Divestment from fossil fuels can accelerate climate policy, study finds.
problem Achieving Paris climate agreement requires reducing fossil fuel reserves.
method Stochastic agent-based model of financial market and investors' beliefs.
result Small share of socially responsible investors can initiate decarbonization.
Model shows wealth taxes can cause sudden emigration waves, impacting GDP.
problem Estimating the economic impact of wealth taxes on emigration.
method Developed a social contagion model with tipping-point dynamics, embedded in Fokker-Planck framework.
result Micro-to-macro extrapolation requires five conditions to hold, violating each.
Optimal dividends for insurers with climate tipping point consideration.
problem Natural catastrophe claims and climate tipping point impact insurance profits.
method Two-dimensional stochastic control problems with Erlang distribution for tipping point timing, numerical approximation.
result Non-stationary climate tipping point can benefit shareholders by optimizing dividends.
Much research has been conducted arguing that tipping points at which complex systems experience phase transitions are difficult to identify. To test the existence of tipping points in financial markets, based on the alternating offer strategic model we propose a network of bargaining agents who mutually either coopera…
Paper proposes a method to encrypt faces while maintaining visual similarity.
problem Protecting personal data from unauthorized face recognition.
method Targeted identity-protection iterative method (TIP-IM) to generate adversarial identity masks.
result TIP-IM provides 95%+ protection success rate against face recognition models.
Framework detects tipping points in complex systems using ML.
problem Detecting tipping points in complex, emergent systems.
method Combining manifold learning, neural networks, and Gaussian processes.
result Reduced-order models for mesoscopic and mean-field dynamics.
In online social networks people often express attitudes towards others, which forms massive sentiment links among users. Predicting the sign of sentiment links is a fundamental task in many areas such as personal advertising and public opinion analysis. Previous works mainly focus on textual sentiment classification, …
Minimal TIP and TIF found in compact spacetimes, impacting spacetime splitting.
problem Understanding the global structure of spacetimes with compact Cauchy surfaces.
method Analysis of Terminal Indecomposable Past (TIP) and Future (TIF) sets in spacetimes with compact Cauchy surfaces.
result In a spacetime with compact Cauchy surfaces, there is always at least one minimal TIP and one minimal TIF.
TIP-Search optimizes market prediction accuracy and timeliness under uncertain load.
problem Real-time market prediction requires accurate predictions before a deadline.
method Filters feasible models, dispatches workers, trades accuracy for deadline risk.
result Optimized pool achieves 0.991 timely accuracy and 0.994 raw accuracy.
CNMs detect tipping points in complex systems using causal network markers.
problem Identifying tipping points ahead of critical transitions in complex systems.
method Introducing CNMs that incorporate causality indicators to detect tipping points.
result CNMs show higher predictive power and accuracy than traditional DNB indicators.
TIP model improves POSE prediction with less resources.
problem Predicting polypharmacy side effects from drug-protein interactions.
method TIP model operates on three subgraphs for progressive representation learning.
result Improves accuracy by 7%+, time efficiency by 83imes, and space efficiency by 3imes. A new method identifies critical transitions in high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges in identifying critical transitions in high-dimensional time-series data.
method Spatial-temporal Principal Component Analysis (stPCA)
result Identifies tipping points before critical transitions reliably.
We study the phenomenon of Type-II curvature blow-up in mean curvature flows of rotationally symmetric noncompact embedded hypersurfaces. Using analytic techniques based on formal matched asymptotics and the construction of upper and lower barrier solutions enveloping formal solutions with prescribed behavior, we show …
Gradient estimate for linearized translator equation in R^4.
problem Analyzing singularity models of mean curvature flow in R^4.
method Proving a gradient estimate for the variation field W in the tip region.
result Sharp bound for the derivative of the variation field W in the tip region.
Numerical simulations show stability of Type-II singularities in noncompact hypersurfaces.
problem Stability of Type-II singularities in noncompact hypersurfaces with rotationally-symmetric perturbations.
method Adaptation of the overlap method to include angular dependence.
result MCF of noncompact hypersurfaces with angular dependence behaves similarly to rotationally-symmetric perturbations, developing Type-II or Type-I singularities.
