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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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147295442589 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for sequential experimental design

Study evaluates reinforcement learning algorithms for sequential experimental design.

problem Lack of generalization in reinforcement learning for experimental design.
method Investigated several reinforcement learning algorithms for sequential experimental design.
result Certain algorithms, using dropout or ensemble approaches, show attractive generalization properties.

DAD learns to design experiments quickly, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Real-time decision-making in sequential Bayesian experimental design.
method Amortized design network trained with contrastive information bounds.
result DAD outperforms alternative strategies on various problems.

vsOED optimizes experiment design with reinforcement learning for Bayesian models.

problem Optimizing the sequence of experiments in Bayesian models for efficient data collection.
method Reinforcement learning with variational posterior approximations to optimize design policy.
result vsOED achieves superior sample efficiency compared to existing methods.

Unified framework for robust A/B testing under model misspecification.

problem Improving sample efficiency in A/B testing with model misspecification.
method Unified framework for contextual bandit and dynamic settings, proving worst-case mean squared error bounds.
result Empirically validated approach using synthetic and real-world datasets.

New approach optimizes decisions based on uncertainty in predictions.

problem Mismatch between prediction accuracy and decision loss in sequential design.
method Directional uncertainty-guided approach to sequential experimental design.
result Directional uncertainty-based design stops earlier and performs better.

Gradient-free framework for Bayesian experimental design in complex systems.

problem Optimal experimental design in systems where gradient information is unavailable.
method Combines EKI and ALDI for optimization and sampling, with approximations for scalable utility estimation.
result Demonstrates robust, accurate, and efficient experimental design in various complex systems.

Paper introduces IO-NPF for efficient Bayesian experimental design.

problem Efficient Bayesian experimental design in non-exchangeable settings.
method Inside-Out Nested Particle Filter (IO-NPF) for non-Markovian state-space models.
result IO-NPF achieves O(T2)\mathcal{O}(T^2) computational complexity, improving efficiency.

Novel framework optimizes experiments for implicit models using mutual information.

problem Optimizing experiments for intractable implicit models.
method Sequential Bayesian Experimental Design using Mutual Information.
result Framework efficiently estimates parameters with few iterations.

GO-CBED optimizes experiments for specific causal queries, improving efficiency.

problem Efficiently infer causal relationships with limited resources.
method Goal-oriented Bayesian framework that maximizes expected information gain on user-specified causal quantities.
result GO-CBED outperforms existing methods in various causal tasks, especially with limited budgets.

Bayesian sOED uses PG reinforcement learning for efficient experiment design.

problem Optimizing sequential experiments for nonlinear models with limited data.
method Formulated as POMDP, solved via PG methods with neural network parameterization.
result Demonstrated advantages over batch and greedy designs in contaminant source inversion.

We use deep reinforcement learning to optimize experimental designs efficiently.

problem Optimizing sequential experimental designs with limited exploration and black-box models.
method Reduced the optimal design problem to an MDP and solved it with deep reinforcement learning.
result Our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on both continuous and discrete design spaces.

New method optimizes experiments under constraints.

problem Adapting BED to dynamic constraints in real-world tasks.
method Offline pre-training of an amortized policy and posterior network with online multi-step lookahead planning.
result Significantly more informative design sequences than existing methods.

The paper proposes an efficient method for estimating ATEs using adaptive experiments.

problem Estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal sample size and high accuracy.
method The paper defines and uses the efficient treatment-assignment probability to sequentially assign treatments, estimating ATEs using an Adaptive Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (A2IPW) estimator.
result The proposed experimental design and A2IPW estimator achieve the minimized semiparametric efficiency bound and provide anytime valid confidence intervals for early stopping.

ALMAB-DC optimizes expensive black-box experiments using active learning and distributed computing.

problem Efficiently optimizing expensive, gradient-free objectives in computational statistics and machine learning.
method Combines active learning, multi-armed bandits, and distributed asynchronous computing.
result Achieves lower simple regret and superior performance in various tasks compared to non-ALMAB baselines.

Study designs for estimating treatment effects in adaptive experiments.

problem Estimating treatment effects under adaptive treatment assignment.
method Propose and analyze IPW and AIPW estimators, establish CLTs under design stability.
result Central limit theorems for IPW and AIPW estimators under design stability.

The paper extends consistency results for sequential design strategies to vector-valued Gaussian processes.

problem Estimating excursion sets of vector-valued Gaussian processes.
method Clarifying the connection between continuous Gaussian processes and Gaussian measures in Banach spaces, extending concepts and properties from scalar-valued settings to vector-valued settings.
result Consistency results for sequential design strategies can be applied to vector-valued Gaussian processes.

This study optimizes covariate density and propensity score for efficient ATE estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal variance.
method Adaptive experiment optimizing both covariate density and propensity score.
result Proposed method minimizes the semiparametric efficiency bound for ATE estimation.

Combines multi-fidelity and asynchronous batch methods for faster experimental design.

problem Designing optimal experimental setups for battery performance.
method Algorithm combining multi-fidelity and asynchronous batch Bayesian Optimization.
result Algorithm outperforms single-fidelity batch and multi-fidelity sequential methods.

Adaptive designs achieve strong Neyman regret guarantees for ATE estimation.

problem Estimating unbiased average treatment effect in sequential experiments.
method Proposed adaptive designs with O~(logT)\widetilde{O}(\log T) Neyman regret under boundedness assumptions and O~(T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) multigroup Neyman regret in covariate-based settings.
result Adaptive designs outperform non-adaptive designs in terms of Neyman regret, especially in covariate-based settings.

