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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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190381571761 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for sparse probability distributions

Evidential Softmax preserves multimodality in sparse probability distributions for generative models.

problem Sparse probability distributions in deep generative models make exact marginalization computationally intractable.
method Introduce ev-softmax, a sparse normalization function that preserves multimodality and can be trained with probabilistic loss functions.
result ev-softmax outperforms existing techniques in distributional accuracy and dimensionality reduction.

The study optimizes distribution estimation from samples with relative entropy error, adapting to sparse distributions.

problem Estimating discrete distributions with high-probability accuracy in relative entropy.
method Analysis of Laplace estimator and confidence-dependent smoothing techniques, including data-dependent smoothing.
result Optimal high-probability risk bounds for various estimators, including a new data-dependent smoothing method.

We review and illustrate how the volatility smile translates into a probability distribution, the market-implied probability distribution representing believes priced in. The effects of changes in the smile are examined. Special attention is given to the effects of slope, which might appear at first counter-intuitive. …

2009-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

In multi-instance (MI) learning, each object (bag) consists of multiple feature vectors (instances), and is most commonly regarded as a set of points in a multidimensional space. A different viewpoint is that the instances are realisations of random vectors with corresponding probability distribution, and that a bag is…

2018-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse representations have proven their efficiency in solving a wide class of inverse problems encountered in signal and image processing. Conversely, enforcing the information to be spread uniformly over representation coefficients exhibits relevant properties in various applications such as digital communications. A…

2015-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel method to propagate uncertainty through the soft-thresholding nonlinearity is proposed in this paper. At every layer the current distribution of the target vector is represented as a spike and slab distribution, which represents the probabilities of each variable being zero, or Gaussian-distributed. Using the p…

2018-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New lower bounds show sparse recovery is hard even with multiple preconditioners.

problem Sparse recovery with ill-conditioned designs is hard for certain algorithms.
method Constructing a single signal distribution that multiple preconditioned Lasso programs fail on.
result Standard sparse random designs are robust to erasures, aiding sparse recovery.

This paper investigates the problem of sparse signal recovery in the presence of additive impulsive noise. The heavytailed impulsive noise is well modelled with stable distributions. Since there is no explicit formulation for the probability density function of SαSSαS distribution, alternative approximations like Genera…

2018-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves distribution recovery from sparse data using Random Forest implicit regularization.

problem Distribution recovery from limited statistics.
method Closed-form estimator for scaled beta distributions, using composite quantile and moment matching.
result Improved classification accuracy through closed-form distribution recovery and implicit regularization.

Paper connects probability density cuts to graph theory eigenfunctions.

problem Developing sparse cuts for probability densities.
method Defines sparse cuts and principal eigenfunctions for probability densities, proving Cheeger and Buser inequalities.
result No such inequalities hold for prior definitions, proving new inequalities for probability densities.

This paper improves topic model estimation for sparse distributions and applies it to Wasserstein distances.

problem Estimating sparse topic distributions in topic models with high-dimensional data.
method MLE for topic weights when AA is known, plug-in estimator for unknown AA.
result MLE can be exactly sparse and contain true zero pattern of topic weights.

Proposes MSS to identify causal structure from heterogeneous environments.

problem Distribution shifts between environments violate i.i.d. data assumption.
method Sparse mechanism shift hypothesis, score-based approach.
result Identifies entire causal structure with high probability.

In this note we discuss a common misconception, namely that embeddings are always used to reduce the dimensionality of the item space. We show that when we measure dimensionality in terms of information entropy then the embedding of sparse probability distributions, that can be used to represent sparse features or data…

2019-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends sparse alternatives to softmax for continuous domains, enabling efficient attention mechanisms.

problem Efficiently assigning zero probability to irrelevant categories in continuous domains.
method Extend alpha-entmax to continuous domains, introducing continuous-domain attention mechanisms.
result Continuous attention allows attending to time intervals and compact regions, improving text classification, machine translation, and visual question answering.

Proposes novel wSVMs for sparse learning and accurate probability estimation.

problem Sparse features with redundant noise limit the performance of existing wSVMs.
method Develops 1\ell^1-norm and elastic net regularized wSVMs for automatic variable selection and probability estimation.
result Elastic net regularized wSVMs achieve superior performance in variable selection and probability estimation.

