Bitcoin price prediction models fail to outperform a simple 'today's price' baseline, especially at longer horizons.
problem Lack of robust models that consistently outperform a naive price predictor at various horizons.
method Surveyed peer-reviewed papers, categorized by evaluation methodology, contrasted with social media discourse, and proposed methodological standards.
result No peer-reviewed study has shown robust superiority over the naive baseline across multiple market regimes at short-to-medium horizons.
Study tackles hate speech against journalists on social media.
problem Hate speech against journalists on social media remains prevalent despite efforts.
method Defined journalist-specific hate speech, annotated tweets, trained deep learning models, and proposed an ensemble model.
result Proposed ensemble model outperforms individual models in detecting journalist-targeted hate speech.
Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.
problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.
Domestic Violence (DV) is considered as big social issue and there exists a strong relationship between DV and health impacts of the public. Existing research studies have focused on social media to track and analyse real world events like emerging trends, natural disasters, user sentiment analysis, political opinions,…
Social media hype can misprice IPO stocks, leading to short-term gains but long-term losses.
problem Mispricing of IPO stocks due to social media hype.
method Analysis of investor emotions on StockTwits and Twitter.
result High pre-IPO enthusiasm leads to higher short-term returns but lower long-term returns.
In this paper, we propose a deep, globally normalized topic model that incorporates structural relationships connecting documents in socially generated corpora, such as online forums. Our model (1) captures discursive interactions along observed reply links in addition to traditional topic information, and (2) incorpor…
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.
On the one hand, nowadays, fake news articles are easily propagated through various online media platforms and have become a grand threat to the trustworthiness of information. On the other hand, our understanding of the language of fake news is still minimal. Incorporating hierarchical discourse-level structure of fak…
Study compares sentiment spillover networks from news and social media in tech companies.
problem Understanding how sentiment information flows between companies through news and social media.
method Network-based transfer entropy method to measure and compare sentiment spillover.
result News shows stronger information flow among tech companies after COVID-19.
Online social networks offer a new way to investigate financial markets' dynamics by enabling the large-scale analysis of investors' collective behavior. We provide empirical evidence that suggests social media and stock markets have a nonlinear causal relationship. We take advantage of an extensive data set composed o…
EmTract extracts emotions from financial social media text.
problem Understanding investor emotions in financial markets.
method Annotated data, DistilBERT model, embedding space augmentation.
result EmTract outperforms existing emotion classifiers.
This paper studies how social media posts, especially by executives, affect stock prices.
problem Predicting stock market movements using social media data.
method Integrated sentiment analysis of Twitter and Reddit posts with historical stock data using time series models and deep learning.
result Improvements in stock price prediction when social media data, especially executive posts, are included.
Social media reduces individual investors' disposition effect through negative information.
problem The disposition effect in individual investors selling profitable assets too early and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Analysis of post data and trading data from Xueqiu.com.
result Social media information significantly reduces the disposition effect.
Paper improves gender detection on social media using deep learning.
problem Traditional classifiers struggle with social media data volume.
method Ensemble deep learning with multi-model architectures.
result Improved gender detection accuracy on social media posts.
The combination of large open data sources with machine learning approaches presents a potentially powerful way to predict events such as protest or social unrest. However, accounting for uncertainty in such models, particularly when using diverse, unstructured datasets such as social media, is essential to guarantee t…
Deep learning ensemble detects social media rumors faster.
problem Timely detection of rumors on social media platforms.
method Ensemble model using deep neural networks and time-series tweet data.
result Improved rumor detection performance by 7.9%.
Study shows social media impacts shareholder returns on ESG risks.
problem Investor sentiment and public opinion on ESG risks.
method Event study design using social media data.
result Statistically significant reduction in abnormal returns after ESG-risk events.
Study finds meme stocks have unique price and social media dynamics.
problem Exploring unique properties of meme stocks.
method Regime-switching cointegration model.
result Meme stocks exhibit a distinct 'mementum' compared to other high-volume stocks.
Paper shows pretrained models can categorize Thai social media content effectively.
problem Lack of labeled data for Thai social media content classification.
method Pretrained language models on a large noisy Thai social media corpus, fine-tuned for downstream tasks.
result State-of-the-art results achieved on Thai social text categorization tasks.
Study finds social media investor emotions predict stock prices.
problem Validation of social media sentiment models in predicting market behavior.
method Employed EmTract, an emotion model, to test social media sentiment against lab experiments.
result Firm-specific investor emotions forecast daily asset price movements.
Online harassment is a significant social problem. Prevention of online harassment requires rapid detection of harassing, offensive, and negative social media posts. In this paper, we propose the use of word embedding models to identify offensive and harassing social media messages in two aspects: detecting fast-changi…
Study uses social media to analyze COVID-19 impact.
problem Understanding the global impact of COVID-19.
method Machine learning and linguistic tools to analyze social media posts.
result Automatic detection of positive reports of COVID-19.
Deep learning predicts stock movements using social media data.
problem Predicting stock movements with traditional methods is challenging.
method Graph neural network combining financial data and social media.
result Improvement of 28% in cumulative returns.
Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.
problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.
We demonstrate that future market correlation structure can be predicted with high out-of-sample accuracy using a multiplex network approach that combines information from social media and financial data. Market structure is measured by quantifying the co-movement of asset prices returns, while social structure is meas…
Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.
problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.
