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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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104207311414 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stochastic sequences

Improved algorithms for stochastic linear bandits using tighter confidence sequences.

problem Stochastic linear bandits with improved worst-case regret guarantees.
method Novel tail bound for adaptive martingale mixtures to construct tighter confidence sequences.
result Linear bandit algorithm achieves competitive worst-case regret.

Single-timescale analysis improves convergence in multi-sequence stochastic approximation.

problem Finite-time convergence of nonlinear stochastic approximation with multiple coupled sequences.
method Smoothness property of fixed points and analysis of fine-grained single-timescale SA.
result Improved iteration complexity for achieving ε-accuracy in multi-sequence single-timescale SA.

Sequence-to-sequence text-to-speech (TTS) is dominated by soft-attention-based methods. Recently, hard-attention-based methods have been proposed to prevent fatal alignment errors, but their sampling method of discrete alignment is poorly investigated. This research investigates various combinations of sampling methods…

2019-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

SDE Matching eliminates simulation for training Latent SDEs, achieving similar performance.

problem Training Latent SDEs with adjoint sensitivity methods is computationally expensive and limited.
method SDE Matching, inspired by Score- and Flow Matching, eliminates simulation for training Latent SDEs.
result SDE Matching achieves performance comparable to adjoint sensitivity methods while reducing computational complexity.

CLVSA predicts financial market trends using LSTM and attention mechanisms.

problem Predicting trends in financial markets due to complex interactions.
method Hybrid model combining LSTM, sequence-to-sequence, attention, and convolutional LSTM.
result CLVSA outperforms basic models in predicting financial market trends.

Spectral regularization simplifies sequence models by focusing on grammatical simplicity.

problem Sequence modeling challenges in learning tasks.
method Introduces spectral regularization based on Hankel matrices and trace norm, addressing bi-infinite matrices with an unbiased estimator.
result Demonstrates spectral regularization's potential benefits on Tomita grammars.

Paper develops probabilistic bounds for a stochastic gradient algorithm in non-convex problems.

problem Stochastic optimization in non-convex finite sum problems.
method Develops a new dimension-free Azuma-Hoeffding type bound for a martingale difference sequence.
result Empirical results show superior probabilistic performance of Prob-SARAH compared to other algorithms.

Human motion prediction is a stochastic process: Given an observed sequence of poses, multiple future motions are plausible. Existing approaches to modeling this stochasticity typically combine a random noise vector with information about the previous poses. This combination, however, is done in a deterministic manner,…

2019-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework predicts links in time-dependent networks using Bernoulli autoregression.

problem Predicting links in time-dependent networks with additional auxiliary information.
method A Bernoulli autoregressive model with regularization for link discovery.
result The model can discover new links not present in the data.

Develops anytime-valid stopping rules for SGD based on observed trajectory.

problem Stopping stochastic gradient descent (SGD) based on observed trajectory.
method Develops anytime-valid confidence sequences for stochastic gradient methods.
result Statistically valid, time-uniform stopping rules for SGD across convex and nonconvex settings.

This paper proposes a new meta-learning method -- named HARMLESS (HAwkes Relational Meta LEarning method for Short Sequences) for learning heterogeneous point process models from short event sequence data along with a relational network. Specifically, we propose a hierarchical Bayesian mixture Hawkes process model, whi…

2019-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This thesis investigates unsupervised time series representation learning for sequence prediction problems, i.e. generating nice-looking input samples given a previous history, for high dimensional input sequences by decoupling the static input representation from the recurrent sequence representation. We introduce thr…

2018-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Doubly-stochastic normalization improves robustness to heteroskedastic noise.

problem Robustness to heteroskedastic noise in affinity matrix construction.
method Doubly-stochastic normalization of the Gaussian kernel.
result Doubly-stochastic normalization converges to clean matrix with rate m1/2m^{-1/2} under heteroskedastic noise.

In this paper we consider an online recommendation setting, where a platform recommends a sequence of items to its users at every time period. The users respond by selecting one of the items recommended or abandon the platform due to fatigue from seeing less useful items. Assuming a parametric stochastic model of user …

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Bandit structured prediction describes a stochastic optimization framework where learning is performed from partial feedback. This feedback is received in the form of a task loss evaluation to a predicted output structure, without having access to gold standard structures. We advance this framework by lifting linear ba…

2017-04-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved prediction algorithm for 'easy' sequences with reduced regret.

problem Prediction with expert advice for 'easy' sequences.
method Variant of NormalHedge algorithm using second-order εε-quantile regret bound.
result Second-order εε-quantile regret bound of O(VTlog(VT/ε))O\big(\sqrt{V_T \log(V_T/ε)}\big) for VT>logNV_T > \log N.

