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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for social engineering

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is widely accepted to hold true under certain assumptions. One of its implications is that the prediction of stock prices at least in the short run cannot outperform the random walk model. Yet, recently many studies stressing the psychological and social dimension of financial beha…

2013-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

PHASE dataset simulates complex social interactions in physical environments.

problem Lack of datasets for evaluating physically grounded perception of complex social interactions.
method Created PHASE dataset of 2D animations with procedural generation and physics engine.
result SIMPLE model outperforms neural networks in recognizing complex social interactions.

Enhances machine learning for dynamic, interconnected entities.

problem Lack of systematic feature engineering for dynamic, interconnected entities.
method Augments current graph machine learning with comprehensive feature engineering in space and time.
result Improves supervised learning on heterogeneous, attributed entities interacting over time.

We model GitHub interactions as a temporal knowledge graph for software engineering questions.

problem Insufficient performance of existing temporal models on extrapolated queries and time prediction.
method Introduced an extension to current temporal models using relative temporal information.
result Improved performance on extrapolated queries and time prediction.

Improved volatility forecasts for U.S. stocks using social media and news data.

problem Challenges in forecasting equity market volatility due to infrequency and variability of macroeconomic announcements.
method Estimating public attention and sentiment towards scheduled macroeconomic variables using various data sources and machine learning.
result Significant improvement in volatility forecasts for U.S. stocks, up to 14.99% on average.

For a broad range of research, governmental and commercial applications it is important to understand the allegiances, communities and structure of key players in society. One promising direction towards extracting this information is to exploit the rich relational data in digital social networks (the social graph). As…

2016-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We live in a computerized and networked society where many of our actions leave a digital trace and affect other people's actions. This has lead to the emergence of a new data-driven research field: mathematical methods of computer science, statistical physics and sociometry provide insights on a wide range of discipli…

2011-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel method uses blockchain transaction graphs for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Insufficient effectiveness of manually designed features for Bitcoin price prediction.
method Mining patterns from Bitcoin transactions using k-order transaction graphs and proposing a novel prediction method.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art Bitcoin price prediction methods.

Improved NER on Turkish tweets using semi-supervised learning and word embeddings.

problem Named Entity Recognition on informal Turkish text types.
method Semi-supervised learning with neural networks and word embeddings.
result Achieved better F-score performances than previous Turkish NER systems.

Study 986 diverse networks to reveal structural diversity across domains.

problem Understanding structural diversity in networks across various domains.
method Machine learning techniques (random forest, confusion matrix) on 986 real-world networks and 575 generated networks.
result Networks in the same partition have similar underlying functions, constraints, and generative mechanisms, regardless of their origins.

How technology affects growth or employment has long been debated. With a hiatus, the debate revived once again in the form of how Information and Communications Technology, as a form of new technology, exerts on productivity and employment. Information and Communications Technology perceived as General Purpose Technol…

2017-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning model classifies tweets for disaster rescue scheduling.

problem Efficiently processing and categorizing tweets for disaster rescue.
method Combining attention-based Bi-directional LSTM and CNN with pre-trained word vectors for classification and feature engineering.
result Proposed model outperforms other methods in Precision, Recall, F1-score, and Accuracy.

Paper tackles underranking in group-fair ranking systems, proving a trade-off and presenting an algorithm.

problem Underranking in group-fair ranking systems can worsen social and economic inequalities.
method Formulated underranking as a new problem, proved a lower bound, and presented a fair ranking algorithm.
result Algorithm achieves best of underranking and group fairness, confirming theoretical trade-off.

Corporate governance struggles to curb fraud in a globalized economy.

problem Lack of effective international regulations against corporate fraud.
method Analyzes historical economic crises and the role of corporate governance.
result Corporate governance is insufficient to prevent large business fraud.

Numerous social, medical, engineering and biological challenges can be framed as graph-based learning tasks. Here, we propose a new feature based approach to network classification. We show how dynamics on a network can be useful to reveal patterns about the organization of the components of the underlying graph where …

2017-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New research shows graph embeddings fail to capture key network properties.

problem Graph embeddings fail to capture salient properties of complex networks.
method Mathematical proof and empirical study of various embedding techniques.
result Any successful graph embedding must have a rank nearly linear in the number of vertices.

