arXiv research

Optimal trading tactics for small asset purchases.

Investors pay for additional asset information based on utility maximization.

We find the minimum probability of lifetime ruin of an investor who can invest in a market with a risky and a riskless asset and who can purchase a reversible life annuity. The surrender charge of a life annuity is a proportion of its value. Ruin occurs when the total of the value of the risky and riskless assets and t…

The paper optimizes DIA purchase policies using lifecycle models and asset allocation.

This paper analyzes DRL strategies in finance, revealing unique trading patterns and performance differences.

The model of this paper gives a convenient strategy that a bank in the federal funds market can use in order to maximize its profit in a contemporaneous reserve requirement (CRR) regime. The reserve requirements are determined by the demand deposit process, modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. We propose a new mod…

Cryptocurrencies are examined through the asset flow equations and experimental asset markets. Since tangible value of a typical cryptocurrency is non-existent, the theory suggests that price will gravitate toward liquidity value, i.e., the total amount of cash available for purchase of the asset divided by the number …

We find the minimum probability of lifetime ruin of an investor who can invest in a market with a risky and a riskless asset and can purchase a deferred annuity. Although we let the admissible set of strategies of annuity purchasing process to be increasing adapted processes, we find that the individual will not buy a …

A new cryptocurrency issuance protocol using proof-of-work without mining electricity.

It is usually assumed that stock prices reflect a balance between large numbers of small individual sellers and buyers. However, over the past fifty years mutual funds and other institutional shareholders have assumed an ever increasing part of stock transactions: their assets, as a percentage of GDP, have been multipl…

SmartDCA improves investment returns by adjusting purchases based on prices.

In this article, we established a stock market model based on agents' investing mentality. The agents decide whether to purchase the shares at the probability, according to their anticipation of the market's behaviors. The expectation of the amount of shares they want to buy is directly proportional to the value of ass…

We build a simple model of leveraged asset purchases with margin calls. Investment funds use what is perhaps the most basic financial strategy, called "value investing", i.e. systematically attempting to buy underpriced assets. When funds do not borrow, the price fluctuations of the asset are normally distributed and u…

In this article we study a multi-asset version of the Merton investment and consumption problem with proportional transaction costs. In general it is difficult to make analytical progress towards a solution in such problems, but we specialise to a case where transaction costs are zero except for sales and purchases of …

Investigates timing and asset allocation for life insurance in uncertain financial planning.

Proposes a model for clearing prices in financial markets due to margin calls.

Generally accepted depreciation methods do not compute the intrinsic value of an asset, as they do not factor for the Time Value of Money, a key principle within financial theory. This is disadvantageous, as knowing the intrinsic value of an asset can assist with making effective purchase and sale decisions. By applyin…

In this article we consider a special case of an optimal consumption/optimal portfolio problem first studied by Constantinides and Magill and by Davis and Norman, in which an agent with constant relative risk aversion seeks to maximise expected discounted utility of consumption over the infinite horizon, in a model com…

The subject of this paper is an optimal consumption/optimal portfolio problem with transaction costs and with multiple risky assets. In our model the transaction costs take a special form in that transaction costs on purchases of one of the risky assets (the endowed asset) are infinite, and transaction costs involving …

This paper analyzes microstructure dynamics in coupled markets using CFMMs.

Study identifies key metrics for small and large tick assets in LOBs.

Study analyzes player churn and purchasing behavior in games.

We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices and widespread bank insolvency. The banks and investors share a common belief abo…

We study utility indifference prices and optimal purchasing quantities for a non-traded contingent claim in an incomplete semi-martingale market with vanishing hedging errors. We make connections with the theory of large deviations. We concentrate on sequences of semi-complete markets where in the $n^{th}$ market, the …

In this article we consider the Merton problem in a market with a single risky asset and transaction costs. We give a complete solution of the problem up to the solution of a free-boundary problem for a first-order differential equation, and find that the form of the solution (whether the problem is well-posed, whether…

The DeepSurv model predicts purchase timing better than other survival models.

This paper examines the optimal annuitization, investment and consumption strategies of a utility-maximizing retiree facing a stochastic time of death under a variety of institutional restrictions. We focus on the impact of aging on the optimal purchase of life annuities which form the basis of most Defined Benefit pen…

The paper examines logistic regression in sparse network settings, improving inference under varying degrees of dyadic dependence.

Paper solves investment, consumption, and life insurance problem with stochastic volatility.

Agent optimizes risky asset trading times based on Prospect Theory.

We investigate the use of Kelly's strategy in the construction of an optimal portfolio of assets. For lognormally distributed asset returns, we derive approximate analytical results for the optimal investment fractions in various settings. We show that when mean returns and volatilities of the assets are small and ther…

The paper optimizes insurance purchases for financial goals.

Paper tackles investment risk with cost and return constraints using replica analysis.

Study uses MFG approach to model equilibrium pricing with market clearing condition.

Modeling short selling risks to quantify losses.

We study the optimal timing of derivative purchases in incomplete markets. In our model, an investor attempts to maximize the spread between her model price and the offered market price through optimally timing her purchase. Both the investor and the market value the options by risk-neutral expectations but under diffe…

We analyze directed, unweighted graphs obtained from $x_i\in \mathbb{R}^d$ by connecting vertex $i$ to $j$ iff $|x_i - x_j| < ε(x_i)$. Examples of such graphs include $k$-nearest neighbor graphs, where $ε(x_i)$ varies from point to point, and, arguably, many real world graphs such as co-purchasing graphs. We ask whethe…

EB improves asset pricing by mining large strategies without lookahead bias.

Homeownership boosts wealth and welfare compared to renting, according to new research.

We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a constraint that the insurance company can only invest in the risky asset at a limited l…

Technical report predicts eating and food purchasing behaviors of free-living individuals.

We investigate the general structure of optimal investment and consumption with small proportional transaction costs. For a safe asset and a risky asset with general continuous dynamics, traded with random and time-varying but small transaction costs, we derive simple formal asymptotics for the optimal policy and welfa…

A new model predicts conversion rates by analyzing post-click actions.

Study optimal reinsurance and investment to minimize drawdown risk.

Study optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers under random coefficients and jumps.

Paper quantifies dataset shift for credit card fraud detection.

Gradient boosting detects insider purchases predicting abnormal returns in microcap stocks.

This paper considers mean-variance optimization under uncertainty, specifically when one desires a sparsified set of optimal portfolio weights. From the standpoint of a Bayesian investor, our approach produces a small portfolio from many potential assets while acknowledging uncertainty in asset returns and parameter es…