Knowing and modelling the migration phenomena and especially the social and economic consequences have a theoretical and practical importance, being related to their consequences for development, economic progress (or as appropriate, regression), environmental influences etc. One of the causes of migration, especially …
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48 results for “social phenomena”
New approach simulates reputation dynamics using information compression.
problem Malicious communication strategies in reputation networks.
method Uses information compression techniques to simulate social phenomena.
result Emergent phenomena like echo chambers and deception are observed.
A Cultural Market Modelq-fin.GN
Social interactions and personal tastes shape our consumption behavior of cultural products. In this study, we present a computational model of a cultural market and we aim to analyze the behavior of the consumer population as an emergent phenomena. Our results suggest that the final market shares of cultural products …
Exact results on power-law distributions in systems with resets.
problem Understanding power-law distributions in systems with resets.
method Exact mathematical analysis of multiplicative processes with resets.
result Power-law distributions are built up over time and their moments behave quantitatively determined by parameters.
The digital traces of bubbles: feedback cycles between socio-economic signals in the Bitcoin economyphysics.soc-ph
What is the role of social interactions in the creation of price bubbles? Answering this question requires obtaining collective behavioural traces generated by the activity of a large number of actors. Digital currencies offer a unique possibility to measure socio-economic signals from such digital traces. Here, we foc…
Deciding effective and timely preventive measures against complex social problems affecting relatively low income geographies is a difficult challenge. There is a strong need to adopt intelligent automation based solutions with low cost imprints to tackle these problems at larger scales. Starting with the hypothesis th…
Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.
problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.
A vast amount of textual web streams is influenced by events or phenomena emerging in the real world. The social web forms an excellent modern paradigm, where unstructured user generated content is published on a regular basis and in most occasions is freely distributed. The present Ph.D. Thesis deals with the problem …
This work uses variational inference to estimate parameters of opinion dynamics models.
problem Challenges in parameter estimation for ABMs of social phenomena.
method Transformed ABM parameter estimation into an optimization problem using variational inference.
result Estimates parameters more accurately than simulation-based and MCMC methods.
SINN combines social science and deep learning for predicting opinion dynamics.
problem Predicting opinion dynamics in social networks using traditional models requires extensive calibration with real data.
method SINN integrates theoretical models and social media data using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and matrix factorization.
result SINN outperforms six baseline methods in predicting opinion dynamics on real-world and synthetic datasets.
Interactions in information spread: quantification and interpretation using stochastic block modelscs.LG
New model quantifies interactions' role in real-world phenomena.
problem Understanding the role of interactions in real-world phenomena.
method Interactive Mixed Membership Stochastic Block Model (IMMSBM).
result Interactions significantly improve model predictive power.
We consider a simple stochastic differential equation for modeling bubbles in social context. A prime example is bubbles in asset pricing, but similar mechanisms may control a range of social phenomena driven by psychological factors (for example, popularity of rock groups, or a number of students pursuing a given majo…
Study finds Twitter activity correlates with stock volatility but not sentiment.
problem Understanding the impact of social media on stock market dynamics.
method Collected and analyzed tweets from Twitter and Reddit, examining their sentiment and correlation with stock volatility.
result Twitter activity correlates with stock volatility but not sentiment.
It has often been taken as a working assumption that directed links in information networks are frequently formed by "short-cutting" a two-step path between the source and the destination -- a kind of implicit "link copying" analogous to the process of triadic closure in social networks. Despite the role of this assump…
The paper optimizes pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
problem Designing optimal pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
method Dynamic utility model, stochastic domain, overlapping generations, time-consistent decision criterion.
result Optimal investment/pension policy computed for a general framework.
Why do nations produce scientific research? This is a fundamental problem in the field of social studies of science. The paper confronts this question here by showing vital determinants of science to explain the sources of social power and wealth creation by nations. Firstly, this study suggests a new general definitio…
Minimal model reveals power laws in financial markets.
problem Understanding universal behaviors in financial markets.
method Analytical solution of a minimal model based on symmetry constraints.
result Various power-law behaviors are interconnected, similar to critical exponents.
