Reconstructing Finsler manifolds from sphere data.
problem Recovering a Finsler manifold from sphere data.
method Solving the geometrical inverse problem locally along geodesics.
result Local reconstruction of Finsler manifolds.
Paper reconstructs compact Riemannian manifolds from travel time data.
problem Reconstructing compact Riemannian manifolds from partial travel time data.
method Embedding in function space, studying distance function regularity.
result Reconstruction of compact Riemannian manifolds from travel time data.
New benchmark for earthquake forecasting models shows current neural point processes are not yet suitable.
problem Lack of a modern benchmark for evaluating neural point process models in earthquake forecasting.
method Curated and standardized earthquake catalog, evaluation protocols, and datasets.
result None of the tested NPPs outperformed the classical ETAS model.
Researchers prove a new measure for a financial volatility model.
problem Modeling financial volatility with a Hawkes process.
method Prove existence of equivalent martingale measures for a Heston-Hawkes model.
result Existence of a family of equivalent martingale measures for the model.
Boundary rigidity proven for non-reversible Finsler metrics.
problem Recovering non-reversible Finsler metrics from boundary distance data.
method Sum of reversible Finsler norm and closed 1-form, boundary rigidity results.
result 1-form can be uniquely recovered from boundary distance data.
Researchers reconstruct stiffness tensors from limited data in anisotropic elasticity.
problem Reconstructing stiffness tensors from partial data around one polarization.
method Using algebraic geometry and slowness surfaces, the approach leverages the algebraic geometry of families of slowness surfaces.
result For tensors in a dense open subset, a small amount of data around one polarization uniquely determines the entire slowness surface and stiffness tensor.
Paper develops a neural model to assess cascading extreme events.
problem Risk assessment of domino effects like earthquakes and tsunamis.
method Develops a Kolmogorov-Arnold neural network (KANE) framework.
result Estimates the probability of one extreme event triggering another.
A new PCA method for analyzing point processes.
problem Analyzing variability in replicated point processes.
method Functional Principal Component Analysis (fPCA) on cumulative mass functions.
result Established convergence and introduced principal measures.
New method detects changes in high-dimensional Gaussian data streams.
problem Detecting changes in high-dimensional data streams.
method Likelihood ratio tests across scales and coordinates.
result Patience (null rejection rate) at desired level, response delay under alternative.
Researchers reconstruct simple Riemannian manifolds from boundary wave arrival times.
problem Reconstructing Riemannian manifolds from unknown interior sources and arrival times.
method Discrete metric approximation using labeled Gromov--Hausdorff distance.
result Finite-time approximations converge to the true Riemannian manifold.
EQShapelets detect earthquakes with high accuracy and interpretability.
problem Automated detection and cataloging of earthquakes.
method Time-series shape-based approach embedded in machine learning.
result EQShapelets detected all cataloged and 281 uncataloged events with lower false detection rate.
EikoNet uses deep learning to solve the Eikonal equation quickly and efficiently.
problem Solving the Eikonal equation for first-arrival-time fields in complex 3D structures.
method Grid-free deep learning approach that optimizes network parameters to minimize equation violations.
result EikoNet provides accurate travel time solutions without violating the Eikonal equation.
Flexible model tackles high-dimensional, missing data, and stochastic processes.
problem High-dimensional longitudinal data with structured missingness and unknown measurement time points.
method Latent variable model using Gaussian processes and variational autoencoder.
result Competitive performance on simulated and real datasets.
Text analytics based on supervised machine learning classifiers has shown great promise in a multitude of domains, but has yet to be applied to Seismology. We test various standard models (Naive Bayes, k-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machines, and Random Forests) on a seismological corpus of 100 articles related to…
Paper develops fast, flexible Hawkes process inference for space-time data.
problem Capturing self-exciting, clustering spatio-temporal data.
method Finite support kernels, discretization, precomputations, ℓ2 gradient-based solver. result Statistically accurate and fast inference for space-time Hawkes processes.
A new model for point processes without intensity function trade-offs.
problem Inefficiency and trade-offs in existing point process models.
method Point Set Diffusion, a diffusion-based latent variable model.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in point process generation.
