New algorithm achieves both static and dynamic regret optimally against an oblivious adversary for deterministic losses.
arXiv research
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This work finds mixed equilibria in machine learning problems using measures and simultaneous gradient ascent-descent.
Paper proposes algorithms to minimize both dynamic and adaptive regret simultaneously.
Neuroscience is experiencing a data revolution in which many hundreds or thousands of neurons are recorded simultaneously. Currently, there is little consensus on how such data should be analyzed. Here we introduce LFADS (Latent Factor Analysis via Dynamical Systems), a method to infer latent dynamics from simultaneous…
Study forecasts stock returns on JSE using SGDLMs capturing cross-series dependencies.
The paper develops methods to estimate optimal treatment sequences under policy constraints.
Paper analyzes convergence of dynamic policy gradient for MDPs, improving performance in finite-time problems.
Deep learning solves and estimates complex financial models.
Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) describes the problem of learning an unknown reward function of a Markov Decision Process (MDP) from observed behavior of an agent. Since the agent's behavior originates in its policy and MDP policies depend on both the stochastic system dynamics as well as the reward function, the …
Games generalize the single-objective optimization paradigm by introducing different objective functions for different players. Differentiable games often proceed by simultaneous or alternating gradient updates. In machine learning, games are gaining new importance through formulations like generative adversarial netwo…
Neurons in cortical circuits exhibit coordinated spiking activity, and can produce correlated synchronous spikes during behavior and cognition. We recently developed a method for estimating the dynamics of correlated ensemble activity by combining a model of simultaneous neuronal interactions (e.g., a spin-glass model)…
Proposes dynamic channel pruning during neural network training.
Min-max formulations have attracted great attention in the ML community due to the rise of deep generative models and adversarial methods, while understanding the dynamics of gradient algorithms for solving such formulations has remained a grand challenge. As a first step, we restrict to bilinear zero-sum games and giv…
Study stability of trading strategy under market perturbations.
SimCD simultaneously clusters cells and identifies differential gene expression in scRNA-seq data.
Optimal switching regret for all segmentations in online convex optimisation.
New RL framework simulates financial market dynamics.
We make posterior sampling in FWI feasible for large surveys.
Learning network representations is a fundamental task for many graph applications such as link prediction, node classification, graph clustering, and graph visualization. Many real-world networks are interpreted as dynamic networks and evolve over time. Most existing graph embedding algorithms were developed for stati…
Model approximates market prices and returns without prior market dynamics.
BM learns Schrödinger bridges using neural networks.
Nonlinear state-space models are powerful tools to describe dynamical structures in complex time series. In a streaming setting where data are processed one sample at a time, simultaneous inference of the state and its nonlinear dynamics has posed significant challenges in practice. We develop a novel online learning f…
Model learns Lagrangian dynamics from images for better prediction and control.
High dimensional time series are endemic in applications of machine learning such as robotics (sensor data), computational biology (gene expression data), vision (video sequences) and graphics (motion capture data). Practical nonlinear probabilistic approaches to this data are required. In this paper we introduce the v…
In a complex system, the interactions between individual agents often lead to emergent collective behavior like spontaneous synchronization, swarming, and pattern formation. The topology of the network of interactions can have a dramatic influence over those dynamics. In many studies, researchers start with a specific …
Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are notoriously difficult to train and the reasons underlying their (non-)convergence behaviors are still not completely understood. By first considering a simple yet representative GAN example, we mathematically analyze its local convergence behavior in a non-asymptotic way. Furt…
Understanding the learning dynamics of neural networks is one of the key issues for the improvement of optimization algorithms as well as for the theoretical comprehension of why deep neural nets work so well today. In this paper, we introduce a random matrix-based framework to analyze the learning dynamics of a single…
Gaussian processes for dynamical systems with Koopman equivariance.
Instabilities in the price dynamics of a large number of financial assets are a clear sign of systemic events. By investigating a set of 20 high cap stocks traded at the Italian Stock Exchange, we find that there is a large number of high frequency cojumps. We show that the dynamics of these jumps is described neither …
In this paper we consider self-supervised representation learning to improve sample efficiency in reinforcement learning (RL). We propose a forward prediction objective for simultaneously learning embeddings of states and action sequences. These embeddings capture the structure of the environment's dynamics, enabling e…
Many real-world systems studied are governed by complex, nonlinear dynamics. By modeling these dynamics, we can gain insight into how these systems work, make predictions about how they will behave, and develop strategies for controlling them. While there are many methods for modeling nonlinear dynamical systems, exist…
ELS framework improves safety alignment by dynamically steering LLMs towards helpful responses.
DVE models dynamic changes in feature embeddings for better sequence-aware applications.
Simultaneously recorded electroencephalography (EEG) and functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) can be used to non-invasively measure the spatiotemporal dynamics of the human brain. One challenge is dealing with the artifacts that each modality introduces into the other when the two are recorded concurrently, for…
A method of simultaneously optimizing both the structure of neural networks and the connection weights in a single training loop can reduce the enormous computational cost of neural architecture search. We focus on the probabilistic model-based dynamic neural network structure optimization that considers the probabilit…
In evolving complex systems such as air traffic and social organizations, collective effects emerge from their many components' dynamic interactions. While the dynamic interactions can be represented by temporal networks with nodes and links that change over time, they remain highly complex. It is therefore often neces…
Interacting systems are prevalent in nature, from dynamical systems in physics to complex societal dynamics. The interplay of components can give rise to complex behavior, which can often be explained using a simple model of the system's constituent parts. In this work, we introduce the neural relational inference (NRI…
Modeling bank leverage dynamics to understand systemic risk in financial markets.
The health state assessment and remaining useful life (RUL) estimation play very important roles in prognostics and health management (PHM), owing to their abilities to reduce the maintenance and improve the safety of machines or equipment. However, they generally suffer from this problem of lacking prior knowledge to …
A blockchain protocol uses bandit algorithms to dynamically price transactions.
Optimal online linear regression in dynamic environments using discounted Vovk-Azoury-Warmuth forecaster.
The paper simplifies multi-agent RL dynamics in finite-state Markov games using homogenization.
Universal online optimization for dynamic environments using uniclass prediction.
Proposes a method to learn system dynamics and region of attraction from trajectories.
Develops a framework for robust RL with dynamic risk measures.
Study dynamics of automorphisms on cubic surfaces and their connection to Painlevé 6.
DBGDGM models dynamic brain graphs for better understanding brain function.
AR model forecasts partially observed dynamical time series by estimating evolution function and imputing missing variables.