This work provides uncertainty intervals for semantic latent variables in disentangled latent spaces.
problem Challenges in providing meaningful uncertainty quantification for semantic information in disentangled latent spaces.
method Uses quantile regression to output heuristic uncertainty intervals, calibrates these intervals to contain true latent values, and propagates them through the generator.
result Reliably communicates semantically meaningful, principled, and instance-adaptive uncertainty in image super-resolution and image completion.
The paper examines uncertainty calibration for object detection models in autonomous driving.
problem Uncertainty in object detection predictions and its calibration.
method Definition and evaluation of semantic and spatial uncertainty, calibration methods for uncertainty distributions.
result Calibrated uncertainty improves the overall performance of object detection models in real-world scenarios.
The semantic map calibrates uncertainty from language model probabilities.
problem Uncertainty in language model probabilities for professional decisions.
method Prespecified semantic map linking probabilities of verbal responses to probabilities of declared states.
result Language-derived probabilities outperform printed numerical probabilities and recover valid uncertainty coverage.
Enhances uncertainty estimation in medical image segmentation.
problem Frequency-related noise in medical imaging leads to biased uncertainty estimates.
method Extends MC-Dropout to the frequency domain for better uncertainty estimation.
result MC-Frequency Dropout improves calibration and uncertainty in semantic segmentation.
Superpixel-mix enhances reliability in semantic segmentation.
problem Improving reliability in real-world semantic segmentation.
method Superpixel-mix, a new data augmentation method with teacher-student consistency training.
result Superpixel-mix achieves state-of-the-art results in semi-supervised semantic segmentation.
CRC method provides tighter uncertainty intervals for CT images.
problem Expressing uncertainty in CT images in clinically meaningful terms.
method Semantically adaptive CRC procedure leveraging length minimization.
result Valid coverage of ground-truth images with tighter uncertainty intervals.
HawkesLLM models text generation with temporal influence, improving semantic alignment under limited memory.
problem Path-dependent uncertainty in agentic text-simulation systems.
method HawkesLLM framework separates temporal influence modeling from text generation, using a multivariate Hawkes process and a language model.
result HawkesLLM improves late-stage semantic alignment under a compact prompt-memory budget.
A new method for measuring prediction uncertainty in classifiers.
problem Measuring uncertainty of predictions from machine learning methods.
method Density Based Calibration (DBCal) technique.
result Expected calibration error of less than 0.2% on binary classifiers and less than 3% on semantic segmentation networks.
Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are propelling advances in a range of different computer vision tasks such as object detection and object segmentation. Their success has motivated research in applications of such models for medical image analysis. If CNN-based models are to be helpful in a medical context, they ne…
Fine-tuning improves information conveyance in language models by reorganizing uncertainty into more informative sequences.
problem Uncertainty reduction in large language models through fine-tuning is not fully understood, especially regarding output length.
method Proposed Canopy Entropy (CE⋆) to measure uncertainty in both output length and sequence, capturing total Shannon entropy. result Fine-tuned models exhibit stronger positive correlation between entropy rate and semantic diversity, indicating more informative and semantically meaningful generations.
New framework models uncertainty in classification debates.
problem Weak interpretability of existing uncertainty quantification methods.
method Courtroom analogy and Mixture of Dirichlet Experts (MoDEX) model.
result MoDEX achieves state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification performance.
In the semantic segmentation of street scenes the reliability of the prediction and therefore uncertainty measures are of highest interest. We present a method that generates for each input image a hierarchy of nested crops around the image center and presents these, all re-scaled to the same size, to a neural network …
ManifoldMind uses adaptive-curvature probabilistic spheres for trustworthy recommendations in semantic hierarchies.
problem Sparse and abstract recommendation domains where users explore diverse conceptual paths.
method Adaptive-curvature probabilistic spheres, soft multi-hop inference, and curvature-aware semantic kernel.
result Superior NDCG, calibration, and diversity compared to baselines on public benchmarks.
Efficient BNNs learn latent distributions for robust uncertainty quantification.
problem Improving robustness and uncertainty of deep neural networks.
method LP-BNN uses VAEs to learn latent distributions of BNN parameters, enabling efficient ensembles.
result LP-BNN achieves competitive results in image classification, semantic segmentation, and out-of-distribution detection.
