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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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8.3%16.7%25.0%33.3% · Jul 199219922001200920172026
48 results for sharp analysis

Sharp bounds on ATE with unmeasured confounders, valid even when misspecified.

problem Bounding average treatment effects with unmeasured confounders.
method Distributionally robust optimization, double sharpness, double validity.
result Proposes estimators with robustness properties for valid bounds.

The study analyzes sharpness dynamics in neural networks, revealing mechanisms and conditions.

problem Understanding sharpness in neural network training.
method Fixed point analysis and edge of stability analysis in a simplified 2-layer linear network.
result Reveals mechanisms behind sharpness trends, conditions for edge of stability, and a period-doubling route to chaos.

Sharp analysis of out-of-distribution error in overparameterized models with importance weights.

problem Understanding and quantifying the degradation of performance in overparameterized models when faced with underrepresented data.
method Sharp analysis of an overparameterized Gaussian mixture model with spurious features and cost-sensitive interpolating solutions incorporating importance weights.
result Characterization of a novel tradeoff between worst-case robustness and average accuracy as a function of importance weight magnitude.

Sharp bounds for Dirichlet sums lead to improved Bayesian algorithm analysis.

problem Improving Bayesian algorithm performance through precise deviation bounds.
method Novel integral representation of Dirichlet sum density, Gaussian approximation, complex analysis.
result Significantly sharpened regret bounds for Multinomial Thompson Sampling.

SharpBalance improves deep ensemble performance by balancing sharpness and diversity.

problem Improving deep ensemble performance in both in-distribution and out-of-distribution scenarios.
method Introducing SharpBalance, a novel training approach that balances sharpness and diversity within ensembles.
result SharpBalance effectively improves the sharpness-diversity trade-off and ensemble performance in ID and OOD scenarios.

DGSAM improves domain generalization by minimizing individual sharpness.

problem Improving domain generalization models that perform well on unseen target domains.
method Shifts DG paradigm toward minimizing individual sharpness across source domains.
result DGSAM reduces performance variance across domains with less computational overhead.

Sharp changes in time series representing market dynamics are studied by means of the self--similar analysis suggested earlier by the authors. These sharp changes are market booms and crashes. Such crises phenomena in markets are analogous to critical phenomena in physics. A simple classification of the market crisis p…

1998-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the high-dimensional discriminant analysis problem. For this problem, different methods have been proposed and justified by establishing exact convergence rates for the classification risk, as well as the l2 convergence results to the discriminative rule. However, sharp theoretical analysis for the variable…

2013-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Sharp analysis of power iteration for tensor PCA, improving convergence and stopping criteria.

problem Analyzing the power iteration algorithm for tensor PCA to improve convergence and stopping criteria.
method Sharp bounds on the number of iterations, revealing a smaller algorithmic threshold, proposing a stopping criterion.
result Sharp bounds on the number of iterations required for power method to converge, revealing a smaller algorithmic threshold than previously conjectured.

Sharp policy value estimation for contextual bandits with unobserved confounders.

problem Estimating policy value under unobserved confounders with sensitivity analysis.
method Kernel method to approximate conditional moment constraints, leveraging f-divergence.
result Sharp lower bound of policy value, avoiding coarse relaxation of uncertainty set.

Sharp inequalities and symmetries on Riemannian surfaces quantified.

problem Understanding symmetries and asymmetries in Riemannian surfaces.
method Introducing scattering energy to measure asymmetry and proving isoperimetric inequalities.
result Sharp quantitative isoperimetric inequalities and domains with vanishing scattering energy characterized.

We introduce a scalable measure of curvature for analyzing training dynamics of large language models.

problem Analyzing the training dynamics of large language models due to high computational cost of measuring Hessian sharpness.
method We introduce critical sharpness and relative critical sharpness as computationally efficient measures capturing Hessian sharpness phenomena.
result We provide the first demonstration of sharpness phenomena at scale up to 7B parameters.

Sharp inequalities on Siegel domains and complex hyperbolic spaces established.

problem Establishing inequalities on complex hyperbolic spaces and Siegel domains.
method Helgason-Fourier analysis, Kunze-Stein phenomenon, factorization theorem.
result Sharp Hardy-Adams and Adams type inequalities on Sobolev spaces of any positive fractional order on complex hyperbolic spaces.

