Study finds carbon emissions affect stock value, but not bought emissions.
problem Determining if carbon emissions impact stock value and whether this is due to direct or indirect emissions.
method Fixed-effects analysis with propensity score weighting to control for selection bias.
result Firms with higher Scope 1 emissions have a statistically significant positive carbon premium, but Scope 2 emissions do not.
Study reduces emissions in portfolios with error-prone emissions data.
problem Portfolio optimization with firm-level emissions intensities measured inaccurately.
method Introduced a scope-specific penalty operator to rescale asset payoffs based on revenue-normalized emissions intensity.
result Reduces average Scope~1 emissions intensity by roughly 92% while maintaining similar Sharpe ratios.
Model estimates non-reported GHG emissions for companies using machine learning.
problem Incomplete GHG emissions reporting by companies.
method Interpretable machine learning model tailored for non-reporting companies.
result Model accurately estimates emissions for diverse company groups.
Proposes a Carbon Equivalence Principle for financial products to align incentives and drive sustainability.
problem Align financial market incentives with carbon emissions to limit global warming.
method Introduces a Carbon Equivalence Principle requiring financial products to describe equivalent carbon flows alongside cash flows.
result Transparency of carbon flows in financial products can align incentives and reduce future costs, necessitating project re-structuring and financial net-zero designs.
Study examines how market dynamics affect emissions trading prices and abatement efforts.
problem Effectiveness of emissions markets depends on regulatory standards, costs, and abatement levels.
method Radner equilibrium framework that considers intertemporal decision-making and uncertainty.
result Variations in regulatory standards, costs, and abatement levels influence allowance prices and abatement efforts.
Machine learning predicts greenhouse gas emissions for undisclosed companies.
problem Lack of GHG emissions data for most companies.
method Trained machine learning model on disclosed data to estimate emissions.
result Model accurately predicts emissions for undisclosed companies.
Optimizes gradual reduction of excess carbon emissions to net-zero.
problem Achieving net-zero carbon emissions through gradual reduction of excess emissions.
method Stochastic control approach to identify optimal emission strategy under constraints.
result Identifies the emission strategy that maximizes future profit from excess emissions.
Optimal dynamic allocation of carbon allowances reduces emissions efficiently.
problem Reducing carbon emissions from firms over time with dynamic allocation and trading.
method Variational approach to solve the Stackelberg game between regulator and firms.
result Optimal policies lead to constant abatement effort and allowance price, outperforming static allocations.
In emissions trading, the initial allocation of permits is an intractable issue because it needs to be essentially fair to the participating countries. There are many ways to distribute a given total amount of emissions permits among countries, but the existing distribution methods, such as auctioning and grandfatherin…
Tackling climate change is at the top of many agendas. In this context, emission trading schemes are considered as promising tools. The regulatory framework for an emission trading scheme introduces a market for emission allowances and creates a need for risk management by appropriate financial contracts. In this work,…
Study examines how industrial emissions evolve over time in response to various factors.
problem Understanding how firm-level emissions change over time in response to environmental regulation, economic conditions, and organizational constraints.
method Used a time-varying mean-group estimator to link emissions data with firm characteristics and macroeconomic indicators over 1992-2023.
result Firm-level characteristics and aggregate conditions have different impacts on emissions growth at different times.
Paper analyzes how present-bias affects carbon emissions and proposes a method to mitigate it.
problem Present-bias impacts carbon emission patterns towards a net zero target.
method Stochastic control techniques adapted from insurance risk theory.
result Higher present-bias leads to excess emissions, and carbon taxes can reduce emissions but beyond a certain point have diminishing returns.
Study uses open data to improve traffic emissions estimation.
problem Estimating accurate link level traffic emissions.
method Data-driven framework integrating MOVES, GPS, OSM, and satellite imagery.
result Neural network reduces RMSE by over 50% for key pollutants.
Study finds environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions.
problem Reduction of industrial carbon emissions.
method Two-way fixed effect model using provincial (city) level panel data from 2010 to 2020.
result Environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions at both direct and indirect levels, with varying effects.
This research uses reinforcement learning to find optimal emission offsets in greenhouse gas markets.
problem Finding optimal emission offsets in greenhouse gas markets to control excess emissions.
method Utilized reinforcement learning, specifically Nash-DQN, to estimate market Nash equilibria.
result Emitting firms can achieve significant financial savings by abiding by the Nash equilibria found in the market.
