A new sector classification method outperforms existing ones in risk-adjusted returns.
problem Subjective sector classification heuristics like GICS and NAICS are not optimal.
method Learned sector classification using hierarchical clustering and reIndexer evaluation tool.
result 17-sector learned sector universe outperforms GICS and NAICS in backtests.
A classification of companies into sectors of the economy is important for macroeconomic analysis and for investments into the sector-specific financial indices and exchange traded funds (ETFs). Major industrial classification systems and financial indices have historically been based on expert opinion and developed ma…
Framework ranks sectors influenced by Indian Union Budgets.
problem Real-time analysis of budgetary impacts on sector-specific equity performance.
method Fine-tuned embeddings and language models for sector identification and performance ranking.
result 0.997 NDCG score in predicting sector ranks based on post-budget performances.
Novel financial time-series data representation improves industry sector classification.
problem Classifying industries using historical stock returns time-series data.
method Proposed a novel representation based on stock returns embeddings for time-series data, overcoming representational challenges of conventional approaches.
result Substantial performance improvements over baselines using conventional representations.
Study develops sector rotation models using factor and fundamental analysis.
problem Understanding and predicting sector shifts in financial markets.
method Systematic sector classification, factor analysis, and fundamental metrics evaluation.
result Developed predictive models with notable predictive capabilities.
Improves industry classification for diversified companies.
problem Traditional industry classification struggles with multi-sector conglomerates.
method Bayesian Non-Parametrics, Markov Updating, and hierarchical modeling.
result MIS-2 provides a measurable improvement over GICS in predicting future correlations.
Reformulates binary classification on manifolds using Yang-Mills-Higgs theory.
problem Binary classification on non-contractible spaces.
method Formulates binary classification as a Yang-Mills-Higgs variational problem, encoding data as a functor.
result Reveals a geometric interpretation of binary classification and solves XOR on the torus.
The Hype Index measures media attention to equities using NLP.
problem Quantifying media attention to equities for volatility analysis.
method Constructs News Count-Based and Capitalization Adjusted Hype Indices using NLP.
result The Hype Index family provides valuable tools for stock volatility analysis.
For a finitely generated discrete group Γ, the Γ-sectors of an orbifold Q are a disjoint union of orbifolds corresponding to homomorphisms from Γ into a groupoid presenting Q. Here, we show that the inertia orbifold and k-multi-sectors are special cases of the Γ-sectors, and that the Γ-sectors are orbif…
Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.
problem Analyzing how information flows between sectors in Chinese and US stock markets.
method Daily sector indices, transfer entropy of daily returns, comparing 2000-2017.
result Most active sectors in information exchange differ between China and US, reflecting market dynamics.
Study uses multidimensional SE-NBD process to analyze default portfolios and identify shock amplification.
problem Analyzing interactions and shock propagation in default portfolios with multiple sectors.
method Applied multidimensional self-exciting negative binomial distribution (SE-NBD) process to 13 sectors.
result Identified upstream and downstream sectors, showing shock amplification in default portfolios.
With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the business sectors (subsectors) are mainly contained in the sector mode. In the secto…
This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.
problem Understanding information transmission and market dynamics in Chinese stock sectors.
method Daily closing price data of 28 sectors from 2000 to 2017, transfer entropy, maximum spanning arborescence (MSA).
result The composite sector is an information source, and the non-bank financial sector is an information sink.
The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.
problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.
The study finds significant financial sector volatility and tail risk spillovers to real economy sectors.
problem Volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors.
method New measure of tail risk spillover, empirical analysis of U.S. economy 2001-2011.
result Significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors, especially during crises.
Proposes a two-stage sector rotation method using machine learning and deep learning.
problem Identifying sectors with high investment attractiveness based on market conditions.
method Two-stage methodology: 1) Predict ETF prices using market indicators and feature selection, 2) Rank sectors based on predicted returns and select top sectors.
result The proposed methodology outperforms equally weighted portfolios and Echo State Networks show outstanding performance.
This paper models default data to capture dynamic dependence across sectors.
problem Static models fail to explain monthly default dependence.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model for monthly multi-sector default-count data.
result Effective correlation matrices and copulas are induced from monthly data.
In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we consider separately life and non-life companies. To achieve this goal we apply …
Analyzes global economic sectors' interdependence using Google matrix analysis.
problem Understanding interdependencies and interactions among world economies and sectors.
method Reduced Google matrix algorithm applied to OECD-WTO network data.
result Shows sensitivity of sectors to petroleum activity and interdependencies among countries.
Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always yield easily interpretable results. In this study, we develop improved factor mo…
In this paper we consider an information theoretic approach for the accounting classification process. We propose a matrix formalism and an algorithm for calculations of information theoretic measures associated to accounting classification. The formalism may be useful for further generalizations and computer-based imp…
The study distills news sources to analyze stock reactions, finding sentiment has asymmetric and sector-specific effects.
problem Analyzing the influence of financial text sources on stock reactions.
method Mixed text sources from professional platforms, blogs, and message boards were distilled using different lexica to analyze sentiment variables.
result Sentiment has an asymmetric and sector-specific effect on stock reactions.
Study reveals risk transmission channels among Chinese sectors.
problem Understanding risk transmission within Chinese economic sectors.
method Volatility spillovers analysis using VAR model and rolling window approach.
result 17 sectors are risk transmitters and 11 are risk takers.
Temporal coarse-graining of multi-sector default count data generates effective correlation matrices and rank copulas.
problem Explaining the difference in default dependence between monthly and annual aggregation.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model with AR(1) latent credit-state factors.
result Effective correlation matrices and rank copulas are generated from monthly default count data.
