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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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88176264352 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for statistical advantages

The scalability of statistical estimators is of increasing importance in modern applications. One approach to implementing scalable algorithms is to compress data into a low dimensional latent space using dimension reduction methods. In this paper we develop an approach for dimension reduction that exploits the assumpt…

2015-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse activations in neural networks are hard to exploit but lead to advantages in learning.

problem Sparse activations in neural networks are hard to exploit but lead to advantages in learning.
method Formal study of PAC learnability of MLP layers with activation sparsity.
result Classes of functions with activation sparsity lead to provable computational and statistical advantages over their non-sparse counterparts.

New method explains computational barriers in high-dimensional statistical models.

problem Understanding detection-recovery gaps in high-dimensional inference.
method Combining algorithmic contiguity and cross-validation reduction to obtain conditional computational lower bounds.
result Mild control of low-degree advantage is sufficient to explain computational barriers for recovery.

RQMC improves kernel-based learning by reducing deterministic error and offering computational advantages.

problem Improving kernel-based learning methods to reduce deterministic error and computational complexity.
method Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods applied to random feature approximations.
result RQMC methods improve deterministic approximation error bound from OP(1/M)O_P(1/\sqrt{M}) to O(1/M)O(1/M), matching QMC methods.

Lossy compression of statistical data using quantum annealing.

problem Efficiently compressing statistical floating-point data.
method Representation learning with binary variables, classical optimization of basis vectors, quantum annealing for coefficients, bias correction.
result Quantum annealing shows promising results with 3.5x better compression than neural-network autoencoders.

Improved generative models using overparametrized shallow neural networks.

problem Improving generative models for data with hidden low-dimensional structure.
method Using energy-based models with overparametrized shallow neural networks as approximators.
result Models trained in the 'active' regime outperform those in the 'lazy' or kernel regime, leading to better adaptivity to hidden structure.

Statistical boosting algorithms have triggered a lot of research during the last decade. They combine a powerful machine-learning approach with classical statistical modelling, offering various practical advantages like automated variable selection and implicit regularization of effect estimates. They are extremely fle…

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New method tightens variational representations of divergences for faster learning.

problem Improving tightness of variational representations of divergences for faster statistical estimation.
method Improved objective functionals constructed via an auxiliary optimization problem, leveraging neural network approximation.
result Tighter variational representations can result in significantly faster learning and more accurate estimation of divergences.

A new test statistic measures discrepancy between conditional distributions.

problem Measuring the discrepancy between two conditional distributions.
method Proposes a Bregman matrix divergence-based statistic that avoids explicit distribution estimation.
result The new statistic inherits high-order statistics and demonstrates utility in multi-task learning, concept drift detection, and feature selection.

Many modern big data applications feature large scale in both numbers of responses and predictors. Better statistical efficiency and scientific insights can be enabled by understanding the large-scale response-predictor association network structures via layers of sparse latent factors ranked by importance. Yet sparsit…

2017-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The statistical leverage scores of a complex matrix ACn×dA\in\mathbb{C}^{n\times d} record the degree of alignment between col(A)(A) and the coordinate axes in Cn\mathbb{C}^n. These score are used in random sampling algorithms for solving certain numerical linear algebra problems. In this paper we present a max-plus algebr…

2016-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The estimation of advantage is crucial for a number of reinforcement learning algorithms, as it directly influences the choices of future paths. In this work, we propose a family of estimates based on the order statistics over the path ensemble, which allows one to flexibly drive the learning process, towards or agains…

2019-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses quantum annealing and VAN for better statistical mechanics calculations.

problem Difficulty in computing partition function in statistical mechanics.
method Combines quantum annealing samples with variational autoregressive networks.
result Enhanced accuracy in finite-size Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model.

DRL agents perform poorly at high decision frequencies, but a new algorithm improves performance.

problem DRL agents struggle at high decision frequencies, leading to poor performance.
method Proved that DRL agents' action-conditioned return distributions collapse to their policy's return distribution as decision frequency increases. Defined superiority as a probabilistic generalization of advantage for high-frequency value-based RL.
result Proper modeling of superiority distribution improves performance of controllers at high decision frequencies.

We developed a strategic of optimal portfolio based on information theory and Tsallis statistics. The growth rate of a stock market is defined by using qq-deformed functions and we find that the wealth after n days with the optimal portfolio is given by a qq-exponential function. In this context, the asymptotic optim…

2018-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The study examines how experimental design choices affect machine learning model performance.

problem Lack of guidelines on choosing experimental designs and machine learning models.
method 12 experimental designs, 7 families of predictive models, 7 test functions, 8 noise settings.
result Guidelines for practical applications of DOE and ML are provided.

