Correlations and other collective phenomena in a schematic model of heterogeneous binary agents (individual spin-glass samples) are considered on the complete graph and also on 2d and 3d regular lattices. The system's stochastic dynamics is studied by numerical simulations. The dynamics is so slow that one can meaningf…
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48 results for “strong correlation”
The paper shows strong correlation between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance in various machine learning models.
problem Understanding reliability of machine learning systems in unseen environments.
method Empirical analysis of various models and distribution shifts on CIFAR-10, ImageNet, and other datasets.
result Out-of-distribution performance is strongly correlated with in-distribution performance across different models and distribution shifts.
Time-scale dependence of correlations among foreign currenciescond-mat.stat-mech
For the purpose of elucidating the correlation among currencies, we analyze daily and high-resolution data of foreign exchange rates. There is strong correlation for pairs of currencies of geographically near countries. We show that there is a time delay of order less than a minute between two currency markets having a…
Study on W2S generalization with spurious correlations, proposing remedies.
problem Understanding and improving W2S generalization with spurious correlations.
method Theoretical analysis and algorithmic remedies for W2S fine-tuning.
result W2S always happens with sufficient pseudolabels when group fractions match, but may fail otherwise.
We investigate the properties of correlation based networks originating from economic complex systems, such as the network of stocks traded at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The weaker links (low correlation) of the system are found to contribute to the overall connectivity of the network significantly more than t…
Develops correlation number for specific potentials and Hitchin representations.
problem Analyzing correlation numbers for potentials with entropy gaps and Hitchin representations.
method Defines a correlation number for pairs of cusped Hitchin representations and explores its connection to the Manhattan curve.
result Establishes a connection between the correlation number and the Manhattan curve, revealing rigidity properties.
Study reveals strong price correlations between major and alt-coins.
problem Unclear tight relations between cryptocoins trading prices.
method Investigated coin-price correlation trends over two years.
result Strong correlation patterns between main and alt-coins.
Domino effect for world market fluctuationscond-mat.stat-mech
In order to emphasize cross-correlations for fluctuations in major market places, series of up and down spins are built from financial data. Patterns frequencies are measured, and statistical tests performed. Strong cross-correlations are emphasized, proving that market moves are collective behaviors.
CAKD framework optimizes knowledge transfer by focusing on influential components of distillation.
problem Balancing and optimizing knowledge transfer in distillation models.
method Decouple KL divergence into BCD, SCD, and WCD; prioritize influential components.
result CAKD framework consistently outperforms baseline across diverse models and datasets.
Online algorithm detects and removes spurious features for strong generalization.
problem Predictive models learn spurious correlations from incomplete data.
method Online continual learning algorithm that detects and removes spurious features.
result Algorithm converges to solutions with strong generalization.
Provable Alternating Gradient Descent for Non-negative Matrix Factorization with Strong Correlationscs.LG
Non-negative matrix factorization is a basic tool for decomposing data into the feature and weight matrices under non-negativity constraints, and in practice is often solved in the alternating minimization framework. However, it is unclear whether such algorithms can recover the ground-truth feature matrix when the wei…
Lasso with Latents: Efficient Estimation, Covariate Rescaling, and Computational-Statistical Gapsstat.ML
Lasso performs poorly with correlated covariates, but a rescaled approach fixes this.
problem Lasso's performance degrades with correlated covariates, leading to inefficiency.
method Proposes a rescaling method for Lasso to handle correlated covariates effectively.
result Rescaled Lasso provides strong provable guarantees for estimation with quadratic sample complexity.
We prove exponential decay of correlations for Hölder continuous observables with respect to any Gibbs measure for contact Anosov flows admitting Pesin sets with exponentially small tails. This is achieved by establishing strong spectral estimates for certain Ruelle transfer operators for such flows.
We price weather-contingent options by use of Monte Carlo simulations. After calibrating the models to fit quoted prices, we analyze bid-ask spreads in terms of correlations across markets. Results are presented for a double-trigger Weather vs. Natural Gas call option.
