Stochastic VB improves nonlinear model inference speed and accuracy.
problem Bayesian inference of nonlinear models from noisy data.
method Stochastic Variational Bayesian (VB) inference for nonlinear models.
result Stochastic VB achieves comparable parameter recovery to analytical solution but is faster.
Method solves complex optimization problems with high probability bounds.
problem Nonlinear equality constrained stochastic optimization problems.
method Step-search sequential quadratic programming method.
result High-probability bound on iteration complexity for first-order stationarity.
State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time series. The challenge is two-fold: not only do computations scale linearly with t…
We consider a stochastic control problem for a class of nonlinear kernels. More precisely, our problem of interest consists in the optimisation, over a set of possibly non-dominated probability measures, of solutions of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). Since BSDEs are nonlinear generalisations of the…
The paper characterizes stochastic incompleteness in Riemannian manifolds.
problem Stochastic incompleteness of Riemannian manifolds and its characterization.
method Characterization through solutions to nonlinear parabolic equations.
result Stochastic incompleteness is equivalent to the nonuniqueness of bounded solutions to certain nonlinear parabolic equations.
New algorithm tackles stochastic optimization with inequality constraints.
problem Stochastic optimization with inequality constraints in various applications.
method Active-set stochastic sequential quadratic programming (StoSQP) with a differentiable exact augmented Lagrangian.
result Global convergence for any initialization, KKT residuals converge to zero almost surely.
We scale and analyze the empirical data of return from New York and Vilnius stock exchanges matching it to the same nonlinear double stochastic model of return in financial market.
We investigate large changes, bursts, of the continuous stochastic signals, when the exponent of multiplicativity is higher than one. Earlier we have proposed a general nonlinear stochastic model which can be transformed into Bessel process with known first hitting (first passage) time statistics. Using these results w…
Method uses deep learning to estimate traffic intensity.
problem Estimating stochastic intensity of traffic processes.
method Deep neural networks for nonlinear filtering.
result Deep learning method accurately estimates traffic intensity.
DeepRSCN models nonlinear systems using stochastic configurations.
problem Modeling nonlinear dynamic systems efficiently.
method Incrementally constructed deep reservoir computing framework with random parameters and online weight updates.
result DeepRSCN outperforms single-layer networks in efficiency, learning, and generalization.
New algorithm optimizes nonlinear SDEs online with convergence guarantees.
problem Optimizing nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is computationally challenging.
method Forward propagation algorithm that solves an SDE derived using forward differentiation.
result Convergence theorem for nonlinear dissipative SDEs with bounds on stochastic fluctuations.
We present a probabilistic framework for nonlinearities, based on doubly truncated Gaussian distributions. By setting the truncation points appropriately, we are able to generate various types of nonlinearities within a unified framework, including sigmoid, tanh and ReLU, the most commonly used nonlinearities in neural…
DeepONet accelerates reliability analysis of stochastic nonlinear systems.
problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with stochastic forcing.
method DeepONet, a novel operator network, learns function-to-function mappings.
result DeepONet efficiently and accurately predicts system responses.
New Brownian motion defined in Minkowski normed spaces.
problem Constructing Brownian motion in non-Euclidean spaces.
method Singular McKean--Vlasov stochastic differential equation.
result Pathwise uniqueness of solutions to the stochastic differential equation.
The paper introduces a fast algorithm for learning and forecasting nonlinear dynamics from noisy time series data.
problem Challenges in capturing nonlinear dynamics from noisy time series data.
method A projected nonlinear state-space model with kernel functions applied to projected lines.
result The model effectively learns and forecasts complex nonlinear dynamics with computational efficiency.
Study on statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation with Markovian data.
problem Statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
method Established a functional central limit theorem for the partial-sum process of the target parameter estimate, providing asymptotic pivotal statistics for constructing confidence intervals.
result Valid and efficient asymptotic inference method for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
PLoM learns stochastic solutions to PDEs with limited data.
problem Synthesizing solutions to nonlinear PDEs with scarce data.
method Probabilistic Learning on Manifolds constrained by PDEs.
result Learned stochastic solutions minimize PDE residuals.