Fast emulators built with neural search accelerate expensive scientific simulations.
problem Slow execution of accurate simulations limits scientific discovery.
method Neural architecture search to build accurate emulators with limited data.
result Simulations accelerated by up to 2 billion times in various scientific fields.
A method to identify new classes of price jumps in financial markets.
problem Separating endogenous and exogenous causes of price jumps.
method Wavelet-based representation of jump time-series.
result Identification of new classes of jumps and investigation of co-jumps.
We propose a modified time lag random matrix theory in order to study time lag cross-correlations in multiple time series. We apply the method to 48 world indices, one for each of 48 different countries. We find long-range power-law cross-correlations in the absolute values of returns that quantify risk, and find that …
Bayesian approach models earthquake clustering with spatial mainshocks and aftershocks.
problem Estimating uncertainty in earthquake clustering models due to complex likelihood functions.
method Nonparametric Dirichlet process mixture prior for spatial mainshocks and an auxiliary latent variable routine for efficient inference.
result Efficient Bayesian forecasting of spatial earthquake occurrences with uncertainty quantification.
Paper shows minimum observation time for network recovery.
problem Inferring latent networks from event-based observations.
method Two-stage estimator using clipped and binned event data.
result Observation time of order log(d) is sufficient and necessary.
Study on ridge regression in convolutional models shows double descent error behavior.
problem Understanding generalization and estimation error in over-parameterized convolutional models.
method Analysis of ridge estimators for convolutional linear models, derivation of exact error formulae.
result Ridge estimators exhibit double descent error behavior in high-dimensional convolutional models.
Advances in deep learning for spatio-temporal event modeling.
problem Limitations of traditional parametric models in capturing nonstationary dynamics.
method Integration of deep neural architectures to model conditional intensity function and influence kernels.
result Deep influence kernel approach enhances expressiveness and statistical explainability.
New model predicts weekly earthquakes with better tail risk assessment.
problem Violation of Poisson assumption in seismic data.
method Neural network for per-cell overdispersion estimation.
result 8.6% reduction in mean pinball deviation, 12.5% lower CRPS in tail events.
The last decade has seen a flurry of research on all-pairs-similarity-search (or, self-join) for text, DNA, and a handful of other datatypes, and these systems have been applied to many diverse data mining problems. Surprisingly, however, little progress has been made on addressing this problem for time series subseque…
Earthquake signal detection is at the core of observational seismology. A good detection algorithm should be sensitive to small and weak events with a variety of waveform shapes, robust to background noise and non-earthquake signals, and efficient for processing large data volumes. Here, we introduce the Cnn-Rnn Earthq…
Seismic phase association is a fundamental task in seismology that pertains to linking together phase detections on different sensors that originate from a common earthquake. It is widely employed to detect earthquakes on permanent and temporary seismic networks, and underlies most seismicity catalogs produced around t…
Study invariant measures on measured laminations for subgroups of mapping class group.
problem Classify invariant Radon measures on space of measured laminations for subgroups of mapping class group.
method Geometric approach, focusing on recurrent measured laminations, explicitly constructing ergodic measures.
result Show uniquely ergodic for divergence-type subgroups, generalize results for full mapping class group.
New set-valued star-shaped risk measures introduced for better risk assessment.
problem Improving risk assessment in financial contexts.
method Developed new set-valued star-shaped risk measures and proved their representation theorems.
result Set-valued star-shaped risk measures can be represented as unions of set-valued convex risk measures.
The Bergman measure converges to the Zhang measure on a hybrid space.
problem Proving convergence of Bergman measures to Zhang measure.
method Analyzing convergence on a hybrid space and metrized curve complex.
result Bergman measure converges to Zhang measure on a hybrid space.
Bayesian approach to robust risk measures under model uncertainty.
problem Representing robust risk measures as a single probability measure.
method Introducing two types of risk measures and analyzing their relation to robust risk measures.
result Robust risk measures can be represented by a mixture probability measure, a Bayesian approach.
The paper studies dynamic star-shaped risk measures and their representation.
problem Representing dynamic star-shaped risk measures and their properties.
method Representation theorems for dynamic monetary and star-shaped risk measures.
result Dynamic star-shaped risk measures can be represented as the lower envelope of a family of dynamic convex risk measures.
