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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · May 199319922001200920172026
48 results for second-order dynamics

Proposes a new stock prediction method that accounts for market dynamics.

problem The dynamic nature of the stock market invalidates traditional machine learning assumptions.
method Develops a second-order learning paradigm with multi-scale patterns.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in stock prediction on real-world data.

New method learns population dynamics from snapshots, outperforming existing models.

problem Capturing periodic and other dynamical properties of population dynamics.
method Wasserstein Lagrangian Mechanics (WLM) for learning second-order dynamics from observed marginals.
result WLM outperforms existing methods across various dynamics, including vortex dynamics, embryonic development, and flocking.

The elastica is a curve in R3\R^3 that is stationary under variations of the integral of the square of the curvature. Elastica is viewed as a dynamical system that arises from the second order calculus of variations, and its quantization is discussed.

2015-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A method for inferring motility models and heterogeneity from particle trajectories.

problem Understanding motility patterns from discrete trajectory data of biological agents.
method Maximum likelihood approach for second-order Langevin models with population heterogeneity.
result The proposed method outperforms alternative approaches for short trajectories.

New algorithm provably converges to second-order stationary points in NMF.

problem Understanding convergence to local minima in NMF.
method Multiplicative weight update dynamics, concurrent updates, and simplex reduction.
result Provable convergence to second-order stationary points.

Using agent-based modelling, empirical evidence and physical ideas, such as the energy function and the fact that the phase space must have twice the dimension of the configuration space, we argue that the stochastic differential equations which describe the motion of financial prices with respect to real world probabi…

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a GP-based method for discovering second-order particle dynamics models.

problem Discovering a general second-order particle-based model for agent interactions.
method Gaussian Process-based approach integrating two independent GP priors on latent interaction kernels.
result The method learns effective nonlinear dynamics representations from small data sets.

We develop a second-order model for limit order books in a single scaling regime.

problem Modeling price and volume dynamics in a limit order book with market and limit orders at a common time scale.
method Established a first- and second-order approximation for an infinite dimensional limit order book model.
result Proved the existence and uniqueness of a solution for the second-order approximation.

We investigate the existence of coordinate transformations which bring a given vector field on a manifold equipped with an involutive distribution into the form of a second-order differential equation field with parameters. We define associated connections and we give a coordinate-independent criterion for determining …

2011-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider trivializations of second iterated bundles of a Lie group that preserve lifted group structures. With such a trivialization, we elaborate Hamiltonian dynamics on cotangent, Lagrangian dynamics on tangent bundles and, both Hamiltonian and Lagrangian dynamics on Tulczyjew's symplectic space which is tangent o…

2015-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses second-order differential geometry to study stochastic mechanics.

problem Stochastic differential equations and their symmetries.
method Develops second-order differential geometry to study symmetries of SDEs and constructs stochastic mechanics.
result Establishes stochastic Lagrangian and Hamiltonian mechanics and their relations with HJB equations.

New algorithms minimize dynamic regret in non-stationary online learning.

problem Universal dynamic regret minimization under exp-concave and smooth losses.
method Strongly Adaptive algorithms with a path variational based on second order differences of the comparator sequence.
result Achieve a dynamic regret of ildeO(d2n1/5Cn2/5d2) ilde O(d^2 n^{1/5} C_n^{2/5} \vee d^2), optimal modulo dependencies.

In this paper we derive a second order approximation for an infinite dimensional limit order book model, in which the dynamics of the incoming order flow is allowed to depend on the current market price as well as on a volume indicator (e.g.~the volume standing at the top of the book). We study the fluctuations of the …

2017-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes second-order Esscher transform for Lévy models in financial markets.

problem Risk management and quantification in markets with jumps and Lévy dynamics.
method Derives densities, equivalent measures, and pricing formulas for European call options.
result Option prices are bounded and monotonic with the second-order Esscher parameter.

The Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) extracted dynamic modes are the non-orthogonal eigenvectors of the matrix that best approximates the one-step temporal evolution of the multivariate samples. In the context of dynamical system analysis, the extracted dynamic modes are a generalization of global stability modes. We a…

2019-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper connects a second order ODE to Sasakian structures and bi-Hamiltonian systems.

problem Defining and analyzing Sasakian structures associated with second order ODEs.
method Defining contact metric structures and Poisson structures, showing compatibility with bi-Hamiltonian systems.
result A compatible bi-Hamiltonian structure for the Reeb vector field is found, and conditions for the vanishing of the first Chern class are derived.