A model optimizes carbon emission reduction and allowance purchasing for companies.
problem Optimizing carbon emissions and allowance purchasing for companies.
method Established an optimal control model involving two stochastic processes with two control variables, converted into an HJB equation, proved existence and uniqueness of solution.
result Proved the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the HJB equation.
Study uses machine learning to analyze solar emissions.
problem Explaining the high temperature of the solar corona.
method Unsupervised machine learning to characterize impulsive emissions.
result Characterized over 34,500 features as 2D elliptical Gaussians.
Study shows reducing anthropogenic emissions significantly lowers PM2.5 levels but has little effect on O3 in Delhi.
problem Understanding and mitigating the effects of anthropogenic emissions on air pollution in Delhi.
method Predictive modeling, causal inference, Gaussian Process modeling, Granger causality analysis.
result Reductions in anthropogenic emissions lead to significant decreases in PM2.5 levels but have little effect on O3. Mandatory emission trading schemes are being established around the world. Participants of such market schemes are always exposed to risks. This leads to the creation of an accompanying market for emission-linked derivatives. To evaluate the fair prices of such financial products, one needs appropriate models for the e…
Paper uses neural networks to predict NOx emissions from gas turbines.
problem Predicting NOx emissions from degrading gas turbines.
method Applied neural network algorithm to model NOx emissions from nine process variables.
result Neural network model optimizes process variables for minimal NOx emissions.
It will be difficult to gain the agreement of all the actors on any proposal for climate change management, if universality and fairness are not considered. In this work, a universal measure of emissions to be applied at the international level is proposed, based on a modification of the Greenhouse Gas Intensity (GHG-I…
Model predicts methane emissions from oil sands tailing ponds, suggesting significant environmental impact.
problem Estimating methane emissions from inactive oil sands tailing ponds.
method Physics constrained machine learning model using real-time weather data and laboratory experiments.
result Active oil sands tailing ponds emit between 950 to 1500 tonnes of methane per year, equivalent to 6000 gasoline vehicles.
Deep learning speeds up real-time emission monitoring.
problem Real-time greenhouse gas emission monitoring under transient conditions.
method Bayesian inference with deep learning surrogate of CFD outputs.
result Near-real-time predictions with orders-of-magnitude faster runtimes.
Investor and firm optimize sustainable investment and emission reduction through a dynamic game.
problem Optimal sustainable investment and emission reduction in a dynamic game setting.
method Formulated as a nonzero-sum dynamic game, solved via variational inequalities and verified in a diffusive setup.
result Nash equilibria show moving boundaries increasing with emission abatement, triggered by both investor and firm actions.
We present a new algorithm for identifying the transition and emission probabilities of a hidden Markov model (HMM) from the emitted data. Expectation-maximization becomes computationally prohibitive for long observation records, which are often required for identification. The new algorithm is particularly suitable fo…
We present a novel approach to the pricing of financial instruments in emission markets, for example, the EU ETS. The proposed structural model is positioned between existing complex full equilibrium models and pure reduced form models. Using an exogenously specified demand for a polluting good it gives a causal explan…
Deep learning predicts road GHG emissions with speed, density, and past ERs.
problem Predicting GHG emissions from road networks to mitigate environmental impact.
method Developed a deep learning framework using LSTM networks with exogenous variables.
result LSTM with speed, density, GHG ER, and in-links speed from previous minutes performs best.
Study finds cherry-picking load shaping strategies outperforms others in reducing grid CO2 emissions.
problem Lack of detailed counterfactual data makes it hard to assess load shaping strategies' effectiveness.
method Calibrated granular ERCOT simulations for counterfactual analysis of load shaping strategies.
result LMP-based load shaping outperforms other strategies in reducing grid CO2 emissions.
Model shows how financial markets can decarbonize under climate uncertainty.
problem Decarbonization of financial markets under climate uncertainty.
method Mean-field game approach to model firm decisions and investor interactions.
result Climate uncertainty weakens the impact of green-minded investors on decarbonization.
