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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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205410614819 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for small sample errors

Novel approach for SEM in small samples with p>np>n.

problem Small sample size and p>np>n issues in factor-based SEM.
method Reformulates covariance structure into self-covariance and cross-covariance, defines a feasible set with relative error constraint.
result Improved stability and directional information in small-sample settings.

The study analyzes and mitigates errors in PC-based causal discovery methods.

problem Errors in PC-based causal discovery methods can lead to incorrect graphs.
method The study introduces coherency scores to detect assumption violations and small sample errors in PC-based methods.
result The coherency scores can detect errors that other methods cannot, bridging between global and local error detection.

Paper introduces a new method for error estimation in classification tasks with limited data.

problem Challenges in designing accurate classifiers and evaluating their performance with limited training data.
method Introduces a novel Bayesian MMSE estimator for optimal Bayesian transfer learning (OBTL) using Monte Carlo importance sampling.
result Proposed OBTL error estimation scheme outperforms standard methods, especially in small-sample settings.

We study the effects of approximate inference on the performance of Thompson sampling in the kk-armed bandit problems. Thompson sampling is a successful algorithm for online decision-making but requires posterior inference, which often must be approximated in practice. We show that even small constant inference error …

2019-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Langevin dynamics fails to produce accurate samples even with small score function errors.

problem Robustness of Langevin dynamics to score function errors.
method Analysis of Langevin dynamics and score function errors.
result Langevin dynamics produces a distribution far from the target distribution in TV distance even with small L2L^2 errors in the score function.

Binary classification improves with a small fraction of corrupted labels.

problem Binary classification with corrupted labels.
method Established corruption as a form of regularization and computed upper bounds on estimation error.
result Corruption is beneficial only up to a small fraction of the total sample, scaling with the square root of the sample size.

New findings show score matching's accuracy doesn't ensure numerical stability in diffusion sampling.

problem Numerical stability issues in diffusion sampling despite small forward-marginal error.
method Constructing a smooth score field with arbitrarily small forward-marginal L2L^2 error, showing nonexplosive behavior and moments of every order.
result Euler--Maruyama discretizations can converge in probability even when moments diverge, demonstrating failure of weak convergence.

Identifies bilinear systems from a single trajectory with optimal sample complexity.

problem Learning bilinear systems from a single trajectory of states and inputs.
method Uses a mild marginal mean-square stability assumption and martingale small-ball condition.
result Sample complexity and statistical error rates are optimal.

Predictive models ground many state-of-the-art developments in statistical brain image analysis: decoding, MVPA, searchlight, or extraction of biomarkers. The principled approach to establish their validity and usefulness is cross-validation, testing prediction on unseen data. Here, I would like to raise awareness on e…

2017-06-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The two-sample hypothesis testing problem is studied for the challenging scenario of high dimensional data sets with small sample sizes. We show that the two-sample hypothesis testing problem can be posed as a one-class set classification problem. In the set classification problem the goal is to classify a set of data …

2017-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes a stopping criterion for active learning based on error stability.

problem Improving predictive performance in active learning by adaptively annotating samples.
method Proposes a stopping criterion based on error stability for Bayesian active learning.
result Demonstrates the proposed criterion stops active learning at the appropriate timing for various models and datasets.

Gradient descent with polylogarithmic width achieves arbitrarily low test error for shallow ReLU networks.

problem Achieving low test error with shallow ReLU networks using gradient descent.
method Gradient descent with polylogarithmic width and polylogarithmic number of samples.
result Gradient descent achieves arbitrarily low test error with shallow ReLU networks of polylogarithmic width.

K-Medoids(KM) is a standard clustering method, used extensively on semi-metric data.Error analyses of KM have traditionally used an in-sample notion of error,which can be far from the true error and suffer from generalization gap. We formalize the true K-Medoid error based on the underlying data distribution.We decompo…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We learn linear models from nonlinear systems using multiple trajectories and regularization.

problem Identifying linear models from data when the underlying dynamics are nonlinear.
method Multiple trajectories data acquisition followed by regularized least squares.
result Learn linearized dynamics with arbitrarily small error given enough samples.

Improved TD learning reduces variance and bias errors.

problem Inefficient optimization variance in TD learning.
method Proposed a mathematically solid analysis of VRTD, showing linear convergence rate and reduced variance and bias errors.
result VRTD converges to a fixed-point solution with reduced variance and bias errors compared to vanilla TD.

Random feature model shows slow self-correction of generalization gap.

problem Slow deterioration of generalization error in random feature model.
method Examined the dynamic behavior of gradient descent in the model's resonance regime.
result Gradient descent exhibits a self-correction mechanism, reducing generalization gap over time.

This paper shows how many samples are needed for smooth functions in high dimensions.

problem The challenge of obtaining meaningful estimates of high-order derivatives in machine learning with limited data.
method Deriving new lower bounds on the generalization error.
result Formalizes the intuition that smoothness requires enough samples close to each other.

