We describe algorithms for learning Bayesian networks from a combination of user knowledge and statistical data. The algorithms have two components: a scoring metric and a search procedure. The scoring metric takes a network structure, statistical data, and a user's prior knowledge, and returns a score proportional to …
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48 results for “scoring metrics”
Paper introduces new metrics for evaluating model accuracy.
problem Improving model accuracy and calibration.
method Developed two second-order accuracy metrics with integral and numerical representations.
result Validates model calibration settings and reveals distortions.
Critiques binary classification evaluation methods, advocating for proper scoring rules.
problem The dominance of top-K metrics and fixed-threshold evaluations in machine learning.
method Introduces a decision-theoretic framework mapping evaluation metrics to their use cases, and implements a clipped Brier score variant.
result Demonstrates the clinical utility of proper scoring rules through a Python package, exttt{briertools}.
This work proposes using Conformal Prediction to improve OOD detection scores and vice versa.
problem Improper evaluation of OOD detection scores due to finite sample size.
method Defining new conformal AUROC and FRP@TPR95 metrics and using OOD scores as non-conformity scores.
result Improved evaluation metrics and better interpretation of OOD scores.
New scoring rules compare probabilistic top lists in classification.
problem Evaluation of probabilistic top lists in classification.
method Elicitability through symmetric proper scoring rules.
result Brier score provides a well-suited metric for comparison.
This paper argues against using calibration metrics for assessing posterior probabilities and proposes expected proper scoring rules instead.
problem The assessment of posterior probabilities generated by machine learning classifiers using calibration metrics is flawed and should be replaced with expected proper scoring rules.
method The paper reviews proper scoring rules from a practical perspective, explains why expected PSRs are a principled measure of posterior quality, and introduces a new calibration metric called calibration loss.
result Calibration loss is superior to expected calibration error and expected score divergence calibration metrics for assessing posterior probabilities.
Proposes Vendi Score for evaluating diversity in ML models.
problem Lack of flexible diversity evaluation metrics in ML.
method Integrates ecological and quantum statistical mechanics concepts to define Vendi Score.
result Vendi Score enables flexible diversity evaluation without requiring a reference dataset.
Proposes RDASS for better Korean text summarization evaluation.
problem ROUGE scores fail to capture semantic meaning in Korean text summarization.
method Introduces RDASS metrics and a method to improve their correlation with human judgment.
result RDASS metrics correlate better with human judgment than ROUGE scores.
We introduce SADs to reveal how network architecture shapes score-based generative models.
problem Understanding and predicting the inductive biases of score-based generative models.
method Introducing Score Anisotropy Directions (SADs) to analyze network architecture.
result SADs reliably capture model behavior and correlate with performance.
Study optimizes tree-based models for better alignment of predicted scores and actual probabilities.
problem Traditional calibration metrics fail to align predicted scores with actual probabilities when score distributions deviate from the underlying data.
method Optimizes tree-based models (Random Forest, XGBoost) using Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence to minimize the difference between predicted and true probability distributions.
result Optimized tree-based models yield superior alignment between predicted scores and actual probabilities without significant performance loss.
The paper assesses fairness in risk score models, focusing on epistemic value.
problem Fairness of risk score models in communicating uncertainty.
method Identified key fairness desiderata, developed metrics for quantitative assessment, and applied methodology in two case studies.
result Introduced a novel calibration error metric for meaningful comparisons between groups of different sizes.
New metrics improve performance in imbalanced classification problems.
problem Established metrics favor classifiers ignoring minority classes.
method Introduce robust modifications of F-score and MCC.
result TPR is bounded away from 0 in imbalanced settings.
CCE improves anomaly detection metrics by measuring both confidence and consistency.
problem Existing anomaly detection metrics lack discriminative power, hyperparameter dependency, and robustness to perturbations.
method CCE uses Bayesian estimation to quantify uncertainty and constructs global and event-level confidence and consistency scores.
result CCE demonstrates strict boundedness, robustness, and linear time complexity.
Several structure learning algorithms have been proposed towards discovering causal or Bayesian Network (BN) graphs. The validity of these algorithms tends to be evaluated by assessing the relationship between the learnt and the ground truth graph. However, there is no agreed scoring metric to determine this relationsh…
Paper develops a framework to optimize neural networks using weighted metrics.
problem Discrepancy between maximizing weighted classification scores and minimizing loss function.
method Formalizes weighted classification metrics and constructs corresponding losses.
result Framework includes well-established approaches like cost-sensitive learning and weighted cross entropy.
