The paper addresses statistical inference in matching markets with dependent missingness.
problem Statistical inference for two-sided matching markets with matching-induced dependence.
method Non-convex algorithm based on Grassmannian gradient descent, debiasing and projection framework.
result Near-optimal entrywise convergence rates for various matching mechanisms.
Flow matching KL divergence bound derived for smooth distributions.
problem Estimating smooth distributions efficiently.
method Deterministic upper bound on KL divergence derived from flow-matching loss.
result Flow matching achieves nearly minimax-optimal efficiency under TV distance.
Study uses complex networks and machine learning to predict soccer match outcomes.
problem Predicting soccer match outcomes with complex networks and machine learning.
method Complex network metrics and match statistics were used to build machine learning models.
result Models based on passing networks were as effective as traditional models using match statistics.
Flow Matching improves statistical guarantees through kernel density estimation.
problem Improving statistical guarantees for generative models.
method Connecting Flow Matching to kernel density estimation and verifying optimal rates of convergence.
result Flow Matching achieves optimal rates up to logarithmic factors for large networks and on lower-dimensional manifolds.
Score matching offers efficient estimation for certain distributions.
problem Estimating probability distributions with intractable constants.
method Score matching as an alternative to maximum likelihood.
result Score matching is computationally and statistically efficient for certain distributions.
This paper reviews methods for constructing confidence intervals for error rates in 1:1 matching tasks.
problem Challenges in assessing uncertainty of error rates in matching algorithms, especially when data are dependent and error rates are low.
method Derives and examines statistical properties of methods for constructing confidence intervals for error rates in 1:1 matching tasks.
result Coverage and interval width vary with sample size, error rates, and data dependence.
Score matching efficiency tied to distribution isoperimetric properties.
problem Understanding when score matching is as efficient as maximum likelihood.
method Connecting score matching efficiency to isoperimetric constants of distributions.
result Score matching is statistically efficient when the distribution has a small isoperimetric constant.
Generative models are reinterpreted in statistical terms, enabling better understanding and inference.
problem Insufficient interpretability of generative models in statistical terms.
method Flow matching and orthogonalization/cross-fitting in double/debiased machine learning.
result Generative models can be used to estimate nuisance components while maintaining inferential validity.
DDSME outperforms SME in estimating multimodal distributions.
problem Efficiency of score matching in multimodal distributions.
method Diffusion-based denoising score matching (DDSME) compared to vanilla score matching (SME).
result DDSME avoids the error bound deterioration of SME with increasing mode separation.
This paper develops a learning framework for optimal strategies in multi-stage decentralized matching markets.
problem Optimal strategies in multi-stage decentralized matching markets with uncertain preferences.
method Nonparametric statistical approach and variational analysis.
result Participants can be better off with multi-stage matching compared to single-stage matching.
New bounds for score matching in polynomial exponential families.
problem Understanding the sample complexity of score matching for polynomial exponential families.
method Non-asymptotic sample complexity analysis for score matching.
result First finite sample bounds for score matching in polynomial exponential families.
Closed-form flow matching yields similar performance to stochastic version, improving model performance.
problem Understanding why flow matching models generalize well.
method Empirical analysis and comparison of stochastic and closed-form flow matching losses.
result Closed-form flow matching can improve model performance.
SFM matches flows on statistical manifolds for better discrete generation.
problem Discrete generation on statistical manifolds with strong prior assumptions.
method Statistical Flow Matching (SFM) on manifold of categorical distributions using Fisher information metric.
result SFM achieves higher sampling quality and likelihood than other models.
New method improves SBI efficiency and scalability.
problem Scalability issues in SBI methods for large datasets.
method Langevin dynamics with score matching, exploiting likelihood structure.
result Structured score network enhances statistical efficiency and scalability.
A statistical algorithm for categorizing different types of matches and fraud in image databases is presented. The approach is based on a generative model of a graph representing images and connections between pairs of identities, trained using properties of a matching algorithm between images.
New method improves robust point matching under probabilistic settings.
problem Insufficient theoretical understanding of existing point matching methods.
method Distance profiles and modified matching procedure.
result Improved robustness under probabilistic settings.
