Paper classifies short straddles on S&P500 daily.
problem Deciding when to execute short straddles on S&P500.
method Supervised machine learning classification task.
result No statistically significant outperformance over simple strategy.
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48 results for “short straddles”
Deep Q-Learning system for straddle options in volatile markets.
problem High computational costs and unstable performance in high-volatility markets.
method Attention mechanisms in Transformer-DDQN, novel reward function, and resistance level identification.
result Transformer-DDQN model exhibits lowest maximum drawdown and highest average return.
New method improves level set estimation with theoretical guarantees.
problem Efficiently estimating level sets of expensive-to-evaluate functions.
method Randomized straddle algorithm for level set estimation.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees and better practical performance.
In this article we consider the problem of giving a robust, model-independent, lower bound on the price of a forward starting straddle with payoff where . Rather than assuming a model for the underlying forward price , we assume that call prices for maturities $T_0<T_1…
This work suggests modifications to a previously introduced class of heterogeneous agent models that allow for the inclusion of different types of agent motivations and behaviours in a unified way. The agents operate within a highly simplified environment where they are only able to be long or short one unit of the ass…
The paper suggests using derivatives instead of stocks for better utility and risk management.
problem The use of stocks in portfolio construction is challenged.
method The study uses the Black--Scholes--Merton setting to demonstrate the benefits of derivatives for maximizing utility and minimizing risk.
result Two derivatives are sufficient to maximize utility and minimize risk exposure in a two-asset portfolio.
In the recent years, banks have sold structured products such as worst-of options, Everest and Himalayas, resulting in a short correlation exposure. They have hence become interested in offsetting part of this exposure, namely buying back correlation. Two ways have been proposed for such a strategy : either pure correl…
We explore the robust replication of forward-start straddles given quoted (Call and Put options) market data. One approach to this problem classically follows semi-infinite linear programming arguments, and we propose a discretisation scheme to reduce its dimensionality and hence its complexity. Alternatively, one can …
Proposes deep hedging for index options using implied volatility surface.
problem Managing risk in index option portfolios with complex dynamics.
method Integrates surface-informed decisions with multiple hedging instruments, accounting for transaction costs and variance risk premium.
result Consistently outperforms traditional hedging strategies across various market conditions.
The study reveals unspanned risks in equity option risk premiums, explaining negative premiums for certain options.
problem Explaining negative risk premiums for certain equity option types.
method Developed a decomposition of equity option risk premiums, operationalized the pricing kernel process, and incorporated unspanned risks.
result Empirical evidence supports the presence of unspanned risks, explaining negative risk premiums for certain options.
In this paper we apply change of numeraire techniques to the optimal transport approach for computing model-free prices of derivatives in a two periods model. In particular, we consider the optimal transport plan constructed in \cite{HobsonKlimmek2013} as well as the one introduced in \cite{BeiglJuil} and further studi…
Non-spanning identification of scheduled event risk in option pricing.
problem Separating continuous surface from scheduled jump in option pricing.
method Modeling FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and NFP reports as deterministic-time jumps in risk-neutral option pricing.
result Improves held-out event-spanning pricing with Gaussian and two-component mixture jumps.
Paper explores how analysts balance rule-based and situational aspects of data analytics.
problem Balancing mechanistic and situational aspects of data analytics.
method CSCW and social science research, ethnographic fieldwork.
result Effective data vision requires straddling formal abstraction and empirical contingency.
Many engineering problems require identifying feasible domains under implicit constraints. One example is finding acceptable car body styling designs based on constraints like aesthetics and functionality. Current active-learning based methods learn feasible domains for bounded input spaces. However, we usually lack pr…
Modern information processing relies on the axiom that high-dimensional data lie near low-dimensional geometric structures. This paper revisits the problem of data-driven learning of these geometric structures and puts forth two new nonlinear geometric models for data describing "related" objects/phenomena. The first o…
Introduces Gaussian Processes and Relevance Vector Machines, connecting them to Kalman filtering.
problem Regression, smoothing, interpolation, and filtering problems.
method Bayesian kernel-based methods, Gaussian Processes, Relevance Vector Machines, connections to Kalman filtering.
result Developed a common framework for understanding these methods.