Opioid addiction is a severe public health threat in the U.S, causing massive deaths and many social problems. Accurate relapse prediction is of practical importance for recovering patients since relapse prediction promotes timely relapse preventions that help patients stay clean. In this paper, we introduce a Generati…
Systematic review of ML models for detecting social media deception.
problem Detecting fake news, spam, and fake accounts on social media.
method 36 studies evaluated using PROBAST tool, identifying biases and limitations.
result Over-reliance on accuracy in imbalanced data settings is a flaw.
Detecting depression early from social media texts.
problem Early diagnosis and prevention of depression.
method Topic analysis and learned confidence scores.
result Achieved good results compared to state of the art.
Paper detects social media influencers affecting financial markets.
problem Impact of social media influencers on financial markets.
method Developed an early warning system for detecting suspicious social network activity.
result Discrepancy in meme and non-meme stocks' reactions to social networks.
Proposes a semi-supervised approach to predict user-level sentiments in social media.
problem Detect and analyze sentiment in social media, especially user-level sentiments.
method Semi-supervised approach using a heterogeneous graph built from social networks, incorporating user influences and multiple types of links.
result Predicts user-level sentiments for specific topics more effectively than previous supervised learning approaches.
Using a method rooted in information theory, we present results that have identified a large set of stocks for which social media can be informative regarding financial volatility. By clustering stocks based on the joint feature sets of social and financial variables, our research provides an important contribution by …
Sentiment analysis from news and social media predicts forex market movements.
problem Forecasting forex market movements using sentiment analysis.
method Lexicon-based analysis and Naive Bayes machine learning.
result Sentiment analysis is effective in predicting forex market movements.
Neural networks are increasingly used for graph classification in a variety of contexts. Social media is a critical application area in this space, however the characteristics of social media graphs differ from those seen in most popular benchmark datasets. Social networks tend to be large and sparse, while benchmarks …
GCAN detects fake news on social media with explanations.
problem Detecting fake news on social media with explanations.
method Graph-aware Co-Attention Networks (GCAN).
result GCAN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy.
Opinion polls have been the bridge between public opinion and politicians in elections. However, developing surveys to disclose people's feedback with respect to economic issues is limited, expensive, and time-consuming. In recent years, social media such as Twitter has enabled people to share their opinions regarding …
New dataset and models detect cryptocurrency bubbles using social media data.
problem Detecting anomalous market behavior in cryptocoins and meme stocks.
method Developed a novel multi-span identification task and sequence-to-sequence hyperbolic models.
result Models effectively detect cryptocoins and meme stocks bubbles in zero-shot settings.
The evolution of social media users' behavior over time complicates user-level comparison tasks such as verification, classification, clustering, and ranking. As a result, naïve approaches may fail to generalize to new users or even to future observations of previously known users. In this paper, we propose a novel pro…
Develops NFCF to reduce gender bias in social media recommendation systems.
problem Reduces gender bias in collaborative filtering systems on social media data.
method Pre-training and fine-tuning neural collaborative filtering with bias correction techniques.
result Achieves better performance and fairness in gender de-biased recommendations.
Paper proposes deep learning for fake claim detection on social media.
problem Spread of false information on social media.
method Extended LIAR dataset with sentiment analysis; BERT-Base model for classification.
result 70% accuracy in classifying claims as genuine or fake.
The rise in popularity of major social media platforms have enabled people to share photos and textual information about their daily life. One of the popular topics about which information is shared is food. Since a lot of media about food are attributed to particular locations and restaurants, information like spatio-…
A growing number of empirical studies suggest that negative advertising is effective in campaigning, while the mechanisms are rarely mentioned. With the scandal of Cambridge Analytica and Russian intervention behind the Brexit and the 2016 presidential election, people have become aware of the political ads on social m…
Tool detects tax evasion on social media using multi-modal deep learning.
problem Detecting tax evasion on social media platforms.
method Developed a multi-modal deep neural network combining comments, hashtags, and images.
result Multi-modal deep neural network achieved AUC of 0.808 and F1 score of 0.762.
DASC combines social media and car sensors to improve disaster response.
problem Inconsistent reliability and inconsistent availability of human sensors.
method Hybrid social-car sensing system using game theory, feedback control, and MDP.
result DASC improves detection accuracy and efficiency in disaster response.
Proposes a multi-modal attention network for better stock price prediction.
problem Predicting future stock movements using historical records and social media.
method Extracts semantic information from social media, estimates credibility, and integrates with numeric features.
result Significantly improved prediction accuracy and trading profits compared to previous methods.
I-AID categorizes disaster tweets into useful information types.
problem Filtering useful information from social media during disasters.
method Multimodel approach using BERT, GAT, and Relation Network.
result I-AID outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in F1 scores.
Social media has recently emerged as a premier method to disseminate information online. Through these online networks, tens of millions of individuals communicate their thoughts, personal experiences, and social ideals. We therefore explore the potential of social media to predict, even prior to onset, Major Depressiv…
SINN combines social science and deep learning for predicting opinion dynamics.
problem Predicting opinion dynamics in social networks using traditional models requires extensive calibration with real data.
method SINN integrates theoretical models and social media data using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and matrix factorization.
result SINN outperforms six baseline methods in predicting opinion dynamics on real-world and synthetic datasets.