Model predicts smoking events using a Hawkes process.
problem Predict smoking events to improve cessation interventions.
method Time-varying semi-parametric Hawkes process model.
result TV-SPHP achieves superior prediction performance.
Smart watches can identify smoking gestures with high accuracy.
problem Identifying smoking gestures to prevent relapses.
method Used accelerometer sensors in smart watches and Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs).
result 85%-95% success rates in identifying smoking gestures.
Machine learning helps predict smoke types for safer forest burns.
problem Determining which fuels to burn safely to reduce wildfire risk and minimize smoke.
method Machine learning techniques like spectral clustering and manifold learning.
result Interpretable representations and tools for differentiating smoke types.
Proposes a robust EM algorithm for analyzing incomplete panel count data.
problem Missing reports in panel count data.
method Functional EM algorithm for non-parametric counting process mean function estimation.
result Robust to misspecification of Poisson process assumption and missing completely at random.
Study predicts adolescents' intention to smoke cigarettes using ML models.
problem Early identification of adolescents' smoking intentions.
method Five machine learning algorithms tested for predicting intention to smoke cigarettes.
result Gradient Boosting Classifier showed highest accuracy.
Network Elastic Net identifies smoking-specific gene expression for lung cancer prognosis.
problem Identifying smoking-specific gene expression biomarkers in lung cancer prognosis.
method Introduces Network Elastic Net, a method that clusters and regresses on graphs based on smoking behavior.
result Shows efficacy of clusters in identifying cancer stages using gene expression and smoking behavior.
Unsupervised fire and smoke segmentation from IR videos.
problem Early detection of fire from infrared videos.
method Spatial, temporal, and motion information fusion using optical flow, divergence, and intensity values.
result Markov Random Field outperforms other clustering algorithms in fire and smoke segmentation.
Paper addresses measurement error in observational data, estimating effects of maternal smoking and opioid use on childhood obesity.
problem Systematic bias in inferences from observational datasets due to measurement error.
method Missing data view of measurement error problem; marginalizes latent true exposure; identifies outcome distribution under specific conditions.
result Method estimates effects of maternal smoking and opioid use on childhood obesity using only subject-reported data, refining estimates and consistency with existing literature.
Pyrocast predicts pyrocumulonimbus clouds six hours before they form.
problem Predicting pyrocumulonimbus clouds to adapt to climate change.
method Database of 148 pyroCb events, Random Forests, CNNs, and Auto-Encoders.
result Best model predicts pyroCb with 90% accuracy.
Study predicts colorectal polyp recurrence using medical records and statistical models.
problem Identifying patient characteristics influencing colorectal polyp recurrence.
method Natural language processing for extracting polyp characteristics, Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox proportional hazards modeling, random survival forest models.
result Polyp size, number, location, and patient smoking status significantly influence recurrence risk.
Study identifies biomarkers for lung cancer in female non-smokers.
problem Identifying prognostic biomarkers for stage III NSCLC in non-smoking females.
method Gene expression profiling and XGBoost machine learning algorithm.
result Top biomarkers validated in literature, with AUC score of 0.835.
Improved functional data modeling with modern imputation methods.
problem Estimating complex non-linear models with sparsely and irregularly sampled functional data.
method Modified multiple imputation methods combining MissForest and Local Linear Forest.
result New imputation methods produce better estimates than existing methods.
Bayesian method estimates QTEs from observational data.
problem Estimating nuanced characteristics of counterfactual distributions.
method Bayesian semiparametric conditional distribution regression model with double balancing score.
result Proposed method provides more accurate QTE estimates than other methods.
