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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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77153230306 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for social discount rates

The well-known theorem of Dybvig, Ingersoll and Ross shows that the long zero-coupon rate can never fall. This result, which, although undoubtedly correct, has been regarded by many as surprising, stems from the implicit assumption that the long-term discount function has an exponential tail. We revisit the problem in …

2013-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We optimize discounts to maximize influence spread in social networks.

problem Maximizing influence spread in social networks with fractional discounts.
method Developed an efficient (1-1/e)-approximation algorithm for NP-hard problem.
result Achieved an approximation of 1-1/e for influence maximization.

Paper introduces non-linear discounting models for default compensation and climate valuation.

problem Valuation of non-replicable value and damage under default risk.
method Develops two models: one for risk-neutralising discounting and another for survival probability dependent discounting.
result Non-decaying discount factors (negative discount rates) are possible under certain scenarios.

This paper shows how forward rate interpolations are equivalent to discount factor interpolations in yield curve construction.

problem The challenge of choosing between different interpolation methods for yield curve construction.
method Demonstrates the equivalence between forward rate interpolations and discount factor interpolations.
result Some popular interpolation methods on forward rates are equivalent to classical interpolation methods on discount factors.

Study optimal portfolio strategies with time-varying discount rates.

problem Optimizing portfolio decisions with a non-constant discount rate.
method Introduced subgame perfect strategies to handle time inconsistency, using fixed point iteration to find the utility-weighted discount rate.
result Subgame perfect strategies are equivalent to optimal strategies under certain utility function assumptions.

Study analyzes how discounts affect train ticket purchases and rescheduling in Switzerland.

problem Understanding how discounts influence train ticket buying and rescheduling behavior.
method Machine learning techniques, including causal machine learning, to analyze survey data.
result Increasing a discount rate by 1% increases the rescheduled trip share by 0.16% among always buyers.

Efficiently selects seed nodes to maximize content influence in unknown social networks.

problem Maximizing content spread in social networks with unknown network model.
method Formulated as an infinite-horizon discounted MDP, uses model-based reinforcement learning to select seed users adaptively.
result Established a regret bound of O~(T)\widetilde O(\sqrt{T}) for the algorithm.

Empirical study on long-term discount rates using historical bond prices.

problem Estimating long-term real interest rates and discount rates from historical bond data.
method Using Fourier transforms to derive the discount function and fitting it to historical data.
result Estimated long-term discount rates of 1.7% for UK and 2.2% for US.

Study optimal stopping for group with diverse discount rates using an attitude function.

problem Optimal stopping for a group with diverse discount rates under an aggregation preference.
method Develop iterative approach using consistent planning for time-consistent equilibria.
result Characterize all time-consistent mild equilibria as fixed points of an operator.

For environmental problems such as global warming future costs must be balanced against present costs. This is traditionally done using an exponential function with a constant discount rate, which reduces the present value of future costs. The result is highly sensitive to the choice of discount rate and has generated …

2013-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study negative discount rate effects on perpetual options in Lévy models.

problem Negative discount rate impacts perpetual American and Swing options in Lévy models.
method Analyze perpetual American and put options in exponential Lévy models with negative discount rate, identify critical continuation prices, and generalize to Swing type problems.
result Double continuation region arises in negative discount rate cases, identified by critical prices.

Paper tackles time inconsistency in portfolio management with stochastic volatility and power utility.

problem Time inconsistency in portfolio management with stochastic volatility and power utility.
method Extended Hamilton Jacobi Bellman (HJB) equation, fixed point iteration, and linear parabolic PDE.
result Subgame perfect strategies are characterized and solved through numerical experiments.

Model shows how discount rates affect intergenerational equity in climate mitigation.

problem Intergenerational equity in climate mitigation decisions.
method Extended DICE model with stochastic discount rates and financing extensions.
result Discount-rate uncertainty amplifies intergenerational inequality in climate mitigation.

Defines an implied CO2-price to cover climate change costs, finding it significantly higher than the SCC.

problem The social cost of carbon (SCC) does not fully cover climate change costs.
method Defines an implied CO2-price as a 'polluter pays principle' and calculates its value using a DICE model.
result The cost-implied CO2 price is around 500/tCO2,comparedto50/tCO2, compared to 50/tCO2 for SCC.

