New scoring rules for multivariate distributions and level sets.
problem Evaluating forecast accuracy for multivariate distributions and level sets.
method Theoretical framework for scoring rules, decomposition of multivariate scoring functions, numerical algorithm for computation.
result New scoring functions for multivariate distributions and level sets, including density and cumulative distribution level sets.
Study compares multivariate scoring rules for distribution forecasts.
problem Evaluating the discrimination ability of multivariate scoring rules.
method Simulation study comparing energy and variogram scores using historical data.
result Variogram score with p=0.5 outperforms other scores.
Extends denoising and score estimation to energy models via Tweedie's formula.
problem Linking denoising and score estimation for a wider range of distributions.
method Derives a fundamental identity connecting energy score derivatives and scores.
result Establishes a new identity for energy scores analogous to Tweedie's formula.
Bayesian classifier improves robustness with optimistic score ratio.
problem Limited information on class-conditional distribution.
method Optimistic score ratio for robust binary classification.
result Bayesian classifier using optimistic score ratio is robust and computationally tractable.
A new method optimizes anomaly scoring from score distribution to improve AD performance.
problem Vulnerability to anomaly contamination and lack of adaptability in existing AD methods.
method Optimizes anomaly scoring function from score distribution perspective, using Overlap loss.
result Overlap loss-based AD models significantly outperform state-of-the-art methods.
We introduce a new discrepancy score between two distributions that gives an indication on their similarity. While much research has been done to determine if two samples come from exactly the same distribution, much less research considered the problem of determining if two finite samples come from similar distributio…
Paper bridges score estimation to parameter and density estimation in DDPMs.
problem Efficiently estimating scores for generative models.
method Introduces a framework linking score estimation to parameter and density estimation.
result Denoising score-matching in DDPMs is asymptotically efficient for parameter estimation.
Langevin dynamics fails to produce accurate samples even with small score function errors.
problem Robustness of Langevin dynamics to score function errors.
method Analysis of Langevin dynamics and score function errors.
result Langevin dynamics produces a distribution far from the target distribution in TV distance even with small L2 errors in the score function. Robust quickest change detection method for unknown score functions.
problem Detecting changes in data streams with unknown pre- and post-change distributions.
method Selects least-favorable distributions and robustifies score-based detection algorithm.
result Demonstrates improved performance in simulations.
MIRA scores assess conditional distribution accuracy using joint samples.
problem Assessing the accuracy of candidate conditional distributions.
method Analytic expression for Mira score based on equal probability mass regions.
result Mira enables Bayesian model comparison by quantifying alignment with true process.
AR-CSM models use derivatives of univariate log-conditionals to estimate joint distributions efficiently.
problem Scalability and stability issues in training autoregressive models.
method Parameterize joint distribution using derivatives of univariate log-conditionals and introduce Composite Score Matching (CSM) for efficient training.
result AR-CSM models are more scalable and stable compared to previous score matching algorithms.
Improves generative models by using heavy-tailed noise in score matching.
problem High-dimensional limitations of Gaussian noise in generative models.
method Extended DSM to generalised normal distribution, relaxed key assumptions, developed iterative noise scaling algorithm.
result Heavy-tailed DSM leads to improved generative performance.
The Brier score is commonly used for evaluating probability predictions. In survival analysis, with right-censored observations of the event times, this score can be weighted by the inverse probability of censoring (IPCW) to retain its original interpretation. It is common practice to estimate the censoring distributio…
This paper improves diffusion models for low-dimensional data.
problem Theoretical foundations of diffusion models are lacking for low-dimensional data.
method Score approximation, estimation, and distribution recovery of diffusion models on low-dimensional data.
result Sample complexity bounds for distribution estimation using diffusion models are provided.
Paper proposes a new method for training diffusion models using Markov operators.
problem Training efficiency and accuracy in diffusion models.
method Operator-informed score matching using spectral decomposition of Markov operators.
result Improved score matching for both low and high-dimensional distributions.
New approach to score function in diffusion models using Malliavin calculus.
problem Estimating score function for complex data distributions.
method Combines Malliavin calculus with Bismut-type formula to derive exact score function expression.
result Derives exact, closed-form expression for score function in diffusion models.
