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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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6.3%12.5%18.8%25.0% · Oct 199319922001200920172026
48 results for storm analysis

New method clusters hydrological and sediment data for storm event analysis.

problem Analyzing storm events for water quality constituents like turbidity.
method Multivariate time series clustering of river discharge and sediment data.
result Clusters differ from 2-D hysteresis loop classifications.

ST-STORM separates semantic and appearance features for robust representation learning.

problem Traditional SSL methods fail to capture appearance cues in critical applications.
method Hybrid SSL framework with two latent streams, Content and Style, disentangled through gating mechanisms.
result The Style branch effectively isolates complex appearance phenomena without degrading semantic performance.

Improved neural network predicts tropical storm trajectories and Bayesian intervals.

problem Accurately predicting the trajectories of tropical storms to prevent damage.
method Developed an improved RNN model with dropout to predict Bayesian intervals.
result Neural network dropout values significantly affect prediction accuracy and intervals.

Study examines equity in post-Snow Uri recovery, finds disparities.

problem Disproportionate impacts on vulnerable populations during recovery.
method County and census tract level data analysis, satellite imagery, statistical procedures.
result Negative associations between non-Hispanic whites and outages, positive associations with certain demographic variables.

Deep learning predicts tropical cyclone tracks efficiently.

problem Forecasting tropical cyclone trajectories with high precision and speed.
method Fused neural network model using past trajectory data and reanalysis atmospheric images.
result Deep learning can provide valuable and complementary predictions for tropical cyclone tracks.

Score matching method improves density estimation for truncated data on manifolds.

problem Density estimation for truncated data on manifolds with intractable normalising constant.
method Truncated score matching extended to Riemannian manifolds with boundary.
result Score matching estimator approximates true parameter values with low error.

FCNv2 robustness tested under noise and random initial conditions.

problem Assessing AI weather forecasting model robustness to input noise.
method Two experiments with varying noise levels and random initial conditions.
result FCNv2 preserves hurricane features under low to moderate noise, but underestimates intensity and persistence.

Improved sample complexity for actor-critic algorithms in MDPs.

problem Achieving optimal policies with limited data in reinforcement learning.
method Single-timescale actor-critic with STORM (STOchastic Recursive Momentum) and a sample buffer.
result Optimal sample complexity of O(ε2)O(ε^{-2}) for εε-optimal policies.

Variance reduction has emerged in recent years as a strong competitor to stochastic gradient descent in non-convex problems, providing the first algorithms to improve upon the converge rate of stochastic gradient descent for finding first-order critical points. However, variance reduction techniques typically require c…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper is a follow-up to our joint paper with I. Agol, P. Storm and K. Whyte "Finiteness of arithmetic hyperbolic reflection groups". The main purpose is to investigate the effective side of the method developed there and its possible application to the problem of classification of arithmetic hyperbolic reflection …

2010-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study character varieties of a Coxeter group in hyperbolic and Anti-de Sitter spaces.

problem Characterize the geometric transitions of a Coxeter group's holonomy representations.
method Analysis of rigidity properties and character varieties in hyperbolic and Anti-de Sitter spaces.
result Description of singularity at the collapse of a right-angled cuboctahedron.

Novel approach uses ENN for UQ in gust predictions, reducing RMSE and improving confidence.

problem Reducing bias and uncertainty in wind gust predictions.
method Evidential Neural Network (ENN) with Explainable AI.
result 47% reduction in RMSE, 95% coverage of observed gusts at 179 out of 266 stations.

Study calibrated geometry in hyperkähler cones and their related spaces.

problem Characterize submanifolds in hyperkähler cones and related spaces.
method Systematic study of calibrated geometry in hyperkähler cones, 3-Sasakian manifolds, and twistor spaces.
result Obtain new characterizations of complex Lagrangian and complex isotropic cones in hyperkähler cones.