Stochastic networks are a plausible representation of the relational information among entities in dynamic systems such as living cells or social communities. While there is a rich literature in estimating a static or temporally invariant network from observation data, little has been done toward estimating time-varyin…

2008-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian method predicts social unrest from social media data.

problem Uncertainty in predicting events from diverse, unstructured social media data.
method Machine learning for classification and empirical Bayesian approach for event probability calculation.
result Predicted social unrest events in Australian cities with high accuracy.

Algorithm improves recommendation subset selection in the presence of biases.

problem Maximizing submodular functions for recommendation in the presence of social biases.
method Algorithm for submodular maximization with fairness constraints.
result Algorithm provably outputs subsets with near-optimal utility and proportional representation.

Improved neural model for social recommendation by integrating social and interest networks.

problem Data sparsity and lack of higher-order relationships in social recommendation.
method DiffNet++ models neural influence diffusion and interest diffusion in a unified framework using a multi-level attention network.
result Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show the effectiveness of DiffNet++.

The paper analyzes how disturbances affect the convergence of algorithms in complex systems.

problem Analyzing the impact of disturbances on algorithm convergence in complex systems.
method Leveraging converse Lyapunov theorems, the paper derives stability bounds and convergence rates in the presence of disturbances.
result Key inequalities quantify the impact of disturbances on algorithmic performance.

Graph machine learning lacks a balanced theory, focusing on expressive power and optimization.

problem Insufficient theoretical understanding of GNNs' generalization behavior.
method Develop a balanced theory focusing on expressive power, generalization, and optimization.
result Theoretical advancements need to align with practical success in graph machine learning.

Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.

problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.

Consumers adjust their spending based on firms' social stances, influencing firm profits.

problem How consumer spending responds to firms' social stances.
method Using payment card transactions to predict and measure consumer responses to firms' social stances.
result Consumers' spending increases by 19% and decreases by 12% in response to firms' social stances, with effects lasting up to a year.

Social learning can make financial markets inefficient, but individual learning can fix this.

problem Inefficiencies in financial markets due to social learning.
method Study of the Minority Game model with social and individual learning mechanisms.
result Individual learning can rescue a population from the inefficiencies caused by social learning.

SINN combines social science and deep learning for predicting opinion dynamics.

problem Predicting opinion dynamics in social networks using traditional models requires extensive calibration with real data.
method SINN integrates theoretical models and social media data using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and matrix factorization.
result SINN outperforms six baseline methods in predicting opinion dynamics on real-world and synthetic datasets.

Optimizes social interactions for profit, people, and planet using mathematical models.

problem Determining the most effective social configurations for mutual objectives.
method Formulated as a mathematical optimization problem, using (meta)relational models theory.
result Identifies the most suitable combination of sociality forms for mutual objectives.

New estimator robust to adversarial noise and data heterogeneity.

problem Sensitive to adversarial noise and poor performance with heterogeneous data.
method Distributionally robust estimator minimizing worst-case conditional expected loss over adversarial distributions.
result Efficiently finds non-parametric local estimates via convex optimization.

Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.

problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.

Enhances traditional MV model for socially responsible investors.

problem Traditional MV models ignore ESG scores relevant to socially responsible investors.
method Implemented an amended MV model considering ESG scores.
result SR investors can achieve competitive SR portfolios with a trade-off between Sharpe Ratio and ESG scores.

System detects financial forecasts in tweets, achieving high precision.

problem Detecting financial forecasts in social media messages.
method Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning techniques for real-time analysis.
result Achieves over 90% precision for financial forecasts.

The rise in online social networking has brought about a revolution in social relations. However, its effects on offline interactions and its implications for collective well-being are still not clear and are under-investigated. We study the ecology of online and offline interaction in an evolutionary game framework wh…

2016-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes PP-GCN for fine-grained social event categorization.

problem Challenges in mining social events due to heterogeneous event elements and social network structures.
method Design an event meta-schema, build an HIN, propose PP-GCN, and use KIES.
result PP-GCN outperforms other techniques in social event detection and clustering.

A new method for recommending groups and activities based on geo-social data.

problem Recommendation of groups and activities based on geo-social data with social constraints.
method Proposes an attentive geo-social group recommendation method with an attention mechanism and a spatial query algorithm.
result Significantly outperforms baseline methods in real-world datasets.