A well known result of Da Rios and Levi-Civita says that a closed planar curve is elastic if and only if it is stationary under the localized induction (or smoke ring) equation, where stationary means that the evolution under the localized induction equation is by rigid motions. We prove an analogous result for surface…
The field of mobile health aims to leverage recent advances in wearable on-body sensing technology and smart phone computing capabilities to develop systems that can monitor health states and deliver just-in-time adaptive interventions. However, existing work has largely focused on analyzing collected data in the off-l…
Causal inference from observational data often assumes "ignorability," that all confounders are observed. This assumption is standard yet untestable. However, many scientific studies involve multiple causes, different variables whose effects are simultaneously of interest. We propose the deconfounder, an algorithm that…
Advances in mobile computing technologies have made it possible to monitor and apply data-driven interventions across complex systems in real time. Markov decision processes (MDPs) are the primary model for sequential decision problems with a large or indefinite time horizon. Choosing a representation of the underlying…
Bäcklund transformations for smooth and ``space discrete'' Hashimoto surfaces are discussed and a geometric interpretation is given. It is shown that the complex curvature of a discrete space curve evolves with the discrete nonlinear Schrödinger equation (NLSE) of Ablowitz and Ladik, when the curve evolves with the Has…
Develops a neural model to predict event occurrence and timing.
problem Standard event time models ignore the distinction between event occurrence probability and predicted time.
method Introduces a conditional event time model using a neural network with a binary stochastic layer.
result Shows superior event occurrence and timing predictions on various datasets.
Paper proposes PP-GCN for fine-grained social event categorization.
problem Challenges in mining social events due to heterogeneous event elements and social network structures.
method Design an event meta-schema, build an HIN, propose PP-GCN, and use KIES.
result PP-GCN outperforms other techniques in social event detection and clustering.
The paper classifies cervical cancer using various techniques and feature selection.
problem Classifying cervical cancer from a dataset with missing values and imbalance.
method Feature selection, over-sampling, under-sampling, dimensionality reduction, and classification techniques.
result Age, first sexual intercourse, number of pregnancies, smokes, hormonal contraceptives, and STDs: genital herpes are the main predictive features with high accuracy.
Paper proposes a new trading strategy using corporate event detection from news articles.
problem Predicting stock movements based on corporate events from news articles.
method Bi-level event detection model: low-level for token-level event identification, high-level for article-level event identification.
result The proposed strategy outperforms existing models in stock prediction metrics.
Deep learning detects sleep events in EEG, reducing expert dependency.
problem Manual EEG event annotation by sleep experts is time-consuming and variable.
method Convolutional neural network for joint event detection in EEG signals.
result Deep learning method outperforms existing event-specific algorithms.
Proposes a method to predict stock movements using fine-grained events from finance news.
problem Lack of specific semantic information in coarse-grained events for stock movement prediction.
method Built a finance event dictionary, extracted fine-grained events, combined with stock trade data, and used distant supervision for training.
result Method outperforms all baselines and shows good generalizability.
ProxiModel extracts high-quality news events from news corpora.
problem Mining high-quality structured event knowledge from noisy news data.
method ProxiModel uses a proximity-network to model event correlation within and across news corpora.
result ProxiModel efficiently and effectively extracts high-quality event descriptors and attributes.
AUC is unreliable in rare event settings but stable with moderate numbers of events.
problem Misleading performance metrics in rare event settings.
method Simulation study varying dataset sizes and event rates.
result AUC is unreliable in rare event settings but stable with moderate numbers of events.
Non-spanning identification of scheduled event risk in option pricing.
problem Separating continuous surface from scheduled jump in option pricing.
method Modeling FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and NFP reports as deterministic-time jumps in risk-neutral option pricing.
result Improves held-out event-spanning pricing with Gaussian and two-component mixture jumps.
New approach predicts event probabilities for better event detection.
problem Class imbalance and inaccurate event detection in time series analysis.
method Regression-based approach to predict probability densities at event locations.
result Regression-based approaches outperform segmentation-based methods.
Study examines HTE estimation from time-to-event data with competing events.
problem Estimating HTEs from time-to-event data with competing events.
method Outcome modeling approach using plug-in estimators for potential outcomes.
result Competing events introduce new challenges for HTE estimation.
CAUSE learns Granger causality from event sequences, outperforming existing methods.
problem Learning Granger causality from complex, interdependent event sequences.
method CAUSE uses a neural point process to capture interdependency and an attribution method to extract Granger causality.
result CAUSE outperforms state-of-the-art methods in inferring inter-type Granger causality.
