Network science reveals fragmentation and integration in US financial industry.
problem Understanding the evolution of US financial industry over time.
method TVP-VAR approach on stock market returns to infer unobserved links, network science tools.
result Fragmentation and integration coexist in US financial industry, challenging sectoral macroprudential frameworks.
AI enhances financial forecasting with challenges in regulation and privacy.
problem Challenges in integrating AI with financial services and regulations.
method Integration of AI technologies like deep learning and reinforcement learning.
result AI improves financial forecasting but faces regulatory and privacy issues.
Study examines European banks' digital transformation strategies.
problem Lack of a common framework for open banking innovation in banking sector.
method Qualitative analysis of partnerships and API development.
result European banks are diversifying and boosting customer relationship management.
Sabrina integrates financial data and domain knowledge for better visualization.
problem Scattered financial data across various sources makes it hard for analysts to understand the economy.
method Sabrina uses a pipeline to fuse firm-specific and macroeconomic data, visualizing it in a unified interface.
result Sabrina aids financial analysts in their analysis process, as shown in a user study.
Study shows diffused interface flows to single diffused balls over time.
problem Volume-preserving mean curvature flow in Euclidean space.
method Diffused interface version, exponential convergence proof.
result Exponential convergence to single diffused balls.
Framework ranks sectors influenced by Indian Union Budgets.
problem Real-time analysis of budgetary impacts on sector-specific equity performance.
method Fine-tuned embeddings and language models for sector identification and performance ranking.
result 0.997 NDCG score in predicting sector ranks based on post-budget performances.
A new sector classification method outperforms existing ones in risk-adjusted returns.
problem Subjective sector classification heuristics like GICS and NAICS are not optimal.
method Learned sector classification using hierarchical clustering and reIndexer evaluation tool.
result 17-sector learned sector universe outperforms GICS and NAICS in backtests.
For a finitely generated discrete group Γ, the Γ-sectors of an orbifold Q are a disjoint union of orbifolds corresponding to homomorphisms from Γ into a groupoid presenting Q. Here, we show that the inertia orbifold and k-multi-sectors are special cases of the Γ-sectors, and that the Γ-sectors are orbif…
Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.
problem Analyzing how information flows between sectors in Chinese and US stock markets.
method Daily sector indices, transfer entropy of daily returns, comparing 2000-2017.
result Most active sectors in information exchange differ between China and US, reflecting market dynamics.
Study uses multidimensional SE-NBD process to analyze default portfolios and identify shock amplification.
problem Analyzing interactions and shock propagation in default portfolios with multiple sectors.
method Applied multidimensional self-exciting negative binomial distribution (SE-NBD) process to 13 sectors.
result Identified upstream and downstream sectors, showing shock amplification in default portfolios.
With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the business sectors (subsectors) are mainly contained in the sector mode. In the secto…
New interface explains contextual bandits to non-experts.
problem Interpreting and managing contextual bandits for non-expert operators.
method Developed a metric 'value gain' for off-policy evaluation and designed an interface to explain bandit behavior.
result Empowered non-experts to manage complex machine learning systems through accessible presentation.
This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.
problem Understanding information transmission and market dynamics in Chinese stock sectors.
method Daily closing price data of 28 sectors from 2000 to 2017, transfer entropy, maximum spanning arborescence (MSA).
result The composite sector is an information source, and the non-bank financial sector is an information sink.
The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.
problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.
The study finds significant financial sector volatility and tail risk spillovers to real economy sectors.
problem Volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors.
method New measure of tail risk spillover, empirical analysis of U.S. economy 2001-2011.
result Significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors, especially during crises.
Proposes a two-stage sector rotation method using machine learning and deep learning.
problem Identifying sectors with high investment attractiveness based on market conditions.
method Two-stage methodology: 1) Predict ETF prices using market indicators and feature selection, 2) Rank sectors based on predicted returns and select top sectors.
result The proposed methodology outperforms equally weighted portfolios and Echo State Networks show outstanding performance.
This paper introduces the probabilistic module interface, which allows encapsulation of complex probabilistic models with latent variables alongside custom stochastic approximate inference machinery, and provides a platform-agnostic abstraction barrier separating the model internals from the host probabilistic inferenc…
This paper models default data to capture dynamic dependence across sectors.
problem Static models fail to explain monthly default dependence.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model for monthly multi-sector default-count data.
result Effective correlation matrices and copulas are induced from monthly data.
In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we consider separately life and non-life companies. To achieve this goal we apply …
Analyzes global economic sectors' interdependence using Google matrix analysis.
problem Understanding interdependencies and interactions among world economies and sectors.
method Reduced Google matrix algorithm applied to OECD-WTO network data.
result Shows sensitivity of sectors to petroleum activity and interdependencies among countries.
Develops a 2D Allen-Cahn theory for interfaces with boundary.
problem Analyzing interfaces with boundary in the line-bundle framework.
method Constructs a model solution on the punctured plane and develops its stability and invertibility theory.
result Constructs Allen-Cahn sections concentrating on prescribed line segments.
Study develops sector rotation models using factor and fundamental analysis.
problem Understanding and predicting sector shifts in financial markets.
method Systematic sector classification, factor analysis, and fundamental metrics evaluation.
result Developed predictive models with notable predictive capabilities.
Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always yield easily interpretable results. In this study, we develop improved factor mo…
Deep model learns protein interfaces from high-order interactions.
problem Predicting protein interfaces from amino acid pairs.
method Graph neural networks and convolutional neural networks for 2D dense predictions.
result Our method consistently improves interface prediction performance.
