The study formalizes temporal precision and recall for anomaly detection in sequences.
problem Insufficient understanding of precision and recall in sequential anomaly detection.
method Formalized temporal precision and recall measures, developed time-tolerant confusion matrices, and demonstrated statistical significance.
result Precision and recall may overestimate performance with temporal tolerance.
This article introduces a framework to estimate the value of evidence-based decision making.
problem Lack of empirical tools to assess the value of evidence-based decision making and optimize statistical precision.
method Empirical framework using parametric and nonparametric empirical Bayes methods.
result The value of statistical evidence depends on how organizations translate it into policy decisions.
New proposed models are often compared to state-of-the-art using statistical significance testing. Literature is scarce for classifier comparison using metrics other than accuracy. We present a survey of statistical methods that can be used for classifier comparison using precision, accounting for inter-precision corre…
GANs improve event generation in physics experiments.
problem Improving statistical precision in event generation.
method Used generative adversarial networks (GANs) to generate events.
result GANs amplify the statistical precision of the training sample.
Precision farming uses data analysis to optimize crop management.
problem Meeting increased food demand with sustainable practices.
method Statistical tools and machine learning for pattern recognition and prediction.
result Optimized farming processes in real-time reduce resource use.
Paper proposes a method to use in silico experiments with foundation models to reduce sample size.
problem Costly and uncertain randomized experiments.
method Integrates predictions from multiple foundation models with experimental data.
result Estimator offers substantial precision gains, equivalent to a 20% reduction in sample size.
Rule-based classifiers quantify uncertainty using Bernoulli random variables.
problem Quantifying the uncertainty of precision estimates for rule-based text classifiers.
method Treat partitions of sub-strings as Bernoulli random variables, compare means using statistical tests, and combine classifiers using Dempster-Shafer theory.
result The approach can be used to combine binary classifiers into a multi-label classifier.
AI improves precision health through adaptive interventions.
problem Improving healthcare through personalized and dynamic treatments.
method Reinforcement learning (RL) for adaptive interventions in digital health.
result RL shows promise in dynamic healthcare problems.
A new method for estimating large-scale linear models with improved precision.
problem Estimating large-scale linear statistical models efficiently.
method Sequential Least-Squares Estimators with Fast Randomized Sketching (SLSE-FRS), integrating Sketch-and-Solve and Iterative-Sketching methods.
result SLSE-FRS produces high-precision estimators, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
We propose a nonconvex estimator for joint multivariate regression and precision matrix estimation in the high dimensional regime, under sparsity constraints. A gradient descent algorithm with hard thresholding is developed to solve the nonconvex estimator, and it attains a linear rate of convergence to the true regres…
Paper proves existence of a universal codebook for low-precision quantization.
problem Optimizing low-precision approximation of matrix products in machine learning.
method Develops a universal codebook that is near-optimal for all possible statistics of input data.
result Proves existence of a universal codebook with a 0.11 bit per dimension reduction in rate.
Low-precision training reduces computational cost and produces efficient models. Recent research in developing new low-precision training algorithms often relies on simulation to empirically evaluate the statistical effects of quantization while avoiding the substantial overhead of building specific hardware. To suppor…
StatQAT optimizes quantization for deep networks, reducing computational cost and memory usage.
problem Optimal quantization parameters selection for deep neural networks with diverse data distributions.
method Statistical error analysis framework for uniform and floating-point quantization, iterative and analytic quantizers designed for arbitrary and Gaussian-like distributions.
result Improved accuracy and stability in training low-precision neural networks.
Framework generates precise synthetic populations for scalable modeling.
problem Generating accurate synthetic populations without personal data.
method Constraint-programming framework encoding aggregated statistics and structural relations.
result Exact control of demographic profiles without requiring microdata.
Low-precision computation is often used to lower the time and energy cost of machine learning, and recently hardware accelerators have been developed to support it. Still, it has been used primarily for inference - not training. Previous low-precision training algorithms suffered from a fundamental tradeoff: as the num…
Paper proposes a statistical model for detecting mu-suppression in EEG signals.
problem Detecting mu-suppression in motor imagery EEG signals.
method Proposes a statistical model based on the generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) and a linear classifier.
result Preliminary results show good classification accuracy in detecting mu-suppression and distinguishing EEG events.
