I-SPEC learns stable models from data without full causal knowledge.
problem Learning models that generalize well across shifts in environment.
method End-to-end framework using partial ancestral graph to learn stable interventional distribution.
result I-SPEC can learn robust models without full causal knowledge.
New method identifies stable latent variables across different domains using weak distributional invariances.
problem Learning causal representations for multi-domain datasets.
method Autoencoders incorporating weak distributional invariances.
result Autoencoders can identify stable latent variables across different domains.
Game theory approach to predicting and responding to interventions based on causal relationships.
problem Optimizing predictions and interventions in response to observational data.
method Prediction-intervention game framework, focusing on invariant subsets of covariates.
result Stable-blanket predictors are optimal for certain follower objectives and under specific conditions.
This paper extends stable blanket theory to models with hidden variables and causal cycles.
problem Identifying stable predictors in models with hidden variables and causal cycles.
method Use acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs) and directed graphs (DGs) with m m m -separation and σ σ σ -separation to characterize and construct intervention-stable predictor sets. result Graphical characterizations of Markov blankets, stable frontiers, and stable blankets in models with hidden variables and cycles.
The paper presents a method to estimate joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
problem Estimating joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
method The paper extends the Causal Maximum Entropy method to use interventional data and employs Lagrange duality to prove the solution lies in the exponential family.
result The method allows for causal feature selection and inference of joint interventional distributions.
Simplified identification methods for causal inference with arbitrary interventional distributions.
problem Estimating cause-effect relationships from data with experimental interventions.
method Using Single World Intervention Graphs and nested model factorization, we provide algorithms for identifying causal parameters from mixed observational and interventional distributions.
result Our algorithms are complete for certain types of interventional marginal distributions.
Paper characterizes causal graphs from hard interventions and proposes a learning algorithm.
problem Discovering causal structure from hard interventions and observational data.
method Proposes graphical constraints and a learning algorithm based on do-calculus.
result Characterizes interventional equivalence classes of causal graphs with latent variables.
New method disentangles mixed interventional and observational data in SEMs.
problem Learning causal relationships from mixed interventional and observational data.
method Developed a method to disentangle mixed interventional and observational data in linear SEMs with Gaussian noise.
result The method can identify causal graphs up to their interventional Markov Equivalence Class.
CAN learns conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.
problem Learning conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.
method CAN framework with LGN and CIGN architectures, equipped with an intervention mechanism.
result CAN generates both interventional and conditional samples without needing the causal graph.
Combines adversarial and interventional robustness for machine learning models.
problem Designing robust models for distribution shifts in machine learning.
method RISe formulation using distributionally robust optimization.
result Demonstrates efficacy of RISe approach with synthetic and real-world datasets.
New method identifies causal relationships from interventions in complex systems.
problem Learning causal representations from unknown, latent interventions with general nonlinear mixing.
method Strong identifiability results with unknown single-node interventions, using geometric structure of transformed data.
result First instance of causal identifiability from non-paired interventions for deep neural network embeddings.
FMI uses matching to mimic interventions for causal feature learning.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational data.
method Feature Matching Intervention (FMI) using matching to emulate perfect interventions.
result FMI outperforms in identifying causal features from observational data.
A new diffusion model encodes causal structures for better interventional sampling and edge inference.
problem Lack of causal analysis in standard diffusion models.
method Causality-encoded diffusion framework that trains conditional models consistent with a directed acyclic graph.
result The method enables accurate interventional sampling and edge inference, with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.
New method verifies formulas for causal interventional distributions.
problem Deciding if a given formula correctly identifies an interventional distribution.
method Proposed a falsifier to check if a formula is identifying.
result Falsifier can induce an almost-surely correct verifier for certain models.
Paper axiomatizes interventional probability distributions.
problem Causal inference and intervention.
method Axiomatization of interventional families.
result Markovian property of intervened distributions.
Interventional data helps identify latent factors without distributional assumptions.
problem Identifying latent factors from interventional data without distributional assumptions.
method Leveraging geometric signatures of latent factors' support from interventional data.
result Latent causal factors can be identified up to permutation and scaling given data from perfect do-interventions.
