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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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15294458 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for soft interventions

Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.

problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.

This paper tackles unknown causal graphs and soft interventions, establishing regret bounds and an efficient algorithm.

problem Designing causal bandit algorithms with unknown causal graphs and stochastic intervention models.
method Establishes novel regret bounds and presents a computationally efficient algorithm for unknown graph and soft interventions.
result Regret bounds for unknown graph and soft interventions, with a universal minimax lower bound.

Bayesian method for inferring causal relations from mixed observational and interventional data.

problem Challenges in causal inference from heterogeneous study conditions with unknown soft interventions.
method Interventional Bayesian Gaussian equivalent score for a mixture of observational and interventional data.
result Effective characterisation of posterior distributions of causal structures and intervention effects.

GACBO optimizes unknown causal graphs with interventions.

problem Optimizing a target variable on an unknown causal graph with interventions.
method Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisation (GACBO) seeks to balance exploitation and exploration of causal structures and functions.
result GACBO outperforms baselines in simulated and real-world applications.

This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.

problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.

Introduces CStrees for modeling context-specific causal models from observational and interventional data.

problem Modeling context-specific causal relationships from mixed data types.
method Introduces CStrees with a novel factorization criterion and graphical characterization for context-specific conditional independence models.
result Derives a graphical characterization of model equivalence for observational CStrees and extends it to CStree models under context-specific interventions.

Motivated by applications in computational advertising and systems biology, we consider the problem of identifying the best out of several possible soft interventions at a source node VV in an acyclic causal directed graph, to maximize the expected value of a target node YY (located downstream of VV). Our setting im…

2017-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles causal bandits with unknown SCMs and soft interventions, providing upper and lower bounds on regret.

problem Optimizing interventions in a causal system with unknown SCMs and soft interventions.
method Assumes unknown SCMs from a general class, allows infinite interventions, and provides upper and lower bounds on regret.
result General upper and lower bounds on cumulative achievable regret for various SCMs.

Paper proposes scalable algorithm to estimate intervention targets in linear models.

problem Estimating intervention targets in linear models from observational and interventional data.
method The paper proposes a scalable algorithm that estimates intervention sites from the difference between precision matrices of observational and interventional datasets.
result The algorithm consistently identifies all intervention targets and updates observational Markov equivalence classes to interventional ones.

The paper tackles causal bandits for SEMs, proposing algorithms that avoid estimating 2N2^N reward distributions.

problem Designing an optimal sequence of interventions in causal graphical models to minimize cumulative regret.
method Proposes two algorithms for causal bandits for linear structural equation models (SEMs), avoiding the estimation of 2N2^N reward distributions.
result Cumulative regrets scale as ildeO(dL+12NT) ilde{\cal O} (d^{L+\frac{1}{2}} \sqrt{NT}) under bounded noise and parameter space.

New method disentangles mixed interventional and observational data in SEMs.

problem Learning causal relationships from mixed interventional and observational data.
method Developed a method to disentangle mixed interventional and observational data in linear SEMs with Gaussian noise.
result The method can identify causal graphs up to their interventional Markov Equivalence Class.

Paper recovers latent causal structure and linear transformation from indirect observations.

problem Recovering latent causal structure and linear transformation from indirect observations.
method Established sufficient conditions for DAG recovery, leveraged score function properties, and used soft/hard interventions.
result Perfect recovery of latent DAG structure and linear transformation up to scaling using soft interventions, hard interventions with additional hypothesis testing.

New method identifies latent variables with causal dependencies from observed data.

problem Identify latent variables with causal relationships from observed data.
method Linear causal disentanglement via higher-order cumulants, with perfect and soft interventions.
result Recovery of parameters via coupled tensor decomposition and polynomial equations.

PLOT uses optimal transport to find neural site handles for causal abstraction.

problem Finding the relevant neural site for causal analysis is computationally challenging.
method PLOT employs optimal transport to localize causal variables from neural network outputs.
result PLOT efficiently finds intervention handles for causal abstraction in neural networks.

Bayesian approach learns causal concepts from diverse social surveys.

problem Inferring causal concepts from heterogeneous data with sparse changes.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model with sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Model infers meaningful causal concepts and plausible relations.

This paper tackles causal representation learning with linear and general transformations.

problem Identify and recover latent causal variables and graphs under unknown transformations.
method Score-based algorithms that use gradients of log-density functions for identifiability and achievability.
result Two stochastic hard interventions per node are sufficient for identifiability of general transformations.

