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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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51101152202 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for spatial supports

CAST package aids in spatial prediction models using machine learning.

problem Challenges in applying machine learning for spatial data.
method Developed cross-validation strategies, spatial feature selection, and area of applicability assessment methods.
result Supports more reliable spatial predictions through CAST package.

Paper proposes efficient multivariate spatial Fay-Herriot models using variational autoencoders.

problem Estimating population characteristics in small areas with limited data.
method Integrates multivariate spatial Fay-Herriot model with variational autoencoders to leverage spatial structure efficiently.
result Significant computational efficiency improvements for high-dimensional datasets.

Model infers functions for attributes using multi-aggregate datasets with knowledge transfer.

problem Modeling aggregate data with varying granularities and spatial supports.
method Multi-output Gaussian process (MoGP) with linear mixing of independent latent GPs, aggregation process, and prior distribution of mixing weights.
result Proposed model outperforms in refining coarse-grained aggregate data.

This study analyses, through cross-section estimation methods, the influence of spatial effects in productivity (product per worker), at economic sectors level of the NUTs III of mainland Portugal, from 1995 to 1999 and from 2000 to 2005 (taking in count the data availability and the Portuguese and European context), c…

2011-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.

problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

Language models trained on chess board states outperform those on moves, even with causal masking.

problem Applying causal masking to spatial data for training unimodal language models.
method Trained bidirectional and causal self-attention models on both spatial (board-based) and sequential (move-based) chess data.
result Models trained on spatial board states achieve stronger playing strength than those trained on sequential data, even with causal masking.

Future stability of FLRW solutions in expanding 3D space is shown for compact perturbations.

problem Future stability of expanding FLRW solutions with spatial topology R^3.
method Nonlinear stability analysis of spherically symmetric perturbations.
result Decay rates of energy momentum tensor components compared to Minkowski space.

This work creates a system for understanding human movement in spaces.

problem Simplify communication and interaction between robots and humans in spatial tasks.
method Uses unsupervised learning with neural autoencoding to learn continuous representations of spatio-temporal trajectory data.
result Proposes a method to form prototypical representations of movement based on spatial context.

Diffusion Transformer captures spatial-temporal dependencies in sequential data.

problem Capturing rich spatial and temporal dependencies in sequential data.
method Established theoretical guarantees for diffusion transformers learning Gaussian process data.
result Spatial-temporal dependencies are captured within attention layers of diffusion transformers.

New method speeds up sparse Gaussian processes for large datasets.

problem Efficiently modeling large datasets with many inducing variables.
method Projecting a GP onto B-spline basis functions for sparse linear algebra.
result Efficiently models fast-varying spatial phenomena with tens of thousands of inducing variables.

GeoConformal predicts spatial uncertainty without relying on specific models.

problem Measuring uncertainty in spatial predictions to enhance model credibility.
method GeoConformal Prediction integrates geographical weighting into conformal prediction.
result GeoConformal achieves higher coverage rates in uncertainty assessment compared to Bootstrap methods.

This paper examines how voter concentration affects election outcomes in district-based systems.

problem How does the spatial concentration of electors impact election results?
method The authors frame the spatial distribution of electors in a probabilistic setting and explore models to capture intra-district polarization. They use Likelihood-free Inference under the Approximate Bayesian Computation framework and supervised regression methods to estimate parameters.
result The models can capture statistical properties of real elections and show how voter distributions can change election results.

Model place cells as spatial embeddings for efficient path planning and cognitive map construction.

problem Encoding spatial navigation in the hippocampus.
method Model place cells using spectral decomposition of multi-step random walk transition kernels, inducing sparsity and adjacency.
result Place cells encode spatial information through non-negativity and inner-product structure, forming a cognitive map.

A new neural approach for generating origin-destination matrices in ABMs.

problem Challenges in generating origin-destination matrices for ABMs, including discretisation errors and inability to explore multimodal distributions.
method A computationally efficient framework that learns trip intensity through a neural differential equation, operating directly on the discrete combinatorial space.
result Outperforms prior art in terms of reconstruction error and ground truth matrix coverage, at a fraction of the computational cost.

New method predicts spatial events like hurricanes and earthquakes with uncertainty.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in natural hazard predictions.
method Representing spatial point clouds as empirical measures, constraining prediction sets to spatial data manifold, using Wasserstein distance.
result Achieves near-nominal coverage and lower energy/manifold distances compared to baselines.

GWRBoost improves GWR for better spatial relationship quantification.

problem Underfitting in GWR for complex data and lack of explainable quantification.
method Geographically weighted gradient boosting model using localized additive model and gradient boosting optimization.
result Significant improvement in RMSE and AICc compared to classic GWR.

BKP R package models spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.

problem Modeling spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.
method Beta Kernel Process (BKP) combining localized kernel-weighted likelihoods with conjugate beta priors.
result Closed-form posterior inference without requiring latent variables or intensive MCMC sampling.

The study introduces measures of collective mobility from aggregated OD data.

problem Understanding large-scale mobility patterns from aggregated data.
method Developed a framework using synthetic and real data to interpret network-level mobility.
result Aggregated mobility measures reveal network structure and flow constraints.

Sparse Gaussian processes with compact kernels for faster inference.

problem Efficient Gaussian process inference with high computational complexity.
method Parametric families of compactly-supported kernels for sparse matrix representations.
result Sub-quadratic inference complexity and improved performance on real-world tasks.