New method uses imperfect LLM annotations for valid statistical inference in social science.
problem Inaccurate large language model annotations in social science research.
method Design-based supervised learning (DSL) combining imperfect LLM surrogates with gold-standard labels.
result DSL provides valid statistical inference with comparable predictive accuracy to existing methods.
The dynamics of market prices is described as the evolution of opinions in the trading community regarding future market behavior. The price then is a function of the voting process of the market players in favor to raise or reduce the value of a stock. The model presented in this paper is suited for pricing of options…
This paper studies the critical dynamics of random surfaces, focusing on area and genus evolution.
problem Understanding the time evolution of random surfaces and their genus.
method Analyzes the dynamics of area and genus using Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and critical phenomena.
result The genus of surfaces evolves into two phases: planar surfaces and foamy surfaces.
A new method selects features for ERGMs to improve network modeling.
problem ERGM degeneracy creates unrealistic network structures.
method Stochastic step-wise feature selection to overcome computational burden and improve network accommodation.
result Enhanced ERGM modeling with more accurate interpretations.
In this article, we present a brief narration of the origin and the overview of the recent developments done on the Kolkata Paise Restaurant (KPR) problem, which can serve as a prototype for a broader class of resource allocation problems in the presence of a large number of competing agents, typically studied using co…
An econophysics approach to analyse uncertainty in financial markets: an application to the Portuguese stock marketphysics.soc-ph
In recent years there has been a closer interrelationship between several scientific areas trying to obtain a more realistic and rich explanation of the natural and social phenomena. Among these it should be emphasized the increasing interrelationship between physics and financial theory. In this field the analysis of …
A dynamic model of the social relations between workers and capitalists is introduced. The model is deduced from the assumption that the law of value is an organising principle of modern economies. The model self-organises into a dynamic equilibrium with statistical properties that are in close qualitative and in many …
Enhances machine learning for dynamic, interconnected entities.
problem Lack of systematic feature engineering for dynamic, interconnected entities.
method Augments current graph machine learning with comprehensive feature engineering in space and time.
result Improves supervised learning on heterogeneous, attributed entities interacting over time.
Studies of networked phenomena, such as interactions in online social media, often rely on incomplete data, either because these phenomena are partially observed, or because the data is too large or expensive to acquire all at once. Analysis of incomplete data leads to skewed or misleading results. In this paper, we in…
A dataset for detecting online hate speech from YouTube and Reddit comments.
problem Detecting and preventing hate speech on social media platforms.
method Created a dataset with two variants: binary and multi-label, based on YouTube and Reddit comments, using Figure-Eight crowdsourcing platform.
result Demonstrated that even a small amount of labelled data can help detect hate speech occurrences.
Twitter releases dataset to study user engagement on Home Timeline, focusing on privacy.
problem Limited exploration of user feedback on Twitter's Home Timeline.
method Release of a large-scale dataset of 160 million Tweets with engagement information.
result Demonstrates challenges in predicting user engagements and privacy concerns.
Predictability of large future changes in major financial indicescond-mat.stat-mech
We present a systematic algorithm testing for the existence of collective self-organization in the behavior of agents in social systems, with a concrete empirical implementation on the Dow Jones Industrial Average index (DJIA) over the 20th century and on Hong Kong Hang Seng composite index (HSI) since 1969. The algori…
Study higher-order spin glass models for social network behavior with peer-group effects.
problem Modeling correlation phenomena on social networks with peer-group effects.
method Inference in higher-order Ising models to recover coefficients and peer-group effects.
result Strong concavity of log pseudo-likelihood implies statistical error rate of sqrt(d/n) for MPLE.
Financial and economic history is strewn with bubbles and crashes, booms and busts, crises and upheavals of all sorts. Understanding the origin of these events is arguably one of the most important problems in economic theory. In this paper, we review recent efforts to include heterogeneities and interactions in models…
How do we assign value to economic transactions? To answer this question, we must consider whether the value of objects is inherent, is a product of social interaction, or involves other mechanisms. Economic theory predicts that there is an optimal price for any market transaction, and can be observed during auctions o…
Was Benoit Mandelbrot a hedgehog or a fox?physics.soc-ph
Mandelbrot unified diverse fields with scaling concept.
problem Understanding Mandelbrot's intellectual approach.
method Tracing Mandelbrot's contributions across math, physics, and economics.
result Scaling concept unified Mandelbrot's diverse work.
