Flash crash on Ethereum shows social coordination can destabilize blockchain systems.
problem Interconnected socio-technical systems can be fragile due to social coordination.
method Analyzed the 2017 Ethereum flash-crash to illustrate the fragility of blockchain systems.
result Emergent centralization can lead to catastrophic cascades in interconnected systems.
The ABC algorithm's social interactions are characterized through a novel interaction network.
problem Understanding complex behavior in swarm intelligence systems.
method Definition and analysis of the interaction network for the ABC algorithm.
result ABC exhibits dynamic information flow but lacks continuous coordination.
AI agents on social networks rarely engage in extended conversations.
problem Understanding the persistence of interactions in AI-agent social networks.
method Analysis of Moltbook, a social network of AI agents, using interaction half-life and spectral tests.
result Most comments on Moltbook receive a direct reply within seconds, indicating a ``fast response or silence'' regime.
Paper detects social media influencers affecting financial markets.
problem Impact of social media influencers on financial markets.
method Developed an early warning system for detecting suspicious social network activity.
result Discrepancy in meme and non-meme stocks' reactions to social networks.
Subsidized insurance reduces poverty by providing social benefits and lowering government costs.
problem Reducing poverty through effective social protection mechanisms.
method Modeling household capital dynamics under four insurance frameworks (uninsured, insured, insured with subsidies, insured with flexible premiums) to assess poverty reduction and governmental costs.
result Subsidized insurance schemes provide maximum social benefits while reducing governmental costs, effectively reducing poverty.
New method for probabilistic modeling of integer submodular functions.
problem Lack of probabilistic modeling for integer submodular functions.
method Proposed Generalized Multilinear Extension and block-coordinate ascent algorithm.
result Demonstrated effectiveness and viability on real-world datasets.
In this article, we present a brief narration of the origin and the overview of the recent developments done on the Kolkata Paise Restaurant (KPR) problem, which can serve as a prototype for a broader class of resource allocation problems in the presence of a large number of competing agents, typically studied using co…
Prediction markets can shape political behavior through persistent signals, not just forecast accuracy.
problem The role of prediction markets beyond forecasting.
method Transaction-level evidence from the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Signal Credibility Index (SCI).
result Price signals in prediction markets are more influential due to persistence, breadth of trader types, and cross-platform consensus.
We propose a unified mechanism for achieving coordination and communication in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL), through rewarding agents for having causal influence over other agents' actions. Causal influence is assessed using counterfactual reasoning. At each timestep, an agent simulates alternate actions t…
What is the role of real-time control and learning in the formation of social conventions? To answer this question, we propose a computational model that matches human behavioral data in a social decision-making game that was analyzed both in discrete-time and continuous-time setups. Furthermore, unlike previous approa…
Whenever customers' choices (e.g. to buy or not a given good) depend on others choices (cases coined 'positive externalities' or 'bandwagon effect' in the economic literature), the demand may be multiply valued: for a same posted price, there is either a small number of buyers, or a large one -- in which case one says …
Develops variable-lag Granger causality for more accurate time series analysis.
problem Fixed time delay assumption in Granger causality does not fit many real-world applications.
method Variable-lag Granger causality, inferring with arbitrary time delays.
result Performs better than existing methods in coordinated collective behavior studies.
Machine learning detects regime shifts in online game-experiments with high accuracy.
problem Detecting regime shifts in online social systems.
method Gradient-boosted decision trees with memory-retaining features.
result Significantly outperforms standard early warning indicators.
We describe society as a nonequilibrium probabilistic system: N individuals occupy W resource states in it and produce entropy S over definite time periods. Resulting thermodynamics is however unusual because a second entropy, H, measures a typically social feature, inequality or diversity in the distribution of availa…
The investment on the stock market is prone to be affected by the Internet. For the purpose of improving the prediction accuracy, we propose a multi-task stock prediction model that not only considers the stock correlations but also supports multi-source data fusion. Our proposed model first utilizes tensor to integrat…
PHASE dataset simulates complex social interactions in physical environments.
problem Lack of datasets for evaluating physically grounded perception of complex social interactions.
method Created PHASE dataset of 2D animations with procedural generation and physics engine.
result SIMPLE model outperforms neural networks in recognizing complex social interactions.
