Study examines how economic policy uncertainty impacts stock markets.
problem Dynamic relationship between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets.
method Used symmetric thermal optimal path (TOPS) method.
result Different interaction patterns observed in emerging and developed markets.
Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.
problem Impact of State Bank of Pakistan's monetary policy communications on stock market.
method Sentiment analysis and high frequency stock market returns analysis.
result Positive or negative tone in SBP communications affects stock returns positively or negatively.
This study improves stock price prediction by incorporating anticipated macroeconomic policy changes.
problem Improving accuracy in stock price prediction.
method Incorporates future expected macroeconomic policy changes and historical stock prices.
result Our method outperforms conventional approaches with an RMSE of 1.61 compared to 1.75.
Study shows economic policy uncertainty increases stock market crash risk during pandemic.
problem Impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market crashes during the pandemic.
method Used GARCH-S model to estimate daily skewness as a proxy for crash risk, analyzed data from US stock market.
result Significantly negative correlation between economic policy uncertainty and stock market crash risk, stronger during pandemic.
This study shows how trade policy uncertainty affects stock-T bill correlations.
problem The impact of trade policy uncertainty on stock-T bill relationships.
method Extended Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) framework incorporating exogenous variables.
result Trade policy uncertainty significantly alters stock-T bill correlations, especially under specific political conditions.
This paper uses deep reinforcement learning to optimize stock portfolios considering transaction costs and risks.
problem Optimizing stock portfolios with transaction costs and risks.
method Formulated stock portfolio optimization as a reinforcement learning problem, applied DDPG, GDPG, and PPO algorithms, and used Wavelet Transform.
result DDPG and GDPG algorithms outperformed PPO in continuous action space.
New models analyze how ECB's unconventional policies affect stock market volatility.
problem Analyzing the impact of ECB's unconventional policies on stock market volatility.
method Developed MEM with Asymmetry and Policy effects (MAP) models to separate base volatility from policy effects.
result Significant improvement in forecasting power after Expanded Asset Purchase Programme implementation.
New approach improves stock policies for paper companies, reducing waste and costs.
problem Improving stock policies for integrated paper companies.
method Developed a new approach to determine near-optimal stock policies.
result Reduction in total waste by 9% and logistics costs.
Study finds dividend policy has no significant effect on IPO stock prices.
problem Impact of dividend policy on IPO price performance.
method Long-run performance statistics and GARCH model, dummy variable used.
result Dividend policy has no significant effect on IPO stock prices.
Examines how central bank policies affect stock markets and asset prices.
problem Understanding the impact of monetary policy on stock markets and asset prices.
method Used Taylor rule equations to analyze data from 1990 to 2020 for US and UK, testing with various econometric methods.
result Monetary policy can explain asset price volatility and output gap better than just inflation rate.
A deep learning strategy outperforms traditional methods in stocks portfolio management.
problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance using machine learning.
method Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient framework with neural networks.
result Compound annual return rate of 14.12% compared to 7 other strategies.
Skewness dispersion predicts future stock market returns, especially in months with monetary policy announcements.
problem Predicting future stock market returns using skewness dispersion.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firm-level realized skewness and stock market returns.
result Skewness dispersion is a significant predictor of future stock market returns, robust to various estimation methods.
Optimal vehicle repositioning policy found for shared mobility services.
problem Matching fixed supply with spatial customer demand under uncertain and correlated demand.
method Base-stock repositioning policy, asymptotic optimality, regret analysis, adaptive repositioning algorithm.
result Surrogate Optimization and Adaptive Repositioning algorithm achieves optimal regret of O ( n 2.5 T ) O(n^{2.5} \sqrt{T}) O ( n 2.5 T ) . This study uses deep learning to analyze stock market sentiment from financial forums.
problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through emotional analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training Bert model on financial corpus, using MIC for comparison.
result BERT model's emotional analysis of financial texts correlates with stock market fluctuations.
SHHK Stock Connect increases A-H share price premium, more for less efficient markets.
problem Impact of financial liberalization on cross-market pricing efficiency.
method Monthly data for 67 A-H dual-listed firms, system GMM dynamic models.
result Heterogeneous effect of SHHK Stock Connect on A-H price premium, more pronounced for less efficient markets.
