliability, enabling computational simplifications.
STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.
problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.
Paper explores physics-informed deep learning for system reliability assessment.
problem Limited study on deep learning for system reliability assessment.
method Physics-informed deep learning approach for system reliability assessment.
result Physics-informed deep learning can alleviate computational challenges and combine measurement data and mathematical models.
Feature selection can facilitate the learning of mixtures of discrete random variables as they arise, e.g. in crowdsourcing tasks. Intuitively, not all workers are equally reliable but, if the less reliable ones could be eliminated, then learning should be more robust. By analogy with Gaussian mixture models, we seek a…
New metric assesses reliability of AI explanations.
problem Unreliable AI explanations under realistic conditions.
method Explanation Reliability Index (ERI) metrics quantifying stability under four axioms.
result Widespread reliability failures in popular explanation methods.
Quantum model improves safety in machine learning.
problem Improving safety and robustness in machine learning models.
method Variational quantum classifier with amplitude encoding and SAFE-AI metrics.
result Quantum model provides competitive performance and improved robustness.
A new score measures data reliability without ground truth.
problem Assessing reliability of datasets without access to ground truth.
method Define ground-truth-based orderings and propose Gram determinant score.
result Gram determinant score effectively captures data quality across diverse observation processes.
We consider the problem of learning causal relationships from relational data. Existing approaches rely on queries to a relational conditional independence (RCI) oracle to establish and orient causal relations in such a setting. In practice, queries to a RCI oracle have to be replaced by reliable tests for RCI against …
Empirical error estimates improve graph sparsification reliability.
problem Uncertainty in sparsification error limits downstream computations reliability.
method Data-driven approach to compute empirical error estimates.
result Empirical error estimates provide theoretical guarantees and are computationally feasible.
Measurement noise limits the advantage of nonlinear models over linear models in biomedical prediction
problem Nonlinear models vs. linear models in biomedical prediction
method Measurement reliability
result Measurement noise blurs the population-optimal predictor
BeMF improves recommendation reliability in recommender systems.
problem Improving reliability in recommender systems beyond accuracy.
method Bernoulli Matrix Factorization (BeMF) for model-based collaborative filtering.
result BeMF selects more reliable predictions, improving recommendation quality.
Inner Market as a "Black Box"cond-mat.dis-nn
Each market has its singular characteristic. Its inner structure is directly responsible for the observed distributions of returns though this fact is widely overlooked. Big orders lead to doubling the tails. The behavior of a market maker with many or few ``friends'' who can reliably loan money or stock to him is quit…