A graph model improves short text classification by integrating sentence relationships.
problem Sparse features in short text classification due to limited text length.
method PathWalk model combining graph networks and short sentences.
result PathWalk achieves state-of-the-art results on four datasets.
Study compares short vs long strategies for equity factors, finds short strategy better.
problem Determining the best market-neutral implementation of equity factors.
method Revisited the relative predictability of short and long legs, diversification, and costs.
result Long-Short implementation yields superior risk-adjusted returns compared to Hedged Long-Only.
Short selling is key to exploiting arbitrage opportunities in financial markets.
problem Theoretical basis for differences in financial service regulations.
method Analyzing semimartingales to show arbitrage opportunities require short selling.
result Arbitrage opportunities can only be exploited through short selling.
Approximates bond option volatilities using affine short-rate models.
problem Calculating implied volatilities for bond options.
method Derive asymptotic approximation for bond option volatilities under affine short-rate dynamics.
result Accuracy of approximation validated through numerical experiments.
We provide a combinatorial condition characterizing curves that are short along a Teichmueller geodesic. This condition is closely related to the condition provided by Minsky for curves in a hyperbolic 3-manifold to be short. We show that short curves in a hyperbolic manifold homeomorphic to S x R are also short in the…
Short sales are regarded as negative purchases in textbook asset pricing theory. In reality, however, the symmetry between purchases and short sales is broken by a variety of costs and risks peculiar to the latter. We formulate an optimal stopping model in which the decision to cover a short position is affected by two…
Model combines long-term and short-term memory using conceptors.
problem Transfer between long-term and short-term memory.
method Recurrent neural network with gated reservoir for short-term memory and conceptors for long-term memory.
result Standard operations on conceptors allow combining long-term memories and describing their effect on short-term memory.
Margin trading and short selling boost green tech innovation in China.
problem Encouraging green technology innovation in Chinese companies.
method Quasi-experimental research using panel data of Chinese listed companies, double difference model.
result Margin trading and short selling increase green tech innovation significantly.
Short proof for ideal polygons with near optimal orthogeodesic decomposition.
problem Decomposing ideal polygons into orthogeodesics.
method Short proof with orthogeodesic decomposition of length at most .
result Optimal orthogeodesic decomposition of ideal polygons with length .
Todays interactive devices such as smart-phone assistants and smart speakers often deal with short-duration speech segments. As a result, speaker recognition systems integrated into such devices will be much better suited with models capable of performing the recognition task with short-duration utterances. In this pap…
The paper introduces a new short rate model with memory components.
problem Modeling short rate dynamics with past values.
method Integrates memory (delay) components into Merton or Vasiček models.
result Analytical solutions for bond prices and forward rates.
A short proof for curve lengths on hyperbolic surfaces.
problem Proving a theorem about curve lengths on hyperbolic surfaces.
method Presented a concise proof for the theorem.
result A pair of curves has length at least half the perimeter of a specific polygon.
Numerical and analytical methods for bond pricing in short rate convergence models of interest ratesq-fin.MF
In this survey paper we discuss recent advances on short interest rate models which can be formulated in terms of a stochastic differential equation for the instantaneous interest rate (also called short rate) or a system of such equations in case the short rate is assumed to depend also on other stochastic factors. Ou…
Recent approaches based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) have shown promising results for short-text classification. However, many short texts occur in sequences (e.g., sentences in a document or utterances in a dialog), and most existing ANN-based systems do not leverage the preceding short texts when classifying …
The study finds at least two short, simple geodesic chords on a disk with convex boundary.
problem Existence of short, simple geodesic chords on a 2-disk with convex boundary.
method Proof of existence using Riemannian geometry and bounds on lengths.
result Existence of at least two short, simple orthogonal geodesic chords on a 2-disk with convex boundary.
A subset of the sphere is said short if it is contained in an open hemisphere. A short closed set which is geodesically convex is called a cap. The following theorem holds: 1. The minimal number of short closed sets covering the -sphere is . 2. If short closed sets cover the -sphere then (i) their inte…
Neural network predicts short rate model steps accurately.
problem Predicting intractable short rate model steps.
method Proposes an algorithm using neural networks.
result Achieves superior outcomes compared to unbiased estimate.