This paper considers fair probabilistic binary classification where the outputs of primary interest are predicted probabilities, commonly referred to as scores. We formulate the problem of transforming scores to satisfy fairness constraints that are linear in conditional means of scores while minimizing a cross-entropy…
Precision at the indistinguishability threshold: a method for evaluating classification algorithmscs.LG
A new metric evaluates classification algorithms at the point of indistinguishability.
problem Evaluating classification algorithms at the point of indistinguishability.
method Set a threshold where algorithm's predictions are indistinguishable from real labels, then measure accuracy of positive labels.
result The new metric avoids pitfalls of existing metrics like AUC and F1-score.
Synthetic data augmentation can improve imbalanced classification metrics.
problem Improving imbalanced classification metrics
method Developing a framework for analyzing the effects of synthetic data augmentation on score-based classification
result Augmentation can improve AUROC, AUPRC, balanced accuracy, and F1 score
New metrics fail adversarial tests, with some more robust than others.
problem Evaluation metrics for time-series anomaly detection were improved but not fully robust.
method Adversarial stress-testing of 12 adopted metrics on real benchmarks.
result Some metrics are more robust than others, with ROC-based metrics being gamed more often.
The paper improves experimental design by weighting diversity metrics with quality, leading to more diverse and effective discoveries.
problem Existing experimental design techniques favor exploitation over exploration, leading to local optima and insufficient diversity.
method The paper extends Vendi scores to account for quality and applies them to various experimental design problems.
result Quality-weighted Vendi scores allow for better balance between quality and diversity, resulting in 70%-170% more effective discoveries.
In machine learning, the choice of a learning algorithm that is suitable for the application domain is critical. The performance metric used to compare different algorithms must also reflect the concerns of users in the application domain under consideration. In this work, we propose a novel probability-based performan…
To evaluate disentangled representations several metrics have been proposed. However, theoretical guarantees for conventional metrics of disentanglement are missing. Moreover, conventional metrics do not have a consistent correlation with the outcomes of qualitative studies. In this paper we analyze metrics of disentan…
Net-Promoter Score (NPS) is now ubiquitous as an easily-collected market research metric, having displaced many serious market research processes. Unfortunately, this has been its sole success. It possesses few, if any, of the characteristics that might be regarded as highly desirable in a high-level market research me…
EAST aligns neural network classifiers with user-defined evaluation metrics.
problem Mismatch between neural network training and evaluation metrics leads to suboptimal performance.
method EAST uses dynamic thresholding, soft-set confusion matrix, and annealing to align neural network predictions with target evaluation metrics.
result EAST improves alignment between training objectives and evaluation metrics, outperforming existing methods.
Score based learning (SBL) is a promising approach for learning Bayesian networks in the discrete domain. However, when employing SBL in the continuous domain, one is either forced to move the problem to the discrete domain or use metrics such as BIC/AIC, and these approaches are often lacking. Discretization can have …
This paper evaluates anomaly detection methods for multivariate time series data.
problem Lack of systematic comparison of anomaly detection methods on multivariate time series data.
method Comprehensive evaluation of 10 models and 4 scoring functions on 10 datasets.
result Dynamic scoring functions outperform static ones, and the choice of scoring functions matters more than the model choice.
SSDMs generate quantum states directly, outperforming classical methods.
problem Generating pure-state quantum representations efficiently.
method Score-based generative model on complex projective manifold.
result SSDMs match target pure-state ensembles by orders of magnitude.
Where machine-learned predictive risk scores inform high-stakes decisions, such as bail and sentencing in criminal justice, fairness has been a serious concern. Recent work has characterized the disparate impact that such risk scores can have when used for a binary classification task. This may not account, however, fo…
Unified approach optimizes neural network training for various metrics.
problem Training and evaluation of neural network binary classifiers often use different metrics.
method Combines differentiable approximation and probabilistic soft sets.
result Effective in optimizing for metrics like F1-Score across various domains.
Study compares multivariate scoring rules for distribution forecasts.
problem Evaluating the discrimination ability of multivariate scoring rules.
method Simulation study comparing energy and variogram scores using historical data.
result Variogram score with p=0.5 outperforms other scores.
Proposes sigmoidF1 loss for multilabel classification, improving performance metrics.
problem Lack of smooth, tractable loss functions for multilabel classification.
method Introduces sigmoidF1, a smooth F1 score surrogate loss function.
result sigmoidF1 outperforms other loss functions on various datasets and metrics.
A new method improves data generation quality by correcting score mismatches.
problem Score mismatch issue in conditional score-based data generation methods.
method Denoising Likelihood Score Matching (DLSM) loss for classifier training.
result The proposed method outperforms previous methods on Cifar-10 and Cifar-100 benchmarks.
