Study detects SLI in children from spontaneous narrative transcripts.
problem Detecting Specific Language Impairment (SLI) in children.
method Three-stage pipeline: feature extraction, dimensionality reduction, and classification.
result 97.13% accuracy in identifying SLI from transcripts.
Study finds strong link between crypto narratives and prices.
problem Understanding the impact of crypto narratives on prices.
method Topic modeling of Twitter data combined with sentiment analysis.
result Strong correlation between narratives and crypto prices.
Platform combines RL and language models to study narrative influence on AI decisions.
problem Understanding how narrative elements shape AI decision-making.
method Dual-system architecture with reinforcement learning and language model integration.
result Initial experiments show narrative frameworks can influence AI decision-making.
Automated prediction of valence, one key feature of a person's emotional state, from individuals' personal narratives may provide crucial information for mental healthcare (e.g. early diagnosis of mental diseases, supervision of disease course, etc.). In the Interspeech 2018 ComParE Self-Assessed Affect challenge, the …
Improved earnings predictions through text-morphed earnings calls.
problem Improving earnings prediction models using narrative information.
method Introducing a text-morphing methodology to generate counterfactual transcripts.
result Analysts over-react to sentiment and under-react to risk and uncertainty.
Algorithm improves SLR efficiency in financial narratives.
problem Fragmented understanding of financial narratives.
method NLP, clustering, interpretability tools.
result Unified narrative modeling approaches needed.
Study reveals AI's spontaneous topic changes in text prediction.
problem AI's inability to spontaneously switch topics like humans.
method Defined topic as Token Priority Graphs (TPGs) and analyzed self-attention models.
result AI can only switch topics if lower-priority tokens outnumber higher-priority ones.
A new platform models how narratives influence financial markets.
problem Explaining irrational market behaviors through narratives.
method Integrated opinion dynamics and agent-based modeling.
result Initial results show how narratives shape financial outcomes.
Automatic understanding of domain specific texts in order to extract useful relationships for later use is a non-trivial task. One such relationship would be between railroad accidents' causes and their correspondent descriptions in reports. From 2001 to 2016 rail accidents in the U.S. cost more than $4.6B. Railroads i…
This paper provides an attempt to formalize Hayek's notion of spontaneous order within the framework of the Arrow-Debreu economy. Our study shows that if a competitive economy is enough fair and free, then a spontaneous economic order shall emerge in long-run competitive equilibria so that social members together occup…
Paper analyzes systematic jump risk around the clock using news narratives.
problem Identifying and managing priced risks in real-time market conditions.
method Combining high-frequency market data with news narratives classified by an LLM.
result Significant heterogeneity in risk premia, with macroeconomic news commanding the largest premium.
Study on spontaneous symmetry breaking in financial markets using quantum mechanics.
problem Analyzing spontaneous symmetry breaking in financial markets.
method Using Hamiltonian form of Black-Scholes and Merton-Garman equations, analyzing symmetry breaking and interpreting Nambu-Goldstone bosons.
result Interpretation of Nambu-Goldstone bosons in financial markets.
CrystalCandle creates user-friendly explanations for machine learning models.
problem Low trust in predictive models due to lack of interpretability.
method End-to-end pipeline for model interpretation, including Model Importer, Interpreter, Narrative Generator, and Exporter.
result CrystalCandle leads to higher adoption rates and improved downstream metrics.
The article explores Helfrich flow with spontaneous curvature, finding singularities and convergence behaviors.
problem Understanding the long-time behavior of Helfrich flow with spontaneous curvature.
method Analyzing the gradient flow of a locally area- and volume-constrained Willmore flow, and applying it to the Helfrich flow.
result For negative spontaneous curvature, the Helfrich flow exhibits finite-time singularities; for positive spontaneous curvature, it converges globally.
Study finds whitepaper narratives do not predict market factor structure.
problem Predicting market behavior from cryptocurrency whitepaper claims.
method Zero-shot NLP classification combined with CP tensor decomposition of market data.
result Weak alignment between whitepaper claims and market statistics and latent factors.
Detects systematic anomalies in consumer complaints using NLP.
problem Detecting small, frequent anomalies in consumer complaints.
method NLP conversion of narratives, followed by anomaly detection algorithm.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of NLP for detecting systematic anomalies.
Investigates spontaneous symmetry breaking in non-equilibrium systems.
problem Spontaneous symmetry breaking of ergodicity in non-equilibrium systems.
method Mathematical and effective field theory approaches to investigate symmetry breaking.
result Symmetry breaking phenomena observed in stochastic processes.