Introduces Star-Shaped deviation measures for risk analysis.
problem Risk measurement and analysis in finance.
method Characterizes Star-Shaped deviation measures through acceptance sets and convex deviation measures.
result Exposes the relationship between Star-Shaped risk measures and deviation measures.
Transformers can interpolate between arbitrary measures.
problem Understanding the expressive power of Transformers as measure-to-measure maps.
method Provided an explicit choice of parameters for a single Transformer to match N arbitrary input measures to N arbitrary target measures.
result A single Transformer can interpolate between arbitrary measures.
Classifies invariant measures on specific character varieties.
problem Classifying invariant probability measures on character varieties.
method Measure disintegration along transverse Lagrangian tori fibrations.
result Ergodic measures are either counting measures on finite orbits or Liouville measures.
Paper characterizes star-shaped risk measures and their properties.
problem Characterizing risk measures in the presence of liquidity risk and competitive delegation.
method Characterization of star-shaped risk measures, study of their properties.
result Star-shaped risk measures include all practically used risk measures.
Paper introduces quasi-logconvex risk measures and their properties.
problem Characterizing and understanding new risk measures.
method Characterization through dual representation and properties of acceptance sets.
result Established dual representation and taxonomy of quasi-logconvex risk measures.
Submodularity is studied for convex risk measures, including Expected Shortfall.
problem Characterizing submodularity in convex risk measures.
method Analyzing submodularity properties of law-invariant coherent risk measures, including Expected Shortfall and Value-at-Risk.
result AES is submodular only when it reduces to ES, and empirical analysis shows AES violations are less frequent than VaR and ES violations.
New geometric measure simplifies complex analysis.
problem Complex geometric analysis challenges.
method Geometric integration and convergence methods.
result Smallest measure satisfying Area Formula.
The paper explores non-convex risk measures and their characterizations.
problem Characterizing non-convex risk measures without convexity or weak convexity.
method Characterizes monetary risk measures as lower envelopes of families of convex or coherent risk measures, considering law-invariance and SSD-consistency.
result Unified representation theorems for law-invariant risk measures, including VaR.
The paper calculates extreme measures in continuous time conic finance.
problem Determining valuation bounds for financial claims.
method Using dynamic spectral risk measures and estimating extreme measures from market data.
result Explicit formulas for extreme measures' Radon-Nykodim derivatives and estimation methods.
Paper characterizes monotonic mean-deviation risk measures.
problem Developing consistent risk measures from mean-deviation models.
method Applying a risk-weighting function to the deviation part of a mean-deviation model.
result Characterizes monotonic mean-deviation measures as consistent risk measures.
One often finds in the literature connections between measures of fairness and measures of feature importance employed to interpret trained classifiers. However, there seems to be no study that compares fairness measures and feature importance measures. In this paper we propose ways to evaluate and compare such measure…
Introduces factor risk measures to assess risk relative to multiple factors.
problem Measuring risk relative to multiple factors.
method Introduces a double-argument mapping as a risk measure to assess risk relative to a vector of factors.
result Characterizes various types of factor risk measures including distortion, quantile, linear, and coherent measures.
Dual representations for robust risk measures and uncertainty sets.
problem Characterizing continuity of robust risk measures and their uncertainty sets.
method Develop dual representations for robust risk measures and uncertainty sets based on distinct geometric assumptions.
result Two dual frameworks for consolidated uncertainty sets are complementary, not interchangeable.
A scalable approach to learning from probability measures using quantization.
problem Efficiently comparing and manipulating large sets of probability measures.
method Quantization of probability measures to a fixed support, followed by optimal transport computations.
result Consistency and convergence guarantees for quantized measures in various OT-based tasks.
Study on measurable pseudo-Anosov maps on surfaces.
problem Characterize dynamics of pseudo-Anosov maps on surfaces.
method Analyze measurable pseudo-Anosov homeomorphisms with specific properties.
result Prove transitivity, dense periodic points, sensitivity, and ergodicity.
In this paper, we propose a new method of Bayesian measurement for spectral deconvolution, which regresses spectral data into the sum of unimodal basis function such as Gaussian or Lorentzian functions. Bayesian measurement is a framework for considering not only the target physical model but also the measurement model…