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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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126253379505 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stress prediction

A hybrid model combines diffusion and neural operator methods for stress prediction in hyperelastic materials.

problem Challenges in predicting stress fields in hyperelastic materials with complex microstructures.
method A hybrid surrogate framework combining a conditional denoising diffusion probabilistic model (cDDPM) and a modified DeepONet.
result The hybrid model consistently outperforms traditional methods by one to two orders of magnitude.

With the growing popularity of wearable devices, the ability to utilize physiological data collected from these devices to predict the wearer's mental state such as mood and stress suggests great clinical applications, yet such a task is extremely challenging. In this paper, we present a general platform for personaliz…

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural networks predict flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulence.

problem Predicting flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulent flows using limited experimental data.
method Convolutional neural networks trained on wall-normal velocity and pressure data.
result Neural networks accurately predict flow and elastic stresses, especially during low-drag events.

Study predicts shear stress in compound channels using data mining and machine learning.

problem Predicting shear stress distribution in symmetric compound channels.
method Conducted experiments to measure shear stress. Used data mining and machine learning models (RF, M5P, RC, KStar, AR) to predict.
result Random Forest (RF) model showed highest accuracy with R2=0.9.

Bayesian neural networks predict stress fields and uncertainty in materials.

problem Uncertainty in stress field predictions for complex materials.
method Modified Bayesian U-net architecture with three inference algorithms.
result High accuracy predictions and interpretable uncertainty estimates.

Narrative disclosures in 10-K filings improve bankruptcy prediction beyond accounting ratios.

problem Traditional bankruptcy prediction models rely on accounting ratios, which may not capture early warning signals.
method Developed a PB Stress Score based on distress-specific language in 10-K narratives, evaluated against accounting and dictionary benchmarks.
result Adding the PB Stress Score increases AUC from 0.8323 to 0.9019 and improves top-decile bankruptcy capture from 44.12% to 64.71%.

Study uses neural networks to predict wall quantities in turbulent flows.

problem Predicting wall quantities in turbulent open channel flows.
method Training convolutional neural networks (FCN) and a proposed R-Net architecture to predict wall-shear-stress and wall pressure.
result R-Net architecture performs better and predicts wall quantities with around 10% error.

Proposes measuring fairness through multiple stakeholder-curated stress tests.

problem Limited power of rigid fairness metrics and lack of stakeholder involvement in fairness discussions.
method Shift focus from fairness metrics to stress tests curated by stakeholders.
result Machine's performance under multiple stress tests reflects fairness.

Paper proposes MAST to identify stress conditions in forecasting models.

problem Improving reliability and transparency of univariate forecasting models under stress.
method Meta-learning and data augmentation approach to predict stress conditions.
result MAST identifies conditions leading to large errors in forecasting models.

Availability of an explainable deep learning model that can be applied to practical real world scenarios and in turn, can consistently, rapidly and accurately identify specific and minute traits in applicable fields of biological sciences, is scarce. Here we consider one such real world example viz., accurate identific…

2017-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

News is a pertinent source of information on financial risks and stress factors, which nevertheless is challenging to harness due to the sparse and unstructured nature of natural text. We propose an approach based on distributional semantics and deep learning with neural networks to model and link text to a scarce set …

2015-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Monte-Carlo method assesses uncertainty in shear stress entropy models.

problem Uncertainty in evaluating shear stress entropy models remains an open question.
method Bayesian Monte-Carlo (BMC) uncertainty method to evaluate four entropy models.
result FOCB statistic index determines certainty of entropy models in shear stress estimation.

The paper develops a method to predict the latent deterioration phase in limit order books before stress is observed.

problem Limit order books can transition rapidly from stable to stressed conditions, making it difficult to detect the latent deterioration phase.
method The paper formalizes a three-regime causal data-generating process and proposes a trigger-based detector combining MAX aggregation of complementary signal channels, a rising-edge condition, and adaptive thresholding.
result The proposed method achieves mean lead-time of +18.6 timesteps with perfect precision and moderate coverage, outperforming classical change-point and microstructure baselines.