The study explores spacetimes with changing spatial curvature, leading to topological transitions.

problem The need for a model that avoids infinite matter and energy after the Big Bang.
method Investigates spacetimes with time-dependent spatial curvature, allowing it to change sign.
result Topological transitions are possible in spacetimes with time-dependent spatial curvature.

A 3-stage method enhances hyperspectral image classification accuracy.

problem Classifying detailed classes in hyperspectral images with limited labeled data.
method Uses Nested Sliding Window and PCA for spatial consistency, SVM for spectral estimation, and TV model for spatial smoothing.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms, especially in scenarios with small training sets.

STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.

Paper analyzes tech adoption in financial networks, finding key leadership and diffusion dynamics.

problem Understanding technology adoption and network effects in financial systems.
method Developed a spatial-network framework with a master equation and Feynman-Kac representation.
result Found strong support for two-regime adoption dynamics and significant leadership in network central banks.

DeepSupp detects financial support levels using attention mechanisms.

problem Traditional SR identification methods fail to adapt to modern markets.
method Multi-head attention mechanisms, dynamic correlation matrices, DBSCAN clustering.
result DeepSupp outperforms six baseline methods across six financial metrics.

Combines pseudo-point and state space approximations for scalable GPs.

problem Handling large numbers of off-the-grid spatial data-points and long time-series.
method Combines pseudo-point approximations for spatial data with state space GP approximations for temporal data.
result Combined approach is more scalable and applicable to a greater range of spatio-temporal problems.

VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.

problem Estimating visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs for urban planning.
method Heterogeneous, relation-specific graph neural network (VisitHGNN) trained on mobility data.
result Strong predictive performance with high fidelity to observed travel behavior.

A framework for navigating environments with spatially correlated obstacles and uncertain blockage status.

problem Navigation in environments with spatially correlated obstacles of uncertain blockage status.
method Modeling spatial correlation with Gaussian Random Field, developing Bayesian belief updates, proposing a two-stage learning framework with offline and online phases.
result Consistent performance gains over baselines in environments with adversarial interruptions or clustered natural hazards.

EDGI improves sample efficiency and generalization in tasks with spatial and temporal symmetries.

problem Sample inefficiency and poor generalization in tasks with geometric symmetries.
method Equivariant Diffuser framework, SE(3)xZxSn-equivariant diffusion model.
result EDGI is more sample efficient and generalizes better than non-equivariant models.

Study develops ensemble machine learning framework for predicting groundwater heavy metal pollution.

problem Statistical complexity and spatial heterogeneity of heavy metal contamination in groundwater.
method Nested cross-validated ensemble machine learning with response transformations (raw, log, Gaussian copula).
result Copula-based models with DBSCAN clustering diagnostics provide the most reliable and interpretable assessments of groundwater contamination.

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a novel construction of Gaussian process as a projection from fixed discrete frequen…

2015-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Package {mlr3spatiotempcv} simplifies spatiotemporal resampling methods in R.

problem Assessing and tuning spatial and spatiotemporal machine learning models.
method Integrates various spatiotemporal resampling methods into the {mlr3} framework.
result Provides a consistent interface for spatiotemporal resampling methods.

Spatial blind source separation simplifies multivariate spatial prediction.

problem Predicting multivariate measurements at unobserved locations with spatial dependencies.
method Spatial blind source separation as a pre-processing tool compared to Cokriging and neural networks.
result Spatial blind source separation simplifies spatial prediction by avoiding cross-dependencies.

GraphSVR forecasts urban air pollution robustly across stations and seasons.

problem Nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent urban air pollution forecasting challenges.
method Combines graph convolutional learning and support vector regression.
result GraphSVR improves predictive accuracy and maintains stable performance across seasons and outlier-prone episodes.

New algorithms improve uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation predictions.

problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in machine learning spatial precipitation predictions from satellite data.
method Benchmarked six algorithms including LightGBM, compared using quantile scoring functions and rules.
result LightGBM outperformed other algorithms in quantile scoring rule by 11.10%.

STICC clusters geographic objects considering both spatial contiguity and attributes.

problem Discovering repeated geographic patterns with spatial contiguity.
method Spatial Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering (STICC) method.
result STICC significantly outperforms baseline methods in adjusted rand index and macro-F1 score.

SaR-SVM-STV improves hyperspectral image classification with shape-adaptive reconstruction and denoising.

problem Classifying hyperspectral images with limited labeled data.
method Shape-adaptive Reconstruction (SaR) for pixel preprocessing, SVM for probability estimation, and Smoothed Total Variation (STV) for denoising.
result SaR-SVM-STV outperforms SVM-STV with fewer labeled data.

Method estimates uncertainty in spatial predictions by defining an 'area of applicability'.

problem Uncertainty in predictions for new geographic locations far from training data.
method Proposes a dissimilarity index (DI) based on minimum distance to training data, and defines the 'area of applicability' (AOA) using a threshold on DI.
result Prediction error within the AOA is comparable to the cross-validation error of the model, while cross-validation error does not apply outside the AOA.

State-of-the-art methods for Convolutional Sparse Coding usually employ Fourier-domain solvers in order to speed up the convolution operators. However, this approach is not without shortcomings. For example, Fourier-domain representations implicitly assume circular boundary conditions and make it hard to fully exploit …

2019-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