New approach reveals causal and probabilistic relationships from equations.

problem Understanding causal and probabilistic relationships from sets of equations.
method Simon's causal ordering algorithm and Markov ordering graph construction.
result Implied conditional independences and causal relations without solving equations.

New method combines gradient optimization with constraint-based techniques for causal discovery.

problem Causal discovery from observational data, especially with small sample sizes.
method Differentiable dd-separation scores using percolation theory and soft logic for gradient-based optimization of conditional independence constraints.
result Empirical evaluations show robust performance in low-sample regimes, surpassing traditional methods.

Modeling student behaviors and multiple predictions for early intervention.

problem Predicting student outcomes and interactions among multiple tasks.
method Proposes a variant of LSTM and soft-attention mechanism for heterogeneous behaviors, and co-attention mechanism for task interactions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in predicting student outcomes and interactions.

Paper proposes methods to use observational data for reinforcement learning, addressing confounding issues.

problem Using observational data for reinforcement learning can lead to misleading outcomes due to unobserved confounders.
method The paper introduces two deconfounding methods in deep reinforcement learning to adjust for confounders.
result The proposed deconfounding methods improve the accuracy of reinforcement learning models using observational data.

Study identifies latent variables and causal relationships from multiple environments.

problem Identify latent variables and causal relationships from multiple environments.
method Proposes algorithm LiNGCReL for identifying causal graph up to surrounded-node ambiguity.
result Identifies latent variables up to surrounded-node ambiguity (SNA) in linear causal models.

Employers actively look for talents having not only specific hard skills but also various soft skills. To analyze the soft skill demands on the job market, it is important to be able to detect soft skill phrases from job advertisements automatically. However, a naive matching of soft skill phrases can lead to false pos…

2018-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.

problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.

Paper proposes a new loss function for conditional models using soft targets.

problem Improving generalization performance of deep neural networks on supervised classification tasks.
method Introduces a new loss function compatible with soft targets, based on noise contrastive estimation.
result Soft target InfoNCE loss performs on par with cross-entropy baselines and outperforms other losses.

This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.

problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.

Causal diagrams based on do intervention are useful tools to formalize, process and understand causal relationship among variables. However, the do intervention has controversial interpretation of causal questions for non-manipulable variables, and it also lacks the power to check the conditions related to counterfactu…

2019-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep model learns from labeled and unlabeled data for industrial soft sensing.

problem Lack of data limits soft sensor development in industrial processes.
method Hierarchical, generative deep latent variable model for semi-supervised multi-unit soft sensing.
result Model outperforms current methods for soft sensing in industrial processes.

Our goal is to identify beneficial interventions from observational data. We consider interventions that are narrowly focused (impacting few covariates) and may be tailored to each individual or globally enacted over a population. For applications where harmful intervention is drastically worse than proposing no change…

2016-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves deep neural networks using soft labels through alternating minimization.

problem Improving deep neural networks training with soft labels.
method Co-Learns DNNs and soft labels via Alternating Minimization of two objectives.
result COLAM achieves improved performance on many tasks with better testing classification accuracy.

The paper develops a multi-unit soft sensing model for virtual flow meters that improves few-shot learning.

problem Improving soft sensor performance for new wells with limited data.
method Formulates a probabilistic, hierarchical model using a deep neural network for multi-unit soft sensing.
result Multi-unit models trained on many wells can perform well on new wells with just a few data points.

In this article supervised learning problems are solved using soft rule ensembles. We first review the importance sampling learning ensembles (ISLE) approach that is useful for generating hard rules. The soft rules are then obtained with logistic regression from the corresponding hard rules. In order to deal with the p…

2012-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Recently, deep learning becomes the main focus of machine learning research and has greatly impacted many important fields. However, deep learning is criticized for lack of interpretability. As a successful unsupervised model in deep learning, the autoencoder embraces a wide spectrum of applications, yet it suffers fro…

2018-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks update beliefs with soft evidence, improving accuracy and calibration.

problem Updating neural network weights with uncertain or soft evidence.
method Developed two algorithms to approximate Jeffrey's rule for updating neural network weights.
result Jeffrey-based methods outperform traditional approaches in accuracy and calibration, especially in noisy data.