Study on signal-plus-noise decomposition in nonlinear spiked random matrices.
problem Nonlinear spiked random matrix models with rank-one signal and noise.
method Signal-plus-noise decomposition and phase transition analysis.
result Identified precise phase transitions in signal components at critical thresholds.
New algorithm solves stochastic optimization problems with unknown gradients.
problem Solving nonlinear optimization problems with stochastic objectives and deterministic constraints.
method Adaptive SQP with differentiable exact augmented Lagrangian and stochastic line search.
result Global convergence established for both non-adaptive and adaptive SQP methods.
Combines Gaussian processes and polynomial chaos for stochastic control.
problem Uncertainties in dynamic models lead to performance issues in predictive control.
method Combines Gaussian processes with polynomial chaos expansions to estimate probability distributions of nonlinear functions.
result Demonstrates accurate approximation and closed-loop performance in stochastic nonlinear model predictive control.
Enhances RSCNs with hybrid regularization for nonlinear dynamics.
problem Modeling nonlinear dynamic systems with uncertainties.
method Recurrent stochastic configuration networks with hybrid regularization.
result The method outperforms other models in nonlinear system identification and industrial tasks.
New algorithms reduce complexity for solving nonconvex optimization problems with stochastic objectives and constraints.
problem Solving nonconvex optimization problems with stochastic objectives and constraints.
method Single-loop quadratic penalty and augmented Lagrangian algorithms with variance reduction techniques.
result Achieved best-known complexity guarantees for solving nonconvex optimization problems with stochastic objectives and constraints.
Stochastic cutting planes improve data-driven optimization speed.
problem Data-driven Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Optimization problems.
method Stochastic version of cutting-plane method.
result Stochastic algorithm converges to ε-optimal solution with high probability.
Nonlinear RNNs' memory capacity varies widely, making it impractical.
problem The usefulness of memory capacity as a metric for linear RNNs is questioned.
method Analysis of random nonlinear RNNs with varying input scales.
result Memory capacity of nonlinear RNNs is arbitrary and impractical.
We investigate finite-time decoupled convergence in nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation.
problem Achieving decoupled convergence in nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation.
method Nested local linearity assumption, suitable step size selection, convergence analysis of matrix cross term, fourth-order moment convergence rates.
result Finite-time decoupled convergence rates can be achieved in nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation with proper step size selection.
A new flow-based Bayesian filter tackles high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic systems.
problem Bayesian filtering for high-dimensional nonlinear systems is challenging due to non-Gaussian distributions and computational limitations.
method Integrates normalizing flows to construct a latent linear state-space model with efficient density estimation and sampling.
result Demonstrates superior accuracy and efficiency in numerical experiments.
The paper tackles data-driven optimal control of unknown nonlinear systems using RKHS.
problem Unknown nonlinear dynamics and stage cost functions.
method Embed state densities into RKHS, learn Markov operators, solve Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman recursions.
result Solves a wide range of nonlinear control problems, including depth regulation.
Two single-timescale algorithms improve TD learning with nonlinear approximations.
problem Optimizing TD learning with nonlinear smooth function approximation.
method Proposes two single-timescale single-loop algorithms with momentum and variance reduction.
result Achieves O(ε−4) sample complexity for the first algorithm and O(ε−3) for the second. This paper presents a novel approach to numerically solve stochastic differential games for nonlinear systems. The proposed approach relies on the nonlinear Feynman-Kac theorem that establishes a connection between parabolic deterministic partial differential equations and forward-backward stochastic differential equat…
We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by a Wiener process, with a drift evolu…
Extends return extrapolation to nonlinear, asymmetric functions under stochastic volatility.
problem Behavioral anomalies in portfolio choice under stochastic volatility.
method Smooth, nonlinear, asymmetric extrapolation function; CRRA investor; Heston stochastic volatility; Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation; Numerical solutions (finite-difference ADI, deep learning-driven iterative).
result Saturation acts as an endogenous correction mechanism, reducing welfare loss.
Gradient descent and SGD solve nonlinear inverse problems efficiently.
problem Solving nonlinear inverse problems with random design.
method Gradient descent and SGD with mini-batching, under classical assumptions.
result Achieves optimal convergence rates in RKHS framework.