Bayesian ATM improves stability and efficiency in mobile health interventions.
problem Balancing intervention efficacy with user burden in mobile health interventions.
method Bayesian extension to ATM using Kalman filter-style updates.
result Bayesian ATM achieves comparable or improved scalarized returns with lower variance and more stable policy behavior.
ISAAC audits deep models for drug-target interactions, revealing structural differences.
problem Deep models for DTI often use irrelevant features, making them hard to evaluate.
method ISAAC uses intervention-based structural auditing to evaluate model sensitivity.
result ISAAC reveals significant structural differences in DTI models' reasoning.
Bayesian method for inferring causal relations from mixed observational and interventional data.
problem Challenges in causal inference from heterogeneous study conditions with unknown soft interventions.
method Interventional Bayesian Gaussian equivalent score for a mixture of observational and interventional data.
result Effective characterisation of posterior distributions of causal structures and intervention effects.
Local approach learns causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.
problem Learning causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.
method First learns the skeleton and then orients edges of the polytree using second order statistics and low-dimensional marginal distributions.
result Consistent and scalable approach that handles problems with thousands of nodes.
Efficiently infers interventional distributions from observational data.
problem Inferring interventional distributions from limited observational data.
method Polynomial-time algorithm for causal Bayesian networks.
result Efficient algorithm for generating close approximations to interventional distributions.
Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.
A-ICP selects experiments to learn causal effects efficiently.
problem Learning causal effects from observational data is difficult.
method Active learning framework based on Invariant Causal Prediction.
result Proposes intervention selection policies to reveal direct causes.
This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.
problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.
Study identifies components of unknown interventions in a mixture.
problem Identify components of a mixture of unknown interventions on a causal Bayesian Network.
method Construct example showing components not identifiable. Prove identifiability under mild conditions. Develop efficient algorithm for recovery. Analyze performance in simulation.
result Components of a mixture of unknown interventions can be uniquely identified under certain conditions.
Causal Bayesian networks interpret actions as interventions to connect models to real-world outcomes.
problem Connecting causal model predictions to real-world outcomes.
method Formal framework to interpret actions as interventions and prove impossibility results.
result No non-circular interpretation exists that satisfies natural desiderata without violating some.
Proposes DRIG for robust predictions using noise interventions.
problem Developing robust prediction models against distribution shifts.
method Distributional Robustness via Invariant Gradients (DRIG) exploiting general noise interventions.
result DRIG yields robust predictions among a data-dependent class of distribution shifts.
Bayesian method estimates intervention effects in non-linear data.
problem Causal discovery from observational data with non-linear relationships.
method Gaussian Process Networks (GPN) with Bayesian estimation and Monte Carlo methods.
result Approach accurately identifies and reflects uncertainty of causal estimates.
The paper tackles causal bandits for SEMs, proposing algorithms that avoid estimating 2 N 2^N 2 N reward distributions.
problem Designing an optimal sequence of interventions in causal graphical models to minimize cumulative regret.
method Proposes two algorithms for causal bandits for linear structural equation models (SEMs), avoiding the estimation of 2 N 2^N 2 N reward distributions. result Cumulative regrets scale as i l d e O ( d L + 1 2 N T ) ilde{\cal O} (d^{L+\frac{1}{2}} \sqrt{NT}) i l d e O ( d L + 2 1 N T ) under bounded noise and parameter space. Paper tackles confounded ANMs, estimating ACEs with minimal interventions.
problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Interventional distributions and randomized algorithm to reduce the number of required interventions.
result Poly-logarithmic number of interventions sufficient to infer causal effects in confounded ANMs.
In foreign exchange markets monotonic rate changes can be observed in time scale of order of an hour on the days that governmental interventions took place. We estimate the starting time of an intervention using this characteristic behavior of the exchange rates. We find that big amount of interventions can shift the a…
Method identifies unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from diverse data.
problem Identifying unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from heterogeneous data.
method Two-phase approach: first recovers exogenous noises, second matches with endogenous variables.
result Proposed method uniquely identifies intervention targets under causal sufficiency assumption.