The paper connects financial vacuum conditions to spontaneous symmetry breaking in quantum finance.
problem Understanding the conditions under which the martingale condition is a non-degenerate vacuum.
method Expressing financial equations in Hamiltonian form and analyzing symmetry breaking.
result Conditions for the martingale condition to be a non-degenerate vacuum are identified.
Models predict Alzheimer's Dementia from spontaneous speech with high accuracy.
problem Early diagnosis of Alzheimer's Dementia (AD) through spontaneous speech analysis.
method Compared natural language processing techniques including SVM, GBDT, CRFs, and Transformer-based models.
result Top models achieve 0.81-0.82 test set scores for AD vs controls and 4.58 RMSE for Mental Mini State Exam scores.
Narrative disclosures in 10-K filings improve bankruptcy prediction beyond accounting ratios.
problem Traditional bankruptcy prediction models rely on accounting ratios, which may not capture early warning signals.
method Developed a PB Stress Score based on distress-specific language in 10-K narratives, evaluated against accounting and dictionary benchmarks.
result Adding the PB Stress Score increases AUC from 0.8323 to 0.9019 and improves top-decile bankruptcy capture from 44.12% to 64.71%.
Analyst reports contain valuable information for investment decisions.
problem Investment value in analyst reports is not fully understood or utilized.
method Embedded analyst reports with LLMs and ML forecasts of future returns.
result Portfolios formed on analyst report narratives outperform numerical forecasts and established factors.
Study on dynamic curves with elastic energy and spontaneous curvature.
problem Modeling and analyzing dynamic planar curves with elastic energy.
method Gradient flow of inclination angle, nonlocal quasilinear system, local well-posedness, global existence, convergence.
result Local well-posedness, global existence, convergence of the flow for weak regularity initial data.
LLMs can help explain credit risk models but not autonomously.
problem Leveraging LLMs for post-hoc explainability in credit risk models.
method Comparison of LLM outputs with SHAP and coefficient-based attributions on three LMs.
result LLMs reliably preserve feature-importance rankings but poorly align with autonomous explanations.
Recent theoretical advances in elasticity of membranes following Helfrich's famous spontaneous curvature model are summarized in this review. The governing equations describing equilibrium configurations of lipid vesicles, lipid membranes with free edges, and chiral lipid membranes are presented. Several analytic solut…
New model suggests universe emerges from single particle quantum mechanics.
problem Exploring how the universe might arise from a single particle in quantum mechanics.
method Novel spontaneous symmetry breaking acting on probability distributions of Hamiltonians.
result Evidence supports the hypothesis that nature seeks tensor decompositions.
Permutation of any two hidden units yields invariant properties in typical deep generative neural networks. This permutation symmetry plays an important role in understanding the computation performance of a broad class of neural networks with two or more hidden units. However, a theoretical study of the permutation sy…
Study shows GPT's earnings forecasts are human-like but not always accurate.
problem Information friction in AI-generated financial analysis.
method Examined GPT's earnings forecasts following corporate earnings releases and proposed a diagnostic framework.
result GPT's narrative attention is consistent and human-like but not always associated with higher forecast accuracy.
GE-autoencoder identifies spontaneous symmetry breaking in systems.
problem Locating phase boundaries and identifying spontaneously broken symmetries in systems.
method Group-equivariant autoencoder using group theory to constrain parameters and learn invariant order parameters.
result GE-autoencoder accurately determines spontaneous symmetry breaking and estimates critical temperatures more efficiently.
Attention mechanisms in deep neural networks have achieved excellent performance on sequence-prediction tasks. Here, we show that these recently-proposed attention-based mechanisms---in particular, the Transformer with its parallelizable self-attention layers, and the Memory Fusion Network with attention across modalit…
We introduce the concept of spontaneous symmetry breaking to arbitrage modeling. In the model, the arbitrage strategy is considered as being in the symmetry breaking phase and the phase transition between arbitrage mode and no-arbitrage mode is triggered by a control parameter. We estimate the control parameter for mom…
The goal of this paper is twofold. First we prove a rigidity estimate, which generalises the theorem on geometric rigidity of Friesecke, James and Müller to 1-forms with non-vanishing exterior derivative. Second we use this estimate to prove a kind of spontaneous breaking of rotational symmetry for some models of cryst…
The study optimizes cell membranes' shapes based on curvature and proves existence of minimizers.
problem Optimizing cell membranes' shapes with respect to curvature.
method Modeling cell membranes as optimal shapes with L2-deficit of mean curvature to spontaneous curvature, and proving lower semi-continuity and existence of minimizers. result Smoothly embedded minimizers and diameter bounds are obtained.