New analysis shows scores learn data manifolds better than distributions.
problem Learning the full distribution vs. just the data manifold.
method Novel analysis of scores in the small-σ regime.
result Scores learn data manifold information Θ(σ−2) stronger than distribution information. SMT trains generative models by estimating mixture scores, outperforming existing methods.
problem Training one-step generative models efficiently and effectively.
method Score-of-Mixture Training (SMT) estimates the score of mixture distributions between real and fake samples.
result SMT/SMD outperform existing methods on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet 64x64 datasets.
New polynomial convergence guarantees for SGM on general data distributions.
problem Efficient guarantees for multimodal and non-smooth distributions in SGM.
method Polynomial convergence guarantees for denoising diffusion models on general data distributions, with no assumptions on functional inequalities or smoothness.
result Wasserstein distance guarantees for distributions of bounded support or decaying tails, and TV guarantees for further smoothness assumptions.
This paper improves change-point detection for complex data streams using denoising score matching.
problem Timely identification of distributional shifts in high-dimensional, complex data streams.
method Score-based CUSUM change-point detection with denoising score matching.
result Denoising score matching enhances detection power by effectively controlling noise scale.
Generative model uses SDEs to transform data distributions.
problem Creating data from complex distributions.
method Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) for data transformation.
result Achieved record-breaking performance in image generation.
Estimates score function from data with optimal rate in high dimensions.
problem Estimating the score function of an unknown probability distribution from data.
method Empirical Bayes smoothing with a Gaussian kernel.
result Optimal rate of estimation ildeΘ(n−d+42) for d dimensions. DDSME outperforms SME in estimating multimodal distributions.
problem Efficiency of score matching in multimodal distributions.
method Diffusion-based denoising score matching (DDSME) compared to vanilla score matching (SME).
result DDSME avoids the error bound deterioration of SME with increasing mode separation.
Survival regression method improves log-likelihood scores.
problem Improper scoring rules in survival regression models.
method SurvivalMonotonic-net (SuMo-net) with monotonic neural networks.
result SuMo-net achieves state-of-the-art log-likelihood scores.
Hard to estimate L2-accurate scores without strong assumptions.
problem Estimating the score of unknown data distributions accurately.
method Reduction to generating samples and leveraging lattice-based cryptography hardness.
result Score estimation is computationally hard even with polynomial sample complexity.
Generative models' evaluation scores can be misleading, leading to inflated grades.
problem Misleading evaluation scores for generative models.
method Analyzed and compared various scores for evaluating synthetic vs. ground-truth data.
result The Eden score avoids grade inflation and better aligns with human perception.
Develops diffusion samplers for target distributions with efficient score and density estimates.
problem Estimating scores and densities for time-varying distributions.
method Sequential Monte Carlo with diffusion paths and control variates.
result Effective samplers for time-varying distributions with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.
Enhances learning of structured distributions using nonlinear denoising score matching.
problem Learning structured distributions from noisy data.
method Latent Nonlinear Denoising Score Matching (LNDSM) integrating nonlinear dynamics with VAE-based latent score matching.
result LNDSM achieves superior sample quality and variability compared to structure-agnostic methods.
Score matching offers efficient estimation for certain distributions.
problem Estimating probability distributions with intractable constants.
method Score matching as an alternative to maximum likelihood.
result Score matching is computationally and statistically efficient for certain distributions.
Score matching is a popular method for estimating unnormalized statistical models. However, it has been so far limited to simple, shallow models or low-dimensional data, due to the difficulty of computing the Hessian of log-density functions. We show this difficulty can be mitigated by projecting the scores onto random…
Locus scores predictions for risk, reducing large-loss events.
problem Deployment cost from inaccurate predictions, especially large losses.
method Distribution-free loss-scale reliability score using any predictive distribution.
result Reduces large-loss frequency compared to standard heuristics.
MAFLA improves sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using MH-inspired corrections.
problem Sampling from heavy-tailed and multimodal distributions when neither target nor proposal densities can be evaluated.
method Metropolis-Adjusted Fractional Langevin Algorithm (MAFLA) with Score Balance Matching.
result MAFLA significantly improves finite-time sampling accuracy over unadjusted fractional Langevin dynamics.
A new method for estimating density ratios in high dimensions.
problem Difficulty in accurately comparing probability distributions in high-dimensional settings.
method Divide-and-conquer approach via an infinite continuum of bridge distributions and time score matching.
result The proposed method effectively estimates density ratios and performs well on complex datasets.