Paper uses LLMs for sector allocation, showing better returns.
problem Automated trading sector allocation inefficiencies.
method Systematic analysis of macroeconomic data and sentiment.
result LLM-based sector allocation outperforms traditional strategies.
Analyzes how venture investment strategies have evolved over time in different sectors.
problem Understanding changes in venture investment strategies across sectors over time.
method Applied PCA and TCA to analyze a dataset of 52,000 startups and 110,000 funding rounds.
result There has been a shift in venture investment towards lower-tech sectors and a rise in accelerator investments.
New techniques identify shifts in financial market sectors.
problem Identifying shifts in financial market structure and composition.
method Developed new mathematical techniques to identify nonlinear shifts in market sectors.
result Identified meaningful sector-to-sector mappings and optimal portfolio styles.
The paper analyzes sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA.
problem Investigating sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems.
method Analysis of 20+ startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA using a new visualization tool and numerical simulations.
result Emerging diversity of startup ecosystems can be explained by a preferential attachment model based on sectoral funding.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
problem Weak asset quality, inadequate provisioning, and negative capitalization of state-owned banks.
method Two phases of reforms: private ownership promotion and gradual deregulation.
result Significant improvements in asset quality and capitalization, but challenges persist.
GARCH models predict stock volatility in Indian sectors.
problem Designing accurate models for future stock volatility.
method GARCH framework applied to ten Indian stocks.
result Asymmetric GARCH models outperform in volatility forecasting.
Identifies key industrial sectors in S&P 500 states.
problem Understanding changing market conditions in financial markets.
method Clustering algorithm, XAI relevance scores, Bayesian change point analysis.
result Dominant sectors (energy and IT) determine market states.
We consider the sectoral composition of a country's GDP, i.e. the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service sectors. Exploring a simple system of differential equations we characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the sectors in the course of economic development. The model fits for the majority of coun…
Tech sector decouples from non-tech sectors post-2015, predicting economic growth.
problem Understanding the relationship between technology and economic growth.
method ARIMA modeling, stationarity tests, data wrangling, exploratory data analysis.
result The technology sector decouples from non-technology sectors post-2015 and predicts economic growth.
Enhanced indexation with sector constraints using SSD for better portfolio performance.
problem Constructing a portfolio that outperforms a market index while respecting sector investment proportions.
method Subset second-order stochastic dominance (subset SSD) applied to asset subset constraints.
result Subset SSD approach outperforms S&P500 and standard SSD approaches.
Kurdistan Region is a tourist hub. This research analyzes other Non-Oil Sectors that have huge attractions of Foreign Direct Investments into the Kurdistan Region from 2005 to 2013. Comparative analysis was carried out between Iraq and the Region, and among influential Sectors of the Economy. T-test and ANOVA are stati…
The purpose of this study is to estimate the production function and examine the structure of production in the mining sector of Iran. Several studies have already been conducted in estimating production functions of various economic sectors; however, less attention has been paid to mining sectors. After examining the …
We consider the isoperimetric problem in planar sectors with density rp, and with density a>1 inside the unit disk and 1 outside. We characterize solutions as a function of sector angle. We also solve the isoperimetric problem in Rn with density rp,p<0.
Study uses Hawkes processes to analyze stock market contagion in China.
problem Understanding contagion in Chinese stock market.
method Fitting Hawkes processes to daily returns and sector indices.
result Identifies long-term dependencies and trending patterns in sector indices.
This paper generalizes Moody's correlated binomial default distribution for homogeneous (exchangeable) credit portfolio, which is introduced by Witt, to the case of inhomogeneous portfolios. As inhomogeneous portfolios, we consider two cases. In the first case, we treat a portfolio whose assets have uniform default cor…
Deep learning LSTM predicts stock prices for portfolio design in Indian sectors.
problem Predicting stock prices in Indian stock market.
method Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model for historical stock price prediction.
result Efficacy of LSTM model in predicting stock prices and informing investment decisions.
In this paper, we perform a comparative segmentation and clustering analysis of the time series for the ten Dow Jones US economic sector indices between 14 February 2000 and 31 August 2008. From the temporal distributions of clustered segments, we find that the US economy took one and a half years to recover from the m…
This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…
This study optimizes stock portfolios for Indian sectors using historical data.
problem Challenges in optimizing stock portfolios due to volatility and future value estimation.
method Used Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios to design mean-variance optimized portfolios.
result Identified the ratio that maximizes cumulative returns for most sectors.
The paper models financial markets and real economy interactions using a large agent framework.
problem Understanding capital allocation and accumulation in financial markets and real economy interactions.
method Developed a field-formalism model to analyze interactions between financial markets and real economy with a large number of heterogeneous agents.
result The number of firms in each sector depends on the aggregate financial capital invested and expected long-term returns.
Tangent categories provide an axiomatic framework for understanding various tangent bundles and differential operations that occur in differential geometry, algebraic geometry, abstract homotopy theory, and computer science. Previous work has shown that one can formulate and prove a wide variety of definitions and resu…
The detection of community structure in stock market is of theoretical and practical significance for the study of financial dynamics and portfolio risk estimation. We here study the community structures in Chinese stock markets from the aspects of both price returns and turnover rates, by using a combination of the PM…
Study shows how China's stock market reflects economic demand changes during COVID-19.
problem Understanding how stock market volatility is influenced by economic demand changes.
method Divided industries into demand-oriented groups and analyzed spillover networks.
result Spillover effects from demand-oriented sectors to consumption-oriented sectors increased during the outbreak.
This paper optimizes portfolios of thematic sector stocks using LSTM models.
problem Designing an optimized portfolio of stocks to maximize return and minimize risk.
method Extracted stock prices from Jan 2016 to Dec 2020, used LSTM model for prediction, designed portfolios based on critical stocks.
result LSTM model accurately predicted future stock returns, indicating high accuracy.