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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for stock data

This paper uses CNN-LSTM to predict stock market performance.

problem Predicting stock market performance is challenging due to changing prices and lack of advanced libraries.
method Developed a CNN-LSTM Neural Network model to track stock data patterns and predict future performance.
result The CNN-LSTM model outperformed other models in predicting stock market performance.

Paper proposes a novel stock forecasting method combining attention and EMD.

problem Challenges in forecasting stock movement due to noise and lack of stock market information.
method Uses attention mechanism to consider both stock market and individual stock information, and EMD for noise reduction.
result Proposed method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.

A new framework predicts stock movements using news sentiment and relational data.

problem Predicting stock prices from textual information is challenging due to market uncertainty and natural language complexity.
method Multi-Graph Recurrent Network (MGRN) combining textual sentiment from financial news and relational data.
result The model outperforms benchmarks in predicting stock movements.

Combining various data types predicts S&P 500 stock prices with high accuracy.

problem Predicting S&P 500 stock prices with high accuracy.
method Combined technical, fundamental, and text data with machine learning models like Random Forest and LSTM.
result Achieved 66.18% accuracy in S&P 500 index prediction and 62.09% in individual stock prediction.

This research predicts stock market movements using Vision-Language models.

problem Predicting future stock market direction using historical data.
method Utilizing image and byte-based representations of stock data processed with Vision-Language models.
result The proposed approach significantly outperforms deep learning baselines.

DoubleAdapt improves stock trend forecasting by adapting models to evolving data.

problem Incremental learning for stock trend forecasting is challenging due to distribution shifts.
method DoubleAdapt framework with two adapters for data and model adaptation.
result DoubleAdapt achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance on real-world stock datasets.

Empirical evidence is given for a significant difference in the collective trend of the share prices during the stock index rising and falling periods. Data on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and its stock components are studied between 1991 and 2008. Pearson-type correlations are computed between the stocks and avera…

2010-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The task of predicting future stock values has always been one that is heavily desired albeit very difficult. This difficulty arises from stocks with non-stationary behavior, and without any explicit form. Hence, predictions are best made through analysis of financial stock data. To handle big data sets, current conven…

2019-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the prediction. Effective indicators, e.g., the events related to the stocks and the…

2018-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

FinSphere improves stock analysis quality with AI and expert-curated data.

problem Lack of objective evaluation metrics and depth in stock analysis by FinLLMs.
method Developed AnalyScore, curated Stocksis dataset, and FinSphere AI agent.
result FinSphere outperforms general and domain-specific LLMs in generating high-quality stock analysis reports.

We study the statistics of record-breaking events in daily stock prices of 366 stocks from the Standard and Poors 500 stock index. Both the record events in the daily stock prices themselves and the records in the daily returns are discussed. In both cases we try to describe the record statistics of the stock data with…

2013-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent studies using data on social media and stock markets have mainly focused on predicting stock returns. Instead of predicting stock price movements, we examine the relation between Facebook data and investors' decision making in stock markets with a unique data on investors' transactions on Nokia. We find that the…

2017-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

StockTime predicts stock prices more accurately using LLMs and time series data.

problem Challenges in integrating time series data and natural language for stock price prediction.
method StockTime is a specialized LLM architecture that integrates textual and time series data to predict stock prices.
result StockTime outperforms recent LLMs in predicting stock prices with more accuracy.

Meta-learning predicts stock trading volumes by learning from each stock's unique patterns.

problem Predicting trading volumes for different stocks using a universal model.
method Dual-process meta-learning framework that learns common patterns with a meta-learner and specific patterns with stock-dependent parameters.
result Improves performance of various baseline models in volume predictions.

Study classifies stock price data into stationary and non-stationary periods for mechanical trading.

problem Classifying stock price fluctuations into stationary and non-stationary periods for trading.
method Stationarity analysis using KM2_2O-Langevin theory and trend-based indicators for stationary periods, oscillator-based indicators for non-stationary periods.
result Back testing confirms the strategy is a safe trading strategy with small maximum drawdown.

Transformer model predicts stock trends using technical data and sentiment analysis.

problem Lack of accurate long-term stock trend prediction using traditional models.
method Developed a Transformer-based model integrating technical stock data and sentiment analysis.
result Transformer model shows significant improvement in directional accuracy over RNNs, especially for longer sequence lengths.