Develops experimental design for discovering missing physics in bioreactors.

problem Discovering missing physics in incomplete model structures of process systems.
method Combines universal differential equations and symbolic regression with sequential experimental design.
result Successfully recovered true model structure of a bioreactor using machine learning techniques.

PopArt efficiently solves sparse linear bandits with tighter recovery guarantees.

problem Sparse linear bandits where rewards depend on a few covariates.
method PopArt: a simple, computationally efficient sparse linear estimation method.
result Improved regret bounds compared to state-of-the-art algorithms.

Finite-horizon sequential experimental design (SED) arises naturally in many contexts, including hyperparameter tuning in machine learning among more traditional settings. Computing the optimal policy for such problems requires solving Bellman equations, which are generally intractable. Most existing work resorts to se…

2019-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive Bayesian Optimization for resource-constrained experiments with switching costs.

problem Sequential experimental design with varying costs for changing design variables.
method Adapted batch algorithms to sequential problem, proposing cost-aware and cost-ignorant methods.
result Cost-aware algorithm outperforms tuned process-constrained algorithms in all settings considered.

We propose and analyze sequential design methods for the problem of ranking several response surfaces. Namely, given L2L \ge 2 response surfaces over a continuous input space X\cal X, the aim is to efficiently find the index of the minimal response across the entire X\cal X. The response surfaces are not known and ha…

2015-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

DABS uses a policy network to select experiments in high-dimensional design spaces.

problem Adaptive factorial screening in high-dimensional discrete design spaces.
method DABS learns a policy network offline to sequentially select experiments, incorporating sparsity and interactions via a spike-and-slab prior.
result DABS achieves superior accuracy and scalability over classical and Bayesian baselines under tight experimental budgets.

This paper proposes a new AED framework for multi-metric experiments with fixed budget.

problem Statistical power challenges in testing multiple metrics simultaneously.
method Two-phase structure: adaptive exploration followed by validation. SHRVar algorithm with relative-variance-based sampling.
result Achieves provable error probability that decreases exponentially.

BED-LLM uses Bayesian experimental design to improve LLMs' information gathering.

problem Improving LLMs' ability to gather information adaptively.
method Iteratively choosing questions to maximize expected information gain using a probabilistic model.
result BED-LLM achieves substantial performance gains compared to other adaptive design strategies.

New algorithm for adaptive experimental design in scientific settings.

problem Identifying true positives while controlling false discoveries in adaptive experimental design.
method Provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for FDR control.
result First provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for adaptive experimental design.

New method designs experiments robustly for nonlinear estimation, improving parameter knowledge.

problem Designing robust experiments for nonlinear estimation under parametric uncertainty.
method Multi-stage robust optimization framework for sequential experiments.
result Identifies experiments better conducted early for improved parameter knowledge.

New method reduces memory usage for Bayesian inverse problems on large grids.

problem Solving large-scale linear inverse problems with Gaussian process priors.
method Implicit representation of posterior covariance matrices, sequential disintegrations of Gaussian measures.
result Significant reduction in uncertainty for high-density regions estimation.

PIED optimizes experimental design for inverse problems using physics-informed neural networks.

problem Optimizing experimental design for inverse problems with limited budget and constraints.
method PIED uses physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) for continuous optimization of design parameters in one-shot deployments.
result PIED significantly outperforms existing ED methods in solving inverse problems, including unknown functions.

This paper addresses missing covariates in stochastic linear bandits, providing a high-probability regret bound.

problem Effect of missing covariates on regret in stochastic linear bandit algorithms.
method Proposes an algorithm that provides a high-probability upper bound on regret in terms of covariate sampling probabilities.
result Regret degrades due to missingness by at most ζmin2ζ_{min}^2, where ζminζ_{min} is the minimum probability of observing covariates.

A popular approach to selling online advertising is by a waterfall, where a publisher makes sequential price offers to ad networks for an inventory, and chooses the winner in that order. The publisher picks the order and prices to maximize her revenue. A traditional solution is to learn the demand model and then subseq…

2019-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

This work uses RL to optimize batch experiments in SDOE.

problem Maximizing knowledge with limited resources and constraints.
method Reinforcement Learning for batch-sampling in Bayesian SDOE.
result The proposed algorithm optimizes experiment selection for multiple tasks.

New method optimizes multiple objectives in A/B testing for AI and clinical trials.

problem Minimizing cumulative regret, maximizing CATE, and ensuring differential privacy in large-scale experiments.
method ConSE and DP-ConSE algorithms for sequential segmentation and elimination, achieving Pareto-optimal frontier.
result Privacy comes 'for free' in our framework, with only asymptotically negligible costs to regret and accuracy.

This paper examines how adversarial perturbations affect model performance and equilibrium learning.

problem Adversarial perturbations and covariate shifts impact model performance and equilibrium learning.
method Characterizes the extrapolation region in regression and classification, analyzes dynamics of adversarial learning games.
result Establishes two directional convergence results: a blessing in regression and a curse in classification.

In this paper, we propose a new framework for designing fast parallel algorithms for fundamental statistical subset selection tasks that include feature selection and experimental design. Such tasks are known to be weakly submodular and are amenable to optimization via the standard greedy algorithm. Despite its desirab…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Designs efficient factorial experiments for product design under budget constraints.

problem Designing effective experiments for product design with limited traffic and overlapping experiments.
method Two-stage design: first stage samples and infers performance, second stage selects a final policy.
result The method outperforms one-shot tensor completion and unstructured best-arm benchmarks.