Subsidized insurance reduces poverty by providing social benefits and lowering government costs.
problem Reducing poverty through effective social protection mechanisms.
method Modeling household capital dynamics under four insurance frameworks (uninsured, insured, insured with subsidies, insured with flexible premiums) to assess poverty reduction and governmental costs.
result Subsidized insurance schemes provide maximum social benefits while reducing governmental costs, effectively reducing poverty.
Pension benefits in rural China lead to cognitive decline among the elderly.
problem Cognitive decline in late adulthood among rural Chinese elderly.
method Examined the effects of a new pension scheme on cognitive performance.
result Pension benefits negatively impact cognitive functioning, particularly delayed recall.
Consequential decision-making typically incentivizes individuals to behave strategically, tailoring their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. A long line of work has therefore sought to counteract strategic behavior by designing more conservative decision boundaries in an effort to increase robustness to th…
Combines global and local features for better social circle prediction in ego-networks.
problem Efficiently analyzing ego-networks with hidden local structures.
method Evolved deep learning techniques to capture both global and local network features.
result Social circle prediction benefits from a combination of global and local features.
LoCEC classifies user relationships in large social networks, addressing sparsity issues.
problem Sparse relationship feature and label data in real social platforms.
method Local Community-based Edge Classification (LoCEC) framework with three-phase processing.
result Effective and efficient classification of user relationships in large-scale networks.
Generative model captures hubs and dense communities in social networks.
problem Capturing both hubs and dense communities in social networks.
method Graphon mixture model with a new condition on sparse graphs.
result Estimation of hub normalized degree and graphon for sparse components.
New study finds targeting based on treatment effects outperforms risk-based targeting in social interventions.
problem Lack of accurate treatment effect estimates for machine learning-based targeting in social domains.
method Empirical assessment of targeting strategies using data from 5 real-world RCTs in various domains.
result Treatment effect-based targeting outperforms risk-based targeting, even with biased estimates.
The evolution of social media users' behavior over time complicates user-level comparison tasks such as verification, classification, clustering, and ranking. As a result, naïve approaches may fail to generalize to new users or even to future observations of previously known users. In this paper, we propose a novel pro…
Modeling social network activity through user and topic interaction.
problem Understanding complex dynamics of opinion formation in social networks.
method Mixture of Interacting Cascades (MIC) model of marked multidimensional Hawkes processes.
result MIC achieves superior performance in modeling information cascade spread.
Historically, machine learning in computer security has prioritized defense: think intrusion detection systems, malware classification, and botnet traffic identification. Offense can benefit from data just as well. Social networks, with their access to extensive personal data, bot-friendly APIs, colloquial syntax, and …
Study shows financial literacy, social capital, and financial tech positively impact financial inclusion of Indonesian students.
problem Financial literacy, social capital, and financial technology's impact on financial inclusion of Indonesian students.
method Quantitative research using questionnaires distributed to 100 students from 7 private colleges in Tangerang, Indonesia.
result Financial literacy, social capital, and financial technology have a positive and significant influence on financial inclusion.
New algorithm improves group fairness in social classification problems by exploiting performativity.
problem Inequities in social classification problems due to performativity.
method Develops algorithmic fairness practices that leverage performativity to achieve stronger group fairness guarantees.
result Achieves stronger group fairness guarantees compared to non-performative settings.
Federated learning has become increasingly important for modern machine learning, especially for data privacy-sensitive scenarios. Existing federated learning mostly adopts the central server-based architecture or centralized architecture. However, in many social network scenarios, centralized federated learning is not…
Users increasingly rely on social media feeds for consuming daily information. The items in a feed, such as news, questions, songs, etc., usually result from the complex interplay of a user's social contacts, her interests and her actions on the platform. The relationship of the user's own behavior and the received fee…
Understanding how political attention is divided and over what subjects is crucial for research on areas such as agenda setting, framing, and political rhetoric. Existing methods for measuring attention, such as manual labeling according to established codebooks, are expensive and can be restrictive. We describe two co…
Statistical test evaluates if personalizing interventions is cost-effective.
problem Balancing the benefits of personalizing interventions with their potential costs.
method Developed a statistical hypothesis test to assess the performance of personalized interventions.
result The test shows that personalized interventions can outperform standard approaches under certain conditions.