Improved neural model for social recommendation by integrating social and interest networks.
problem Data sparsity and lack of higher-order relationships in social recommendation.
method DiffNet++ models neural influence diffusion and interest diffusion in a unified framework using a multi-level attention network.
result Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show the effectiveness of DiffNet++.
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.
Social learning can make financial markets inefficient, but individual learning can fix this.
problem Inefficiencies in financial markets due to social learning.
method Study of the Minority Game model with social and individual learning mechanisms.
result Individual learning can rescue a population from the inefficiencies caused by social learning.
SINN combines social science and deep learning for predicting opinion dynamics.
problem Predicting opinion dynamics in social networks using traditional models requires extensive calibration with real data.
method SINN integrates theoretical models and social media data using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and matrix factorization.
result SINN outperforms six baseline methods in predicting opinion dynamics on real-world and synthetic datasets.
Optimizes social interactions for profit, people, and planet using mathematical models.
problem Determining the most effective social configurations for mutual objectives.
method Formulated as a mathematical optimization problem, using (meta)relational models theory.
result Identifies the most suitable combination of sociality forms for mutual objectives.
Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.
problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.
Enhances traditional MV model for socially responsible investors.
problem Traditional MV models ignore ESG scores relevant to socially responsible investors.
method Implemented an amended MV model considering ESG scores.
result SR investors can achieve competitive SR portfolios with a trade-off between Sharpe Ratio and ESG scores.
The rise in online social networking has brought about a revolution in social relations. However, its effects on offline interactions and its implications for collective well-being are still not clear and are under-investigated. We study the ecology of online and offline interaction in an evolutionary game framework wh…
Paper proposes PP-GCN for fine-grained social event categorization.
problem Challenges in mining social events due to heterogeneous event elements and social network structures.
method Design an event meta-schema, build an HIN, propose PP-GCN, and use KIES.
result PP-GCN outperforms other techniques in social event detection and clustering.
A new method for recommending groups and activities based on geo-social data.
problem Recommendation of groups and activities based on geo-social data with social constraints.
method Proposes an attentive geo-social group recommendation method with an attention mechanism and a spatial query algorithm.
result Significantly outperforms baseline methods in real-world datasets.
Secure social recommendation framework using secret sharing.
problem Privacy concerns and reluctance to share social data in recommender systems.
method Secret Sharing based Matrix Multiplication (SSMM) protocol for secure data sharing and collaborative recommendation.
result SeSoRec framework improves recommendation performance and is secure.
Predicting event attendance using social influence from social networks.
problem Predicting people's participation in real-world events.
method Modeling social influence, using non-geotagged posts and social group structures, applying graph embedding techniques, and training a neural network.
result The proposed classifier achieves 89% accuracy on the VFestival dataset, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Algorithm improves learning by integrating diverse agents' behaviors.
problem Lack of social learning in reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Free energy approach for social bandit learning.
result Algorithm converges to optimal policy and enhances learning.
We propose a scalable, efficient and statistically motivated computational framework for Graphical Lasso (Friedman et al., 2007b) - a covariance regularization framework that has received significant attention in the statistics community over the past few years. Existing algorithms have trouble in scaling to dimensions…
Model predicts depression and anxiety from social network dynamics.
problem Predicting mental health from social interactions.
method Developed a predictive model using dynamic social network data.
result Dynamic social network model outperforms static models.
SBO uses dual voting to build consensus in noisy feedback settings.
problem Collective decision-making under social influence.
method Dual voting system with noisy public votes and private interviews.
result Efficient consensus-building through noisy public votes, debiased by estimated social graph.