This paper uses deep learning to analyze sentiment in financial forums and improve stock market prediction.
problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through sentiment analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training BERT model on financial corpus, and using maximum information coefficient.
result Sentiment features from financial text can reflect stock market fluctuations and improve prediction accuracy.
Study evaluates reinforcement learning for trading diverse stocks, finds Q-learning outperforms.
problem Evaluating reinforcement learning for trading diverse stocks.
method Implemented Value Iteration (VI), State-action-reward-state-action (SARSA), and Q-Learning on a diverse stock portfolio dataset.
result Q-learning performs better than VI and SARSA during testing, but performance varies based on market conditions.
This paper analyzes the quantitative relations between stock prices and quantities of tradable stock shares in Chinese stock markets at six time points by means of Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) method. It is found the resulting formulae have the same structure but different parameters. This paper also uses these rela…
AI algorithms outperform traditional trading methods in stock markets.
problem Traditional trading methods struggle with risk management and edge over classical approaches.
method Used Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) algorithms (DDQN and PPO) to compare with Buy and Hold benchmark.
result DRL algorithms provide a substantial edge over classical approaches in terms of risk-adjusted returns.
Study shows sudden loss of balance in stock market networks after 2011, reducing predictability.
problem Reduced predictability in stock markets due to structural changes.
method Rank correlations and weighted signed networks to analyze interconnectivity and balance.
result Sudden loss of balance in stock market networks after 2011, leading to decreased predictability.
The study classifies policy announcements' impact on stock market volatility.
problem Evaluating the impact of Central Bank announcements on stock market volatility.
method Proposed a model-based classification method using Markov Switching dynamics and Multiplicative Error Model.
result Successful classification of 144 European Central Bank announcements on stock market volatility.
Study uses xLSTM in DRL for better stock trading performance.
problem Limited performance of LSTM in dynamic stock trading environments.
method Combines xLSTM in actor and critic components with PPO optimization.
result xLSTM-based model outperforms LSTM in trading metrics.
The study shows how trade uncertainty affects stock-bond correlations over time.
problem Impact of trade policy uncertainty on stock-bond correlations.
method Daily data analysis using GARCH-based models (CCC, STCC, DCC) with TPU and political dummy variables.
result Time-varying correlation models better capture the dynamics of stock-bond correlations than constant models.
Study shows activist board representation improves Japanese companies' performance.
problem Lack of innovation and improvement in Japanese companies.
method Examined two Japanese companies with activist board representation, analyzing performance metrics.
result Companies with activist board representation experienced significant improvements in stock returns and operational metrics.
We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of N N N stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that prices evolve according to an ergodic process with a mild decaying memory proper…
Optimizes stock portfolios with profit, risk, and sustainability.
problem Balancing profit, risk, and sustainability in stock portfolio management.
method Developed a novel utility function combining Sharpe ratio and ESG scores; used genetic algorithm for optimization.
result System outperforms traditional reinforcement learning methods and improves on risk and sustainability metrics.
Deep RL ensemble strategy outperforms individual algorithms in stock trading.
problem Designing profitable stock trading strategies in a complex market.
method Ensemble of three deep reinforcement learning algorithms (PPO, A2C, DDPG) for stock trading.
result Deep ensemble strategy outperforms individual algorithms and traditional min-variance portfolio.
Paper finds optimal selling rule for pairs trading with stock constraints.
problem Identifying the best time to sell in pairs trading of stocks.
method Optimal pairs-trading selling rule with constraints on trading.
result Closed-form solution for optimal policy determined by a threshold curve.
Paper combines RL with policy regularization for inventory policies.
problem Optimizing inventory policies using RL and dynamic programming.
method Hybrid approach combining RL with policy regularization.
result Generalization guarantees for inventory policies using VC theory.
Deriving the optimal safety stock quantity with which to meet customer satisfaction is one of the most important topics in stock management. However, it is difficult to control the stock management of correlated marketable merchandise when using an inventory control method that was developed under the assumption that t…
Digitwashing gap boosts stock crash risk, study finds.
problem The gap between companies' digital promises and actual performance increases stock crash risk.
method Empirical analysis of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share companies from 2010 to 2021, robustness tests conducted.
result GDT significantly increases stock price crash risk, confirmed by robust tests.