We consider the estimation and inference of graphical models that characterize the dependency structure of high-dimensional tensor-valued data. To facilitate the estimation of the precision matrix corresponding to each way of the tensor, we assume the data follow a tensor normal distribution whose covariance has a Kron…
Modern technologies are generating ever-increasing amounts of data. Making use of these data requires methods that are both statistically sound and computationally efficient. Typically, the statistical and computational aspects are treated separately. In this paper, we propose an approach to entangle these two aspects …
We study statistical risk minimization problems under a privacy model in which the data is kept confidential even from the learner. In this local privacy framework, we establish sharp upper and lower bounds on the convergence rates of statistical estimation procedures. As a consequence, we exhibit a precise tradeoff be…
This article provides, through theoretical analysis, an in-depth understanding of the classification performance of the empirical risk minimization framework, in both ridge-regularized and unregularized cases, when high dimensional data are considered. Focusing on the fundamental problem of separating a two-class Gauss…
The paper explores how multiway data from PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with specific covariance and precision estimators.
problem Tracking sparse and multiway structures in dynamical processes governed by PDEs.
method Examined several multiway covariance and precision matrix estimators in the context of physics-driven forecasting and EnKF.
result Multiway data from Poisson and convection-diffusion PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with appropriate estimators.
We propose a penalized likelihood method to jointly estimate multiple precision matrices for use in quadratic discriminant analysis and model based clustering. A ridge penalty and a ridge fusion penalty are used to introduce shrinkage and promote similarity between precision matrix estimates. Block-wise coordinate desc…
We provide additional statistical background for the methodology developed in the clinical analysis of knee osteoarthritis in "A Precision Medicine Approach to Develop and Internally Validate Optimal Exercise and Weight Loss Treatments for Overweight and Obese Adults with Knee Osteoarthritis" (Jiang et al. 2020). Jiang…
A new optimization algorithm for Gaussian Variational Inference on precision matrices.
problem Complex models with positive definite constraints on covariance matrices.
method Manifold Gaussian Variational Bayes (MGVBP) with natural gradient updates.
result Empirically validated as a feasible and efficient solution for VI in complex models.
We provide novel theoretical results regarding local optima of regularized M-estimators, allowing for nonconvexity in both loss and penalty functions. Under restricted strong convexity on the loss and suitable regularity conditions on the penalty, we prove that \emph{any stationary point} of the composite objective f…
Sparse Polyak improves high-dimensional statistical estimation.
problem High-dimensional statistical estimation problems with growing problem dimension.
method Sparse Polyak modifies Polyak's adaptive step size to estimate restricted Lipschitz smoothness.
result Sparse Polyak achieves optimal statistical precision with fewer iterations.
Bayesian interpolants explain neural network inferences concisely.
problem Understanding neural network inferences.
method Adapting Craig interpolants for neural networks.
result Produces precise, understandable explanations.
Efforts to reduce the numerical precision of computations in deep learning training have yielded systems that aggressively quantize weights and activations, yet employ wide high-precision accumulators for partial sums in inner-product operations to preserve the quality of convergence. The absence of any framework to an…
Study trade-offs between statistical and computational efficiency in variational inference.
problem Optimizing statistical accuracy vs. computational efficiency in Bayesian inference.
method Case study on Gaussian inferential models with diagonal plus low-rank precision matrices, analyzing Bayesian posterior inference and frequentist uncertainty quantification errors.
result Lower-rank models reduce variance and accelerate convergence but increase posterior inference error.
UCB algorithms improve on bandit problems with precise regret analysis and adaptive inference.
problem Understanding the performance and statistical inference of UCB algorithms in multi-armed bandit problems.
method Deterministic characterization of arm pulls and precise regret analysis.
result UCB algorithms' maximal regret deviates from minimax regret by a logarithmic factor, and the Lai-Robbins formula is exact only under specific conditions.
The inverse covariance matrix provides considerable insight for understanding statistical models in the multivariate setting. In particular, when the distribution over variables is assumed to be multivariate normal, the sparsity pattern in the inverse covariance matrix, commonly referred to as the precision matrix, cor…
While several papers have investigated computationally and statistically efficient methods for learning Gaussian mixtures, precise minimax bounds for their statistical performance as well as fundamental limits in high-dimensional settings are not well-understood. In this paper, we provide precise information theoretic …
Unified stopping rules ensure accurate policies in contextual learning.
problem Stopping data collection to ensure accurate policies in personalized decision problems.
method Developed unified stopping rules based on GLR statistics for pairwise action comparisons.
result Unified stopping rules achieve target precision with fewer samples than benchmarks.