New ESGM scores include a 'Missing' pillar to account for unpublished ESG data.
problem Unpublished ESG data affects the reliability of ESG scores.
method Formulated a new 'Missing' pillar and introduced ESGM scores.
result ESGM scores improve risk assessment and avoid exclusion of assets.
Reduces variance in noisy social outcomes to improve policy evaluation and optimization.
problem Improving access to opportunity through personalized treatment decisions.
method Data-driven dimensionality-reduction using reduced rank regression to denoise multiple outcomes.
result Improves estimation error in policy evaluation and optimization, including on real-world data.
This research tackles unsupervised topic extraction in noisy social media data.
problem Capturing customer insights from social media data is challenging due to noise and heterogeneity.
method The research presents three nonparametric approaches based on the Variational Autoencoder framework: Embedded Dirichlet Process, Embedded Hierarchical Dirichlet Process, and time-aware Dynamic Embedded Dirichlet Process.
result The models achieve equal to better performance than state-of-the-art methods in topic extraction from noisy social media data.
We introduce the logistic model of consumption growth, which captures a negative feedback loop preventing an unlimited growth of consumption due to finite biophysical resources of our planet. This simple dynamic model allows for derivation of the expression describing the declining long-term tail of a social discount c…
The paper explores how to fairly share longevity risk among participants of tontine schemes.
problem Fair distribution of longevity risk among participants with varying wealth and health.
method Develops a modeling framework for sharing benefits among survivors in tontine schemes.
result There are multiple ways to share longevity risk, depending on social cohesion.
Paper proposes decentralized annuities for better retirement security.
problem Current pension systems' limitations and fairness issues.
method Theoretical models and fairness concepts analysis.
result Decentralized annuities offer enhanced flexibility and social welfare.
Study detects emerging trends in financial news articles about Microsoft.
problem Challenges in identifying trends in long-form financial news articles.
method Topic modeling and term frequency for keyword similarity analysis.
result Demonstrates the influence of the pandemic on Microsoft.
Response time improves alignment with diverse human preferences.
problem Standard aggregation of feedback ignores heterogeneity and anonymity.
method Augmenting feedback with response time data and modeling decisions with DDM.
result Estimator of heterogeneous preferences converges to true average preference.
Develops c-GNF for personalized social science policy analysis.
problem Challenges in estimating causal effects and counterfactual inference in social sciences.
method causal-Graphical Normalizing Flow (c-GNF) method.
result c-GNF performs well in estimating causal effects and counterfactual inference.
HERMES model predicts nonstationary fashion trends using social media data.
problem Forecasting nonstationary fashion time series for optimal inventory decisions.
method Hybrid model combining parametric models, seasonal components, and recurrent neural networks with external signals.
result State-of-the-art results on fashion dataset and M4 competition time series.
The well-known theorem of Dybvig, Ingersoll and Ross shows that the long zero-coupon rate can never fall. This result, which, although undoubtedly correct, has been regarded by many as surprising, stems from the implicit assumption that the long-term discount function has an exponential tail. We revisit the problem in …
We present a max-margin nonparametric latent feature model, which unites the ideas of max-margin learning and Bayesian nonparametrics to discover discriminative latent features for link prediction and automatically infer the unknown latent social dimension. By minimizing a hinge-loss using the linear expectation operat…
Information systems experience an ever-growing volume of unstructured data, particularly in the form of textual materials. This represents a rich source of information from which one can create value for people, organizations and businesses. For instance, recommender systems can benefit from automatically understanding…
BIG-bench benchmarks language models, revealing their strengths and weaknesses.
problem Understanding and quantifying the capabilities of large language models.
method Developed the BIG-bench benchmark with 204 tasks from various domains, evaluated across multiple model sizes and types.
result Model performance improves with scale but remains poor, with breakthrough behaviors often involving multiple steps.