With latent variables, stochastic recurrent models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in modeling sound-wave sequence. However, opposite results are also observed in other domains, where standard recurrent networks often outperform stochastic models. To better understand this discrepancy, we re-examine the role…

2019-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The sequence of moments of a vector-valued random variable can characterize its law. We study the analogous problem for path-valued random variables, that is stochastic processes, by using so-called robust signature moments. This allows us to derive a metric of maximum mean discrepancy type for laws of stochastic proce…

2018-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study SGD dynamics in sequence models, revealing training phases and influence of sequence length.

problem Understanding SGD in sequence models like attention networks.
method Derived closed-form population loss and analyzed SGD dynamics for SSI models.
result Two distinct training phases: escape from uninformative initialization and alignment with target subspace.

Value aggregation is a general framework for solving imitation learning problems. Based on the idea of data aggregation, it generates a policy sequence by iteratively interleaving policy optimization and evaluation in an online learning setting. While the existence of a good policy in the policy sequence can be guarant…

2018-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the minimization of a function defined on a Riemannian manifold M\mathcal{M} accessible only through unbiased estimates of its gradients. We develop a geometric framework to transform a sequence of slowly converging iterates generated from stochastic gradient descent (SGD) on M\mathcal{M} to an averaged i…

2018-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative adversarial networks generate realistic, time-evolving high-resolution atmospheric fields.

problem Improving spatial resolution of low-resolution atmospheric images.
method Recurrent, stochastic super-resolution GAN for generating ensembles of time-evolving high-resolution atmospheric fields.
result The GAN produces realistic, temporally consistent super-resolution sequences for radar-measured precipitation and cloud optical thickness.

Improved privacy analysis for stochastic gradient descent.

problem Analyzing privacy leakage in noisy stochastic gradient descent.
method Modeling Rényi divergence dynamics with Langevin diffusions, proving exponential privacy loss convergence for smooth and strongly convex objectives.
result Privacy loss converges exponentially fast for smooth and strongly convex objectives under constant step size.

An algorithm is proposed for solving stochastic and finite sum minimization problems. Based on a trust region methodology, the algorithm employs normalized steps, at least as long as the norms of the stochastic gradient estimates are within a specified interval. The complete algorithm---which dynamically chooses whethe…

2017-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

sgdGMF efficiently estimates generalized matrix factorization models for single-cell RNA sequencing data.

problem Challenges in dimensionality reduction for large single-cell RNA sequencing datasets.
method Scalable adaptive stochastic gradient descent algorithm for generalized matrix factorization models.
result sgdGMF outperforms existing methods in scalability and accuracy for large datasets.

Study on network-valued processes with asynchronous updates, proving consistency in community and changepoint estimation.

problem Understanding the behavior of network-valued stochastic processes with asynchronous updates.
method Analysis of concentration properties of aggregated adjacency and Laplacian matrices for lazy network-valued stochastic processes.
result Demonstrates consistency of estimators in community and changepoint estimation problems.

Missing value imputation is a fundamental problem in spatiotemporal modeling, from motion tracking to the dynamics of physical systems. Deep autoregressive models suffer from error propagation which becomes catastrophic for imputing long-range sequences. In this paper, we take a non-autoregressive approach and propose …

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

GenFormer uses deep learning to generate complex stochastic data.

problem Creating synthetic stochastic data that matches real-world statistical properties.
method Transformer-based deep learning model that maps Markov state sequences to time series values.
result GenFormer preserves target marginal distributions and other statistical properties in multivariate spatio-temporal data.

Event sequences can be modeled by temporal point processes (TPPs) to capture their asynchronous and probabilistic nature. We propose an intensity-free framework that directly models the point process distribution by utilizing normalizing flows. This approach is capable of capturing highly complex temporal distributions…

2019-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We establish decoupled functional CLTs for two-time-scale stochastic approximation.

problem Understanding the asymptotic behavior of two-time-scale stochastic approximation.
method Martingale problem approach and auxiliary sequence.
result The limiting dynamics of two-time-scale SA are independent of each other.