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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for sequence history

Proposes using frequent sequences to improve sequential recommendation models.

problem Combining user history and recent actions for personalized recommendations.
method Uses frequent sequences to identify relevant parts of user history, embedding items based on preferences and dynamics in a unified metric model.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods, especially on sparse datasets.

Attention forcing improves sequence-to-sequence model training stability.

problem Training auto-regressive sequence-to-sequence models with attention mechanism is challenging.
method Attention forcing guides the model with generated output history and reference attention.
result Attention forcing trains models to recover from mistakes without requiring a schedule or classifier.

Memory-Augmented Recurrent Networks improve dialogue coherence by expanding conversation history storage.

problem Fixed-size vectors limit dialogue coherence; attention mechanisms are computationally expensive.
method Introduce Neural Turing Machines (NTMs) to provide flexible and permanent storage for dialogue history.
result Improved perplexity performance compared to existing baselines.

Users form information trails as they browse the web, checkin with a geolocation, rate items, or consume media. A common problem is to predict what a user might do next for the purposes of guidance, recommendation, or prefetching. First-order and higher-order Markov chains have been widely used methods to study such se…

2017-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

CRN model estimates treatment effects over time using adversarial balancing.

problem Estimating treatment effects over time in medical settings.
method Adversarial domain balancing to remove time-varying confounders.
result CRN achieves lower error in estimating counterfactuals and treatment timing.

Study examines Bitcoin's price history and identifies recurring events.

problem Understanding Bitcoin's price fluctuations and recurring events.
method Analyzed BTC price time-series (2010-2021), identified recurring events, and approximated price evolution using a Fibonacci sequence.
result BTC price history shows recurring events with similar duration and can be approximated using a Fibonacci sequence.

Variational autoencoders were proven successful in domains such as computer vision and speech processing. Their adoption for modeling user preferences is still unexplored, although recently it is starting to gain attention in the current literature. In this work, we propose a model which extends variational autoencoder…

2018-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

DR-FRL learns functional states from irregular histories for causal inference.

problem Causal inference with irregularly sampled longitudinal data.
method DR-FRL workflow combining functional and temporal encoders, nuisance heads, and EIF-targeted validation.
result DR-FRL can improve causal inference when pseudo-outcomes are heavy-tailed or measurement is informative.

This thesis investigates unsupervised time series representation learning for sequence prediction problems, i.e. generating nice-looking input samples given a previous history, for high dimensional input sequences by decoupling the static input representation from the recurrent sequence representation. We introduce thr…

2018-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The α\alpha-Alternator adapts to varying noise levels in sequences, improving robustness and performance.

problem Current models assume uniform noise levels, limiting performance on noisy temporal data.
method Introduces α\alpha-Alternator using Vendi Score to dynamically adjust noise sensitivity.
result Outperforms Alternators and state-of-the-art models in trajectory prediction, imputation, and forecasting.

BLOB combines organic and bandit signals for better user interest estimation.

problem Combining organic and bandit signals for improved user interest estimation.
method Bayesian Latent Organic Bandit (BLOB) model using variational auto-encoders and local re-parametrization.
result BLOB outperforms organic and bandit-based methods in both organic and bandit-rich environments.

This paper reviews deep time-series forecasting focusing on autocorrelation modeling.

problem Modeling autocorrelation in history and label sequences for time-series forecasting.
method Proposes a novel taxonomy for model architectures and learning objectives.
result Provides a comprehensive review and analysis of deep time-series forecasting.

We briefly recall the history of the Nijenhuis torsion of (1,1)-tensors on manifolds and of the lesser-known Haantjes torsion. We then show how the Haantjes manifolds of Magri and the symplectic-Haantjes structures of Tempesta and Tondo generalize the classical approach to integrable systems in the bi-hamiltonian and s…

2017-12-24abs ↗pdf ↗

HCRNN uses hierarchical contexts to improve recommendation models.

problem Challenges in modeling user interest transitions and drifts in recommendation systems.
method Introduces HCRNN with three hierarchical contexts (global, local, temporary) and a hierarchical context-based gate structure.
result HCRNN outperformed other models in sequential recommendation tasks.

Recurrent networks learn beliefs from history in partially observable environments.

problem Learning optimal policies in partially observable environments.
method Trained recurrent neural networks to approximate value functions, measuring mutual information between hidden states and beliefs.
result Recurrent networks' hidden states correlate with beliefs of relevant state variables, improving expected return.

Paper clusters event sequences using a reinforcement learning approach with policy mixture model.

problem Clustering event sequences with varying temporal patterns.
method Reinforcement learning with a policy mixture model, decomposing sequences into states and actions.
result Effective clustering of event sequences into underlying policies, outperforming existing methods.

Bayesian inference over admissible histories leads to irreversible kinetics.

problem Modeling irreversible processes in systems with uncertain histories.
method A Gibbs-type measure weighted by energy-dissipation action and observation constraints, interpreted as a Bayesian posterior.
result The measure concentrates on maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) histories, recovering classical deterministic evolution.

HS-FNO models non-Markovian PDEs by learning history and future states.

problem Non-Markovian dynamics where future states depend on past history.
method History-Space Fourier Neural Operator (HS-FNO) for delay and memory-driven PDEs.
result HS-FNO achieves lowest aggregate errors across various PDE families.

We analyze a model of learning and belief formation in networks in which agents follow Bayes rule yet they do not recall their history of past observations and cannot reason about how other agents' beliefs are formed. They do so by making rational inferences about their observations which include a sequence of independ…

2015-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Predicts cryptocurrency pump probability using sequence-based neural networks.

problem Detecting pump-and-dump schemes in cryptocurrency markets.
method Developed a sequence-based neural network (SNN) that encodes historical P&D events into sequences for prediction.
result SNN improves prediction accuracy by leveraging positional attention to extract useful information.

SRMC framework reduces Monte Carlo variance by history-based sampling in high-dimensional spaces.

problem Efficient sampling in high-dimensional discrete or continuous state spaces.
method Score-Repellent Monte Carlo (SRMC) framework that summarizes history through running average of score evaluations.
result Improves estimator variance and mode coverage with constant memory usage.

Paper analyzes history-based RL methods for MDPs, introduces a theoretical framework and practical algorithm.

problem Improving RL performance in MDPs using history-based features.
method Theoretical framework for history-based RL, practical algorithm design.
result Practical RL algorithm shows effectiveness on continuous control tasks.

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

Neural networks improve cancer risk prediction from family history data.

problem Improving cancer risk prediction from family history data using machine learning.
method Developed and trained neural network models on large pedigrees to predict hereditary cancers.
result Neural networks can achieve nearly optimal prediction performance and outperform traditional models in misreported data.

The paper explains why estimating a history-dependent policy can reduce MSE in reinforcement learning.

problem Understanding why history-dependent policies can improve MSE in off-policy evaluation.
method The paper derives a bias-variance decomposition of MSE for various OPE estimators, showing how history-dependent policies can decrease variance and increase bias.
result History-dependent policies can decrease the variance of importance sampling estimators, leading to lower MSE.