Study categorizes time series anomaly detection metrics based on evaluation challenges.
problem Challenges in evaluating time series anomaly detection due to diverse application objectives and metric assumptions.
method Problem-oriented framework categorizing metrics into six dimensions based on evaluation challenges.
result Quantifies each metric's discriminative ability and reveals limitations of widely used metrics.
Superior Scoring Rules for Probabilistic Evaluation of Single-Label Multi-Class Classification Taskscs.LG
New scoring rules improve probabilistic classification model evaluation.
problem Traditional scoring rules misalign with the preference for correct classifications.
method Introduces Penalized Brier Score (PBS) and Penalized Logarithmic Loss (PLL) to modify proper scoring rules.
result PBS and PLL better identify optimal checkpoints and early stopping points, leading to superior F1 scores.
Semiparametric KSD test: unifying score and distance-based approaches for goodness-of-fit testingstat.ML
Unified score and distance-based GoF tests for model adequacy.
problem Difficulty in extending score-based GoF tests to nonparametric alternatives.
method Introducing semiparametric kernelized Stein discrepancy (SKSD) test.
result SKSD test is computationally efficient and universally consistent.
Deep generative models are powerful tools that have produced impressive results in recent years. These advances have been for the most part empirically driven, making it essential that we use high quality evaluation metrics. In this paper, we provide new insights into the Inception Score, a recently proposed and widely…
Decision-alignment evaluates uncertainty quantification for decision-relevant UQ
problem Evaluation of uncertainty quantification metrics
method Introduce decision-alignment
result Proper scoring rules align with decision utility
Proposes GM Score to evaluate GANs considering diversity, disentanglement, and discriminability.
problem Evaluation of GANs for sample quality and diversity.
method Integrates various factors including intra-class and inter-class diversity, disentanglement, and discriminability metrics.
result Demonstrates improved evaluation of GANs on MNIST dataset.
New metrics improve reliability of image generation evaluation.
problem Lack of reliable metrics for evaluating fidelity and diversity in generative models.
method Proposed density and coverage metrics to diagnose fidelity and diversity separately.
result Density and coverage metrics provide more interpretable and reliable signals.
This work proposes optimal decision rules for hierarchical classifiers to better align with evaluation metrics.
problem Heuristic decision rules in hierarchical classification do not align with evaluation metrics.
method Derives optimal decision rules for various prediction settings, focusing on hierarchical scores.
result Optimal decision rules enhance the performance and reliability of hierarchical classifiers.
Score matching method improves image generation quality.
problem Score matching method underperforms GANs in metrics like Fréchet Inception Distance.
method DSM-ALS with denoising and improved sampling techniques.
result Score matching methods can match GANs in image generation quality.
Develops Hamiltonian Score Matching and Generative Flows for machine learning.
problem Estimating score functions and designing generative models.
method Introduces Hamiltonian velocity predictors (HVPs) for score matching and generative flows.
result Hamiltonian Generative Flows (HGFs) rival leading generative modeling techniques.
New metric scores perturbations across populations, not cells, improving model comparison.
problem Single-cell perturbation data overlaps, making per-cell accuracy unreliable.
method Average per-cell probability vectors over all cells of a perturbation to form a population profile and rank candidate perturbations.
result Classifier Discrimination Score (CDS) identifies true perturbation more reliably than pseudobulk-based scores.
Propensity score matching improves fairness in machine learning models.
problem Bias in training data affects fairness metrics in machine learning models.
method Propensity score matching to evaluate and mitigate bias in test data.
result FairMatch significantly reduces bias in test data without sacrificing predictive performance.
RATE metrics evaluate treatment prioritization rules, subsuming existing methods.
problem Comparing and testing the quality of treatment prioritization rules.
method Rank-weighted average treatment effect (RATE) metrics.
result RATE metrics enable asymptotically exact inference in various study settings.
On the sensitivity of machine-learned probabilistic weather forecast models to scale-aware scoring rulesphysics.ao-ph
Study compares different scoring rules for machine-learned weather forecasts, finding scale-awareness improves forecast realism.
problem Improving the accuracy of machine-learned probabilistic weather forecasts.
method Comparison of scoring rules (CRPS, fair global energy score, graph energy score) and analysis of their impact on forecast field spectra.
result Scale-awareness improves forecast realism, particularly in the tropics.
We improve density-based distances using normalizing flows and score matching.
problem Inaccurate density estimates and poor convergence in graph-based methods for high-dimensional spaces.
method Learn densities with normalizing flows and refine geodesics with a score model.
result Improved density-based distances that scale to high dimensions and improve numerical stability.
New metrics improve uncertainty estimation on graph data.
problem Current GNNs focus only on nodewise scores, limiting uncertainty estimation.
method Proposed edgewise metrics for uncertainty estimation on graphs.
result GNN models with structured prediction perform better in uncertainty estimation.