Let (M,g) be a surface with Riemannian metric and curved conic singularities. More precisely, a neighbourhood of a singularity is isometric to (0,1)×S1 with metric gconic=dr2+f(r)2dθ2,r∈(0,1). We study the spectral geometry of (M,g) using the heat trace expansion. We express the first few…
The cost-benefit analysis formulates the holy trinity of objectives of project management - cost, schedule, and benefits. As our previous research has shown, ICT projects deviate from their initial cost estimate by more than 10% in 8 out of 10 cases. Academic research has argued that Optimism Bias and Black Swan Blindn…
Geometrically interpolates rigid body motions with initial and terminal twists.
problem Finding spatial trajectories between prescribed initial and terminal poses.
method Derives solutions for k-IV-TIP and k-BV-TIP for k=1,...,4.
result Automatic cubic interpolation identical to minimum acceleration curve when twists are zero.
Machine learning detects tipping points in complex systems.
problem Detecting abrupt shifts in complex dynamical systems.
method Equilibrium-informed neural networks (EINNs) trained on candidate equilibrium states.
result EINNs can identify critical thresholds in nonlinear systems.
Study of curvature blow-up in noncompact hypersurfaces using mean curvature flow.
problem Curvature blow-up in mean curvature flow of noncompact hypersurfaces.
method Rotationally symmetric solutions constructed with precise asymptotics.
result Highest curvature concentrates at the tip and blows up at rate (T−t)−1. Study precise asymptotics of noncompact Type-IIb solutions to mean curvature flow.
problem Understanding the behavior of noncompact Type-IIb solutions to mean curvature flow as time approaches infinity.
method Constructed rotationally symmetric solutions with specific asymptotic behavior and analyzed their properties.
result The highest curvature concentrates at the tip of the hypersurface and blows up at the Type-IIb rate (2t+1)(γ−1)/2. Novel approach detects early warning indicators in complex systems.
problem Detecting abrupt transitions in complex systems.
method Directed anisotropic diffusion map and latent stochastic dynamical systems.
result Early warning indicators can detect tipping points in state transitions.
The paper categorizes four types of scale-up: smart, dumb, forced, and fumbled.
problem Growing ventures in size and maintaining efficiency.
method Identifying modularity and speed as key factors, categorizing four types of scale-up.
result Modularity and speed are crucial for successful scale-up.
Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Here we use phylogenetic Gaussian process regression to model the evolution of simulated function-valued traits. Given function-valued data only from the tips of an evolutionary tree and utilising independent pri…
Facial Key Points (FKPs) Detection is an important and challenging problem in the fields of computer vision and machine learning. It involves predicting the co-ordinates of the FKPs, e.g. nose tip, center of eyes, etc, for a given face. In this paper, we propose a LeNet adapted Deep CNN model - NaimishNet, to operate o…
This paper proposes a general model for synchronized crowding behavior. An order parameter is introduced to quantify the level of synchronization which is shown a function of percentage of agents in reactive state. Further, synchronization is shown to be driven by the most active agents with the highest volatility. A t…
The paper classifies noncollapsed translators in 4D space.
problem Classifying entire convex translators in 4D space.
method Developed Fredholm theory and used Lyapunov-Schmidt reduction.
result The one-parameter family of translators is uniquely determined.
Framework for analyzing dynamic topological changes in point clouds using persistent homology and dynamic optimal transport.
problem Analyzing transient structural reorganizations during dynamic phase transitions in time-evolutionary point clouds.
method Hierarchical dynamic evaluation framework driven by topological and hypergraph reconstruction strategy.
result Combining transport-based alignment with multi-scale entropy diagnostics for dynamic topological analysis.
Continuous process closes cusps in complex algebraic surfaces.
problem Developing cusps in Kähler-Einstein metrics on algebraic surfaces.
method Continuous cusp closing process via gluing construction.
result Cusps form in Kähler-Einstein metrics near isolated singularities.
We consider the unnormalized Yamabe flow on manifolds with conical singularities. Under certain geometric assumption on the initial cross-section we show well posedness of the short time solution in the Lq-setting. Moreover, we give a picture of the deformation of the conical tips under the flow by providing an asym…
In this short article, we prove the existence of ancient solutions of the mean curvature flow that for t -> 0 collapse to a round point, but for t -> -infinity become more and more oval: near the center they have asymptotic shrinkers modeled on round cylinders S^j x R^n-j and near the tips they have asymptotic translat…
PHASE dataset simulates complex social interactions in physical environments.
problem Lack of datasets for evaluating physically grounded perception of complex social interactions.
method Created PHASE dataset of 2D animations with procedural generation and physics engine.
result SIMPLE model outperforms neural networks in recognizing complex social interactions.