Re-evaluating Short- and Long-Term Trend Factors in CTA Replication: A Bayesian Graphical Approachcs.AI
This paper uses Bayesian models to analyze CTA returns across short and long-term trends.
problem The relative merits and interactions of short- and long-term trend systems in CTA replication remain controversial.
method Dynamic decomposition of CTA returns into short-term trend, long-term trend, and market beta factors using a Bayesian graphical model.
result The blend of horizons shapes the strategy's risk-adjusted performance.
In this paper, we give the first detailed proof of the short-time existence of Deane Yang's local Ricci flow. Then using the local Ricci flow, we prove short-time existence of the Ricci flow on noncompact manifolds, whose Ricci curvature has global lower bound and sectional curvature has only local average integral bou…
We consider the fractional Heston model originally proposed by Comte, Coutin and Renault. Inspired by recent ground-breaking work on rough volatility, which showed that models with volatility driven by fractional Brownian motion with short memory allows for better calibration of the volatility surface and more robust e…
The paper proves short-time existence and uniqueness of Ricci flow on Finsler manifolds.
problem Existence and uniqueness of Ricci flow solutions on Finsler manifolds.
method Investigation of short-time existence and uniqueness of Ricci flow solutions on Finsler manifolds.
result Theorems demonstrating the short-time existence of the flow solution for n-dimensional Finsler manifolds and the uniqueness of the solution for isotropic Finsler manifolds.
A new model for short rates using pure-jump processes.
problem Modeling short rates with bounded behavior and affine bond prices.
method Sum of pure-jump Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes for mean-reversion, with affine bond price representations.
result The model can be market-consistently calibrated and has an explicit option pricing formula.
Deep learning models improve stock portfolio performance.
problem Improving stock portfolio allocation strategies.
method Used MLP, CNN, LSTM, and Transformer models to predict stock returns.
result Deep learning models enhance long-short stock portfolio performance.
This paper uses DRL for long-short portfolio optimization, improving risk-adjusted returns.
problem Traditional portfolio optimization limits diversification by excluding short-selling.
method Developed a DRL framework with a short-selling mechanism for continuous trading.
result DRL model with short-selling achieves superior risk-adjusted returns.
QLSTM outperforms LSTM in predicting KSE 100 index movements.
problem Predicting stock market movement in uncertain economic conditions.
method Used LSTM and QLSTM models on monthly data of economic indicators.
result QLSTM provided more accurate predictions of KSE 100 index values.
The paper extends Merton model to price equity warrants under subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion of the short rate.
problem Equity warrant pricing under subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion of the short rate.
method The paper applies subdiffusive mechanism to analyze equity warrant in a fractional Brownian motion environment, deriving a pricing formula for equity warrant.
result The paper provides a pricing formula for equity warrants under subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion model of the short rate.
The paper presents the comparative study of the nature of stock markets in short-term and long-term time scales with and without structural break in the stock data. Structural break point has been identified by applying Zivot and Andrews structural trend break model to break the original time series (TSO) into time ser…
Does it take two to tango: Interaction between Credit Default Swaps and National Stock Indicesq-fin.ST
This study examines the interaction between CDS and stock indices, revealing significant short and long-term impacts.
problem Understanding the interaction between Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and national stock indices.
method ARDL technique applied to analyze short and long-run interactions between BIST-100 index and CDS prices over a specific period.
result The study finds that changes in CDS and BIST-100 index prices have significant impacts on each other, with long-term effects being more pronounced.
Study proves short-term existence for harmonic maps under evolving metrics.
problem Analyzing harmonic maps under time-dependent metrics.
method Proves short-term existence for harmonic map heat flow coupled with a smooth family of complete metrics.
result Generalizes short-term existence results for harmonic map heat flow.
We indicate two short proofs of the Goresky-MacPherson topological invariance of intersection homology. One proof is very short but requires the Goresky-MacPherson support and cosupport axioms; the other is slightly longer but does not require these axioms and so is adaptable to more general perversities.
Text-independent speaker recognition using short utterances is a highly challenging task due to the large variation and content mismatch between short utterances. I-vector based systems have become the standard in speaker verification applications, but they are less effective with short utterances. In this paper, we fi…
Recently, we have studied evolution of a family of Finsler metrics along Finsler Ricci flow and proved its convergence in short time. Here, existence of solutions to the so called Hamilton Ricci flow on Finsler spaces is studied and a short time solution is found. To this end the Finslerian Ricci-DeTurck flow on Finsle…