New formulation tackles arbitrage in volatile markets using eigenvalue bounds.
arXiv research
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We extend Dupire's formula for stochastic interest rates and local volatility.
Geometrically reformulates GENERIC stochastic dynamics.
Investment and consumption strategy for risk-averse agents with Epstein-Zin utility.
We consider the binary classification problem when data are large and subject to unknown but bounded uncertainties. We address the problem by formulating the nonlinear support vector machine training problem with robust optimization. To do so, we analyze and propose two bounding schemes for uncertainties associated to …
Paper proves deep learning method for stochastic control converges and outperforms existing algorithms.
Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems are increasingly seen as a viable method to train machine learning models for improved model generalization. These min-max formulations, however, are more difficult to solve. We therefore provide a new stochastic gradient descent algorithm to efficiently solve this DR…
Graphon game model simplifies stochastic interactions among agents.
We formulate stochastic partial differential equations on Riemannian manifolds, moving surfaces, general evolving Riemannian manifolds (with appropriate assumptions) and Riemannian manifolds with random metrics, in the variational setting of the analysis to stochastic partial differential equations. Considering mainly …
The paper analyzes stability and generalization of decentralized SGD.
A new method for high-dimensional RBDO using stochastic emulators.
We provide bounds on control learning error in stochastic systems.
The Markov decision process (MDP) formulation used to model many real-world sequential decision making problems does not efficiently capture the setting where the set of available decisions (actions) at each time step is stochastic. Recently, the stochastic action set Markov decision process (SAS-MDP) formulation has b…
New method improves convergence for smooth games.
New method uses backward SDEs for deep learning uncertainty.
We develop the method of stochastic modified equations (SME), in which stochastic gradient algorithms are approximated in the weak sense by continuous-time stochastic differential equations. We exploit the continuous formulation together with optimal control theory to derive novel adaptive hyper-parameter adjustment po…
DNN policies improve stochastic AC OPF for power grid optimization.
We formulate and study a general family of (continuous-time) stochastic dynamics for accelerated first-order minimization of smooth convex functions. Building on an averaging formulation of accelerated mirror descent, we propose a stochastic variant in which the gradient is contaminated by noise, and study the resultin…
We consider the mixed regression problem with two components, under adversarial and stochastic noise. We give a convex optimization formulation that provably recovers the true solution, and provide upper bounds on the recovery errors for both arbitrary noise and stochastic noise settings. We also give matching minimax …
Survey of methods for solving smooth stochastic variational inequalities.
We study an optimal execution problem with uncertain market impact to derive a more realistic market model. We construct a discrete-time model as a value function for optimal execution. Market impact is formulated as the product of a deterministic part increasing with execution volume and a positive stochastic noise pa…
In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time series analysis and prediction in finance. The model comprises a pair of complement…
In this paper, we study a family of non-convex and possibly non-smooth inf-projection minimization problems, where the target objective function is equal to minimization of a joint function over another variable. This problem include difference of convex (DC) functions and a family of bi-convex functions as special cas…
The paper identifies network bottlenecks using minimax paths in stochastic networks.
SVR analyzed within RQ framework for risk management.
Stochastic VB improves nonlinear model inference speed and accuracy.
Develops a novel framework for pricing variance swaps in multi-asset stochastic volatility models.
We propose a unified framework to speed up the existing stochastic matrix factorization (SMF) algorithms via variance reduction. Our framework is general and it subsumes several well-known SMF formulations in the literature. We perform a non-asymptotic convergence analysis of our framework and derive computational and …
Proposes a stochastic method for solving trilevel optimization problems.
Geometric approach for unsupervised word embedding alignment.
Efficient exploration is a long-standing problem in sensorimotor learning. Major advances have been demonstrated in noise-free, non-stochastic domains such as video games and simulation. However, most of these formulations either get stuck in environments with stochastic dynamics or are too inefficient to be scalable t…
Solves optimal control for stochastic processes with absorbing states.
This is a follow up of our previous paper - Trybuła and Zawisza \cite{TryZaw}, where we considered a modification of a monotone mean-variance functional in continuous time in stochastic factor model. In this article we address the problem of optimizing the mentioned functional in a market with a stochastic interest rat…
Combines Gaussian processes and polynomial chaos for stochastic control.
The paper extends Merton's problem by adding benchmark tracking, finding optimal strategies.
Unified algorithm for stochastic optimization with time-varying momentum converges under general conditions.
A scalable GPLVM model using stochastic variational inference.
In this paper, we study a semi-martingale optimal transport problem and its application to the calibration of Local-Stochastic Volatility (LSV) models. Rather than considering the classical constraints on marginal distributions at initial and final time, we optimise our cost function given the prices of a finite number…
Bayesian inference using stochastic neural networks ensembles.
We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time increments and arbitrary sparseness, which is in contrast with gradient matching that…
We consider a class of discrete time stochastic control problems motivated by some financial applications. We use a pathwise stochastic control approach to provide a dual formulation of the problem. This enables us to develop a numerical technique for obtaining an estimate of the value function which improves on purely…
Bayesian optimization tackles non-convex, two-stage stochastic problems efficiently.
A new framework models multi-state events and biomarkers.
Study finds optimal retirement timing in uncertain wage scenarios.
We consider maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian Mixture Models (Gmms). This task is almost invariably solved (in theory and practice) via the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. EM owes its success to various factors, of which is its ability to fulfill positive definiteness constraints in closed form is of …
We propose a novel reformulation of the stochastic optimal control problem as an approximate inference problem, demonstrating, that such a interpretation leads to new practical methods for the original problem. In particular we characterise a novel class of iterative solutions to the stochastic optimal control problem …
The paper solves a control problem using reflections to track a benchmark process.
The stochastic dual coordinate-ascent (S-DCA) technique is a useful alternative to the traditional stochastic gradient-descent algorithm for solving large-scale optimization problems due to its scalability to large data sets and strong theoretical guarantees. However, the available S-DCA formulation is limited to finit…