ABNN converts pre-trained DNNs into BNNs for reliable uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks (DNNs) is challenging and critical for real-world applications.
method Adaptable Bayesian Neural Network (ABNN) that transforms pre-trained DNNs into BNNs with minimal overhead.
result ABNN achieves state-of-the-art performance in image classification and semantic segmentation tasks.
Word embeddings provide point representations of words containing useful semantic information. We introduce multimodal word distributions formed from Gaussian mixtures, for multiple word meanings, entailment, and rich uncertainty information. To learn these distributions, we propose an energy-based max-margin objective…
New insights show embedding lengths correlate with semantic properties.
problem Contrastive embedding norms ignore embedding magnitudes but correlate with semantic properties.
method Formal theoretical framework and analysis of optimization dynamics.
result Embedding lengths encode semantic information as a byproduct of training.
This work investigates uncertainty quantification for black-box large language models in natural language generation.
problem Lack of trustworthiness in responses generated by black-box large language models.
method Differentiated uncertainty vs confidence, proposed and compared several confidence/uncertainty measures, applied to selective NLG.
result A simple measure for semantic dispersion can predict the quality of LLM responses.
VJE learns latent representations without contrastive learning, providing probabilistic semantics.
problem Learning latent representations without contrastive signals.
method VJE maximizes a symmetric conditional evidence lower bound (ELBO) on paired encoder embeddings, using a Student-t distribution on a polar representation.
result VJE outperforms standard non-contrastive baselines in ImageNet-1K, CIFAR-10/100, and STL-10.
Intelligence emerges from stabilizing invariant cycles in memory.
problem Understanding the nature of intelligence and its emergence.
method Structural-dynamical account rooted in a topological closure law: \(\partial^2=0\).
result Memory-amortized inference (MAI) mechanism that implements SbS \(
ightarrow\) CCUP.
Real-time uncertainty estimation for computer vision tasks.
problem Real-time inference of uncertainty in deep learning models.
method Uncertainty-Aware Distribution Distillation method for fast inference.
result Significantly reduced inference time with improved uncertainty and predictive performance.
We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents how much one can trust predictions on new data. Recently promising works were pr…
Paper proposes a new method to quantify uncertainty in machine learning models.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in multiclass classification models.
method Distance-based approach using Integral Probability Metrics (IPMs).
result Effective uncertainty measures for multiclass classification.
In recent years, deep learning methods have outperformed other methods in image recognition. This has fostered imagination of potential application of deep learning technology including safety relevant applications like the interpretation of medical images or autonomous driving. The passage from assistance of a human d…
Bayesian EnKF improves sentence comprehension uncertainty modeling.
problem Uncertainty in human language comprehension, especially with ambiguous inputs.
method Bayesian framework using ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for uncertainty quantification.
result Enhanced model's ability to approximate human cognitive processing with linguistic ambiguities.
Proposes LBD for more robust deep learning models.
problem Improving robustness and uncertainty in deep learning models.
method Model-agnostic learnable Bernoulli dropout with joint optimization of dropout rates.
result Superior performance compared to other dropout schemes.
CBDA improves active learning for semantic segmentation, especially with imbalanced classes.
problem Class imbalance degrades performance in domain adaptive active learning.
method Class Balanced Dynamic Acquisition (CBDA) selects more balanced labels for active learning.
result CBDA increases minority class performance and outperforms baselines by 0.6-2.4 mIoU.
This work tackles uncertainty quantification in language models, proposing a principled approach.
problem Challenges in identifying task-specific uncertainties in large language models.
method Bayesian decision theory, focusing on a similarity measure between generated and hypothetical true responses.
result Derives a measure for epistemic uncertainty based on a missing data perspective.
New framework assesses LM uncertainty without thresholding.
problem Uncertainty quantification for LMs, especially comparing different measures.
method Rank-Calibration framework to assess uncertainty and confidence measures.
result Higher uncertainty correlates with lower generation quality.
Proposes CPO framework for robust decision-making with explainable uncertainty regions.
problem Overly conservative uncertainty regions in data-driven optimization lead to suboptimal decisions.
method Conformal-Predict-Then-Optimize (CPO) framework using conditional generative models and visual summaries.
result Demonstrates improved robustness and explainability in decision-making.
Method provides formal guarantees for decomposing model uncertainty.
problem Decomposing model uncertainty into aleatoric and epistemic components.
method Higher-order calibration using k-snapshots.
result Formal guarantees for aleatoric uncertainty matching real-world distribution.
