arXiv research

Proposes a deep learning method for solving complex financial games with delays.

This paper investigates a hybrid stochastic differential reinsurance and investment game between one reinsurer and two insurers, including a stochastic Stackelberg differential subgame and a non-zero-sum stochastic differential subgame. The reinsurer, as the leader of the Stackelberg game, can price reinsurance premium…

We propose a model of inter-bank lending and borrowing which takes into account clearing debt obligations. The evolution of log-monetary reserves of $N$ banks is described by coupled diffusions driven by controls with delay in their drifts. Banks are minimizing their finite-horizon objective functions which take into a…

In this paper, we consider a risk-based optimal investment problem of an insurer in a regime-switching jump diffusion model with noisy memory. Using the model uncertainty modeling, we formulate the investment problem as a zero-sum, stochastic differential delay game between the insurer and the market, with a convex ris…

We consider a stochastic game of contribution to the common good in which the players have continuous control over the degree of contribution, and we examine the gradualism arising from the free rider effect. This game belongs to the class of variable concession games which generalize wars of attrition. Previously know…

The paper solves optimal control problems for stochastic delay equations.

In this article we propose a model for stochastic delay differential equation with jumps (SDDEJ) in a differentiable manifold $M$ endowed with a connection $\nabla$. In our model, the continuous part is driven by vector fields with a fixed delay and the jumps are assumed to come from a distinct source of (càdlàg) noise…

Novel approach to Nash equilibrium in mean-field stochastic games with operator resolvents.

We consider that the price of a firm follows a non linear stochastic delay differential equation. We also assume that any claim value whose value depends on firm value and time follows a non linear stochastic delay differential equation. Using self-financed strategy and replication we are able to derive a Random Partia…

New method solves stochastic control problems with delays using deep learning.

Deep fictitious play converges to Nash equilibrium in stochastic differential games.

The paper models financial asset prices with jumps and evaluates European option prices using numerical methods.

Paper develops Euler scheme for fractional delay diff. eqs with additive noise.

The paper solves investment problems with uncertain factors using game theory.

The paper solves TIC LQ control problems using stochastic differential games.

Paper proves existence and uniqueness of solutions to nonlocal systems, generalizing stochastic game theory.

Paper tackles delays in multi-agent reinforcement learning, improving performance.

Stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE's) have been used for financial modeling. In this article, we study a SDDE obtained by the equation of a CIR process, with an additional fixed delay term in drift; in particular, we prove that there exists a unique strong solution (positive and integrable) which we call fix…

This paper presents a novel approach to numerically solve stochastic differential games for nonlinear systems. The proposed approach relies on the nonlinear Feynman-Kac theorem that establishes a connection between parabolic deterministic partial differential equations and forward-backward stochastic differential equat…

Solves a game between brokers and informed traders using stochastic differential equations.

In this paper we investigate novel applications of a new class of equations which we call time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations. Time-delayed BSDEs may arise in finance when we want to find an investment strategy and an investment portfolio which should replicate a liability or meet a target depending…

Paper solves complex game theory problems with new equations.

This article is a sequel to [A.H.M.P]. In [A.H.M.P], we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic delay equation with fixed delays in the drift and diffusion terms. In this article, we look at models of the stock price described by stochasti…

Delay-SDE-net models time series with memory and uncertainty, outperforming other models.

This paper studies insurers' robust strategies in a stochastic game with model uncertainty and volatility risk.

We consider the problem of strongly-convex online optimization in presence of adversarial delays; in a T-iteration online game, the feedback of the player's query at time t is arbitrarily delayed by an adversary for d_t rounds and delivered before the game ends, at iteration t+d_t-1. Specifically for \algo{online-gradi…

Study improves $L^{\infty}$ estimates and extreme value behavior in stochastic differential games.

Study competitive energy markets using stochastic impulse games.

We consider a general time-inconsistent stochastic linear-quadratic differential game. The time-inconsistency arises from the presence of quadratic terms of the expected state as well as state-dependent term in the objective functionals. We define an equilibrium strategy, which is different from the classical one, and …

In this paper we propose and analyze a class of $N$-player stochastic games that include finite fuel stochastic games as a special case. We first derive sufficient conditions for the Nash equilibrium (NE) in the form of a verification theorem. The associated Quasi-Variational-Inequalities include an essential game comp…

In this paper we show that there are applications that transform the movement of a pendulum into movements in $\mathbb{R}^3$. This can be done using Euler top system of differential equations. On the constant level surfaces, Euler top system reduces to the equation of a pendulum. Those properties are also considered in…

We consider the static and dynamic models of Cournot duopoly with tax evasion. In the dynamic model we introduce the time delay and we analyze the local stability of the stationary state. There is a critical value of the delay when the Hopf bifurcation occurs.

BayTiDe discovers time-delayed differential equations from noisy data.

New algorithm tackles delayed feedback in Lipschitz bandits with sublinear regret.

Develops accelerated fixed-point methods with delayed oracles for scientific computing.

Game theory models how agents trade in a risky asset considering price impact and a common signal.

We consider a system where agents enter in an online fashion and are evaluated based on their attributes or context vectors. There can be practical situations where this context is partially observed, and the unobserved part comes after some delay. We assume that an agent, once left, cannot re-enter the system. Therefo…

New algorithm tackles stochastic bandits with varying arm-dependent delays.

In this paper, we apply the idea of fictitious play to design deep neural networks (DNNs), and develop deep learning theory and algorithms for computing the Nash equilibrium of asymmetric $N$-player non-zero-sum stochastic differential games, for which we refer as \emph{deep fictitious play}, a multi-stage learning pro…

We propose an optimal portfolio problem in the incomplete market where the underlying assets depend on economic factors with delayed effects, such models can describe the short term forecasting and the interaction with time lag among different financial markets. The delay phenomenon can be recognized as the integral ty…

Develops a stochastic approach to financial market delays.

In this article we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic differential delay equation (sdde). We believe that the proposed model is sufficiently flexible to fit real market data, and is yet simple enough to allow for a closed-form represe…

The paper extends macroscopic market making to stochastic games, revealing properties and solving equations.

We provide tight finite-time convergence bounds for gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent on quadratic functions, when the gradients are delayed and reflect iterates from $τ$ rounds ago. First, we show that without stochastic noise, delays strongly affect the attainable optimization error: In fact, the error…

The paper analyzes reinsurance strategies in a competitive multi-agent system.

We consider a zero-sum stochastic differential controller-and-stopper game in which the state process is a controlled diffusion evolving in a multi-dimensional Euclidean space. In this game, the controller affects both the drift and the volatility terms of the state process. Under appropriate conditions, we show that t…

Model predicts BESS interactions and price impacts in energy markets.

We develop an option pricing model based on a tug-of-war game. This two-player zero-sum stochastic differential game is formulated in the context of a multi-dimensional financial market. The issuer and the holder try to manipulate asset price processes in order to minimize and maximize the expected discounted reward. W…