Machine learning approaches to multi-label document classification have to date largely relied on discriminative modeling techniques such as support vector machines. A drawback of these approaches is that performance rapidly drops off as the total number of labels and the number of labels per document increase. This pr…

2011-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

A new trading strategy using reinforcement learning for statistical arbitrage.

problem Traditional statistical arbitrage models rely on model assumptions and price deviations from a long-term mean.
method Empirical reversion time metric, reinforcement learning framework, and state space optimization.
result Optimal mean reversion strategy identified through reinforcement learning.

Scalability of statistical estimators is of increasing importance in modern applications and dimension reduction is often used to extract relevant information from data. A variety of popular dimension reduction approaches can be framed as symmetric generalized eigendecomposition problems. In this paper we outline how t…

2012-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Label switching is a phenomenon arising in mixture model posterior inference that prevents one from meaningfully assessing posterior statistics using standard Monte Carlo procedures. This issue arises due to invariance of the posterior under actions of a group; for example, permuting the ordering of mixture components …

2019-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper compares neural networks and classical statistics for dementia prediction, highlighting interpretability of classical methods.

problem Tackles the challenge of interpreting risk factors for dementia prediction.
method Compares neural networks and classical statistics for dementia prediction.
result Classical statistics provide clearer interpretation of risk factors compared to neural networks.

We propose a general framework for solving statistical mechanics of systems with finite size. The approach extends the celebrated variational mean-field approaches using autoregressive neural networks, which support direct sampling and exact calculation of normalized probability of configurations. It computes variation…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Matérn processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown values. Although similar models have been proposed in the econometric, statistics, a…

2015-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Many models of interest in the natural and social sciences have no closed-form likelihood function, which means that they cannot be treated using the usual techniques of statistical inference. In the case where such models can be efficiently simulated, Bayesian inference is still possible thanks to the Approximate Baye…

2011-07-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of empirically sampled sequences are available to a decision maker. The decision maker…

2019-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Value functions struggle to represent transition dynamics, impacting statistical efficiency.

problem Limited representational power of value functions in capturing transition dynamics.
method Case studies of various reinforcement learning problems to explore the limitations of value-based methods.
result Value-based methods can be as efficient as model-based ones in some cases but severely underperform in others due to information loss.

Study shows limitations and possibilities of learning quantum circuit output distributions.

problem Learnability of output distributions of local quantum circuits.
method Investigated within two oracle models: statistical query model and direct sample access model.
result Output distributions of super-logarithmic depth Clifford circuits are not efficiently learnable in the statistical query model.

EFI automates statistical inference for big data.

problem Statistical inference for model parameters based on observations.
method EFI uses stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo and sparse deep neural networks.
result EFI provides higher fidelity in parameter estimation and automates the inference process.

We study the information content of nuclear masses from the perspective of global models of nuclear binding energies. To this end, we employ a number of statistical methods and diagnostic tools, including Bayesian calibration, Bayesian model averaging, chi-square correlation analysis, principal component analysis, and …

2020-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithms for Gaussian process, marginal likelihood methods or restricted maximum likelihood methods often require derivatives of log determinant terms. These log determinants are usually parametric with variance parameters of the underlying statistical models. This paper demonstrates that, when the underlying matrix …

2019-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate a generic problem of learning pairwise exponential family graphical models with pairwise sufficient statistics defined by a global mapping function, e.g., Mercer kernels. This subclass of pairwise graphical models allow us to flexibly capture complex interactions among variables beyond pairwise product. …

2013-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a novel sparse tensor decomposition method, namely Tensor Truncated Power (TTP) method, that incorporates variable selection into the estimation of decomposition components. The sparsity is achieved via an efficient truncation step embedded in the tensor power iteration. Our method applies to a broad family …

2015-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This survey is an introduction to positive definite kernels and the set of methods they have inspired in the machine learning literature, namely kernel methods. We first discuss some properties of positive definite kernels as well as reproducing kernel Hibert spaces, the natural extension of the set of functions $\{k(x…

2009-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New robust algorithms improve learning with feature feedback.

problem Interactive learning with discriminative feature feedback.
method Developed new robust interactive learning algorithms with improved mistake bounds.
result Achieved significantly lower mistake bounds in adversarial and stochastic settings.

New method for analyzing compositional data, addressing biases in summary statistics.

problem Inadequate effect measures for compositional data, especially in high-dimensionality and sparsity.
method Perturbation-based effect measures, average perturbation effects.
result Proposed estimators efficiently estimate average perturbation effects, outperforming existing techniques.