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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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316292123 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for stakeholder impact

Proposes a method to infer the distributional impacts of predictive models on stakeholders.

problem The influence of predictive models on target variable distribution, leading to performative prediction.
method Modeling agents' responses as a cost-adjusted utility maximization problem and using optimal transport to align pre- and post-model distributions.
result Provides estimates for the cost associated with these responses and demonstrates the quality of these estimates.

Community-based system dynamics improves ML fairness by involving excluded stakeholders.

problem Bias in ML system development during problem formulation.
method Community-based system dynamics (CBSD) for stakeholder participation.
result CBSD facilitates deeper problem understanding and bias mitigation.

Decision support systems (e.g., for ecological conservation) and autonomous systems (e.g., adaptive controllers in smart cities) start to be deployed in real applications. Although their operations often impact many users or stakeholders, no fairness consideration is generally taken into account in their design, which …

2019-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The study predicts bankruptcy in Indian companies using financial ratios.

problem Predicting early signs of corporate bankruptcy in Indian companies.
method Logistic regression considering profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios for one and two years before bankruptcy.
result The model accurately predicts bankruptcy with 81.4% and 85.1% accuracy one and two years before filing, respectively.

CCVA adjusts for climate change impacts on financial valuation.

problem Climate change impacts on financial valuation are currently ignored.
method Flexible parameterization to capture climate impacts on hazard rates.
result Significant impacts on interest rate swaps even with slow climate change.

Financial decisions impact our lives, and thus everyone from the regulator to the consumer is interested in fair, sound, and explainable decisions. There is increasing competitive desire and regulatory incentive to deploy AI mindfully within financial services. An important mechanism towards that end is to explain AI d…

2019-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

EXAGREE selects a stakeholder-aligned model to reduce conflicting explanations in machine learning.

problem Conflicting explanations from different attribution methods limit the adoption of machine learning models in safety-critical domains.
method EXAGREE is a two-stage framework that selects a Stakeholder-Aligned Explanation Model (SAEM) from a set of similar-performing models, maximizing Stakeholder-Machine Agreement (SMA).
result EXAGREE achieves simultaneous gains in faithfulness, plausibility, and fairness over baselines while preserving task accuracy.

NFTs raise concerns like scams, racism, and sexism; centralization vs decentralization debate.

problem Concerns and value judgments of stakeholders in NFT market.
method Mixed quantitative and qualitative methods: social media analysis and interviews.
result Identified financial scams, counterfeit NFTs, hacking, and unethical NFTs as major issues.

Proposes measuring fairness through multiple stakeholder-curated stress tests.

problem Limited power of rigid fairness metrics and lack of stakeholder involvement in fairness discussions.
method Shift focus from fairness metrics to stress tests curated by stakeholders.
result Machine's performance under multiple stress tests reflects fairness.

Managers of US National Forests must decide what policy to apply for dealing with lightning-caused wildfires. Conflicts among stakeholders (e.g., timber companies, home owners, and wildlife biologists) have often led to spirited political debates and even violent eco-terrorism. One way to transform these conflicts into…

2017-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Calls to arms to build interpretable models express a well-founded discomfort with machine learning. Should a software agent that does not even know what a loan is decide who qualifies for one? Indeed, we ought to be cautious about injecting machine learning (or anything else, for that matter) into applications where t…

2017-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Explainable machine learning offers the potential to provide stakeholders with insights into model behavior by using various methods such as feature importance scores, counterfactual explanations, or influential training data. Yet there is little understanding of how organizations use these methods in practice. This st…

2019-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The Prescriptive Canvas improves business outcomes by directly prescribing actions based on predictions.

problem Sub-optimal performance in business projects due to a two-step approach of prediction and decision-making.
method The Prescriptive Canvas methodology for framing and communicating actions directly based on predictions.
result Improves framing and communication across stakeholders for successful business impact.

Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.

problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.

Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.

problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.

Sample-Rank simplifies MO recommendations by sampling and ranking, improving revenue with stable conversion rates.

problem Multi-objective recommendations in online food ordering systems.
method Multi-goal sampling followed by ranking, reducing MO problem to LTR model.
result Significant lift in revenue (2.64%) with stable conversion rates, no drop in last-mile traversal.

This work shifts focus from prediction to intervention in social systems.

problem The limitations of focusing solely on prediction in automated decision systems.
method Shift from prediction-focused paradigm to intervention-oriented approach.
result A new perspective unifies statistical frameworks and tools for ADS design, implementation, and evaluation.

Study shows activist board representation improves Japanese companies' performance.

problem Lack of innovation and improvement in Japanese companies.
method Examined two Japanese companies with activist board representation, analyzing performance metrics.
result Companies with activist board representation experienced significant improvements in stock returns and operational metrics.

This paper introduces STAP to measure DEX efficiency and shows better routing algorithms increase DEX performance and stakeholder benefits.

problem Measuring and improving the efficiency of decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
method Introduces STAP as a measure of DEX efficiency and compares two routing algorithms.
result Better routing algorithms improve DEX efficiency and stakeholder benefits.

Paper models uncertainty in electricity and gas markets to assess its impact.

problem Addressing uncertainties in coupled electricity and gas markets.
method Integrated and stochastic optimisation approaches for large-scale energy systems.
result Quantifies the value of encoding uncertainty in models.

Study uses VC correlation to uncover directional financial relationships.

problem Understanding causal relationships between financial variables.
method Volatility constrained correlation (VC correlation) method.
result Operating income is most influential, while market capitalization and revenue are most susceptible.

Models assess how USDA orange production forecasts impact FCOJ market decisions.

problem High volatility in FCOJ futures due to limited U.S. orange production.
method Developed models to assess the impact of USDA October orange production forecasts on FCOJ market participants.
result Probabilistic forecasts of USDA production forecast error can reduce FCOJ price volatility.

Improved NTL detection using human-in-the-loop approach with explainability.

problem Challenges in detecting NTL due to biased data and black-box models.
method Human-in-the-loop approach with explanatory methods to guide model training.
result Improved accuracy, interpretability, robustness, and flexibility of the prediction model.

Study reveals trade dynamics in dry bulk shipping networks, highlighting their randomness and periodic changes.

problem Understanding the randomness and periodic changes in dry bulk shipping networks.
method Analysis of micro-level trade flow data from 2015 to 2023, focusing on grain, coal, and iron ore networks.
result Dry bulk shipping networks exhibit small-world phenomena and periodic life cycles, influenced by importing ports and global events.

The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.

problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.

We discuss Russia's underlying motives for issuing its government-backed cryptocurrency, CryptoRuble, and the implications thereof and of other likely-soon-forthcoming government-issued cryptocurrencies to some stakeholders (populace, governments, economy, finance, etc.), existing decentralized cryptocurrencies (such a…

2018-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict the next-day Closing price (one step ahead). Based on a four-step approach, this …

2020-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