In the work, a comparative correlation and fractal analysis of time series of Bitcoin crypto currency rate and community activities in social networks associated with Bitcoin was conducted. A significant correlation between the Bitcoin rate and the community activities was detected. Time series fractal analysis indicat…
The European Union and Eurozone present an inquisitive case of strongly interconnected network with high degree of dependence among nodes. This research focused on investment network of European Union and its major trading partners for specific time period 2001 to 2014. The changing investment patterns within Eurozone …
We consider a few quantities that characterize trading on a stock market in a fixed time interval: logarithmic returns, volatility, trading activity (i.e., the number of transactions), and volume traded. We search for the power-law cross-correlations among these quantities aggregated over different time units from 1 mi…
Forecast future volatilities and correlations based on current trends.
problem Predict future volatilities and correlations in financial markets.
method Use cubic and quadratic polynomials of current trend strengths.
result Accurate quantification of trend effects on volatilities and correlations.
With the random matrix theory, we study the spatial structure of the Chinese stock market, American stock market and global market indices. After taking into account the signs of the components in the eigenvectors of the cross-correlation matrix, we detect the subsector structure of the financial systems. The positive …
The diagonal effect of orders is well documented in different markets, which states that orders are more likely to be followed by orders of the same aggressiveness and implies the presence of short-term correlations in order flows. Based on the order flow data of 43 Chinese stocks, we investigate if there are long-rang…
Using the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of correlations matrices of some of the main financial market indices in the world, we show that high volatility of markets is directly linked with strong correlations between them. This means that markets tend to behave as one during great crashes. In order to do so, we investiga…
Rationality of conformally invariant local correlation functions on compactified Minkowski spacehep-th
Rationality of the Wightman functions is proven to follow from energy positivity, locality and a natural condition of global conformal invariance (GCI) in any number D of space-time dimensions. The GCI condition allows to treat correlation functions as generalized sections of a vector bundle over the compactification o…
Using the -norm to regularize the estimation of the parameter vector of a linear model leads to an unstable estimator when covariates are highly correlated. In this paper, we introduce a new penalty function which takes into account the correlation of the design matrix to stabilize the estimation. This norm, ca…
We decompose the evidence lower bound to show the existence of a term measuring the total correlation between latent variables. We use this to motivate our -TCVAE (Total Correlation Variational Autoencoder), a refinement of the state-of-the-art -VAE objective for learning disentangled representations, requiring n…
The cross-correlation matrix of daily returns of stock market indices in a diverse set of 37 countries worldwide was analyzed. Comparison of the spectrum of this matrix with predictions of random matrix theory provides an empirical evidence of strong interactions between individual economies, as manifested by three lar…
PortBench benchmarks LLMs for PM, revealing their weaknesses in diversification and robustness.
problem Lack of benchmarks for LLM-driven portfolio management, especially in diversification and robustness.
method Developed a comprehensive benchmark with a static QA dataset and a dynamic allocation pipeline, introducing metrics to evaluate correlation and robustness.
result 90% of LLMs fail to outperform a basic equal-weight allocation, highlighting their limitations in diversification and robustness.
We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the sectorial indices movement and the correlations among them. Our analysis shows signif…
We introduce a mean-reverting SDE whose solution is naturally defined on the space of correlation matrices. This SDE can be seen as an extension of the well-known Wright-Fisher diffusion. We provide conditions that ensure weak and strong uniqueness of the SDE, and describe its ergodic limit. We also shed light on a use…
The u-plane integral is the contribution of the Coulomb branch to correlation functions of N=2 gauge theory on a compact four-manifold. We consider the u-plane integral for correlators of point and surface observables of topologically twisted theories with gauge group SU(2), for an arbitrary four-manifold with (b1,b2+)…
New model shows weak teachers can help strong students learn even with imperfect labels.
problem Improving strong student's performance with weak teacher's imperfect pseudolabels.
method Stylized overparameterized spiked covariance model with Gaussian covariates, proving two phases of generalization.
result Provable successful and random guessing phases of strong student's generalization.
Financial data has been extensively studied for correlations using Pearson's cross-correlation coefficient ρ as the point of departure. We employ an estimator based on recurrence plots --- the Correlation of Probability of Recurrence (CPR) --- to analyze connections between nine stock indices spread worldwide. We sugge…
Proposes a model to detect changes in multivariate time series data.
problem Detect abrupt changes in multivariate time series data considering dependencies and correlations.
method Integrates graph neural networks into an encoder-decoder framework to model correlation structures and dynamics.
result Advantageous performance on CPD tasks over strong baselines, classifying changes as correlation or independent.