Dimensionality reduction is a first step of many machine learning pipelines. Two popular approaches are principal component analysis, which projects onto a small number of well chosen but non-interpretable directions, and feature selection, which selects a small number of the original features. Feature selection can be…

2018-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of performing linear regression over a stream of dd-dimensional examples, and show that any algorithm that uses a subquadratic amount of memory exhibits a slower rate of convergence than can be achieved without memory constraints. Specifically, consider a sequence of labeled examples $(a_1,b_1)…

2019-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient descent converges to a small neighborhood of the true parameter in logistic regression with Gaussian design.

problem Estimating the parameter in logistic regression with Gaussian design.
method Gradient descent with small stepsize and large stepsize, using approximate invertibility condition and eigenvalue analysis.
result Gradient descent achieves an 2\ell_2 error of order O(θ25d/n)O(\sqrt{\|θ^*\|_2^5d/n}).

New algorithm learns changing discrete distributions with minimal drift error.

problem Learning discrete distributions that change over time with limited past samples.
method Adaptive algorithm using data-dependent bounds to balance statistical and drift errors.
result Tighter statistical error bounds for drifting distributions with or without finite support.

This study analyzes how well GANs approximate distributions from small samples.

problem Understanding how well GANs approximate distributions from limited data.
method Analysis of GANs using integral probability metrics and Hölder classes.
result GANs can adaptively learn low-dimensional structures or Hölder densities.

Near-optimal algorithms for mean estimation and linear regression with Gaussian covariates and Huber contamination.

problem Gaussian mean estimation and linear regression with Gaussian covariates in the presence of Huber contamination.
method Near-optimal algorithms with optimal error guarantees, achieving sample complexity n=ildeO(d/ε2)n = ilde{O}(d/ε^2) and almost linear runtime.
result First sample near-optimal and almost linear-time algorithms with optimal error guarantees for both problems.

Estimates error for robust M-estimators with convex penalties.

problem Estimating out-of-sample error for robust M-estimators in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Proposes a generic out-of-sample error estimate for robust MM-estimators with convex penalties, using observed data and derivatives.
result The out-of-sample error estimate has a relative error of order n1/2n^{-1/2} under certain conditions.

A new framework for brain mapping using statistical agnostic methods.

problem Estimating brain connectivity with limited data and controlling false positives.
method Statistical Agnostic Mapping (SAM) based on concentration inequalities.
result Relieves instability and provides less conservative p-value correction.

Stochastic gradient descent updates parameters with summation gradient computed from a random data batch. This summation will lead to unbalanced training process if the data we obtained is unbalanced. To address this issue, this paper takes the error variance and error mean both into consideration. The adaptively adjus…

2018-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

One-pass algorithm finds small subset for p\ell_p subspace approximation with additive error.

problem Finding a small subset of data points for p\ell_p subspace approximation.
method One-pass subset selection with additive approximation guarantee for p[1,)p \in [1, \infty).
result First one-pass algorithm with additive error for p\ell_p subspace approximation.

The paper proposes a method to solve L1 regression with fewer labels using Lewis weights.

problem Finding an approximate solution to L1 regression with limited labels.
method Sampling rows of the data matrix XX according to its Lewis weights and using the empirical minimizer.
result The method succeeds with high probability and has an optimal error bound.

Deep learning has transformed computer vision, natural language processing, and speech recognition\cite{badrinarayanan2017segnet, dong2016image, ren2017faster, ji20133d}. However, two critical questions remain obscure: (1) why do deep neural networks generalize better than shallow networks; and (2) does it always hold …

2018-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of recovering an incomplete m×nm\times n matrix of rank rr with columns arriving online over time. This is known as the problem of life-long matrix completion, and is widely applied to recommendation system, computer vision, system identification, etc. The challenge is to design provable algorithms…

2016-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Small sample size hinders accurate long-term COVID-19 case predictions.

problem Difficulty in predicting medium and long-term COVID-19 case trends.
method Analysis of machine learning models' performance; feature selection; comparison of different models.
result Simple linear regression models provide reliable 2-week predictions but not beyond.

Paper presents a new way to analyze machine learning generalization without probabilistic assumptions.

problem Traditional generalization analysis assumes i.i.d. data, which is often unverifiable.
method Uses sensitivity analysis of optimization problems to derive deterministic generalization bounds.
result Obtains generalization bounds that relate in-sample and out-of-sample evaluations through an error term quantifying data similarity.

New findings on complexity limits in fixed budget bandit identification.

problem Determining the best possible error rate for fixed budget bandit identification.
method Analyzing the best non-adaptive sampling procedures and showing the existence of complexities.
result No fixed complexity for certain bandit identification tasks.

The Neyman-Pearson (NP) paradigm in binary classification seeks classifiers that achieve a minimal type II error while enforcing the prioritized type I error controlled under some user-specified level αα. This paradigm serves naturally in applications such as severe disease diagnosis and spam detection, where people h…

2018-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