A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Triangular flows ensure statistical consistency and fast rates in generative modeling.
Study lift metrics and connections on tangent bundles of Riemannian manifolds.
Using methods of statistical physics, we analyse the error of learning couplings in large Ising models from independent data (the inverse Ising problem). We concentrate on learning based on local cost functions, such as the pseudo-likelihood method for which the couplings are inferred independently for each spin. Assum…
Equations link metrics with tensors, revealing curvature constraints.
New gradient estimators for discrete variables improve model training.
Novel framework detects lead-lag relationships in Chinese A-share market.
Optimal coupling among random vectors with known statistics and correlation structure found using minimum spanning tree over measure-valued vertices.
Study reveals geometric context of second-order superintegrable systems.
The paper extends statistical estimation techniques under differential privacy.
Paper proposes C-STM for multimodal neuroimaging data classification.
Paper proposes a coupling-based diagnostic for SGD stepsize optimization.
We present a coupled Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) method that improves the accuracy and robustness of the probabilistic inferences on represented data. The new method models the dependency between input feature vectors (images) and weighs the outliers with a higher penalty by generalizing the original loss function t…
Statistic dynamics of financial systems is investigated, basing on a model of randomly coupled equation system driven by stochastic Langevin force. It is found that in stable regime the noise power spectrum of the system is of 1/f^alpha form, with the exponent alpha=3/2 in case of Hermitian coupling matrices, or slight…
How should statistical procedures be designed so as to be scalable computationally to the massive datasets that are increasingly the norm? When coupled with the requirement that an answer to an inferential question be delivered within a certain time budget, this question has significant repercussions for the field of s…
This work extends entropic optimal transport to non-product reference couplings, focusing on Gaussian cases.
The paper maps time-series onto networks to reveal hidden joint information.
This study compares different types of normalizing flows for generating complex distributions.
The paper develops a new algorithm for RBMs using dynamical mean-field theory.
Conditions for statistical structures on manifolds derived from solitons.
Study neural networks learning from noisy examples via reverberation.
Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading, separately. We show that periods characterized by the strong inter-stock coupling…
New EOT solvers estimate both plans and maps efficiently.
New theory predicts deep neural networks can operate in an extended critical regime without fine-tuning.
Statistical dynamics of financial systems is investigated, based on a model of a randomly coupled equation system driven by a stochastic Langevin force. Anticorrelations of price returns, and subdiffusion of prices is found from the model, and and compared with those calculated from historical $/EURO exchange rates.
The paper provides statistical guarantees for SGD and ASGD in high-dimensional settings.
A network-based approach identifies financial factors from asset interactions, explaining market dynamics.
We study historical dynamics of joint equilibrium distribution of stock returns in the U.S. stock market using the Boltzmann distribution model being parametrized by external fields and pairwise couplings. Within Boltzmann learning framework for statistical inference, we analyze historical behavior of the parameters in…
We propose a new method to estimate Wasserstein distances and optimal transport plans between two probability distributions from samples in high dimension. Unlike plug-in rules that simply replace the true distributions by their empirical counterparts, our method promotes couplings with low transport rank, a new struct…
Introduces a probabilistic framework for dimension reduction methods.
We consider the inverse Ising problem, i.e. the inference of network couplings from observed spin trajectories for a model with continuous time Glauber dynamics. By introducing two sets of auxiliary latent random variables we render the likelihood into a form, which allows for simple iterative inference algorithms with…
Traffic prediction plays a vital role in efficient planning and usage of network resources in wireless networks. While traffic prediction in wired networks is an established field, there is a lack of research on the analysis of traffic in cellular networks, especially in a content-blind manner at the user level. Here, …
Reasoning models generate differently based on problem difficulty, not just length.
We investigate the learning performance of the pseudolikelihood maximization method for inverse Ising problems. In the teacher-student scenario under the assumption that the teacher's couplings are sparse and the student does not know the graphical structure, the learning curve and order parameters are assessed in the …
New optimal transport divergences derived from scoring functions.
In this paper, we consider the block-sparse signals recovery problem in the context of multiple measurement vectors (MMV) with common row sparsity patterns. We develop a new method for recovery of common row sparsity MMV signals, where a pattern-coupled hierarchical Gaussian prior model is introduced to characterize bo…
Joint blind source separation (J-BSS) is an emerging data-driven technique for multi-set data-fusion. In this paper, J-BSS is addressed from a tensorial perspective. We show how, by using second-order multi-set statistics in J-BSS, a specific double coupled canonical polyadic decomposition (DC-CPD) problem can be formu…
Nonparametric Bayesian approaches to clustering, information retrieval, language modeling and object recognition have recently shown great promise as a new paradigm for unsupervised data analysis. Most contributions have focused on the Dirichlet process mixture models or extensions thereof for which efficient Gibbs sam…
Paper uses AI to improve medical diagnosis accuracy.
We examine the out-of-equilibrium phase reported by Plerou {\it et. al.} in Nature, {\bf 421}, 130 (2003) using the data of the New York stock market (NYSE) between the years 2001 --2002. We find that the observed two phase phenomenon is an artifact of the definition of the control parameter coupled with the nature of …
We investigate the low-dimensional structure of deterministic transformations between random variables, i.e., transport maps between probability measures. In the context of statistics and machine learning, these transformations can be used to couple a tractable "reference" measure (e.g., a standard Gaussian) with a tar…
In this paper, we propose an effective THresholding method based on ORder Statistic, called THORS, to convert an arbitrary scoring-type classifier, which can induce a continuous cumulative distribution function of the score, into a cost-sensitive one. The procedure, uses order statistic to find an optimal threshold for…
Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in machine learning have not been explored. In this paper, we compare four fundamental st…
One of the biggest challenges in the field of biomedical imaging is the comprehension and the exploitation of the photon scattering through disordered media. Many studies have pursued the solution to this puzzle, achieving light-focusing control or reconstructing images in complex media. In the present work, we investi…
The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is a representation of the statistical information discovered in binary classification problems and is a key concept in machine learning and data science. This paper studies the statistical properties of ROC curves and its implication on model selection. We analyze the …
Covariance shrinkage via stochastic interpolation
Motivated by the study of coupled Kähler-Einstein metrics by Hultgren and Witt Nyström and coupled Kähler-Ricci solitons by Hultgren, we study in this paper coupled Sasaki-Einstein metrics and coupled Sasaki-Ricci solitons. We first show an isomorphism between the Lie algebra of all transverse holomorphic vector fields…
In this work, an ensemble of economic interacting agents is considered. The agents are arranged in a linear array where only local couplings are allowed. The deterministic dynamics of each agent is given by a map. This map is expressed by two factors. The first one is a linear term that models the expansion of the agen…
Defines coupled embeddability for maps on products of spaces, generating examples and nonexamples.