Hyperbolic volume correlates with chemical properties of fullerenes.
problem Understanding the relationship between fullerene structure and chemical properties.
method Calculated hyperbolic volumes of fullerenes and correlated them with topological indices.
result Hyperbolic volume correlates with Wiener index and other topological indices of fullerenes.
We apply a recently developed wavelet based approach to characterize the correlation and scaling properties of non-stationary financial time series. This approach is local in nature and it makes use of wavelets from the Daubechies family for detrending purpose. The built-in variable windows in wavelet transform makes t…
PROD method improves high-dimensional regression by handling strong correlations.
problem Violation of Irrepresentable Condition in LASSO for high-dimensional data.
method PROD procedure based on orthogonal decomposition of design matrix.
result PROD enhances performance of high-dimensional penalized regression.
Correlated Random Measuresstat.ML
We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models are usually built from completely random measures, a Poisson-process based c…
Gold, Oil, and Stocksq-fin.ST
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations across a number of investmen…
Unified Bayesian framework for efficient off-policy evaluation and learning in large action spaces.
problem Efficient off-policy evaluation and learning in systems with correlated actions.
method Unified Bayesian framework with structured priors and sDM approach.
result sDM leverages action correlations without compromising computational efficiency.
We give a detailed account of correlations between credit sector/quality and treasury curve factors, using the robust framework of the Barclays POINT Global Risk Model. Consistent with earlier studies, we find a strong negative correlation between sector spreads and rate shifts. However, we also observe that the correl…
Multi-output Gaussian processes for inverse uncertainty quantification in neutron noise analysisstat.CO
The paper tackles inverse uncertainty quantification in neutron noise analysis.
problem Uncertainty in estimating material properties from noisy neutron correlation measurements.
method Surrogate models and inverse uncertainty quantification to account for measurement error and model bias.
result Improved prediction of neutron correlations and quantification of uncertainties.
Detailed study of the financial empirical correlation matrix of the 30 companies comprised by DAX within the period of the last 11 years, using the time-window of 30 trading days, is presented. This allows to clearly identify a nontrivial time-dependence of the resulting correlations. In addition, as a rule, the draw d…
Dynamics of correlations in the stock marketcond-mat.stat-mech
Financial empirical correlation matrices of all the companies which both, the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) and the Dow Jones comprised during the time period 1990-1999 are studied using a time window of a limited, either 30 or 60, number of trading days. This allows a clear identification of the resulting correlations. O…
We examine the correlation of the limit price with the order book, when a limit order comes. We analyzed the Rebuild Order Book of Stock Exchange Electronic Trading Service, which is the centralized order book market of London Stock Exchange. As a result, the limit price is broadly distributed around the best price acc…
A new screening method for high-dimensional data reduces computational cost.
problem Challenges in variable selection for ultrahigh-dimensional linear regression.
method Ordering absolute sample ridge partial correlations to screen variables.
result The method provides sure screening property without strong assumptions.
We analyze the Standard & Poor's 500 stock market index from the last 22 years. The probability density function of price returns exhibits two well-distinguished regimes with self-similar structure: the first one displays strong super-diffusion together with short-time correlations, and the second one corresponds to we…
Dynamic relationship between XRP price and correlation tensor spectra of the transaction networkq-fin.ST
Study shows XRP price correlates with transaction network metrics.
problem Understanding the relationship between cryptoasset price and network metrics.
method Analysis of correlation tensor spectra, random matrix theory comparison, singular values investigation.
result Distinct correlation between XRP price and singular values during bubble and non-bubble periods.
Paper studies vertex correspondence recovery in correlated graphs with node features.
problem Recovering hidden vertex correspondence between two correlated graphs with observed edge weights and node features.
method Introduced featured correlated Gaussian Wigner model and proposed QPAlign algorithm for quadratic programming relaxation.
result Characterized optimal information-theoretic thresholds for exact and partial recovery of latent mapping.
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have emerged as a rich source of genetic clues into disease biology, and they have revealed strong genetic correlations among many diseases and traits. Some of these genetic correlations may reflect causal relationships. We developed a method to quantify causal relationships betwe…