We consider the regularity of an interface between two incompressible and inviscid fluids flows in the presence of surface tension. We obtain local in time estimates on the interface in H23k+1 and the velocity fields in H23k. These estimates are obtained using geometric considerations which show th…
Study boundary behavior of limit interfaces in Riemannian manifolds without convexity assumptions.
problem Boundary behavior of limit interfaces in Riemannian manifolds.
method Proves limit-interface is a free boundary varifold, integer rectifiable up to boundary.
result No convexity assumption required; valid even when limit-interface clusters near boundary.
Deep learning predicts curvature of 2D interfaces in level-set method.
problem Estimating curvature in level-set method for complex interfaces.
method Deep learning using feed-forward neural networks trained on synthetic data.
result Deep learning models approximate curvature with comparable precision to traditional methods.
A classification of companies into sectors of the economy is important for macroeconomic analysis and for investments into the sector-specific financial indices and exchange traded funds (ETFs). Major industrial classification systems and financial indices have historically been based on expert opinion and developed ma…
Study reveals risk transmission channels among Chinese sectors.
problem Understanding risk transmission within Chinese economic sectors.
method Volatility spillovers analysis using VAR model and rolling window approach.
result 17 sectors are risk transmitters and 11 are risk takers.
sktime provides a unified interface for time series machine learning.
problem Handling diverse time series learning tasks.
method Unified API for scikit-learn compatible time series tasks.
result Unified approach simplifies time series machine learning.
Interactive interface for specifying complex tasks through demonstrations.
problem Challenges in specifying high-dimensional reward functions for complex tasks.
method Interactive interface with a set of increasingly complex policies trained on demonstrations.
result Successfully learned a complex task (Lunar Lander) with interactive demonstrations.
Temporal coarse-graining of multi-sector default count data generates effective correlation matrices and rank copulas.
problem Explaining the difference in default dependence between monthly and annual aggregation.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model with AR(1) latent credit-state factors.
result Effective correlation matrices and rank copulas are generated from monthly default count data.
Paper uses LLMs for sector allocation, showing better returns.
problem Automated trading sector allocation inefficiencies.
method Systematic analysis of macroeconomic data and sentiment.
result LLM-based sector allocation outperforms traditional strategies.
Analyzes how venture investment strategies have evolved over time in different sectors.
problem Understanding changes in venture investment strategies across sectors over time.
method Applied PCA and TCA to analyze a dataset of 52,000 startups and 110,000 funding rounds.
result There has been a shift in venture investment towards lower-tech sectors and a rise in accelerator investments.
New techniques identify shifts in financial market sectors.
problem Identifying shifts in financial market structure and composition.
method Developed new mathematical techniques to identify nonlinear shifts in market sectors.
result Identified meaningful sector-to-sector mappings and optimal portfolio styles.
Proposes new feature transformation methods for brain interface models.
problem Sub-optimality of feature ranking and selection in brain interface models.
method Introduces maximum mutual information linear and nonlinear transformations.
result Significantly better performance in binary and multi-class decoding analyses.
The paper analyzes sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA.
problem Investigating sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems.
method Analysis of 20+ startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA using a new visualization tool and numerical simulations.
result Emerging diversity of startup ecosystems can be explained by a preferential attachment model based on sectoral funding.
Study on the regularity of p-Gauss curvature flow near flat interfaces.
problem Regularity of p-Gauss curvature flow near flat interfaces. method Analysis of convex hypersurface near the interface.
result Regularity of the convex hypersurface near the interface.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
problem Weak asset quality, inadequate provisioning, and negative capitalization of state-owned banks.
method Two phases of reforms: private ownership promotion and gradual deregulation.
result Significant improvements in asset quality and capitalization, but challenges persist.
Analytic patch trees reveal new geometric structures and dimension fields.
problem Understanding the geometric and analytical properties of surface patch trees.
method Developed analytic surface patch trees and introduced interface curves to transmit state.
result Surface patch trees have natural foliations with one-dimensional curve trees and dimension fields.
New BMI interface stabilizes user experience over long periods.
problem Inconsistent neural signal data leads to interface recalibration.
method Adversarial Domain Adaptation Network to match residual distributions.
result Adversarial Domain Adaptation Network outperforms other methods.
GARCH models predict stock volatility in Indian sectors.
problem Designing accurate models for future stock volatility.
method GARCH framework applied to ten Indian stocks.
result Asymmetric GARCH models outperform in volatility forecasting.
Identifies key industrial sectors in S&P 500 states.
problem Understanding changing market conditions in financial markets.
method Clustering algorithm, XAI relevance scores, Bayesian change point analysis.
result Dominant sectors (energy and IT) determine market states.
Diffuse interface methods have recently been introduced for the task of semi-supervised learning. The underlying model is well-known in materials science but was extended to graphs using a Ginzburg--Landau functional and the graph Laplacian. We here generalize the previously proposed model by a non-smooth potential fun…
We consider the sectoral composition of a country's GDP, i.e. the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service sectors. Exploring a simple system of differential equations we characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the sectors in the course of economic development. The model fits for the majority of coun…
Tech sector decouples from non-tech sectors post-2015, predicting economic growth.
problem Understanding the relationship between technology and economic growth.
method ARIMA modeling, stationarity tests, data wrangling, exploratory data analysis.
result The technology sector decouples from non-technology sectors post-2015 and predicts economic growth.
Agents learn user preferences with less explicit feedback via spatial interface valuing.
problem Learning user preferences with high cognitive load feedback.
method Spatial Interface Valuing for reduced explicit feedback.
result Agents learn faster with spatial interface valuing compared to explicit feedback.
Common models for two-phase lipid bilayer membranes are based on an energy that consists of an elastic term for each lipid phase and a line energy at interfaces. Although such an energy controls only the length of interfaces, the membrane surface is usually assumed to be at least C1 across phase boundaries. We consi…