A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proposes CSRN for better news recommendation by integrating RNN and UserCF.
The paper analyzes frameworks for integrating sustainability into investment decisions.
Machine learning is used extensively in recommender systems deployed in products. The decisions made by these systems can influence user beliefs and preferences which in turn affect the feedback the learning system receives - thus creating a feedback loop. This phenomenon can give rise to the so-called "echo chambers" …
This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of time series segmentation on the Japanese stock prices listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange during the period from 4 January 2000 to 30 January 2012. A recursive segmentation procedure is used under the assumption of a Gaussian mixture. The daily number …
New framework controls statistical dispersion for high-stakes applications.
PCL framework optimizes climate risk management across three clusters.
New fair regression method improves fairness in chronic kidney disease classification.
Framework generates precise synthetic populations for scalable modeling.
The potential for learned models to amplify existing societal biases has been broadly recognized. Fairness-aware classifier constraints, which apply equality metrics of performance across subgroups defined on sensitive attributes such as race and gender, seek to rectify inequity but can yield non-uniform degradation in…
When society maintains a competitive system to promote an abstract goal, competition by necessity relies on imperfect proxy measures. For instance profit is used to measure value to consumers, patient volumes to measure hospital performance, or the Journal Impact Factor to measure scientific value. Here we note that \t…
The power of machine learning systems not only promises great technical progress, but risks societal harm. As a recent example, researchers have shown that popular word embedding algorithms exhibit stereotypical biases, such as gender bias. The widespread use of these algorithms in machine learning systems, from automa…
Introduces data ethics for mathematicians, covering background, open data, and privacy.
Proposes a new fairness definition based on equity for machine learning classification.
Improves fairness in machine learning by adding underrepresented group data.
New fairness criteria for algorithmic recourse actions that consider causal relationships.
New bounds show multicalibration error is close to prediction error.
The last decades have not only been characterized by an explosive growth of data, but also an increasing appreciation of data as a valuable resource. Their value comes with the ability to extract meaningful patterns that are of economic, societal or scientific relevance. A particular challenge is the identification of …
Study finds telemetric data not effective for predicting truck accident risk.
Economies and societal structures in general are complex stochastic systems which may not lend themselves well to algebraic analysis. An addition of subjective value criteria to the mechanics of interacting agents will further complicate analysis. The purpose of this short study is to demonstrate capabilities of agent-…
We propose a novel formulation of group fairness with biased feedback in the contextual multi-armed bandit (CMAB) setting. In the CMAB setting, a sequential decision maker must, at each time step, choose an arm to pull from a finite set of arms after observing some context for each of the potential arm pulls. In our mo…
Text corpora are widely used resources for measuring societal biases and stereotypes. The common approach to measuring such biases using a corpus is by calculating the similarities between the embedding vector of a word (like nurse) and the vectors of the representative words of the concepts of interest (such as gender…
Notions of "fair classification" that have arisen in computer science generally revolve around equalizing certain statistics across protected groups. This approach has been criticized as ignoring societal issues, including how errors can hurt certain groups disproportionately. We pose a modification of one of the fairn…
Adversarial attacks can manipulate ML-aided visualizations, tricking analysts.
This paper defines less discriminatory algorithms and explores their feasibility.
Societal bias towards certain communities is a big problem that affects a lot of machine learning systems. This work aims at addressing the racial bias present in many modern gender recognition systems. We learn race invariant representations of human faces with an adversarially trained autoencoder model. We show that …
Study forecasts cholera outbreaks in Malawi using dynamic models.
A popular approach of achieving fairness in optimization problems is by constraining the solution space to "fair" solutions, which unfortunately typically reduces solution quality. In practice, the ultimate goal is often an aggregate of sub-goals without a unique or best way of combining them or which is otherwise only…
This thesis tackles bias in AI decision-making in banking.
Machine learning (ML) is increasingly being used in high-stakes applications impacting society. Therefore, it is of critical importance that ML models do not propagate discrimination. Collecting accurate labeled data in societal applications is challenging and costly. Active learning is a promising approach to build an…
Study aims to measure and mitigate biases in motor insurance pricing.
The goal of this article is to inspire data scientists to participate in the debate on the impact that their professional work has on society, and to become active in public debates on the digital world as data science professionals. How do ethical principles (e.g., fairness, justice, beneficence, and non-maleficence) …
Bayesian model forecasts hospital resource use during pandemic.
Establishes statistical and computational bounds for influence diagnostics.
Actuaries tackle loss of earning capacity in Denmark, balancing public benefits and private insurance.
Dynamic Influence Tracker measures changing sample importance during model training.
Previous work has shown that popular trending events are important external factors which pose significant influence on user search behavior and also provided a way to computationally model this influence. However, their problem formulation was based on the strong assumption that each event poses its influence independ…
We address the problem of influence maximization when the social network is accompanied by diffusion cascades. In prior works, such information is used to compute influence probabilities, which is utilized by stochastic diffusion models in influence maximization. Motivated by the recent criticism on the effectiveness o…
RelatIF selects more intuitive training examples for explaining model predictions.
Motivated by the need to audit complex and black box models, there has been extensive research on quantifying how data features influence model predictions. Feature influence can be direct (a direct influence on model outcomes) and indirect (model outcomes are influenced via proxy features). Feature influence can also …
Complete criterion for VoI in multi-decision influence diagrams established.
Influence functions are inaccurate in deep learning models, especially for deeper networks.
AI boosts study of rare weather extremes with lower costs.
We consider the problem of selecting a seed set to maximize the expected number of influenced nodes in the social network, referred to as the \textit{influence maximization} (IM) problem. We assume that the topology of the social network is prescribed while the influence probabilities among edges are unknown. In order …
Fair active learning selects data points to balance model accuracy and fairness.
The paper simplifies influence computations for large-scale machine learning models.
New algorithm for competing influence spread in unknown networks.
A textbook on machine learning explaining patterns, predictions, and actions.
Better Hessian approximations improve influence function attributions in deep learning.