Geometric mechanism mimics physics' symmetry breaking.
problem Understanding spontaneous symmetry breaking in geometry.
method Analogous to physics, studying symmetry breaking in differential geometry.
result Symmetry breaking can be used to solve geometric problems.
In this paper we present an early Apprenticeship Learning approach to mimic the behaviour of different players in a short adaption of the interactive fiction Anchorhead. Our motivation is the need to understand and simulate player behaviour to create systems to aid the design and personalisation of Interactive Narrativ…
FinCausal 2020 task detects financial document causality.
problem Detect causal relationships in financial documents.
method Binary classification and relation extraction tasks.
result 16 teams participated, 13 submitted system descriptions.
Developing an AI economist agent using RAG, knowledge graphs, and LLMs for economic scenario analysis.
problem Economic scenario analysis using large language models and knowledge graphs.
method Proposing an RAG-based AI economist framework that utilizes knowledge graphs and LLMs.
result Improves economic coherence and traceability in generated reports.
Firm foundation theory estimates a security's firm fundamental value based on four determinants: expected growth rate, expected dividend payout, the market interest rate and the degree of risk. In contrast, other views of decision-making in the stock market, using alternatives such as human psychology and behavior, bou…
Analyzes news graphs to predict financial market dislocations.
problem Predicting financial market dislocations using news content.
method Extracts entities from news articles, aggregates them into graphs, applies network analysis, and uses sentiment analysis.
result Identifies high entropy in news graphs correlates with financial market dislocations.
Study on surfaces minimizing elastic energy with boundary constraints.
problem Finding stable configurations of surfaces with elastic boundaries and surface energy.
method Investigation of critical surfaces with mean curvature and spontaneous curvature, coupled to boundary elastic energy.
result Characterization and minimization of surface energy for specific topological shapes.
A text mining approach is proposed based on latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) to analyze the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) consumer complaints. The proposed approach aims to extract latent topics in the CFPB complaint narratives, and explores their associated trends over time. The time trends will then be…
Paper develops a method for valid inference using language model predictions from verbal autopsy narratives.
problem Valid inference from verbal autopsy narratives for public health decision-making.
method Develops multiPPI++ method for valid inference using NLP techniques for COD prediction.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of multiPPI++ in handling transportability issues and recovering ground truth estimates.
We present a new recurrent neural network topology to enhance state-of-the-art machine learning systems by incorporating a broader context. Our approach overcomes recent limitations with extended narratives through a multi-layered computational approach to generate an abstract context representation. Therefore, the dev…
Spontaneous brain activity, as observed in functional neuroimaging, has been shown to display reproducible structure that expresses brain architecture and carries markers of brain pathologies. An important view of modern neuroscience is that such large-scale structure of coherent activity reflects modularity properties…
Infants with a variety of complications at or before birth are classified as being at risk for developmental delays (AR). As they grow older, they are followed by healthcare providers in an effort to discern whether they are on a typical or impaired developmental trajectory. Often, it is difficult to make an accurate d…
Deep learning models outperform classical methods in forecasting neural activity.
problem Improving forecasting of neural activity using deep learning models.
method Systematic evaluation of eight probabilistic deep learning models against classical statistical models and baseline methods.
result Several deep learning models consistently outperform classical approaches in forecasting neural activity.
LLMs outperform human analysts in predicting earnings direction.
problem Evaluating financial statements without narrative or industry-specific information.
method Trained GPT4 on standardized, anonymous financial statements and instructed to predict earnings direction.
result LLMs predict earnings directionally with accuracy comparable to narrowly trained ML models.
In this paper we discuss the mechanism of spontaneous symmetry breaking from the point view of vacuum pairs, considered as ground states of a Yang-Mills-Higgs gauge theory. We treat a vacuum as a section in an appropriate bundle that is naturally associated with a minimum of a (general) Higgs potential. Such a vacuum s…
This paper analyzes how kinetic terms in stock market equations can affect symmetry breaking.
problem Spontaneous symmetry breaking in quantum finance and its impact on stock market dynamics.
method Analyzes the role of kinetic terms in the context of the martingale condition in stock market equations.
result Kinetic terms can shift the effective location of the vacuum state, affecting symmetry breaking patterns.