Irony and sarcasm are two complex linguistic phenomena that are widely used in everyday language and especially over the social media, but they represent two serious issues for automated text understanding. Many labeled corpora have been extracted from several sources to accomplish this task, and it seems that sarcasm …
A plethora of natural, artificial and social systems exist which do not belong to the Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical-mechanical world, based on the standard additive entropy and its associated exponential BG factor. Frequent behaviors in such complex systems have been shown to be closely related to -stati…
A detailed understanding of users contributes to the understanding of the Web's evolution, and to the development of Web applications. Although for new Web platforms such a study is especially important, it is often jeopardized by the lack of knowledge about novel phenomena due to the sparsity of data. Akin to human tr…
Graphs are general and powerful data representations which can model complex real-world phenomena, ranging from chemical compounds to social networks; however, effective feature extraction from graphs is not a trivial task, and much work has been done in the field of machine learning and data mining. The recent advance…
The paper argues against the inefficiency of explaining deep learning phenomena.
problem Explaining deep learning phenomena often leads to ad hoc hypotheses.
method Analyzing recent literature to assess the relevance of these phenomena.
result Many phenomena do not appear in real-world applications and may be inefficient.
Concentration of -Lipschitz functions on manifolds with boundary with Dirichlet boundary conditionmath.MG
In this paper, we consider a concentration of measure problem on Riemannian manifolds with boundary. We study concentration phenomena of non-negative -Lipschitz functions with Dirichlet boundary condition around zero, which is called boundary concentration phenomena. We first examine relation between boundary concen…
Researchers develop a method to learn CTBN structure using penalized maximum likelihood.
problem Learning the structure of continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) when the dependence structure is unknown.
method Penalized maximum likelihood method.
result The algorithm can accurately identify the network structure with high probability under certain conditions.
Optimal Dimensionality Reduction of Complex Dynamics: The Chess Game as Diffusion on a Free Energy Landscapephysics.data-an
Dimensionality reduction is ubiquitous in analysis of complex dynamics. The conventional dimensionality reduction techniques, however, focus on reproducing the underlying configuration space, rather than the dynamics itself. The constructed low-dimensional space does not provide complete and accurate description of the…
Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of the effect time series is influenced by a combination of other time series with a…
We live in a computerized and networked society where many of our actions leave a digital trace and affect other people's actions. This has lead to the emergence of a new data-driven research field: mathematical methods of computer science, statistical physics and sociometry provide insights on a wide range of discipli…
Impersonators on Online Social Networks such as Instagram are playing an important role in the propagation of the content. These entities are the type of nefarious fake accounts that intend to disguise a legitimate account by making similar profiles. In addition to having impersonated profiles, we observed a considerab…
Tools of the theory of critical phenomena, namely the scaling analysis and universality, are argued to be applicable to large complex web-like network structures. Using a detailed analysis of the real data of the International Trade Network we argue that the scaled link weight distribution has an approximate log-normal…
In order to figure out and to forecast the emergence phenomena of social systems, we propose several probabilistic models for the analysis of financial markets, especially around a crisis. We first attempt to visualize the collective behaviour of markets during a financial crisis through cross-correlations between typi…
The paper connects ABC to GBI, suggesting ABC as a robustification strategy.
problem Approximate Bayesian Computation struggles with tractability in complex simulators.
method Reinterpreting ABC as an implicitly defined error model and suggesting GBI.
result ABC can be seen as a robustification strategy for approximating Bayesian posteriors.
Booms and Crashes in Self-Similar Marketscond-mat.stat-mech
Sharp changes in time series representing market dynamics are studied by means of the self--similar analysis suggested earlier by the authors. These sharp changes are market booms and crashes. Such crises phenomena in markets are analogous to critical phenomena in physics. A simple classification of the market crisis p…