Study on dynamic curves with elastic energy and spontaneous curvature.

problem Modeling and analyzing dynamic planar curves with elastic energy.
method Gradient flow of inclination angle, nonlocal quasilinear system, local well-posedness, global existence, convergence.
result Local well-posedness, global existence, convergence of the flow for weak regularity initial data.

We analyze two reduction methods for nonholonomic systems that are invariant under the action of a Lie group on the configuration space. Our approach for obtaining the reduced equations is entirely based on the observation that the dynamics can be represented by a second-order differential equations vector field and th…

2011-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The second order tangent bundle T2MT^{2}M of a smooth manifold MM consists of the equivalent classes of curves on MM that agree up to their acceleration. It is known that in the case of a finite nn-dimensional manifold MM, T2MT^{2}M becomes a vector bundle over MM if and only if MM is endowed with a linear connecti…

2003-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider dynamic sublinear expectations (i.e., time-consistent coherent risk measures) whose scenario sets consist of singular measures corresponding to a general form of volatility uncertainty. We derive a càdlàg nonlinear martingale which is also the value process of a superhedging problem. The superhedging strate…

2010-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study dynamic risk measures with distributional uncertainty using optimal transport.

problem Risk robustification under distributional uncertainty in Markovian models.
method Characterize risk measures via convex monotone semigroups and optimal transport costs.
result Identify generator and correction terms for dynamic risk measures under different scaling regimes.

In this paper we consider an alternative approach to "un-reduction". This is the process where one associates to a Lagrangian system on a manifold a dynamical system on a principal bundle over that manifold, in such a way that solutions project. We show that, when written in terms of second-order ordinary differential …

2016-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified kernel framework extends to stochastic systems, improving numerical stability.

problem Extending kernel methods to stochastic dynamical systems with diffusion.
method Unified kernel framework, Feynman-Kac path-integral representations, collocation-based computational framework.
result Kernel equivalence under uniform ellipticity assumptions and improved numerical stability with moderate diffusion.

ADAHESSIAN optimizes machine learning models with adaptive second-order methods.

problem Efficiently optimizing machine learning models with second-order methods.
method Dynamic Hessian estimation via adaptive estimates, incorporating fast approximations and moving averages.
result ADAHESSIAN achieves state-of-the-art performance across various tasks.

Solves Merton's investment-consumption problem with certainty equivalent approach.

problem Maximizing CRRA utility of consumption over time and investment mix.
method Identifies a certainty equivalent problem for the Merton problem, reformulates it as an SOCP, and applies it to model predictive control.
result The certainty equivalent problem can be solved as an SOCP, facilitating model predictive control.

We observe that the iterated tangent group of a Lie group may be realized as a double cross product of the 2nd order tangent group, with the Lie algebra of the base Lie group. Based on this observation, we derive the 2nd order Euler-Lagrange equations on the 2nd order tangent group from the 1st order Euler-Lagrange equ…

2019-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This work develops a learning theory for inferring interaction kernels in complex agent systems.

problem Modeling complex interactions in systems of particles or agents.
method Nonparametric regression and approximation theory.
result Strong consistency and optimal convergence rates for estimators of interaction kernels.

The second order differential equation Dγ˙dt(t)=Fγ(t)(γ˙(t))V(γ(t))\frac{D\dotγ}{dt}(t) = F_{γ(t)}(\dotγ(t)) - \nabla V(γ(t)) on a Lorentzian manifold describes, in particular, the dynamics of particles under the action of a electromagnetic field FF and a conservative force V-\nabla V. We provide a first study on the extendability of its solu…

2012-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new geometrical setting for classical field theories is introduced. This description is strongly inspired in the one due to Skinner and Rusk for singular lagrangians systems. For a singular field theory a constraint algorithm is developed that gives a final constraint submanifold where a well-defined dynamics exists.…

2002-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The study derives generalization bounds for neural oscillators, improving their performance with regularization.

problem Quantifying the generalization capacities of neural oscillators.
method Using Rademacher complexity and squared Wasserstein-1 distances, the study derives theoretical upper PAC generalization bounds for neural oscillators.
result Theoretical bounds show polynomial growth in estimation errors with MLP size and time length, and regularization improves performance.

In this paper, we consider the problem of prediction with expert advice in dynamic environments. We choose tracking regret as the performance metric and develop two adaptive and efficient algorithms with data-dependent tracking regret bounds. The first algorithm achieves a second-order tracking regret bound, which impr…

2019-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