Sharpness of actions on reductive homogeneous spaces proven for various groups.

problem Proving proper and cocompact actions on reductive homogeneous spaces.
method Using quasi-isometric embedding and Anosov representations.
result Characterization and proof of non-compactness for certain homogeneous spaces.

Study finds only first and second eigenvalues are Courant-sharp for flat Klein bottle and cylinders.

problem Determining Courant-sharp eigenvalues for compact flat surfaces.
method Analyzing flat Klein bottle and cylinders, proving only first and second eigenvalues are Courant-sharp.
result Only first and second eigenvalues are Courant-sharp for flat Klein bottle and cylinders.

Sharp large deviations and Gibbs conditioning for portfolio credit risk models.

problem Analyzing the risk of default in financial portfolios with dependent factors.
method Sharp large deviation estimates and conditional Bahadur-Rao estimates for threshold models with diverging latent factors.
result Conditioned on a large exceedance event, default indicators become asymptotically i.i.d., and loss-given-default is exponentially tilted.

The study examines MCMC methods for arbitrary objectives and finds likelihood sharpness impacts performance and regularization.

problem Limitations of MCMC methods for arbitrary objective functions.
method Two-block MCMC framework with Metropolis-Hastings and Gibbs sampling, exploring likelihood curvature and sharpness.
result Likelihood sharpness governs in-sample performance and regularization inferred by training data.

The paper uses PCA and HMM to forecast stock returns outperforming buy-and-hold.

problem Predicting stock returns accurately.
method Applied PCA to covariance matrix of S&P 500 stocks, used HMM on principal components, and forecasted stock returns.
result The model outperforms buy-and-hold strategy in terms of annualized Sharpe ratio.

EM algorithm converges linearly and achieves sharp rate in estimating mixtures of pairwise differences.

problem Estimating mixtures of pairwise differences from noisy data.
method Sharp analysis of the EM algorithm locally around the ground truth.
result The EM sequence converges linearly with an \ell_\infty-norm guarantee on the estimation error and achieves the sharp rate of estimation in the 2\ell_2-norm.

Hybrid approach combines Markowitz's theory with reinforcement learning for optimal portfolio management.

problem Optimizing investment portfolios while balancing returns and risks.
method Knowledge distillation for training reinforcement learning agents.
result Achieves highest yield and Sharpe ratio of 2.03, ensuring top profitability with low risk.

ES reduces high-probability regret in stochastic linear bandits.

problem High-probability regret in stochastic linear bandits.
method Linear ensemble sampling with standard Gaussian perturbations, analyzing m=Θ(dlogn)m=Θ(d\log n) ensemble size.
result ES achieves ildeO(d3/2n) ilde O(d^{3/2}\sqrt n) high-probability regret, closing the gap to Thompson sampling.

New AI platform screens portfolios for desirable firms and news.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection with AI.
method Two LLM agents screen for firm fundamentals and news sentiment. Agents deliberate to generate buy/sell signals. High-dimensional estimation determines optimal weights.
result Screened portfolio's Sharpe ratio consistently estimates target, superior to baseline and conventional approaches.

The paper introduces eigen-portfolios using PCA to improve portfolio construction in finance.

problem Overfitting and poor generalization in selecting a single eigen-portfolio.
method Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to derive eigen-portfolios from asset return correlation matrices.
result An ensemble strategy combining multiple top-performing eigen-portfolios significantly improves out-of-sample performance.

Sharp bounds on uniform generalization errors in binary linear classification.

problem Understanding the uniform generalization errors in binary linear classification.
method Isoperimetric arguments, Poincaré and log-Sobolev inequalities for joint distributions.
result Sharp concentration bounds on uniform generalization errors, almost sure convergence in broad settings.

Poly-GNNs achieve similar performance regardless of depth, highlighting graph noise's dominance.

problem Performance of poly-GNNs in semi-supervised node classification.
method Analysis of poly-GNNs under a contextual stochastic block model (CSBM).
result For a sufficiently large graph, depth k>1k > 1 poly-GNNs exhibit the same rate of separation as depth k=1k=1 counterparts.

Sharp bounds established for Federated Averaging (FedAvg), improving convergence rates.

problem Undetermined convergence rate of Federated Averaging (FedAvg) in Federated Learning.
method Developed novel iterate bias concept and proved sharp bounds on it, leading to improved convergence results.
result Lower bounds for FedAvg match existing upper bounds, showing no improvable capacity.