Autonomous reinforcement learning agents, like children, do not have access to predefined goals and reward functions. They must discover potential goals, learn their own reward functions and engage in their own learning trajectory. Children, however, benefit from exposure to language, helping to organize and mediate th…
This work formulates a novel song recommender system as a matrix completion problem that benefits from collaborative filtering through Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) and content-based filtering via total variation (TV) on graphs. The graphs encode both playlist proximity information and song similarity, using …
Social media services such as Twitter are a valuable source of information for decision support systems. Many studies have shown that this also holds for the medical domain, where Twitter is considered a viable tool for public health officials to sift through relevant information for the early detection, management, an…
Study uses AI to analyze emojis for predicting cryptocurrency market trends.
problem Predicting cryptocurrency market trends using social media sentiment.
method Fine-tuned transformer-based BERT model for multimodal sentiment analysis of emojis.
result Emoji sentiment analysis outperforms text-only sentiment analysis in predicting market trends.
This paper explores how theories of the planning fallacy and the outside view may be used to conduct quality control and due diligence in project management. First, a much-neglected issue in project management is identified, namely that the front-end estimates of costs and benefits--used in the business cases, cost-ben…
Developing classification methods with high accuracy that also avoid unfair treatment of different groups has become increasingly important for data-driven decision making in social applications. Many existing methods enforce fairness constraints on a selected classifier (e.g., logistic regression) by directly forming …
We present a practical health-theme machine learning (ML) application concerning `AI for social good' domain for `Producing Good Outcomes' track. In particular, the solution is concerning the problem of a potential elderly adult dementia onset prediction in aging societies. The paper discusses our attempt and encouragi…
Decentralized mechanism for collective predictions without sharing data or models.
problem Making predictions jointly among multiple parties without sharing data or models.
method Inspired by social science consensus-making, a decentralized mechanism for test-time collective predictions.
result Our mechanism converges to inverse meansquared-error weighting in the large-sample limit and achieves significant gains over classical model averaging.
PHASE dataset simulates complex social interactions in physical environments.
problem Lack of datasets for evaluating physically grounded perception of complex social interactions.
method Created PHASE dataset of 2D animations with procedural generation and physics engine.
result SIMPLE model outperforms neural networks in recognizing complex social interactions.
We present three case studies of organizations using a data science competition to answer a pressing question. The first is in education where a nonprofit that creates smart school budgets wanted to automatically tag budget line items. The second is in public health, where a low-cost, nonprofit women's health care prov…
DQ4FairIM uses RL to maximize influence while ensuring fairness across all groups.
problem Fairness in influence maximization in social networks.
method Fairness-aware deep RL method using Structure2Vec network embedding.
result DQ4FairIM achieves higher fairness than fairness-agnostic and fairness-aware baselines.
We study the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem in the presence of side-observations across actions that occur as a result of an underlying network structure. In our model, a bipartite graph captures the relationship between actions and a common set of unknowns such that choosing an action reveals observations…
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.
Managing unemployment is one of the key issues in social policies. Unemployment insurance schemes are designed to cushion the financial and morale blow of loss of job but also to encourage the unemployed to seek new jobs more pro-actively due to the continuous reduction of benefit payments. In the present paper, a simp…
Social learning can make financial markets inefficient, but individual learning can fix this.
problem Inefficiencies in financial markets due to social learning.
method Study of the Minority Game model with social and individual learning mechanisms.
result Individual learning can rescue a population from the inefficiencies caused by social learning.
SINN combines social science and deep learning for predicting opinion dynamics.
problem Predicting opinion dynamics in social networks using traditional models requires extensive calibration with real data.
method SINN integrates theoretical models and social media data using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and matrix factorization.
result SINN outperforms six baseline methods in predicting opinion dynamics on real-world and synthetic datasets.
Optimizes social interactions for profit, people, and planet using mathematical models.
problem Determining the most effective social configurations for mutual objectives.
method Formulated as a mathematical optimization problem, using (meta)relational models theory.
result Identifies the most suitable combination of sociality forms for mutual objectives.
Social recommendation has emerged to leverage social connections among users for predicting users' unknown preferences, which could alleviate the data sparsity issue in collaborative filtering based recommendation. Early approaches relied on utilizing each user's first-order social neighbors' interests for better user …