Bayesian method for causal discovery from unknown general interventions.
problem Learning causal DAGs from unknown interventions that modify parent sets.
method Bayesian approach with MCMC for approximating posterior DAGs and intervention targets.
result Bayesian method can identify DAGs and intervention targets up to equivalence classes.
Intervention loss stabilizes GAN training and reduces mode collapse.
problem Stabilizing GAN training and mitigating mode collapse.
method Intervention loss regularization term introduced into GAN objective.
result Improved GAN training stability and reduced mode collapse.
Efficiently estimates causal effects from observational data.
problem Estimating the effect of atomic interventions using observational samples.
method Quantitative analysis of causal graphs, algorithm with sample and time complexity.
result Algorithm that estimates causal effects with high probability and low TV distance.
Triangulation filters spurious circuits in multilingual models.
problem Unreliable explanations of multilingual models across languages.
method Formalizes reference families and introduces triangulation as a causal acceptance rule.
result Triangulation provides a falsifiable standard for mechanistic claims.
Method estimates causal effects from combined interventional and observational data.
problem Estimating causal effects from unobserved confounders.
method Causal reduction method replacing latent confounders with a single latent confounder.
result Improves estimation accuracy from combined data without observing all confounders.
Classical supervised learning produces unreliable models when training and target distributions differ, with most existing solutions requiring samples from the target domain. We propose a proactive approach which learns a relationship in the training domain that will generalize to the target domain by incorporating pri…
Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, turning unconfounded into confounded relations.
problem Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, leading to paradoxical confounding.
method Analysis of how aggregated variables can change the definition of causality and the feasibility of causal relations.
result Macro causal relations are defined by micro states, not just aggregated variables.
We study the problem of separating a mixture of distributions, all of which come from interventions on a known causal bayesian network. Given oracle access to marginals of all distributions resulting from interventions on the network, and estimates of marginals from the mixture distribution, we want to recover the mixi…
COCA refactors training data to identify and erase unsafe concepts in LLMs.
problem Identifying and erasing unsafe concepts in Large Language Models (LLMs) for safety alignment.
method Concept Concentration (COCA) refactors training data with an explicit reasoning process to identify and erase unsafe concepts.
result COCA significantly reduces both in-distribution and out-of-distribution jailbreak success rates while maintaining strong performance on regular tasks.
Algorithm identifies missing data distributions in graphical models.
problem Identifying missing data distributions in graphical models with interventionist perspective.
method Tree-based identification algorithm that tracks selection bias and admissible intervention strategies.
result Valid estimating equations for missingness mechanism and complete data distribution.
Controlled interventions provide the most direct source of information for learning causal effects. In particular, a dose-response curve can be learned by varying the treatment level and observing the corresponding outcomes. However, interventions can be expensive and time-consuming. Observational data, where the treat…
Meta-learning model predicts intervention effects from uncertain causal graphs.
problem Estimating intervention effects when causal structures are uncertain.
method Model-Averaged Causal Estimation Transformer Neural Process (MACE-TNP) using meta-learning.
result MACE-TNP outperforms Bayesian baselines in predicting intervention distributions.
Study identifies causal relationships without direct supervision from unknown interventions.
problem Identify causal relationships from unknown interventions without direct supervision.
method General nonparametric setting with multiple datasets from unknown interventions.
result Identify ground truth latents and causal graph up to ambiguities.
Cycles in causal learning cause feedback loops under intervention.
problem Cyclic causal structures lead to feedback loops in causal inference.
method Theoretical observations about self-referential distributions and their factorizations.
result Cyclic causal dependence can exist even when observational data suggest independence.
DIV estimates entire interventional distribution using generative modeling.
problem Estimating entire interventional distribution in presence of unmeasured confounding.
method Distributional Instrumental Variable (DIV) using generative modeling.
result DIV identifies causal effects under 'under-identified' cases, improving over existing IV approaches.
ADIGen: Automatic, Debiased, and Invariant Counterfactual Generation
problem Generative models for counterfactual outcomes
method ADIGen combines Riesz regression, causal invariance, and orthogonal statistical learning
result ADIGen controls counterfactual risk under general interventions