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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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126251377502 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for sequence-based prediction

Predicts cryptocurrency pump probability using sequence-based neural networks.

problem Detecting pump-and-dump schemes in cryptocurrency markets.
method Developed a sequence-based neural network (SNN) that encodes historical P&D events into sequences for prediction.
result SNN improves prediction accuracy by leveraging positional attention to extract useful information.

PANDA predicts protein binding affinity changes from sequences, outperforming existing methods.

problem Accurately predicting changes in protein binding affinity due to mutations.
method Sequence-based machine learning approach using protein sequence information.
result PANDA achieves higher Pearson correlation coefficients than existing methods.

A graph embedding is a representation of graph vertices in a low-dimensional space, which approximately preserves properties such as distances between nodes. Vertex sequence-based embedding procedures use features extracted from linear sequences of nodes to create embeddings using a neural network. In this paper, we pr…

2020-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep generative models have been successfully used to learn representations for high-dimensional discrete spaces by representing discrete objects as sequences and employing powerful sequence-based deep models. Unfortunately, these sequence-based models often produce invalid sequences: sequences which do not represent a…

2017-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses Cantor embeddings and Wasserstein distances to analyze predictive states in time series data.

problem Analyzing predictive states in stochastic processes using time series data.
method Wasserstein distances for detecting predictive equivalences in symbolic data, using Cantor embeddings for finite-dimensional representation.
result Exploratory analysis of temporal structure in various processes reveals insights.

Study predicts price predictability in ultra-high frequency financial data using entropy tests.

problem Tackles predictability of ultra-high frequency financial data.
method Develops statistical tests based on Shannon entropy and Kullback-Leibler divergence to analyze predictability.
result Degree of randomness increases with aggregation level in transaction time.

We consider the setting of sequential prediction of arbitrary sequences based on specialized experts. We first provide a review of the relevant literature and present two theoretical contributions: a general analysis of the specialist aggregation rule of Freund et al. (1997) and an adaptation of fixed-share rules of He…

2012-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks predict B-cell epitopes for SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2.

problem Accurate prediction of B-cell epitopes for vaccine design.
method Deep neural network model with regularization techniques and key features analysis.
result Overall accuracy of 82% in predicting COVID-19 cases.

Enhances solar flare prediction with advanced preprocessing and contrastive learning.

problem Accurate prediction of solar flares to mitigate risks to astronauts and equipment.
method Advanced data preprocessing pipeline and contrastive learning with GRU regression model.
result Exceptional True Skill Statistic (TSS) scores, surpassing previous methods.

ISAAC audits deep models for drug-target interactions, revealing structural differences.

problem Deep models for DTI often use irrelevant features, making them hard to evaluate.
method ISAAC uses intervention-based structural auditing to evaluate model sensitivity.
result ISAAC reveals significant structural differences in DTI models' reasoning.

Bayes-assisted confidence sequences improve efficiency for bounded means.

problem Efficient uncertainty quantification for bounded IID means without parametric assumptions.
method Bayesian working predictive model selects adaptive martingale updates maximizing predictive log-growth.
result Asymptotically log-optimal performance with informative priors reducing width and sampling effort.

EcoCast predicts biodiversity risks using satellite data and citizen science records.

problem Unprecedented shifts in species distributions due to climate change and habitat loss.
method Spatio-temporal model using sequence-based transformers and continual learning.
result Promising improvements in forecasting bird species distributions compared to Random Forest.

Novel parallel GNN predicts protein-ligand interactions with high accuracy.

problem Accurate prediction of protein-ligand interactions for drug design.
method Parallel Graph Neural Networks (GNN) integrating 3D structural data.
result GNN achieves high accuracy in predicting binary interactions and activity.

Experimental determination of protein function is resource-consuming. As an alternative, computational prediction of protein function has received attention. In this context, protein structural classification (PSC) can help, by allowing for determining structural classes of currently unclassified proteins based on thei…

2018-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Recommendations are broadly used in marketplaces to match users with items relevant to their interests and needs. To understand user intent and tailor recommendations to their needs, we use deep learning to explore various heterogeneous data available in marketplaces. This paper focuses on the challenge of measuring re…

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Inferring the structural properties of a protein from its amino acid sequence is a challenging yet important problem in biology. Structures are not known for the vast majority of protein sequences, but structure is critical for understanding function. Existing approaches for detecting structural similarity between prot…

2019-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to perform inference in HSMMs. Unlike expectation maximization (EM), our approach cor…

2014-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph-structured data appears frequently in domains including chemistry, natural language semantics, social networks, and knowledge bases. In this work, we study feature learning techniques for graph-structured inputs. Our starting point is previous work on Graph Neural Networks (Scarselli et al., 2009), which we modif…

2015-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a novel adversarial learning strategy for mixture models of Hawkes processes, leveraging data augmentation techniques of Hawkes process in the framework of self-paced learning. Instead of learning a mixture model directly from a set of event sequences drawn from different Hawkes processes, the proposed metho…

2019-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a probabilistic model for unsupervised alignment of high-dimensional time-warped sequences based on the Dirichlet Process Mixture Model (DPMM). We follow the approach introduced in (Kazlauskaite, 2018) of simultaneously representing each data sequence as a composition of a true underlying function and a time…

2018-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proves convergence of MDL to Einstein-Hilbert with boundary term.

problem Proving convergence of discrete MDL to continuous Einstein-Hilbert action.
method Proves \(Γ\)-convergence using diffeomorphism-natural discrete MDL-type functional.
result Identifies Carathéodory densities and obtains \(\liminf/\limsup\) bounds.

Complex structures are typical in machine learning. Tailoring learning algorithms for every structure requires an effort that may be saved by defining a generic learning procedure adaptive to any complex structure. In this paper, we propose to map any complex structure onto a generic form, called serialization, over wh…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

In a 1967 paper, Banchoff stated that a certain type of polyhedral curvature, that applies to all finite polyhedra, was zero at all vertices of an odd-dimensional polyhedral manifold; one then obtains an elementary proof that odd-dimensional manifolds have zero Euler characteristic. In a previous paper, the author defi…

2003-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning techniques have been hugely successful for traditional supervised and unsupervised machine learning problems. In large part, these techniques solve continuous optimization problems. Recently however, discrete generative deep learning models have been successfully used to efficiently search high-dimensiona…

2017-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies when particle filtering is efficient for planning in partially observed systems.

problem The efficiency of particle filtering for planning in partially observed linear dynamical systems.
method Coupling of ideal and approximate sequences to bound particle complexity.
result Polynomially many particles suffice for stable systems to approximate optimal planning.

Rough Transformers improve efficiency for medical time-series data.

problem Efficiently modeling irregularly sampled, long-range time-series data.
method Introducing Rough Transformers, a Transformer variant with continuous-time representations and multi-view signature attention.
result Rough Transformers outperform vanilla Transformers while using less computational resources.