Stock market prediction with forecasting algorithms is a popular topic these days where most of the forecasting algorithms train only on data collected on a particular stock. In this paper, we enriched the stock data with related stocks just as a professional trader would have done to improve the stock prediction model…

2020-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes ESG impact on stock market performance using social media and news data.

problem Understanding the impact of ESG news on stock market performance.
method Summarized live ESG data from social media and news, created sentiment index, calculated stock price changes, and compared sentiment to performance.
result ESG sentiment correlates with stock price changes, indicating its impact on market performance.

The paper reports the construction of artificial stock market that emerges the similar statistical facts with real data in Indonesian stock market. We use the individual but dominant data, i.e.: PT TELKOM in hourly interval. The artificial stock market shows standard statistical facts, e.g.: volatility clustering, the …

2004-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The study aims to explore the strength of causal relationship between stock price search interest and real stock market outcomes on worldwide equity market indices. Such a phenomenon could also be mediated by investor behavior and extent of news coverage. The stock-specific internet search trends data and corresponding…

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

GCNET predicts stock price movements using graph convolutional networks.

problem Predicting stock price movements using interrelated stocks data.
method GCNET models stock relations as an influence network, uses graph convolutional networks for prediction.
result GCNET significantly improves prediction accuracy and MCC measures.

AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.

Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural networks in modeling sequential data, deep learning has become a promising choice…

2018-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The study evaluates nine machine learning regressors for predicting NASDAQ stock opening prices.

problem Predicting stock market opening prices for profitable trading strategies.
method Nine different machine learning regressors were applied to NASDAQ stock market data.
result The study found that certain regressors outperform others in predicting stock opening prices.

Transformer model with mixed-frequency data improves stock volatility prediction.

problem Improving stock volatility prediction using mixed-frequency data.
method Transformer model trained on mixed-frequency data (GARCH-MIDAS model for frequency alignment).
result Transformer model reduces mean square error from 1.00 to 0.86.

StonkBERT predicts stock price movements using company text data.

problem Can language models predict medium-run stock price movements?
method Fine-tuning transformer-based language models (BERT) on company text data (news articles, blogs, annual reports) for stock price performance classification.
result StonkBERT shows substantial improvement in predictive accuracy compared to traditional models, with news articles providing the best results.

Study examines short-term stress of COVID-19 on major global stock indices.

problem Short-term impact of COVID-19 on global stock markets.
method Secondary data from 41 stock exchanges in 32 countries, focusing on first reported cases.
result Volatility in stock markets increases with the rise of COVID-19 cases, and there is a significant negative correlation.

Predict stock movement by considering cross effects among stocks.

problem Challenges in predicting stock price movement due to cross effects among stocks.
method Multi-GCGRU framework combining GCN and GRU, encoding cross effects from financial domain knowledge and data-driven relationships.
result Our model outperforms other baselines in predicting stock movement.

The investment on the stock market is prone to be affected by the Internet. For the purpose of improving the prediction accuracy, we propose a multi-task stock prediction model that not only considers the stock correlations but also supports multi-source data fusion. Our proposed model first utilizes tensor to integrat…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Research develops a DSS for stock selection and asset allocation using fundamental data.

problem Complex financial markets and limited use of fundamental data analysis.
method Data gathering, cleaning, and modeling of fundamental data; integration with macroeconomic conditions.
result Enhanced predictive model for mid- to long-term stock returns.

Study improves Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.

problem Improving Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.
method Added new covariates and used high-frequency trading data for 222 Nikkei 225 stocks.
result Cox-type model performs well in Japanese market and identifies key factors for accurate estimation.

DSPO optimizes portfolio construction from raw stock data efficiently.

problem Manual design and misalignment in traditional portfolio construction methods.
method End-to-end neural network framework with Monotonical Logistic Regression loss.
result DSPO constructs optimal sorted portfolios with high performance metrics.

The paper uses news headlines to predict stock prices using embeddings.

problem Predicting stock prices using news headlines.
method Using OpenAI-based text embedding models and PCA to create vector encodings of news headlines, then training machine learning models on financial data.
result Headline data embeddings improve stock price prediction by at least 40%.