Reweighting improves GAN accuracy without sacrificing statistical power.
problem Improving the fidelity of generative models.
method Post-hoc reweighting function applied to generated examples.
result Weighted GAN examples significantly improve accuracy.
Differentiable learning via SGD and GD can simulate various learning problems, depending on precision and minibatch size.
problem Understanding the power of differentiable learning via SGD and GD compared to statistical query (SQ) learning.
method Comparing the learning power of SGD and GD on population and empirical losses with statistical query learning.
result The learning power of SGD and GD depends on the precision of gradient calculations relative to the minibatch size or sample size.
Paper characterizes gradient descent in high-dimensional learning problems.
problem Understanding gradient descent dynamics in high-dimensional statistical learning.
method Non-asymptotic joint distributional characterization of gradient descent iterates and debiased statistics.
result Gradient descent iterates approximate normality after debiasing correction.
Study interpolating estimators for causal learning from observational data.
problem Learning causal models from observational data in complex model classes.
method Investigate min-norm interpolators and ridge-regularized regressors in a linearly confounded model.
result Interpolators cannot be optimal for causal learning under the principle of independent causal mechanisms, requiring stronger regularization.
Many statistical M-estimators are based on convex optimization problems formed by the combination of a data-dependent loss function with a norm-based regularizer. We analyze the convergence rates of projected gradient and composite gradient methods for solving such problems, working within a high-dimensional framewor…
Efficient tests achieve best error rates in high-dimensional hypothesis testing.
problem Achieving optimal error rates in computationally efficient hypothesis testing.
method Linear spectral statistics and low-degree likelihood ratio analysis.
result An efficient test achieves the best possible error rates among all computationally efficient tests.
New method unfolds distribution moments directly from data without binning.
problem Deconvolving detector distortions in particle physics.
method Uses machine learning, inspired by GANs, to unfold moments directly.
result More precise than bin-based approaches and comparable to unbinned methods.
Score matching offers efficient estimation for certain distributions.
problem Estimating probability distributions with intractable constants.
method Score matching as an alternative to maximum likelihood.
result Score matching is computationally and statistically efficient for certain distributions.
The paper sets fundamental limits for ERM in high dimensions.
problem Understanding statistical accuracy of ERM in high-dimensional settings.
method Sharp performance characterizations and tight lower bounds derived for generalized linear models.
result Optimal tuning of loss function and regularization parameter.
Structure discovery in graphical models is the determination of the topology of a graph that encodes conditional independence properties of the joint distribution of all variables in the model. For some class of probability distributions, an edge between two variables is present if and only if the corresponding entry i…
The paper aims to mathematically define and learn abstractions from data.
problem Defining and learning abstractions from data.
method Characterize abstractions as summaries for answering queries, define leakiness as a loss function, and generalize classical statistics.
result A mathematical theory of abstraction can be learned from data.
We investigate the efficiency of k-means in terms of both statistical and computational requirements. More precisely, we study a Nyström approach to kernel k-means. We analyze the statistical properties of the proposed method and show that it achieves the same accuracy of exact kernel k-means with only a fraction of co…
Study compares ML and DL methods for autism classification.
problem Classifying autism from healthy individuals using rs-fMRI data.
method Developed classification frameworks for rs-fMRI connectivity patterns.
result Best model achieved 71% accuracy on multisite ABIDE I data.
This paper tackles label-efficient evaluation in extreme class imbalance.
problem Challenges in obtaining a sufficient sample for accurate evaluation in tasks with extreme class imbalance.
method Develops a framework for online evaluation based on adaptive importance sampling.
result Establishes strong consistency and a central limit theorem for performance estimates.
The paper analyzes ℓ1-LinR for Ising model selection using statistical mechanics.
problem Model selection consistency of ℓ1-LinR for Ising models. method Replica method from statistical mechanics, ℓ1-regularized linear regression (ℓ1-LinR). result Model selection consistency with sample complexity $M=\mathcal{O}\left(\log N
ight)$.