We consider the binary classification problem when data are large and subject to unknown but bounded uncertainties. We address the problem by formulating the nonlinear support vector machine training problem with robust optimization. To do so, we analyze and propose two bounding schemes for uncertainties associated to …
New deep learning method solves complex BSDEs efficiently.
problem Solving high-dimensional nonlinear BSDEs.
method Reformulate as global optimization, approximate solution with deep neural network, globally minimize quadratic local loss functions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on various high-dimensional nonlinear BSDEs, including finance applications.
Method learns dynamics from noisy partial observations.
problem Reconstructing stochastic dynamical systems from indirect noisy data.
method Amortized path generation method for nonlinear stochastic filtering.
result Learned conditional path generator quantifies uncertainty.
The study sets limits on how well nonlinear models can generalize from training data.
problem Understanding the limits of generalization for nonlinear learning models.
method Deriving explicit generalization lower bounds for multi-layer neural networks and linear regression.
result Explicit bounds for general biased estimators in nonlinear networks, showing unacceptable performance for unbiased estimators.
We study local complexity measures for stochastic convex optimization problems, providing a local minimax theory analogous to that of Hájek and Le Cam for classical statistical problems. We give complementary optimality results, developing fully online methods that adaptively achieve optimal convergence guarantees. Our…
High-dimensional partial differential equations (PDE) appear in a number of models from the financial industry, such as in derivative pricing models, credit valuation adjustment (CVA) models, or portfolio optimization models. The PDEs in such applications are high-dimensional as the dimension corresponds to the number …
DeepBayes uses neural networks to efficiently estimate parameters in complex dynamical models.
problem Estimating parameters in stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models is challenging.
method DeepBayes leverages deep recurrent neural networks to learn an estimator that minimizes mean-squared error.
result DeepBayes achieves asymptotically equivalent performance to Bayesian estimation methods.
In this paper, we introduce a new stochastic approximation (SA) type algorithm, namely the randomized stochastic gradient (RSG) method, for solving an important class of nonlinear (possibly nonconvex) stochastic programming (SP) problems. We establish the complexity of this method for computing an approximate stationar…
Develops a framework for learning nonlinear operators using Mercer kernels.
problem Learning nonlinear operators between infinite-dimensional spaces.
method Stochastic approximation framework with Mercer operator-valued kernels.
result Establishes dimension-free polynomial convergence rates for nonlinear operator learning.
New convergence bounds for online learning with heavy-tailed noise.
problem Learning on streaming data with heavy-tailed noise.
method Nonlinear stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for non-convex and strongly convex costs.
result Strong convergence rates for various nonlinearities and noise distributions.
A new method for estimating adversarial strategies in nonlinear systems.
problem Inferring an intelligent adversarial agent's strategy in highly nonlinear systems.
method Formulated inverse cognition as a nonlinear Gaussian state-space model and developed an inverse UKF (IUKF) system.
result The estimation error of IUKF converges and closely follows the recursive Cramér-Rao lower bound.
Paper proves existence and uniqueness of solutions to nonlocal systems, generalizing stochastic game theory.
problem Time inconsistency in stochastic differential games.
method Proves existence and uniqueness of solutions to nonlocal fully-nonlinear parabolic systems.
result Generalizes stochastic game theory to include time-inconsistent preferences.
In this study, we develop a deterministic nonlinear filtering algorithm based on a high-dimensional version of Kitagawa (1987) to evaluate the likelihood function of models that allow for stochastic volatility and jumps whose arrival intensity is also stochastic. We show numerically that the deterministic filtering met…
Novel method estimates complex nonlinear systems with stochastic differential equations.
problem Handling complex nonlinear dynamical systems with strong learning guarantees.
method Estimates drift and diffusion coefficients of continuous, multidimensional, nonlinear controlled stochastic differential equations.
result Strong theoretical guarantees including finite-sample bounds for various metrics.
We present a stochastic numerical method for solving fully non-linear free boundary problems of parabolic type and provide a rate of convergence under reasonable conditions on the non-linearity.
Breaks down complex nonlinear dynamics into simpler components.
problem Control of nonlinear dynamical systems remains challenging.
method Inspired by hybrid switching systems, decomposes dynamics into simpler stochastic switching linear dynamical systems.
result Extracts hierarchies of Markovian and auto-regressive locally linear controllers from nonlinear experts.