Paper analyzes SGMs for learning sub-Gaussian distributions without dimensionality constraints.
problem Learning sub-Gaussian distributions in high dimensions with SGMs.
method Introduced complexity notion and proved approximation and generalization rates.
result SGMs can approximate target sub-Gaussian distributions in total variation with dimension-independent rate.
Wavelet SGM accelerates generative modeling with linear time complexity.
problem High computational cost in SGMs.
method Factorizing data distribution into wavelet coefficients.
result WSGM synthesizes wavelet coefficients with linear time complexity.
Study finds simple model-agreement scores perform well in various error estimation scenarios.
problem Evaluating model performance on unseen distributions using disparate scoring functions.
method Rigorously studied popular scoring functions (confidence, local manifold smoothness, model agreement) independently of mechanism choice.
result Simple model-agreement scores outperform confidence- and smoothness-based scores in realistic settings with compromised training data.
A new method combines scores of individual observations to efficiently approximate posterior distributions.
problem Handling posterior distributions conditioned on multiple observations with neural methods.
method Conditional score modeling to combine learned scores from individual observations.
result Sample-efficient method that can aggregate multiple observations at inference time.
A new method for speaker recognition on hyperspheres improves on PLDA's limitations.
problem Improving speaker recognition on hyperspheres with PLDA's limitations.
method Probabilistic Spherical Discriminant Analysis (PSDA) using Von Mises-Fisher distributions.
result PSDA scores are closed-form and can handle various trials, improving over PLDA.
Simplifies denoising score matching for manifold learning.
problem Learning distributions on manifolds is computationally intensive.
method Modifies denoising score matching to implicitly account for the manifold.
result Reduces computational burden while maintaining efficiency.
The paper addresses score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.
problem Theoretical guarantees for score-mismatched diffusion models in zero-shot conditional sampling.
method Theoretical analysis of score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.
result Theoretical performance guarantees with explicit dimensional dependencies for score-mismatched diffusion samplers.
This work proposes using Conformal Prediction to improve OOD detection scores and vice versa.
problem Improper evaluation of OOD detection scores due to finite sample size.
method Defining new conformal AUROC and FRP@TPR95 metrics and using OOD scores as non-conformity scores.
result Improved evaluation metrics and better interpretation of OOD scores.
A new method for generating samples without training, using smoothed score matching.
problem Generating samples efficiently and without training.
method Moment-matched score-smoothed overdamped Langevin dynamics (MM-SOLD).
result The method enables fast, robust, training-free sampling with competitive sample fidelity and diversity.
New geometric analysis shows L2 score error is flawed for diffusion models.
problem Score matching errors in diffusion models do not fully capture distributional quality.
method Decomposed score errors into gradient and solenoidal components, focusing on gradient's role in Fokker-Planck dynamics.
result Only gradient component affects marginal distributional quality; solenoidal component is structurally invisible.
A new method simplifies sampling from complex distributions without using diffusions.
problem Sampling from complex, high-dimensional distributions efficiently.
method Reduces sampling to solving a sequence of 'nice' sampling problems using SLC distributions.
result Shows how to traverse backwards paths using high-accuracy routines for SLC distributions.
Score matching errors are not sufficient for measuring diffusion model quality.
problem The L2 score matching error is not a reliable measure of diffusion model performance. method Decomposed score errors into gradient and solenoidal components and analyzed their geometric properties.
result Only the gradient component of the score error affects the marginal distributional quality.
Regularizes attention scores in vision transformers using bootstrapping.
problem Noisy and diffused attention maps in ViT limit interpretability.
method Statistical learning techniques, bootstrapping of attention scores.
result Improves shrinkage and sparsity of attention scores.
New divergences improve score-based methods for multi-modal distributions.
problem Blindness problem in score-based divergences for multi-modal distributions.
method Proposed a new family of divergences to mitigate blindness.
result Improved performance in density estimation compared to traditional approaches.
Heuristic weighting improves denoising score matching without requiring noise distribution assumptions.
problem Improving denoising score matching without assuming noise distribution.
method Demonstrated heteroskedasticity, derived optimal weighting functions, and provided theoretical and empirical comparisons.
result Heuristical weighting function can achieve lower variance than optimal weighting, facilitating more stable and efficient training.