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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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209417626834 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for smoothed robust estimator

Paper optimizes statistical estimation for randomized smoothing to reduce adversarial robustness certification time.

problem Efficiently estimating robustness of points against adversarial attacks.
method Developed estimation procedures using confidence sequences and randomized Clopper-Pearson intervals.
result Achieved optimal sample complexities and stronger certificates with reduced computational burden.

Spatial smoothing improves BNNs' accuracy, uncertainty, and robustness without increasing computational cost.

problem Large ensembles in BNNs increase computational cost and reduce performance.
method Spatial smoothing adds blur layers to convolutional neural networks to ensemble neighboring feature map points.
result Spatial smoothing improves BNNs' performance with fewer ensembles and enhances robustness.

Neural network model improves robustness of mortgage bond yield curve estimation.

problem Overfitting and instability in traditional yield curve estimation methods for small mortgage bond markets.
method Neural network framework with a new loss function for smoothness and stability.
result Empirical results show more robust and stable yield curve estimates compared to existing methods.

New method provides tighter robustness guarantees for adversarial attacks.

problem Ensuring robustness against adversarial attacks in machine learning models.
method Developed a Second-order Smoothing (SoS) robustness certificate using Gaussian random smoothing.
result SoS certificates are tighter and provide improved robustness on high-dimensional datasets.

DBU models struggle with robust uncertainty estimates under adversarial attacks.

problem Robustness of DBU models in adversarial settings.
method Investigated robustness of DBU models under adversarial attacks; proposed median smoothing approach.
result DBU models are not robust in indicating correctly and wrongly classified samples, detecting adversarial examples, and distinguishing ID and OOD data.

Paper explores robust estimators for kernel exponential families using smoothed total variation distances.

problem Outliers can severely impact classical estimators in statistical inference.
method Proposes smoothed total variation (STV) distance as a class of IPMs for robust estimation of kernel exponential families.
result STV-based estimators are robust against distribution contamination for kernel exponential families.

Improved estimators for causal inference using cross-fitting and undersmoothing.

problem Estimating expected conditional covariance in causal inference.
method Double cross-fit doubly robust (DCDR) estimators with undersmoothing for non-smooth nuisance functions.
result DCDR estimators achieve n\sqrt{n}-consistency and asymptotic normality under minimal conditions.

We consider microstructure as an arbitrary contamination of the underlying latent securities price, through a Markov kernel QQ. Special cases include additive error, rounding and combinations thereof. Our main result is that, subject to smoothness conditions, the two scales realized volatility is robust to the form of…

2007-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study estimates heterogeneous principal causal effects with binary treatments and intermediate variables.

problem Estimating subgroup effects within strata defined by potential values of an intermediate variable.
method Proposes a framework for estimating and forming confidence intervals for heterogeneous principal causal effects under principal ignorability assumption. Develops several estimators with varying robustness properties.
result Established large-sample theory and analyzed bias contributions of each approach.

Proposes a new estimator for causal mediation with continuous treatments.

problem Estimation of direct and indirect effects with continuous treatments.
method Kernel smoothing approach with cross-fitting for non-parametric estimation.
result Multiply robust and asymptotically normal estimator for continuous treatments.

Paper improves neural network robustness certification with tighter radii estimates.

problem Certifying neural networks' robustness against adversarial attacks.
method Advanced algorithms for discrete and continuous domains, optimizing sample size, standard deviation, and temperature.
result Significant improvement in certified test-set accuracy with tighter certified radii bounds.

Improved MLMC method for robust and efficient probability and density estimation.

problem Stability and poor complexity of MLMC for low-regularity functionals.
method Numerical smoothing combined with MLMC for deterministic quadrature methods.
result Significant improvement in strong convergence and robustness of MLMC method.

A new algorithm improves both computational efficiency and statistical optimality for robust low-rank matrix and tensor estimation.

problem Challenges in low-rank matrix estimation under heavy-tailed noise, both computationally and statistically.
method Riemannian sub-gradient (RsGrad) algorithm, which is computationally efficient and statistically optimal.
result RsGrad achieves linear convergence and statistical optimality for robust loss functions under Gaussian and heavy-tailed noise.

A debiasing method improves nonparametric regression's statistical properties.

problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for modern nonparametric regression methods.
method Model-free debiasing method incorporating a correction term.
result Debiased estimator satisfies pointwise and uniform risk convergence, asymptotic normality.

New method combines strengths of two PCL approaches without density ratio estimation.

problem Estimating causal functions in Proxy Causal Learning with unobserved confounders and proxies.
method Kernel-based doubly robust estimators combining treatment and outcome bridges, density ratio-free.
result Outperforms existing methods on PCL benchmarks, including a prior doubly robust method.

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP) models. GPs are gaining increasing importance in signal processing, machine learning,…

2012-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Label smoothing improves model robustness against misspecification.

problem Improving model robustness against model misspecification.
method Introducing modified label smoothing (MLSLR) that maintains consistent probability estimation while modifying the loss function.
result MLSLR exhibits higher robustness against model misspecification than conventional label smoothing.

New method for robust inference on optimal treatment regimes without model specification.

problem Inference on optimal treatment regimes without specifying outcome regression models.
method Smoothed robust estimator and resampling-based inference.
result Asymptotic normal distribution and accurate inference for optimal treatment regimes.