The study analyzes historical interest rates to predict future discount rates and their implications on climate change.

problem Predicting future discount rates to inform climate change mitigation policies.
method Constructed real interest rates using historical data and a stochastic model (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck).
result Only 4 out of 14 countries have positive long-run discount rates, suggesting urgent action on climate change.

This paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market within a continuous time stochastic economy. The investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless account. The market coefficients and discount factor switch according to a finite…

2013-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we study the dividend strategies for a shareholder with non-constant discount rate in a diffusion risk model. We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and restrict ourselves to the Markov strategies. This is a time inconsistent control problem. The extended HJB equation is given an…

2013-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless account. The market coefficients and discount factor switches…

2011-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows ambiguity affects optimal timing in a two-dimensional model.

problem Understanding how ambiguity influences optimal timing in a two-dimensional setting.
method Analyzes a two-dimensional optimal stopping problem with ambiguity in a multifactor model.
result Ambiguity affects the rate at which the problem is discounted, not just the growth rate of underlying processes.

A firm with heterogeneous shareholders optimizes dividends under ambiguity aggregation.

problem Optimizing dividends for a firm with heterogeneous shareholders under ambiguity aggregation.
method Characterizing equilibrium dividends using a partition of the state space.
result Time-homogeneous equilibrium dividend law characterized by a partition of the state space.

Q-Learning overestimation bias influenced by learning rate, discount factor, and reward signal.

problem Overestimation bias in Q-Learning algorithm.
method Investigated the influence of learning rate, discount factor, and reward signal on Q-Learning's overestimation bias. Tuned parameters and used an exponential moving average of reward signal.
result Q-Learning can achieve more accurate value estimates by tuning parameters and using an exponential moving average of reward signal.

The paper explores perpetual contracts in a financial market without arbitrage.

problem Modeling perpetual contracts in a continuous-time financial market.
method Derive model-free and semi-robust expressions for perpetual contracts' funding and discount rates.
result Explicit replication strategies for perpetual contracts are derived, relating them to traditional financial instruments.

Faster algorithms for solving multichain MDPs under average-reward criterion.

problem Navigating towards the best connected component in multichain MDPs.
method Developed algorithms to better solve the navigational subproblem, achieving faster convergence rates.
result Improved rates of convergence and sharper complexity measures for multichain MDPs.

Study finds Bitcoin crypto currency rate correlates with social network activity.

problem Detecting correlation between crypto currency rate and social network activity.
method Comparative correlation and fractal analysis of time series data.
result Time series of Bitcoin rate and social network activities exhibit self-similar and multifractal properties.

The paper analyzes optimal dividend and capital injection strategies under time-inconsistent preferences.

problem Optimal dividend and capital injection strategies under time-inconsistent preferences.
method Diffusion risk model with general discount functions, weak equilibrium definition, HJB equation system.
result Explicit solutions and threshold types of optimal strategies derived under different discount functions.

SRMF with high ESG ratings outperform during economic crises.

problem Performance of socially responsible mutual funds during economic downturns.
method Comparative analysis of SRMF with different ESG ratings.
result High ESG rated SRMF outperform low ESG rated SRMF during economic crises.

Cash collateral is perfect in that it provides simultaneous counterparty credit risk protection and derivatives funding. Securities are imperfect collateral, because of collateral segregation or differences in CSA haircuts and repo haircuts. Moreover, the collateral rate term structure is not observable in the repo mar…

2017-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses put-call parity to estimate cost of funding in equity derivatives markets.

problem Estimating the cost of funding in active equity derivative markets.
method Develops a method using European put and call prices to recover the implicit discount factor and cost of funding.
result Identifies the cost of funding in major equity markets, showing it is typically around 34 basis points above OIS.

We consider an individual or household endowed with an initial capital and an income, modeled as a deterministic process with a continuous drift rate. At first, we model the discounting rate as the price of a zero-coupon bond at zero under the assumption of a short rate evolving as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Then, …

2016-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

NVMDP framework tackles non-stationary MDPs with varying discount rates.

problem Challenges in non-stationary environments and infinite-horizon formulations for reinforcement learning.
method Introduces NVMDP framework that accommodates non-stationarity and varying discount rates.
result NVMDPs provide a flexible mechanism to shape optimal policies without altering state or action spaces.

The objective of the present paper is to analyse various features of the Smith-Wilson method used for discounting under the EU regulation Solvency II, with special attention to hedging. In particular, we show that all key rate duration hedges of liabilities beyond the Last Liquid Point will be peculiar. Moreover, we sh…

2016-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