The combination of large open data sources with machine learning approaches presents a potentially powerful way to predict events such as protest or social unrest. However, accounting for uncertainty in such models, particularly when using diverse, unstructured datasets such as social media, is essential to guarantee t…
Online social networks offer a new way to investigate financial markets' dynamics by enabling the large-scale analysis of investors' collective behavior. We provide empirical evidence that suggests social media and stock markets have a nonlinear causal relationship. We take advantage of an extensive data set composed o…
Paper proposes using word embeddings to detect trolls in social media debates.
problem Preventing online harassment through rapid detection of offensive posts.
method Word embedding models for identifying fast-changing topics and negative content.
result GloVe model helps in discovering new keywords for trolling detection.
Mobile big data contains vast statistical features in various dimensions, including spatial, temporal, and the underlying social domain. Understanding and exploiting the features of mobile data from a social network perspective will be extremely beneficial to wireless networks, from planning, operation, and maintenance…
We show social events can be accurately predicted, but often undesirably.
problem The predictability of social events and its implications.
method Recent ideas from performative prediction and outcome indistinguishability.
result Social events can be efficiently predicted accurately, but often undesirably.
Heterogeneous SVO leads to diverse policies in sequential social dilemmas.
problem Understanding how diverse social value orientations affect behavior in sequential social dilemmas.
method Extending prior reinforcement learning studies, we instantiated heterogeneous SVO in a sequential social dilemma setting and measured task-specific diversity metrics.
result Heterogeneous SVO leads to meaningfully diverse policies across various incentive structures.
Actors in realistic social networks play not one but a number of diverse roles depending on whom they interact with, and a large number of such role-specific interactions collectively determine social communities and their organizations. Methods for analyzing social networks should capture these multi-faceted role-spec…
NAS model improves social recommendation accuracy using neural attention.
problem Capturing and weighing friends' preferences in social recommendation systems.
method Proposes a Neural Attention mechanism (NAS) for Social collaborative filtering.
result NAS model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in publicly available datasets.
Agents learn social skills from each other, improving performance.
problem Independent RL agents fail to use social learning.
method Imposed constraints, model-based auxiliary loss, mixed training.
result Agents trained with social learning outperform solo-trained agents.
We demonstrate that future market correlation structure can be predicted with high out-of-sample accuracy using a multiplex network approach that combines information from social media and financial data. Market structure is measured by quantifying the co-movement of asset prices returns, while social structure is meas…
LoCEC classifies user relationships in large social networks, addressing sparsity issues.
problem Sparse relationship feature and label data in real social platforms.
method Local Community-based Edge Classification (LoCEC) framework with three-phase processing.
result Effective and efficient classification of user relationships in large-scale networks.
This paper uses social signals to improve cryptocurrency price forecasting.
problem Improving cryptocurrency price forecasting using social signals.
method LSTMs trained on historical price data and social data from GitHub and Reddit.
result Social signals reduce error in forecasting cryptocurrency prices, especially for Bitcoin.
Using a method rooted in information theory, we present results that have identified a large set of stocks for which social media can be informative regarding financial volatility. By clustering stocks based on the joint feature sets of social and financial variables, our research provides an important contribution by …
DASC combines social media and car sensors to improve disaster response.
problem Inconsistent reliability and inconsistent availability of human sensors.
method Hybrid social-car sensing system using game theory, feedback control, and MDP.
result DASC improves detection accuracy and efficiency in disaster response.
Paper improves gender detection on social media using deep learning.
problem Traditional classifiers struggle with social media data volume.
method Ensemble deep learning with multi-model architectures.
result Improved gender detection accuracy on social media posts.
HGP tackles noisy connections and heterogeneity in social graphs for better social recommendation.
problem Challenges in social graphs, especially noisy connections and heterogeneity, hinder GNN-based social recommendation.
method HGP uses a tripartite graph to reduce complexity, personalized PageRank for node embeddings, and attention mechanism for integration.
result HGP outperforms baselines in AUC and F1-score metrics on a large-scale dataset.