Paper tackles robust deep learning from weakly dependent data with unbounded loss and input.

problem Tackles robust deep learning from weakly dependent data with unbounded loss and input.
method Establishes non-asymptotic bounds for expected excess risk under strong mixing and ψψ-weak dependence assumptions.
result Derives a relationship between bounds and rr, and shows convergence rate close to i.i.d. results for r=r=\infty.

Paper proposes ZO-SMD for MERO, achieving optimal convergence rates.

problem Minimizing excess risk across all test distributions.
method Zeroth-order stochastic mirror descent algorithm for both smooth and non-smooth MERO.
result Converges at optimal rates of O(1/t)\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt{t}) for estimates and optimization errors.

Estimates convex hulls of smooth function images with error bounds.

problem Estimating the convex hull of the image of a smooth boundary set.
method Using submersion properties and sampling inputs, derive bounds on Hausdorff distance.
result New tighter and more general error bounds for geometric inference.

Enhances robustness of deep neural networks with randomized smoothing.

problem Improving robustness of deep neural networks against noisy inputs and adversarial attacks.
method Introduces a variance-margin trade-off approach to increase certified robust radius using pre-trained models.
result Significant improvement in certified accuracy compared to state-of-the-art methods.

We consider the non-parametric regression problem under Huber's εε-contamination model, in which an εε fraction of observations are subject to arbitrary adversarial noise. We first show that a simple local binning median step can effectively remove the adversary noise and this median estimator is minimax optimal up t…

2018-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

ROME improves density estimation for multi-modal, non-normal data.

problem Robust multi-modal density estimation in non-normal, highly correlated distributions.
method ROME uses clustering to segment multi-modal data into uni-modal clusters, then combines KDE estimates for each cluster.
result ROME outperforms state-of-the-art methods and is more robust to various distributions.

Paper develops methods to estimate derivative of dose-response curve for continuous treatments.

problem Estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve for continuous treatments.
method Doubly robust (DR) inference method using kernel smoothing, bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators.
result Proposes novel bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators for continuous treatments.

Post-estimation smoothing improves prediction accuracy with structural indices.

problem Using natural structural indices in machine learning without losing robustness.
method A post-estimation smoothing operator that separates from the original predictor.
result Post-estimation smoothing improves accuracy over original predictors under simple conditions.

New algorithm for robust high-dimensional linear regression is both fast and statistically optimal.

problem Challenges in high-dimensional linear regression under heavy-tailed noise or outliers.
method Projected sub-gradient descent algorithm for sparse and low-rank regression problems.
result Algorithm achieves linear convergence and statistical optimality under various noise conditions.

This paper improves adversarial robustness of deep learning models.

problem Vulnerability of machine learning models to adversarial perturbations.
method Analyzes adversarial training for linear regression and neural networks, incorporating L1 penalty.
result Incorporating L1 penalty leads to consistent adversarially robust estimation in high-dimensional settings.

New method improves robustness of smoothed classifiers against adversarial attacks.

problem Improving robustness of smoothed classifiers against adversarial attacks.
method Proposes worst-case adversarial loss over input distributions as a robustness certificate, and uses duality and smoothness properties to provide an easy-to-compute upper bound.
result Shows superior robustness performance over state-of-the-art certified or heuristic methods.

Hierarchical randomized smoothing improves model robustness for complex data.

problem Certifying robustness on complex data (e.g. images, graphs) is challenging.
method Add random noise to a randomly selected subset of entities in a hierarchical manner.
result Hierarchical randomized smoothing yields stronger robustness guarantees with high accuracy.

Improved quantile estimation using semi-supervised data.

problem Quantile estimation in high-dimensional settings with limited labeled data.
method Proposes semi-supervised estimators using a flexible imputation strategy and debiasing step.
result Improved estimation accuracy compared to supervised methods, robust to misspecification.

We consider estimating the edge-probability matrix of a network generated from a graphon model when the full network is not observed---only some overlapping subgraphs are. We extend the neighbourhood smoothing (NBS) algorithm of Zhang et al. (2017) to this missing-data set-up and show experimentally that, for a wide ra…

2019-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for adaptive estimation and inference in econometric models without knowing smoothness.

problem Adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems with unknown smoothness.
method Discrepancy principle-based framework for adaptive hyperparameter selection.
result Achieves optimal rates in weak and strong metrics for linear functionals.

GS-B3^3SE improves label shift estimation by smoothing priors on a graph.

problem Label shift adaptation when source and target distributions share conditional but not marginal probabilities.
method Graph-Smoothed Bayesian Black-Box Shift Estimator (GS-B3^3SE) places Laplacian-Gaussian priors on log-priors and confusion-matrix columns tied by a label-similarity graph.
result GS-B3^3SE produces a tractable posterior with HMC or Newton-CG schemes, proving identifiability, contraction, and robustness.

Unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning for various statistical parameters.

problem Inference on smooth functionals of nonparametric M-estimands.
method Unified framework using gradient, Hessian, and linear approximation; solves two risk minimization problems.
result Efficient autoDML estimators with double robustness and robustness to misspecification.