Maximum likelihood learning with exponential families leads to moment-matching of the sufficient statistics, a classic result. This can be generalized to conditional exponential families and/or when there are hidden data. This document gives a first-principles explanation of these generalized moment-matching conditions…
We introduce new families of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM) for training Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN). Our IPMs are based on matching statistics of distributions embedded in a finite dimensional feature space. Mean and covariance feature matching IPMs allow for stable training of GANs, which we will call M…
Generative model for condensed matter using Riemannian flow matching.
problem Sampling equilibrium distributions in condensed-phase systems.
method Riemannian flow matching to incorporate periodicity, using Hutchinson's trace estimator and cumulant expansion for bias correction.
result Highly accurate free energy estimates on monatomic ice without multistage estimators.
Biased sampling and missing data complicates statistical problems ranging from causal inference to reinforcement learning. We often correct for biased sampling of summary statistics with matching methods and importance weighting. In this paper, we study nearest neighbor matching (NNM), which makes estimates of populati…
New method for DP inference on categorical data using fiducial matching.
problem Differential privacy complicates statistical inference for categorical data.
method Simulation-based fiducial matching approach.
result Valid and efficient for inferential tasks on categorical data.
Orthogonal matching pursuit (OMP) is a widely used algorithm for recovering sparse high dimensional vectors in linear regression models. The optimal performance of OMP requires \textit{a priori} knowledge of either the sparsity of regression vector or noise statistics. Both these statistics are rarely known \textit{a p…
Improved change point detection using matched filters for non-parametric tests.
problem False positives and localization ambiguity in non-parametric two-sample tests.
method Derived and applied matched filters for various two-sample tests.
result Matched filters reduce false positives and improve test precision.
We show that the Bregman divergence provides a rich framework to estimate unnormalized statistical models for continuous or discrete random variables, that is, models which do not integrate or sum to one, respectively. We prove that recent estimation methods such as noise-contrastive estimation, ratio matching, and sco…
Paper solves k-sparse parity problem with sign SGD, matching SQ lower bound.
problem Solving k-sparse parity problems efficiently.
method Sign stochastic gradient descent on neural networks.
result Matches Statistical Query lower bound for solving k-sparse parity problems.
Cellular Electron CryoTomography (CECT) is a 3D imaging technique that captures information about the structure and spatial organization of macromolecular complexes within single cells, in near-native state and at sub-molecular resolution. Although template matching is often used to locate macromolecules in a CECT imag…
HTFM improves mode coverage and tail-statistic recovery for heavy-tailed data.
problem Tackles heavy-tailed data in various domains with rare events.
method Proposes a framework using clock-conditioned Gaussian sources and truncated logsignature features.
result Improves mode coverage, sample quality, and tail-statistic recovery over Gaussian flow matching and baselines.
Flow matching adapts to manifold structures without diffusion.
problem Theoretical understanding of flow matching in manifold-supported settings.
method Flow matching with linear interpolation on smooth manifolds, analyzing velocity field and density estimator.
result Non-asymptotic convergence guarantee and statistical consistency of flow matching on manifolds.
GDT improves reinforcement learning by matching future state information efficiently.
problem Efficient learning of multi-task policies from trajectory data.
method Generalized Decision Transformer (GDT) for offline hindsight information matching.
result GDT enables effective offline multi-task state-marginal matching and imitation learning.
New inequalities for unbounded functions improve denoising score matching.
problem Statistical error bounds for denoising score matching with unbounded objective functions.
method Derive new concentration inequalities using McDiarmid's inequality and Rademacher complexity bounds.
result Improved statistical error bounds for denoising score matching.
Improved graph matching using covariates for network data integration.
problem Matching networks without unique identifiers.
method Two novel covariate-assisted seeded graph matching methods.
result Improved alignment accuracy through covariate information.