Model predicts EMF of Ni-Mn-Ga MSMA, improved with GRNN.

problem Predicting the electromotive force (EMF) of Ni-Mn-Ga MSMA under various conditions.
method Developed a new constitutive model for Ni-Mn-Ga single crystals, incorporating magnetic easy axis offset. Used GRNN to enhance model predictions.
result GRNN improves model predictions of EMF, capturing more experimental features.

Modeling aortic wall inhomogeneities to predict dissection risks.

problem Predicting localized stress accumulations in the aortic wall due to inhomogeneities.
method Stochastic constitutive model with random field realizations, coupled with a convolutional neural network surrogate.
result The neural network accurately predicts stress distributions and assesses uncertainty in aortic wall stress.

SYNTHONY selects tabular synthesizers based on stress profiling and user intent.

problem Non-uniform performance of tabular generative models across datasets.
method Stress profiling and intent-conditioned tabular synthesis selection.
result Meta-features predict synthesizer performance, improving selection accuracy.

The paper develops GPR models for hyperelastic materials, improving accuracy and rotational invariance.

problem Modeling stress tensors of hyperelastic materials with fewer training examples and higher accuracy.
method Developed three approaches: direct stress tensor modeling, embedding rotational invariance, and recovering strain-energy density.
result Improved GPR models achieve higher accuracy and rotational invariance with fewer training examples.

Method generates plausible financial stress scenarios using large deviations.

problem Misleading risk management by overlooking or overemphasizing implausible scenarios.
method Exploits large-deviations principle to concentrate risk factors near most likely stress configurations.
result Can generate informative stress scenarios even with limited historical data.

The paper tackles spurious correlations in machine learning models and introduces counterfactual invariance.

problem Spurious correlations in machine learning models that depend on irrelevant parts of input data.
method The paper uses causal inference to stress test models and introduces counterfactual invariance as a formal requirement.
result Counterfactual invariance is a requirement for models to be robust to irrelevant perturbations in input data.

Paper uses interbank contagion to predict U.S. bank defaults, finding it highly explanatory.

problem Predicting U.S. bank defaults using interbank contagion.
method Regression and neural network models were used to analyze U.S. commercial bank data.
result Interbank contagion is highly explanatory in default prediction, often outperforming established metrics.

Model predicts asset prices from initial shocks using neural networks.

problem Missing data on actual asset liquidations limits model calibration.
method Dual neural network structure, first stage maps shocks to liquidations, second stage uses liquidations to predict prices.
result Model accurately predicts equilibrium prices from initial shocks without liquidation data.

Simulating dynamic rupture propagation is challenging due to the uncertainties involved in the underlying physics of fault slip, stress conditions, and frictional properties of the fault. A trial and error approach is often used to determine the unknown parameters describing rupture, but running many simulations usuall…

2019-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts operational risk using HMMs with economic covariates.

problem Predicting operational risk losses with time-dependent structures and economic covariates.
method Hidden Markov Models extended to multivariate observations with an auxiliary economic variable.
result Calibration results show relevance of including economic covariates.

Develops a method for reverse stress testing in multivariate scenarios.

problem Reconstructing a multivariate stress scenario from a single exogenous shock.
method Maximizing conditional density under three distributional assumptions.
result Simulated scenarios are economically coherent and reproduce risk-reward asymmetry.

Develops a method for stress testing correlations of financial portfolios.

problem Stress testing correlations in financial asset portfolios.
method Parametric representation of correlations, Bayesian variable selection, joint distribution of stress scenarios.
result Inference of worst-case correlation scenarios using stress tests.

Credit risk stress tests can misrepresent default probabilities due to inconsistent parameterization.

problem Misleading default probability projections in credit risk stress tests.
method Analysis of credit risk stress testing models and their parameterization.
result Current portfolios tend to align with through-the-cycle portfolios, leading to spurious default rate projections.

Machine learning improves financial stress testing in Indian markets.

problem Conventional stress testing limitations in Indian financial markets.
method Dimensionality reduction, latent factor modeling, Variational Autoencoders, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Improved flexibility, robustness, and realism in financial stress testing.

Paper defines p-biharmonic submanifolds and stress tensors in space forms.

problem Characterizing p-biharmonic submanifolds in space forms.
method Provided necessary and sufficient conditions for p-biharmonic submanifolds and properties of stress p-bienergy tensors.
result New properties of stress p-bienergy tensors for p-biharmonic submanifolds.