RL agents outperform baselines in asset allocation.
problem Optimizing asset allocation using reinforcement learning.
method Model-free deep RL agents trained on real-world stock prices.
result RL agents significantly outperformed random and uniform allocation.
Study on time-varying APT validity in Japanese stock market.
problem Validity of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) in Japanese stock market over time.
method Rolling window method applied to Fama and MacBeth's two-step regression and Kamstra and Shi's generalized GRS test.
result APT validity is unstable over time in Japanese stock market, influenced by monetary policy and business cycle.
Study shows how business cycle affects dividend payout based on managerial stock incentives.
problem Impact of managerial stock incentives on dividend payout policy during business cycles.
method Using S&P 1500 companies data from 2000-2018, analyzing full sample and recession periods.
result Negative relationship between managerial stock options and dividend payouts, significant for medium-sized companies.
Study on inventory control with changing demand, proposing adaptive algorithms.
problem Inventory control with non-stationary demand distributions.
method Adaptive online algorithms optimizing base-stock policies.
result Sharp separation in adaptability across different inventory models.
TT-DAC-PS: A deterministic actor-critic approach for optimal trade execution
problem Optimal execution of large stock sell programs
method Twin-Target Deterministic Actor-Critic with Policy Smoothing
result Reduces mean implementation shortfall percentage
We follow the main stocks belonging to the New York Stock Exchange and to Nasdaq from 2003 to 2012, through years of normality and of crisis, and study the dynamics of networks built on two measures expressing relations between those stocks: correlation, which is symmetric and measures how similar two stocks behave, an…
We consider a stochastic inventory control problem under censored demands, lost sales, and positive lead times. This is a fundamental problem in inventory management, with significant literature establishing near-optimality of a simple class of policies called ``base-stock policies'' for the underlying Markov Decision …
Advanced ML/DL models predict stock prices using technical analysis.
problem Accurately predicting stock prices in a complex market.
method Use of deep learning models for stock price prediction.
result Deep learning models can predict stock prices with high accuracy.
Study examines market response to concentrated policy communication using entropy measures.
problem Characterizing market response under concentrated policy communication.
method Jointly examines dispersion and information complexity (entropy) using sliding window cumulative entropy.
result Entropy captures both market volatility and narrative constraints, signaling coherent policy-driven moves.
SEP framework teaches LLMs to generate explainable stock predictions.
problem Challenging task of generating human-readable explanations for stock predictions.
method Self-reflective agent and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) for autonomous learning.
result Fine-tuned LLM outperforms traditional methods in prediction accuracy and Matthews correlation coefficient.
Data-driven RL solves Merton's expected utility problem via policy randomization.
problem Maximizing expected utility in an incomplete market with unknown primitives.
method Policy randomization in continuous-time reinforcement learning.
result RL algorithms solve Merton's problem without estimating model primitives.
The study models life insurance policy cancellations using statistical and machine learning methods.
problem Forecasting individual contract cancellations in life insurance policies.
method Statistical and machine learning methods applied to data from private pension and endowment policies.
result Identified key features affecting contract cancellations.
Adversarial attacks can manipulate deep trading policies, compromising their performance.
problem Adversarial attacks can compromise deep reinforcement learning trading policies.
method Developed a threat model and proposed two attack techniques.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of adversarial attacks against DQN trading agents.
Policy certifies inventory levels meeting service requirements.
problem Maintaining stock levels meeting service requirements despite unknown demand.
method Data-driven order policy using online learning and integral action.
result Valid inference method for finite samples.
Study finds stock selection ability of Chinese mutual funds is better than asset allocation ability.
problem Evaluating the performance of actively managed mutual funds in China.
method Developed performance measures for asset allocation and selection using holding-based models and compared them with Fama-French and Treynor-Mazuy models.
result Stock selection ability from holding-based models is positively correlated with Fama-French model, while industry allocation is positively correlated with Treynor-Mazuy model.
Study examines oil and US stock market interactions during coronavirus crisis.
problem Understanding the impact of coronavirus on oil and stock markets.
method Wavelet analysis of daily data from February 18, 2020 to August 15, 2020.
result Oil prices lead US stock prices at 3-5-day cycles during the first and second parts of March and April 2020.
Improves stock market predictions on Election Day.
problem Predicting stock market volatility on Election Day.
method Combining large language models with specialized agents.
result EDSMF model improves S&P 500 prediction accuracy.