Electricity accounts for 25% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Reducing emissions related to electricity consumption requires accurate measurements readily available to consumers, regulators and investors. In this case study, we propose a new real-time consumption-based accounting approach based on flow tracing. This…
Study assesses climate risks on supply chains and financial systems using detailed firm emissions data.
problem Lack of firm-level CO2 emissions data hinders assessment of transition risks from carbon pricing.
method Used detailed Hungarian firm emissions data and a simple economic ABM model to simulate carbon pricing impacts.
result 45% of companies are directly exposed to carbon pricing, leading to significant economic and financial losses.
Study reveals inefficiencies in EU carbon trading market.
problem Inefficiencies in carbon trading market undermine emission reduction goals.
method Analysis of granular transaction data from 2005-2020.
result 40% of firms never trade in a given year, and many trade only during high-price months.
Study analyzes carbon footprint of 1,417 ML models on Hugging Face.
problem Scarce knowledge on measuring and reporting carbon footprint of ML models.
method Repository mining study on Hugging Face Hub API.
result Stalled carbon emissions-reporting models, slight decrease in carbon footprint over 2 years.
CAI automates extraction and validation of corporate GHG emission metrics.
problem Manual extraction of corporate GHG emission metrics is labor-intensive and error-prone.
method CAI uses LLMs to automate extraction and validation of metrics from corporate disclosures.
result CAI improves data collection efficiency and accuracy by automating the process.
Tool uses text mining to define innovative tech fields from abstracts.
problem Defining scope in dynamic, multidisciplinary tech projects.
method Text mining of Elsevier's Scopus abstracts.
result Tool provides crucial information for tech field definition.
New methods model gamma-ray data to better understand Galactic emissions.
problem Uncertain diffuse Galactic gamma-ray emissions bias data interpretation.
method Gaussian processes and variational inference for flexible modeling.
result More robust interpretation of gamma-ray sky, especially dark matter signals.
Study finds optimal board gender diversity for emissions performance.
problem Association between board gender diversity and emissions performance.
method Panel regressions, machine learning, explainable AI.
result Optimal board gender diversity for emissions performance is approximately 35%.
We study optimal behavior of energy producers under a CO_2 emission abatement program. We focus on a two-player discrete-time model where each producer is sequentially optimizing her emission and production schedules. The game-theoretic aspect is captured through a reduced-form price-impact model for the CO_2 allowance…
China's rapid economic growth resulted in serious air pollution, which caused substantial losses to economic development and residents' health. In particular, the road transport sector has been blamed to be one of the major emitters. During the past decades, fluctuation in the international oil prices has imposed signi…
A machine learning algorithm is developed to forecast the CO2 emission intensities in electrical power grids in the Danish bidding zone DK2, distinguishing between average and marginal emissions. The analysis was done on data set comprised of a large number (473) of explanatory variables such as power production, deman…
Model predicts carbon price for green tech adoption.
problem Achieving emission targets with green technology adoption.
method Stationary equilibrium model with endogenous carbon price.
result Carbon price and stationary distribution of firms identified.
Investigates optimal PPI strategies to reduce carbon emissions while managing financial risk.
problem Optimizing portfolio insurance strategies to mitigate carbon emissions.
method Modelled risky assets using stochastic factor model with partial information, solved optimization problem using CRRA utility function.
result Optimal carbon penalized PPI strategies reduce carbon emissions without sacrificing financial performance.
Model for multi-period carbon market pricing with allowances.
problem Carbon market pricing with multiple trading periods and compliance times.
method Singular forward-backward stochastic differential equations (SDEs).
result Value function convergence to infinite period model under certain conditions.
In this paper, we analyze Nash equilibria between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers' strategies integrate the coupling of the two markets via the cost functions of the electricity production. We set out a…
In this note, we present an existence result of a Nash equilibrium between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers' strategies integrate the coupling of the two markets via the cost functions of the electricity…
New method uses MRI data to improve PET tomography uncertainty quantification.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification in emission tomography with multimodal data.
method Nonparametric posterior learning technique adapted for Poisson-type data.
result Sampling algorithms are scalable, parallelizable, and easy to implement.
Many machine learning models, such as logistic regression~(LR) and support vector machine~(SVM), can be formulated as composite optimization problems. Recently, many distributed stochastic optimization~(DSO) methods have been proposed to solve the large-scale composite optimization problems, which have shown better per…
Emission from a class of benzene-based molecules known as Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) dominates the infrared spectrum of star-forming regions. The observed emission appears to arise from the combined emission of numerous PAH species, each with its unique spectrum. Linear superposition of the PAH spectra ide…