We prove that for any closed surface of genus at least four, and any punctured surface of genus at least two, the space of ending laminations is connected. A theorem of E. Klarreich implies that this space is homeomorphic to the Gromov boundary of the complex of curves. It follows that the boundary of the complex of cu…

2008-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The Hessian of the renormalized volume of geometrically finite hyperbolic 33-manifolds without rank-11 cusps, computed at the hyperbolic metric gg with totally geodesic boundary of the convex core, is shown to be a strictly positive bilinear form on the tangent space to Teichmüller space. The metric gg is known fro…

2015-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models still lack of giving accurate forecasts everywhere. This study aims to explore arti…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Following the previous work of Nikulin and Agol, Belolipetsky, Storm, and Whyte it is known that there exist only finitely many (totally real) number fields that can serve as fields of definition of arithmetic hyperbolic reflection groups. We prove a new bound on the degree nkn_k of these fields in dimension 3: nkn_k d…

2012-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum method speeds up risk estimation for insurance tail risks.

problem Sample-sparsity in classical Monte Carlo methods for tail risk pricing.
method Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) with Grover amplification.
result Quantum method achieves convergence approaching order reciprocal N, enabling high-resolution tail estimation within practical budgets.

We survey recent work on the dynamics of the outer automorphism group of a word hyperbolic group on spaces of (conjugacy classes of) representations ofthe group into a semi-simple Lie group G. All these results are motivated by the fact that the mapping class group of a closed surface acts properly discontinuously on t…

2013-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

2L-FUSE enhances feature sparsity through kernel learning.

problem Sparsity and feature selection in regression tasks.
method 2-Layered kernel machines for learning a shape matrix and feature direction identification.
result Minimal yet informative feature sets are identified without losing predictive performance.

AI helps forecasters understand TC convective evolution before intensification.

problem Challenges in extracting scientific insights from complex TC data.
method Combining AI prediction algorithms and classical statistical inference.
result Identifies patterns in TC convective structure leading to intensification.

To a knot in 3-space, one can associate a sequence of Laurent polynomials, whose nnth term is the nnth colored Jones polynomial. The paper is concerned with the asymptotic behavior of the value of the nnth colored Jones polynomial at $e^{\a/n}$, when $\a$ is a fixed complex number and nn tends to infinity. We analy…

2005-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Big data trend has enforced the data-centric systems to have continuous fast data streams. In recent years, real-time analytics on stream data has formed into a new research field, which aims to answer queries about what-is-happening-now with a negligible delay. The real challenge with real-time stream data processing …

2016-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes faster method to find local minima in nonconvex optimization.

problem Escaping saddle points and finding local minima in nonconvex optimization.
method LENA (Last stEp shriNkAge) framework for faster perturbed stochastic gradient methods.
result LENA finds (ε,εH)(ε, ε_{H})-approximate local minima within ildeO(ε3+εH6) ilde O(ε^{-3} + ε_{H}^{-6}) evaluations.

This paper contains a purely topological theorem and a geometric application. The topological theorem states that if M is a simple closed orientable 3-manifold such that π_1(M) contains a genus g surface group and H_1(M;Z/2Z) has rank at least 4g-1 then M contains a closed incompressible surface of genus at most g. Thi…

2005-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a knot in 3-space, one can associate a sequence of Laurrent polynomials, whose nnth term is the nnth colored Jones polynomial. The Generalized Volume Conjecture states that the value of the nn-th colored Jones polynomial at $\exp(2 πi \a/n)$ is a sequence of complex numbers that grows exponentially, for a fixe…

2005-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce and study some deformations of complete finite-volume hyperbolic four-manifolds that may be interpreted as four-dimensional analogues of Thurston's hyperbolic Dehn filling. We construct in particular an analytic path of complete, finite-volume cone four-manifolds MtM_t that interpolates between two hyperbo…

2016-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We consider the case of having many labeled observations from one distribution, $P_…

2019-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph Attention Networks predict power outage durations from natural disasters.

problem Accurately predicting power outage durations from geospatial and weather data.
method Graph Attention Networks (GAT) for semi-supervised learning.
result GAT model outperforms existing methods by 2% - 15% in accuracy.

Arctic coastal morphology is governed by multiple factors, many of which are affected by climatological changes. As the season length for shorefast ice decreases and temperatures warm permafrost soils, coastlines are more susceptible to erosion from storm waves. Such coastal erosion is a concern, since the majority of …

2017-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