Unified framework for continuous-state discrete flow matching models.
problem Discrete generative modeling with continuous probabilities.
method Introducing α-Flow, a family of CS-DFM models based on information geometry. result Optimal flow matching loss for α-flow minimizes generalized kinetic energy. We study sparse group Lasso for high-dimensional double sparse linear regression, where the parameter of interest is simultaneously element-wise and group-wise sparse. This problem is an important instance of the simultaneously structured model -- an actively studied topic in statistics and machine learning. In the noi…
This work introduces a new data-driven estimator for the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound using score matching.
problem Benchmarking the performance of statistical estimators and providing a principled metric for system design and optimization.
method Score matching technique to estimate the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound from training data.
result Developed novel non-asymptotic bounds on the score matching error and the Bayesian CRB estimator.
The paper establishes bounds for score-matching in causal discovery and generative modeling.
problem Estimating causal relationships from data.
method Training a deep neural network to estimate the score function and applying it to causal discovery.
result Bounds on the error rate of causal discovery methods using score-matching.
Score matching is a popular method for estimating unnormalized statistical models. However, it has been so far limited to simple, shallow models or low-dimensional data, due to the difficulty of computing the Hessian of log-density functions. We show this difficulty can be mitigated by projecting the scores onto random…
Method learns statistics of return distributions via neural networks and maximum mean discrepancy.
problem Learning probability distributions in reinforcement learning.
method Maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) for learning unrestricted statistics of return distributions.
result Method outperforms standard distributional RL baselines on Atari games.
New method uses neural exponential families for likelihood-free inference.
problem Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference with intractable likelihood.
method Score Matching neural conditional exponential families for approximate likelihood.
result State-of-the-art performance in posterior sampling for intractable likelihood models.
QAOA matches classical tensor power iteration in spiked tensor model recovery.
problem Statistical estimation in spiked tensor model with computational gap.
method Analysis of QAOA performance on spiked tensor model.
result QAOA weak recovery threshold matches tensor power iteration.
In many statistical problems, a more coarse-grained model may be suitable for population-level behaviour, whereas a more detailed model is appropriate for accurate modelling of individual behaviour. This raises the question of how to integrate both types of models. Methods such as posterior regularization follow the id…
Automated denoising score matching handles nonlinear diffusion processes.
problem Nonlinear diffusion processes limit generative modeling and property estimation.
method Local-DSM using local increments and Taylor expansions.
result Tractable training and score estimation for nonlinear diffusion processes.
Fantasy Premier League (FPL) performance predictors tend to base their algorithms purely on historical statistical data. The main problems with this approach is that external factors such as injuries, managerial decisions and other tournament match statistics can never be factored into the final predictions. In this pa…
Bayesian method learns from aggregated quantile data.
problem Limited access to sensitive personal data.
method Bayesian quantile matching estimation based on order statistics.
result Correctly reflects uncertainty of empirical quantiles.
Efficient algorithm for matching graphs with community structure.
problem Graph matching between correlated stochastic block models with constant correlation.
method Partition trees rooted from each vertex, comparing edge statistics to different communities.
result First low-order polynomial-time algorithm achieving exact matching with high probability in dense graphs.
Uncertainty quantification has been a core of the statistical machine learning, but its computational bottleneck has been a serious challenge for both Bayesians and frequentists. We propose a model-based framework in quantifying uncertainty, called predictive-matching Generative Parameter Sampler (GPS). This procedure …
Paper studies matching of samples from two distributions with a Gibbs probability weight.
problem Matching two independent i.i.d. samples from two distributions with a weighted cost.
method Uses chaos decomposition of polynomial functions of empirical distributions to derive asymptotics.
result Convergence of resulting random joint distribution to Schrödinger problem solution as N→∞.
Proposes a dynamic matching algorithm for two-sided online markets.
problem Dynamic preferences in two-sided online matching platforms.
method Dynamic Matching Bandit Algorithm with statistical preference ranking estimation.
result Agent-optimal stable matching result with logarithmic regret bound.
Efficiently matches subgraphs in noisy data without node labels.
problem Subgraph isomorphism in noisy, real-valued graphs.
method Two-step approach: extract topology, then expand matches.
result Realistically sub-linear computational efficiency, robustness to noise.