New method detects events with keywords, adapting to new types.
problem Adapting event detection to new types with predefined sets.
method Feature-based attention mechanism for CNNs.
result Benefits for new type extension and attention mechanism.
REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.
problem Predicting stock trends using event information from news, social media, and discussion boards.
method REST framework addresses two main shortcomings of existing event-driven methods: stock-specific event influence and related-stock event influence.
result REST framework achieves higher investment returns compared to baselines.
GANs improve event generation in physics experiments.
problem Improving statistical precision in event generation.
method Used generative adversarial networks (GANs) to generate events.
result GANs amplify the statistical precision of the training sample.
Extracts biological context from biomedical texts to associate with events.
problem Identifying biological context and associating it with biochemical events in texts.
method Analyzed an annotated corpus and developed classifiers using syntactic, distance, and frequency features.
result Developed and evaluated classifiers for context-event association.
New deep learning method handles rare and imbalanced events in time series.
problem Challenges in event detection in time series data, especially rare and imbalanced events.
method Supervised regression-based deep learning approach that handles various types of events.
result Superior performance across diverse domains, particularly for rare events and imbalanced datasets.
Combining multiple collider events improves machine learning performance.
problem Improving machine learning for collider physics.
method Study of single-event vs multi-event classifiers under IID assumption.
result Training single-event classifiers is more effective than multi-event classifiers.
The study uses financial events to predict stock market movements.
problem Predicting stock market movements using financial events.
method Combined event extraction method, BERT/ALBERT enhanced event representation, and extended hierarchical attention network.
result Significantly better accuracies and higher simulated returns compared to state-of-the-art models.
Proposes a model for predicting events from event streams.
problem Predicting events like part replacement and failure in manufacturing and teleservice systems.
method Non-parametric prognostic framework using MGCP modulated Poisson processes.
result MGCP prior facilitates sharing of information and analysis of flexible event patterns.
LOBDIF predicts limit order book events using a diffusion model.
problem Predicting the timing and type of events in a dynamic market system.
method LOBDIF uses a diffusion model to learn the complex time-event distribution in limit order book streams.
result LOBDIF significantly outperforms existing methods in real-world data experiments.
Neural network model predicts alternating event-free periods.
problem Dynamic prediction of alternating recurrent events with statistical nuance.
method Developed an online dynamic prediction framework using neural network theory.
result Outstanding performance in predicting alternating recurrent event-free time.
The plausibility of uncommon events and miracles based on testimony of such an event has been much discussed. When analyzing the probabilities involved, it has mostly been assumed that the common events can be taken as data in the calculations. However, we usually have only testimonies for the common events. While this…
New STH distance finds patterns in event timeseries without resampling.
problem Lack of efficient analysis methods for event and state timeseries.
method Define STE-ts, propose STH, leveraging both time and state duration.
result Improved precision and computation time compared to resampled metrics.
Paper tackles event stream outliers using a novel weight function.
problem Learning event streams with unexpected absences or occurrences.
method Temporal point process framework with a novel weight function.
result The proposed method effectively handles both commission and omission outliers.
Adaptive social media event detection improves accuracy by 350%.
problem Concept drift in event signals over time.
method Continuous concept drift adaptation using machine learning classifiers.
result 350% improvement in landslide detection accuracy.
A fast geometric regularizer improves event camera performance.
problem Event collapse in contrast maximization framework.
method Geometric regularizer to mitigate overfitting.
result State-of-the-art accuracy with reduced computational complexity.
Bayesian model improves categorization of explosions from sparse data.
problem Challenges in categorizing explosions from limited data.
method Bayesian update to Event Categorization Matrix model with Bayesian Decision Theory.
result Consistent gains in overall accuracy and lower false negative rates.
Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help us predict which type of event will happen next and when. We model streams of d…
Proposes OC4Seq for detecting anomalies in discrete event sequences.
problem Challenges in detecting anomalies in discrete event sequences, including data imbalance, discrete events, and sequential nature.
method Integrates anomaly detection with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to embed sequences into latent spaces and designs a multi-scale RNN framework to capture multi-scale sequential patterns.
result OC4Seq consistently outperforms various baselines on three benchmark datasets.