arXiv research

This paper proposes a new method for determining similarity and anomalies between time series, most practically effective in large collections of (likely related) time series, by measuring distances between structural breaks within such a collection. We introduce a class of \emph{semi-metric} distance measures, which w…

New ensemble models classify mouse movement trajectories to assess survey question difficulty.

The dynamic time warping (dtw) distance fails to satisfy the triangle inequality and the identity of indiscernibles. As a consequence, the dtw-distance is not warping-invariant, which in turn results in peculiarities in data mining applications. This article converts the dtw-distance to a semi-metric and shows that its…

Study robust covariance estimation in large data with concentrated vectors.

New algorithm reduces simultaneous asset shocks in financial portfolios.

StoSOO optimistically maximizes noisy, locally smooth functions.

This study improves estimation of locally stationary functional time series using NW method.

K-Medoids(KM) is a standard clustering method, used extensively on semi-metric data.Error analyses of KM have traditionally used an in-sample notion of error,which can be far from the true error and suffer from generalization gap. We formalize the true K-Medoid error based on the underlying data distribution.We decompo…

Paper explores exact recovery of communities in weighted graphs using Gaussian and exponential distributions.

SAMBA improves safe reinforcement learning with active exploration metrics.

Mean embeddings provide an extremely flexible and powerful tool in machine learning and statistics to represent probability distributions and define a semi-metric (MMD, maximum mean discrepancy; also called N-distance or energy distance), with numerous successful applications. The representation is constructed as the e…

The literature postulates that the dynamic time warping (dtw) distance can cope with temporal variations but stores and processes time series in a form as if the dtw-distance cannot cope with such variations. To address this inconsistency, we first show that the dtw-distance is not warping-invariant. The lack of warpin…

Paper proves collapsing result for orbifolds without curvature bounds.

The advance of modern sensor technologies enables collection of multi-stream longitudinal data where multiple signals from different units are collected in real-time. In this article, we present a non-parametric approach to predict the evolution of multi-stream longitudinal data for an in-service unit through borrowing…

Kernel mean embeddings have recently attracted the attention of the machine learning community. They map measures $μ$ from some set $M$ to functions in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) with kernel $k$. The RKHS distance of two mapped measures is a semi-metric $d_k$ over $M$. We study three questions. (I) For a…

We propose a framework, named Aggregated Wasserstein, for computing a dissimilarity measure or distance between two Hidden Markov Models with state conditional distributions being Gaussian. For such HMMs, the marginal distribution at any time spot follows a Gaussian mixture distribution, a fact exploited to softly matc…

A scalable version of MADD improves big-data classification speed.

We propose a framework, named Aggregated Wasserstein, for computing a dissimilarity measure or distance between two Hidden Markov Models with state conditional distributions being Gaussian. For such HMMs, the marginal distribution at any time position follows a Gaussian mixture distribution, a fact exploited to softly …

New null distance bounds confirm Big Bang singularity in cosmological models.

Study convergence and approximations of entropic regularized Wasserstein distances for Gaussian and RKHS measures.