The incredible variety of galaxy shapes cannot be summarized by human defined discrete classes of shapes without causing a possibly large loss of information. Dictionary learning and sparse coding allow us to reduce the high dimensional space of shapes into a manageable low dimensional continuous vector space. Statisti…

2014-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms reduce communication for sparse mean estimation in noisy distributed systems.

problem Sparse normal means estimation with limited communication in a distributed setting.
method Two distributed algorithms for estimating a sparse mean vector with sublinear communication.
result Correct support of the sparse mean can be recovered with significantly less communication than previously required.

The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.

problem Estimating the number of factors in sparse Bayesian factor analysis.
method Introduces and extends a generalized cumulative shrinkage process (CUSP) prior.
result Exchangeable spike-and-slab shrinkage priors imply increasing shrinkage as the column index increases.

In this paper, we propose a novel maximum causal Tsallis entropy (MCTE) framework for imitation learning which can efficiently learn a sparse multi-modal policy distribution from demonstrations. We provide the full mathematical analysis of the proposed framework. First, the optimal solution of an MCTE problem is shown …

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New model allows sparse graphs with many triangles to be represented.

problem Sparse graphs with many triangles cannot be accurately represented in finite dimensions.
method Infinite-dimensional inner product model with manifold representations.
result Local neighborhoods can be represented in lower dimensions.

Bayesian inference for topics in documents with many potential causes.

problem Estimating topic distributions in documents with many potential causes and few observations.
method Exact Bayesian inference using a linear-time algorithm with a simple formula.
result Exact Bayesian inference can be computed in linear time for a given upper bound on observations.

We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…

2018-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new auto-regressive model for multivariate distributional time series.

problem Statistical analysis of multivariate time series of probability measures.
method Wasserstein space, auto-regressive model, iterated random function systems.
result Consistent estimator for auto-regressive coefficients with sparse structure.

Paper analyzes sparse aggregation in GLMs with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.

problem Sparse aggregation in GLMs for parameter approximation.
method Exponential weighted aggregation scheme with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.
result Sharp oracle inequality for Kullback-Leibler risk with leading constant 1 and minimax-optimal rate of aggregation.

We consider the problem of selecting non-zero entries of a matrix AA in order to produce a sparse sketch of it, BB, that minimizes AB2\|A-B\|_2. For large m×nm \times n matrices, such that nmn \gg m (for example, representing nn observations over mm attributes) we give sampling distributions that exhibit four importa…

2013-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Compact Gaussian model approximates deep ensemble predictions.

problem Efficiently approximating deep ensemble models for image prediction.
method Sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian with Cholesky parameterization trained to match pre-trained ensemble outputs.
result Compact representation captures uncertainty and structured correlations explicitly.

The paper shows how instrumental variables can help identify sparse causal effects in linear models.

problem Identifying sparse causal effects in linear models with limited instruments.
method Conditions and graphical criteria for identifiability, spaceIV estimator.
result Causal effects can be identified from observed distributions with sparse effects and limited instruments.

Kernel means are frequently used to represent probability distributions in machine learning problems. In particular, the well known kernel density estimator and the kernel mean embedding both have the form of a kernel mean. Unfortunately, kernel means are faced with scalability issues. A single point evaluation of the …

2015-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

When training data is sparse, more domain knowledge must be incorporated into the learning algorithm in order to reduce the effective size of the hypothesis space. This paper builds on previous work in which knowledge about qualitative monotonicities was formally represented and incorporated into learning algorithms (e…

2012-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study financial contagion and risk in sparse networks with directed edges.

problem Analyzing systemic risk in sparse financial networks with balance-sheet interactions.
method Linear fraction of institutions with zero out-degree, sender-truncated subgraph G_sh, adversarial and random systemic events, explicit fan-in accumulation bound.
result Maximal forward reachability in G_sh is O(log n) with high probability in the subcritical regime, and multi-hit defaults are negligible in the supercritical regime.

We consider the Orthogonal Least-Squares (OLS) algorithm for the recovery of a mm-dimensional kk-sparse signal from a low number of noisy linear measurements. The Exact Recovery Condition (ERC) in bounded noisy scenario is established for OLS under certain condition on nonzero elements of the signal. The new result a…

2016-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

NGRs merge sparse graph recovery with PGMs for efficient probabilistic inference.

problem Efficiently recover sparse graphs and learn distributions over variables.
method Integrates sparse graph recovery methods with PGMs using Graph-constrained path norm.
result NGRs can handle multimodal data and perform sparse graph recovery and probabilistic inference.