HCC extends conformal prediction to handle class hierarchies, improving prediction reliability.
problem Uncertainty quantification in classification models with class hierarchy considerations.
method Formulates HCC as a constrained optimization problem, ensuring coverage guarantees with a smaller subset of candidate solutions.
result HCC produces more reliable prediction sets by leveraging class hierarchy information.
This review synthesizes uncertainty modeling in probabilistic image segmentation.
problem Relaxed Bayesian assumptions lead to missing uncertainty information in deep models.
method Standardizes theory, notation, and terminology for feature- and parameter-distribution modeling.
result Establishes a common framework for robust decision-making in segmentation tasks.
Neural Bootstrapper reduces bootstrapping cost for deep neural networks.
problem Computational burden in bootstrapping deep neural networks.
method Neural Bootstrapper learns to generate bootstrapped neural networks through single model training.
result Neural Bootstrapper outperforms bagging methods with lower computational cost.
By representing words with probability densities rather than point vectors, probabilistic word embeddings can capture rich and interpretable semantic information and uncertainty. The uncertainty information can be particularly meaningful in capturing entailment relationships -- whereby general words such as "entity" co…
Annotating the right data for training deep neural networks is an important challenge. Active learning using uncertainty estimates from Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) could provide an effective solution to this. Despite being theoretically principled, BNNs require approximations to be applied to large-scale problems, …
Deep generative models are rapidly gaining traction in medical imaging. Nonetheless, most generative architectures struggle to capture the underlying probability distributions of volumetric data, exhibit convergence problems, and offer no robust indices of model uncertainty. By comparison, the autoregressive generative…
This work proposes the use of Bayesian approximations of uncertainty from deep learning in a robot planner, showing that this produces more cautious actions in safety-critical scenarios. The case study investigated is motivated by a setup where an aerial robot acts as a "scout" for a ground robot. This is useful when t…
ECLIPSE detects AI hallucinations in finance with high accuracy.
problem Hallucinations in AI-generated answers limit safe deployment in finance.
method Combines entropy estimation and perplexity decomposition to measure model evidence use.
result ECLIPSE achieves ROC AUC of 0.89 and average precision of 0.90 on financial QA dataset.
Develops methods to improve reliability of deep learning for autonomous driving.
problem Safety concerns in deploying autonomous driving systems.
method Introduces a new criterion (true class probability) for estimating model confidence and learns it from data.
result Proposed method provides better failure prediction than current uncertainty measures.
Study improves summarization reliability in risky scenarios.
problem Reliability of automatic summarization in high-risk contexts.
method Conditional generation with Bayesian inference and entropy regularization.
result Significant improvement in robustness and reliability of summarization.
Semantic TrueLearn uses semantic graphs to improve educational recommendation systems.
problem Challenges in handling semantic and hierarchical structure in knowledge areas.
method Introduces a novel learner model that exploits semantic relatedness between knowledge components using a Wikipedia link graph.
result Achieves statistically significant improvements in predictive performance for educational engagement.
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performances in many important domains, including medical diagnosis, security, and autonomous driving. In these domains where safety is highly critical, an erroneous decision can result in serious consequences. While a perfect prediction accuracy is not always …
Transfer learning aims at building robust prediction models by transferring knowledge gained from one problem to another. In the semantic Web, learning tasks are enhanced with semantic representations. We exploit their semantics to augment transfer learning by dealing with when to transfer with semantic measurements an…
The paper presents a method for generating well-calibrated prediction intervals using quality-driven deep ensembles.
problem Generating reliable prediction intervals for regression analysis.
method A multi-objective loss function combining quality measures for prediction intervals and point estimates, with a penalty function to ensure semantic integrity and stability.
result The method produces well-calibrated prediction intervals and point estimates, capturing both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
This paper presents a Semantic Attribute Modulation (SAM) for language modeling and style variation. The semantic attribute modulation includes various document attributes, such as titles, authors, and document categories. We consider two types of attributes, (title attributes and category attributes), and a flexible a…
The paper shows how integrating categorical semantics can enhance unsupervised domain translation.
problem Improving unsupervised domain translation between perceptually different domains.
method Learning invariant categorical semantic features in an unsupervised manner and conditioning them on the style encoder.
result Conditioning the style encoder on learned categorical semantics improves translation and stylization.
Identifier names convey useful information about the intended semantics of code. Name-based program analyses use this information, e.g., to detect bugs, to predict types, and to improve the readability of code. At the core of name-based analyses are semantic representations of identifiers, e.g., in the form of learned …