Improved neural model for social recommendation by integrating social and interest networks.
problem Data sparsity and lack of higher-order relationships in social recommendation.
method DiffNet++ models neural influence diffusion and interest diffusion in a unified framework using a multi-level attention network.
result Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show the effectiveness of DiffNet++.
ACI identifies cause-effect relationships and causal influence ranges in dynamical systems.
problem Detecting and quantifying causal influence ranges in complex systems.
method Bayesian data assimilation and assimilative causal inference (ACI) to trace causes back from observed effects.
result Mathematically rigorous formulations of forward and backward causal influence ranges (CIRs) for nonlinear dynamical systems.
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.
Consumers adjust their spending based on firms' social stances, influencing firm profits.
problem How consumer spending responds to firms' social stances.
method Using payment card transactions to predict and measure consumer responses to firms' social stances.
result Consumers' spending increases by 19% and decreases by 12% in response to firms' social stances, with effects lasting up to a year.
Social learning can make financial markets inefficient, but individual learning can fix this.
problem Inefficiencies in financial markets due to social learning.
method Study of the Minority Game model with social and individual learning mechanisms.
result Individual learning can rescue a population from the inefficiencies caused by social learning.
SINN combines social science and deep learning for predicting opinion dynamics.
problem Predicting opinion dynamics in social networks using traditional models requires extensive calibration with real data.
method SINN integrates theoretical models and social media data using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and matrix factorization.
result SINN outperforms six baseline methods in predicting opinion dynamics on real-world and synthetic datasets.
Optimizes social interactions for profit, people, and planet using mathematical models.
problem Determining the most effective social configurations for mutual objectives.
method Formulated as a mathematical optimization problem, using (meta)relational models theory.
result Identifies the most suitable combination of sociality forms for mutual objectives.
Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.
problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.
Enhances traditional MV model for socially responsible investors.
problem Traditional MV models ignore ESG scores relevant to socially responsible investors.
method Implemented an amended MV model considering ESG scores.
result SR investors can achieve competitive SR portfolios with a trade-off between Sharpe Ratio and ESG scores.
The rise in online social networking has brought about a revolution in social relations. However, its effects on offline interactions and its implications for collective well-being are still not clear and are under-investigated. We study the ecology of online and offline interaction in an evolutionary game framework wh…
Paper proposes PP-GCN for fine-grained social event categorization.
problem Challenges in mining social events due to heterogeneous event elements and social network structures.
method Design an event meta-schema, build an HIN, propose PP-GCN, and use KIES.
result PP-GCN outperforms other techniques in social event detection and clustering.
A new method for recommending groups and activities based on geo-social data.
problem Recommendation of groups and activities based on geo-social data with social constraints.
method Proposes an attentive geo-social group recommendation method with an attention mechanism and a spatial query algorithm.
result Significantly outperforms baseline methods in real-world datasets.
MGpi model predicts social actions in group interactions.
problem Social interaction among multiple agents and groups.
method Deep neural network with Kinesic-Proxemic-Message gate for social signal gating.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in group identification.
Secure social recommendation framework using secret sharing.
problem Privacy concerns and reluctance to share social data in recommender systems.
method Secret Sharing based Matrix Multiplication (SSMM) protocol for secure data sharing and collaborative recommendation.
result SeSoRec framework improves recommendation performance and is secure.
The aim of this work is to explore the possible types of phenomena that simple macroeconomic Agent-Based models (ABM) can reproduce. We propose a methodology, inspired by statistical physics, that characterizes a model through its 'phase diagram' in the space of parameters. Our first motivation is to understand the lar…
Predicting event attendance using social influence from social networks.
problem Predicting people's participation in real-world events.
method Modeling social influence, using non-geotagged posts and social group structures, applying graph embedding techniques, and training a neural network.
result The proposed classifier achieves 89% accuracy on the VFestival dataset, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.